Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Penn State 16-17 (0.485) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.809 (70^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.674 (49^th)	Record Quality: 0.126 (113^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 83.31 (80^th)
Pace: 69.75 (66^th)	Momentum: 2.97 (57^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.40 (221^st)	Def. Momentum: 3.38 (19^th)
Consistency: -9.48 (215^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.45 (129^th)	Away From Home: -1.10 (282^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.84 (153^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.79

30.37

75.19

84.33

46.02

31.97

35.44

21.72

39.43

30.64

61.72

14.69

11.78

5.26

37.91

25.75

36.33

2.02

RANK:

73^rd

32^nd

61^st

235^th

83^rd

161^st

112^th

207^th

157^th

185^th

71^st

40^th

256^th

192^nd

147^th

200^th

176^th

197^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.71

26.62

81.66

43.90

27.70

30.91

21.18

39.39

32.78

57.78

10.80

12.05

5.22

33.92

25.94

40.14

1.94

RANK:

88^th

199^th

30^th

159^th

33^rd

19^th

113^th

205^th

273^rd

178^th

130^th

70^th

139^th

68^th

155^th

316^th

324^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Penn State is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. Carrying a record of 16-17, they are currently rated #70 overall (out of 362) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 54.7), they're currently ranked as our #10 team in the conference.

Penn State has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #73 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 112 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 30.37 vs. AO, they are ranked 32nd in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-75 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 75.2% of their attempts. Penn State also fares better than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the basket. The team is ranked 71st in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 61.7% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Penn State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 88th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank 19th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 30.9% of their attempts from afar. Penn State also does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 30th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 81.66 vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	vs Delaware State₃₀₂	W 81.09 - 60.58	W 79-45	1-0	112.57	109.33	▼ 3.24	88.64	65.42	▲ 23.22	▲ 19.98
Fri 11/10/2023	vs Lehigh₂₄₉	W 82.41 - 65.04	W 74-65	2-0	112.26	93.57	▼ 18.69	93.19	86.95	▲ 6.24	▼ 12.45
Tue 11/14/2023	vs St. Francis (PA)₃₅₅	W 85.50 - 57.19	W 83-53	3-0	122.29	117.83	▼ 4.46	85.81	73.01	▲ 12.80	▲ 8.34
Fri 11/17/2023	vs Morehead State₁₁₉	W 74.82 - 66.69	W 74-51	4-0	109.26	91.58	▼ 17.68	102.20	63.14	▲ 39.06	▲ 21.38
Thu 11/23/2023	vs Texas A&M₃₇ *	L 72.63 - 76.66	L 77-89	4-1	105.75	123.69	▲ 17.94	111.55	145.90	▼ 34.35	▼ 16.41
Fri 11/24/2023	vs Butler₅₆ *	L 74.33 - 75.78	L 78-88	4-2	105.92	109.86	▲ 3.94	107.89	123.94	▼ 16.05	▼ 12.11
Sun 11/26/2023	vs VCU₇₄ *	W 70.78 - 70.03	L 74-86	4-3	104.15	102.42	▼ 1.73	102.59	114.67	▼ 12.08	▼ 13.81
Sat 12/2/2023	vs Bucknell₂₇₄	W 79.07 - 61.02	L 67-76	4-4	115.37	102.15	▼ 13.22	93.46	119.46	▼ 26.00	▼ 39.22
Wed 12/6/2023	@ Maryland₆₉	L 67.14 - 70.70	L 75-81 (OT)	4-5	101.43	103.96	▲ 2.53	101.09	100.36	▲ 0.73	▲ 3.26
Sat 12/9/2023	vs Ohio State₅₀	W 73.76 - 72.72	W 83-80	5-5	104.96	117.32	▲ 12.36	107.93	114.82	▼ 6.89	▲ 5.47
Sat 12/16/2023	vs Georgia Tech₁₂₄ *	W 76.42 - 71.24	L 81-82 (OT)	5-6	110.24	107.46	▼ 2.78	102.83	107.46	▼ 4.63	▼ 7.41
Thu 12/21/2023	vs Le Moyne₂₉₉	W 83.67 - 63.42	W 72-55	6-6	117.76	103.52	▼ 14.24	93.31	87.15	▲ 6.16	▼ 8.08
Fri 12/29/2023	vs Rider₂₃₄	W 81.97 - 65.64	W 90-63	7-6	114.31	116.87	▲ 2.56	96.06	84.89	▲ 11.17	▲ 13.73
Thu 1/4/2024	@ Michigan State₁₇	L 64.98 - 75.50	L 61-92	7-7	99.00	87.78	▼ 11.22	108.78	125.80	▼ 17.02	▼ 28.24
Sun 1/7/2024	vs Michigan₁₁₂ *	W 77.12 - 72.75	W 79-73	8-7	111.23	109.34	▼ 1.89	104.35	100.00	▲ 4.35	▲ 2.46
Wed 1/10/2024	vs Northwestern₄₇	W 71.83 - 71.01	L 72-76	8-8	105.58	97.46	▼ 8.12	108.92	109.58	▼ 0.66	▼ 8.78
Sat 1/13/2024	@ Purdue₃	L 66.17 - 84.44	L 78-95	8-9	98.48	107.08	▲ 8.60	118.92	133.28	▼ 14.36	▼ 5.76
Tue 1/16/2024	vs Wisconsin₁₉	L 72.46 - 75.16	W 87-83	9-9	104.59	117.88	▲ 13.29	112.98	117.81	▼ 4.83	▲ 8.46
Sat 1/20/2024	@ Ohio State₅₀	L 70.32 - 76.22	L 67-79	9-10	104.96	101.07	▼ 3.89	107.93	111.96	▼ 4.03	▼ 7.92
Sat 1/27/2024	vs Minnesota₈₀	W 76.93 - 72.19	L 74-83	9-11	108.98	104.53	▼ 4.45	106.86	123.43	▼ 16.57	▼ 21.02
Wed 1/31/2024	@ Rutgers₁₁₀	W 68.64 - 67.57	W 61-46	10-11	100.42	91.26	▼ 9.16	93.69	61.93	▲ 31.76	▲ 22.60
Sat 2/3/2024	@ Indiana₈₈	L 73.00 - 74.22	W 85-71	11-11	107.34	148.15	▲ 40.81	103.10	111.50	▼ 8.40	▲ 32.41
Thu 2/8/2024	vs Iowa₅₇	W 82.96 - 80.54	W 89-79	12-11	110.79	126.40	▲ 15.61	112.28	114.13	▼ 1.85	▲ 13.76
Sun 2/11/2024	@ Northwestern₄₇	L 68.50 - 74.37	L 63-68	12-12	105.58	96.57	▼ 9.01	108.92	100.49	▲ 8.43	▼ 0.58
Wed 2/14/2024	vs Michigan State₁₇	L 68.35 - 72.15	L 72-80	12-13	99.00	100.59	▲ 1.59	108.78	125.61	▼ 16.83	▼ 15.24
Sat 2/17/2024	@ Nebraska₃₁	L 71.92 - 80.00	L 49-68	12-14	104.14	75.12	▼ 29.02	109.99	95.93	▲ 14.06	▼ 14.96
Wed 2/21/2024	vs Illinois₁₃	L 76.15 - 81.65	W 90-89	13-14	104.92	116.67	▲ 11.75	117.15	119.26	▼ 2.11	▲ 9.64
Sat 2/24/2024	vs Indiana₈₈	W 76.49 - 70.85	W 83-74	14-14	107.34	121.34	▲ 14.00	103.10	108.51	▼ 5.41	▲ 8.59
Tue 2/27/2024	@ Iowa₅₇	L 79.29 - 84.27	L 81-90	14-15	110.79	103.51	▼ 7.28	112.28	110.28	▲ 2.00	▼ 5.28
Sat 3/2/2024	@ Minnesota₈₀	L 73.46 - 75.55	L 70-75	14-16	108.98	104.73	▼ 4.25	106.86	101.63	▲ 5.23	▲ 0.98
Sun 3/10/2024	vs Maryland₆₉	W 70.54 - 67.30	W 85-69	15-16	101.43	121.71	▲ 20.28	101.09	101.02	▲ 0.07	▲ 20.35
Wed 3/13/2024	vs Michigan₁₁₂ *	W 77.12 - 72.75	W 66-57	16-16	111.23	106.45	▼ 4.78	104.35	80.95	▲ 23.40	▲ 18.62
Thu 3/14/2024	vs Indiana₈₈ *	W 74.75 - 72.53	L 59-61	16-17	107.34	85.51	▼ 21.83	103.10	89.71	▲ 13.39	▼ 8.44
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter, Penn State usually performs worse than average. Penn State is more efficient than normal 29% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.98. In all other contests, Penn State performs better than average 83% of the time.
	Penn State is typically worse vs. teams that prefer the outside shot. Against foes that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02, Penn State performs above their norm 18% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 64% of the time.
	When facing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Penn State often performs better than normal. Penn State is more efficient than usual 64% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.16. In their other contests, Penn State performs better than the norm 18% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox