Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Penn State 23-14 (0.622) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.914 (32^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.714 (21^st)	Record Quality: 0.311 (37^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 36.91 (31^st)
Pace: 65.02 (330^th)	Momentum: 3.89 (31^st)	Off. Momentum: 1.68 (113^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.21 (24^th)
Consistency: -8.97 (154^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.57 (146^th)	Away From Home: -1.09 (238^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.29 (80^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

116.22

21.69

73.82

87.70

48.14

39.53

39.91

23.05

44.74

25.13

64.19

8.42

9.13

3.68

45.07

26.28

28.66

2.16

RANK:

9^th

334^th

108^th

40^th

15^th

5^th

1^st

209^th

7^th

334^th

40^th

306^th

351^st

334^th

9^th

244^th

353^rd

360^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.29

20.23

89.69

41.14

32.91

31.81

31.21

38.35

25.57

56.53

9.52

11.76

4.33

36.69

34.80

28.51

2.08

RANK:

87^th

17^th

356^th

53^rd

257^th

62^nd

358^th

207^th

37^th

94^th

75^th

38^th

57^th

182^nd

352^nd

11^th

53^rd

ANALYSIS:
This website places Penn State in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. Carrying a record of 23-14, they are currently rated #32 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 56.1), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.714 (which ranks 21st nationally), Penn State is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

Penn State showcases one of the country's most efficient offenses. Racking up about 116 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the team is nationally rated ninth in efficiency on that end of the floor. Penn State is an outstanding shooting team, capable of converting from a variety of locations on the floor and ranking in the top-50 in each of our four most noteworthy field goal categories. The long-ball may be their strength (39.9% from three vs. AO, first in the nation), but the team also makes 64.2% of their near-proximity shots (40th), 44.7% of their mid-range chances (seventh), and 48.1% of their total shots from the field (15th) vs. AO. Penn State also lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks ninth in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If Penn State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 9.13 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 13th-worst in college hoops.

Penn State is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 87th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 98 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 20.23 vs. AO, they are currently rated 17th in the country in that category. Penn State is also a solid rebounding team that will deny the opposition chances to score off of offensive rebounds. They have a rating of 11.76 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 38th in the country). If Penn State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 89.69 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks eighth-worst in college basketball.

