Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Georgia State20-13 (0.606) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.603 (140th)
Schedule Strength: 0.505 (154th)
Record Quality: 0.090 (121st)
Avg. Season Rank: 128.37 (128th)
Pace: 70.28 (174th)
Momentum: -1.85 (261st)
Off. Momentum: -2.76 (318th)
Def. Momentum: 0.91 (69th)
Consistency: -9.05 (194th)
Res. Consistency: -13.16 (286th)
Away From Home: -0.11 (161st)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.84 (43rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.74
70.31
24.83
64.36
81.80
37.32
45.62
29.12
10.13
34.78
21.47
8.13
37.90
31.22
19.06
61.04
11.14
15.18
7.67
35.59
26.24
38.16
1.97
RANK:
174th
173rd
269th
327th
175th
91st
97th
192nd
192nd
192nd
245th
210th
104th
55th
58th
126th
144th
134th
76th
193rd
262nd
60th
96th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
99.88
70.26
30.00
--
78.82
33.46
42.45
34.86
11.82
33.90
18.52
6.69
36.12
25.44
14.95
58.75
11.24
14.78
6.53
44.22
23.50
32.28
2.12
RANK:
123rd
176th
265th
--
56th
54th
89th
331st
300th
97th
16th
16th
139th
60th
77th
136th
214th
199th
153rd
346th
21st
93rd
16th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Georgia State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 20-13, they are currently rated #140 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 182.6), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference.
If there is a strength for Georgia State this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 123rd in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 100 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Georgia State has been doing fairly decent work to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 56th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.82 vs. AO.
Georgia State is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 174th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Georgia State makes an effort to get off shots from the inside more so than the perimeter. The ball-club is 60th in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those near-proximity shots goes, the team shoots 61.0% vs. AO, which falls somewhere in the middle of the pack of the rankings in that category. If Georgia State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's poor shooting at the line. The squad makes just 64.4% of their free throw attempts, which ranks 25th-worst in Division I.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Georgia State usually performs worse than average. Georgia State is more efficient than normal 28% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.32. In all other contests, Georgia State performs better than average 69% of the time.
Georgia State is typically better vs. teams that convert well from the charity stripe. Against foes that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.61%, Georgia State performs above their norm 69% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 28% of the time.
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