Penn State has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #31 ranking in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs Winthrop₂₄₇	W 83.01 - 64.43	W 93-68	1-0	125.86	122.14	▼ 3.72	101.46	93.70	▲ 7.76	▲ 4.04
Thu 11/10/2022	vs Loyola (MD)₃₃₇	W 80.78 - 57.06	W 90-65	2-0	124.76	133.00	▲ 8.24	91.35	103.67	▼ 12.32	▼ 4.08
Mon 11/14/2022	vs Butler₁₁₂	W 71.67 - 61.55	W 68-62	3-0	110.50	95.14	▼ 15.36	98.27	90.57	▲ 7.70	▼ 7.66
Thu 11/17/2022	vs Furman₉₁ *	W 76.05 - 70.33	W 73-68	4-0	115.62	110.61	▼ 5.01	106.69	103.03	▲ 3.66	▼ 1.35
Fri 11/18/2022	vs Virginia Tech₇₈ *	W 73.87 - 69.65	L 59-61	4-1	114.32	92.19	▼ 22.13	107.55	93.85	▲ 13.70	▼ 8.43
Sun 11/20/2022	vs Colorado State₁₀₅ *	W 73.87 - 66.92	W 68-56	5-1	114.91	98.46	▼ 16.45	103.91	71.43	▲ 32.48	▲ 16.03
Fri 11/25/2022	vs Lafayette₂₇₇	W 72.48 - 54.11	W 70-57	6-1	116.79	135.50	▲ 18.71	90.71	83.64	▲ 7.07	▲ 25.78
Tue 11/29/2022	@ Clemson₅₁	L 70.14 - 70.63	L 94-101 (2OT)	6-2	109.55	107.97	▼ 1.58	105.95	105.57	▲ 0.38	▼ 1.20
Wed 12/7/2022	vs Michigan State₃₃	W 69.28 - 66.61	L 58-67	6-3	108.36	83.29	▼ 25.07	107.33	99.10	▲ 8.23	▼ 16.84
Sat 12/10/2022	@ Illinois₃₇	L 69.85 - 71.82	W 74-59	7-3	106.88	123.31	▲ 16.43	104.72	94.72	▲ 10.00	▲ 26.43
Sun 12/18/2022	vs Canisius₂₆₁	W 80.31 - 60.90	W 97-67	8-3	120.68	151.84	▲ 31.16	95.47	97.70	▼ 2.23	▲ 28.93
Thu 12/22/2022	vs Quinnipiac₁₇₄	W 79.36 - 64.65	W 77-68	9-3	116.58	107.89	▼ 8.69	98.76	95.59	▲ 3.17	▼ 5.52
Thu 12/29/2022	vs Delaware State₃₆₀	W 83.83 - 54.22	W 60-46	10-3	125.64	90.06	▼ 35.58	84.84	72.69	▲ 12.15	▼ 23.43
Sun 1/1/2023	vs Iowa₃₅	W 77.79 - 74.73	W 83-79	11-3	114.57	116.57	▲ 2.00	113.84	114.46	▼ 0.62	▲ 1.38
Wed 1/4/2023	@ Michigan₅₄	L 69.89 - 70.54	L 69-79	11-4	110.08	104.99	▼ 5.09	106.35	109.27	▼ 2.92	▼ 8.01
Sun 1/8/2023	vs Purdue₈ *	L 65.50 - 70.07	L 63-76	11-5	105.71	105.00	▼ 0.71	112.53	126.67	▼ 14.14	▼ 14.85
Wed 1/11/2023	vs Indiana₂₇	W 72.37 - 70.22	W 85-66	12-5	109.28	128.00	▲ 18.72	109.43	95.55	▲ 13.88	▲ 32.60
Tue 1/17/2023	@ Wisconsin₇₁	W 64.63 - 64.24	L 60-63	12-6	107.72	102.00	▼ 5.72	102.04	99.61	▲ 2.43	▼ 3.29
Sat 1/21/2023	vs Nebraska₁₀₈	W 72.96 - 63.58	W 76-65	13-6	111.08	109.35	▼ 1.73	100.28	97.59	▲ 2.69	▲ 0.96
Tue 1/24/2023	@ Rutgers₄₀	L 64.07 - 65.63	L 45-65	13-7	102.11	78.27	▼ 23.84	99.76	101.39	▼ 1.63	▼ 25.47
Sun 1/29/2023	vs Michigan₅₄	W 72.56 - 67.91	W 83-61	14-7	110.08	158.00	▲ 47.92	106.35	95.18	▲ 11.17	▲ 59.09
Wed 2/1/2023	@ Purdue₈	L 64.23 - 71.36	L 60-80	14-8	105.71	100.04	▼ 5.67	112.53	135.73	▼ 23.20	▼ 28.87
Sun 2/5/2023	@ Nebraska₁₀₈	W 70.30 - 66.08	L 63-72	14-9	111.08	102.00	▼ 9.08	100.28	110.50	▼ 10.22	▼ 19.30
Wed 2/8/2023	vs Wisconsin₇₁	W 67.17 - 61.76	L 74-79 (OT)	14-10	107.72	113.25	▲ 5.53	102.04	115.34	▼ 13.30	▼ 7.77
Sat 2/11/2023	@ Maryland₂₀	L 65.07 - 69.01	L 68-74	14-11	106.14	98.61	▼ 7.53	108.06	112.75	▼ 4.69	▼ 12.22
Tue 2/14/2023	vs Illinois₃₇	W 72.59 - 69.13	W 93-81	15-11	106.88	132.85	▲ 25.97	104.72	112.45	▼ 7.73	▲ 18.24
Sat 2/18/2023	@ Minnesota₂₃₃	W 73.46 - 61.77	W 76-69	16-11	117.72	118.93	▲ 1.21	95.68	105.81	▼ 10.13	▼ 8.92
Thu 2/23/2023	@ Ohio State₅₀	L 70.37 - 71.39	W 75-71	17-11	112.89	140.89	▲ 28.00	109.43	127.09	▼ 17.66	▲ 10.34
Sun 2/26/2023	vs Rutgers₄₀	W 66.71 - 63.03	L 56-59	17-12	102.11	89.43	▼ 12.68	99.76	97.16	▲ 2.60	▼ 10.08
Wed 3/1/2023	@ Northwestern₃₈	L 65.16 - 66.77	W 68-65 (OT)	18-12	105.26	105.39	▲ 0.13	103.53	101.39	▲ 2.14	▲ 2.27
Sun 3/5/2023	vs Maryland₂₀	W 67.65 - 66.41	W 65-64	19-12	106.14	104.55	▼ 1.59	108.06	106.92	▲ 1.14	▼ 0.45
Thu 3/9/2023	vs Illinois₃₇ *	W 71.22 - 70.47	W 79-76	20-12	106.88	117.47	▲ 10.59	104.72	111.76	▼ 7.04	▲ 3.55
Fri 3/10/2023	vs Northwestern₃₈ *	W 66.46 - 65.46	W 67-65 (OT)	21-12	105.26	91.43	▼ 13.83	103.53	92.95	▲ 10.58	▼ 3.25
Sat 3/11/2023	vs Indiana₂₇ *	L 71.03 - 71.54	W 77-73	22-12	109.28	113.24	▲ 3.96	109.43	107.35	▲ 2.08	▲ 6.04
Sun 3/12/2023	vs Purdue₈ *	L 65.50 - 70.07	L 65-67	22-13	105.71	101.56	▼ 4.15	112.53	104.69	▲ 7.84	▲ 3.69
Thu 3/16/2023	vs Texas A&M₃₆ *	W 69.23 - 68.82	W 76-59	23-13	108.04	140.82	▲ 32.78	106.66	89.58	▲ 17.08	▲ 49.86
Sat 3/18/2023	vs Texas₇ *	L 68.41 - 73.66	L 66-71	23-14	102.77	101.54	▼ 1.23	110.88	109.23	▲ 1.65	▲ 0.42
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow more chances at the line, Penn State usually performs better than average. Penn State is more efficient than normal 63% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 21.92. In all other contests, Penn State performs better than average 11% of the time.
	Penn State is typically worse vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.94, Penn State performs above their norm 8% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 54% of the time.
	When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Penn State often performs better than normal. Penn State is more efficient than usual 52% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 31.48%. In their other contests, Penn State performs better than the norm 8% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox