Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Penn State 15-18 (0.455) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.729 (96^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.724 (34^th)	Record Quality: 0.121 (102^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 93.35 (92^nd)
Pace: 71.95 (72^nd)	Momentum: -5.11 (339^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.34 (272^nd)	Def. Momentum: -3.77 (332^nd)
Consistency: -9.27 (213^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.64 (329^th)	Away From Home: -0.23 (174^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.15 (186^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.70

27.97

74.19

81.97

43.61

29.25

35.78

25.52

34.54

27.19

60.54

12.31

15.33

6.56

35.69

31.14

33.18

2.03

RANK:

145^th

151^st

64^th

167^th

186^th

187^th

146^th

109^th

265^th

231^st

139^th

74^th

125^th

174^th

191^st

110^th

227^th

201^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.41

23.67

82.37

42.11

28.84

35.84

24.92

35.96

28.61

53.78

11.00

13.68

6.18

35.01

30.25

34.73

2.00

RANK:

65^th

50^th

210^th

75^th

148^th

198^th

230^th

131^st

176^th

40^th

194^th

124^th

122^nd

127^th

227^th

162^nd

207^th

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Penn State, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Haslametrics has them ranked 96th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 15-18. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 55.9), they're currently ranked as our #12 team in the conference.

Penn State will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 65th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Penn State has done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 40th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.8% of their attempts from close-up. Penn State also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 23.67 vs. AO, they are currently rated 50th in the country in that category.

Penn State is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 145th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 103 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 74.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 64th nationally in free throw percentage.

Penn State has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 339th in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Albany₁₁₈	W 72.10 - 66.40	L 81-87	0-1	102.96	101.63	▼ 1.33	98.44	115.20	▼ 16.76	▼ 18.09
Sun 11/13/2016	vs Duquesne₂₁₉	W 79.46 - 67.08	W 82-74	1-1	105.98	108.60	▲ 2.62	93.63	102.22	▼ 8.59	▼ 5.97
Tue 11/15/2016	vs Grand Canyon₁₆₄	W 74.65 - 66.50	W 85-76	2-1	99.64	114.22	▲ 14.58	93.07	103.55	▼ 10.48	▲ 4.10
Sat 11/19/2016	vs Duke₁₁ *	L 67.52 - 82.43	L 68-78	2-2	93.94	95.67	▲ 1.73	114.17	109.74	▲ 4.43	▲ 6.16
Sun 11/20/2016	vs Cincinnati₁₆ *	L 60.99 - 73.62	L 50-71	2-3	90.16	58.33	▼ 31.83	108.20	100.00	▲ 8.20	▼ 23.63
Wed 11/23/2016	vs Colgate₂₈₄	W 76.25 - 60.32	W 72-59	3-3	107.37	103.75	▼ 3.62	89.12	90.28	▼ 1.16	▼ 4.78
Sat 11/26/2016	@ G. Washington₁₂₈	L 70.73 - 70.78	W 74-68	4-3	103.43	99.58	▼ 3.85	99.24	88.45	▲ 10.79	▲ 6.94
Tue 11/29/2016	vs Georgia Tech₇₅	W 67.02 - 65.92	W 67-60	5-3	91.54	92.15	▲ 0.61	94.32	85.55	▲ 8.77	▲ 9.38
Sat 12/3/2016	vs Wright State₁₆₅	W 77.37 - 68.74	W 72-50	6-3	103.53	93.44	▼ 10.09	96.60	64.90	▲ 31.70	▲ 21.61
Wed 12/7/2016	vs George Mason₁₃₁	W 76.23 - 69.30	L 66-85	6-4	103.07	89.09	▼ 13.98	97.94	119.61	▼ 21.67	▼ 35.65
Sat 12/10/2016	vs Pittsburgh₇₄ *	L 70.57 - 72.67	L 73-81	6-5	101.46	91.67	▼ 9.79	104.52	106.94	▼ 2.42	▼ 12.21
Sun 12/18/2016	@ St. John's₉₀	L 74.87 - 78.64	W 92-76	7-5	100.67	118.65	▲ 17.98	101.14	85.28	▲ 15.86	▲ 33.84
Wed 12/21/2016	vs Morgan State₃₂₅	W 79.39 - 58.22	W 96-55	8-5	108.09	116.43	▲ 8.34	83.25	68.32	▲ 14.93	▲ 23.27
Tue 12/27/2016	vs Northwestern₃₃	L 66.94 - 71.83	L 77-87	8-6	93.86	88.11	▼ 5.75	104.94	129.20	▼ 24.26	▼ 30.01
Sun 1/1/2017	@ Rutgers₁₂₂	L 66.66 - 67.15	W 60-47	9-6	96.52	82.22	▼ 14.30	93.00	54.93	▲ 38.07	▲ 23.77
Wed 1/4/2017	@ Michigan₁₈	L 63.25 - 78.43	L 69-72	9-7	96.76	105.20	▲ 8.44	114.66	106.88	▲ 7.78	▲ 16.22
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Michigan State₄₁ *	L 66.37 - 73.72	W 72-63	10-7	93.42	98.61	▲ 5.19	103.61	83.33	▲ 20.28	▲ 25.47
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Minnesota₄₆	L 69.06 - 72.66	W 52-50	11-7	92.12	72.07	▼ 20.05	101.04	73.64	▲ 27.40	▲ 7.35
Wed 1/18/2017	vs Indiana₄₀	L 71.97 - 76.21	L 75-78	11-8	97.83	101.95	▲ 4.12	107.64	110.55	▼ 2.91	▲ 1.21
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Purdue₁₂	L 64.16 - 81.95	L 52-77	11-9	91.25	74.63	▼ 16.62	110.90	115.03	▼ 4.13	▼ 20.75
Tue 1/24/2017	@ Wisconsin₂₁	L 58.47 - 72.64	L 55-82	11-10	89.53	87.67	▼ 1.86	105.96	124.57	▼ 18.61	▼ 20.47
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Illinois₆₇	L 67.92 - 68.19	W 71-67	12-10	94.48	105.36	▲ 10.88	99.03	102.22	▼ 3.19	▲ 7.69
Wed 2/1/2017	@ Indiana₄₀	L 68.78 - 79.40	L 102-110 (3OT)	12-11	97.83	108.10	▲ 10.27	107.64	102.13	▲ 5.51	▲ 15.78
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Rutgers₁₂₂	W 69.80 - 64.27	L 68-70	12-12	96.52	100.81	▲ 4.29	93.00	106.69	▼ 13.69	▼ 9.40
Tue 2/7/2017	vs Maryland₄₈	L 69.87 - 73.20	W 70-64	13-12	96.21	96.38	▲ 0.17	105.28	94.97	▲ 10.31	▲ 10.48
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Illinois₆₇	L 64.81 - 71.22	W 83-70	14-12	94.48	123.11	▲ 28.63	99.03	99.28	▼ 0.25	▲ 28.38
Tue 2/14/2017	@ Nebraska₁₀₄	L 69.06 - 71.49	L 66-82	14-13	98.73	94.02	▼ 4.71	97.90	127.29	▼ 29.39	▼ 34.10
Tue 2/21/2017	vs Purdue₁₂	L 67.34 - 78.68	L 70-74 (OT)	14-14	91.25	91.90	▲ 0.65	110.90	96.33	▲ 14.57	▲ 15.22
Sat 2/25/2017	@ Minnesota₄₆	L 65.83 - 75.86	L 71-81	14-15	92.12	95.64	▲ 3.52	101.04	105.78	▼ 4.74	▼ 1.22
Tue 2/28/2017	vs Ohio State₇₂	W 72.87 - 72.36	L 70-71	14-16	99.04	92.38	▼ 6.66	102.71	99.48	▲ 3.23	▼ 3.43
Sun 3/5/2017	@ Iowa₆₂	L 72.63 - 80.55	L 79-90	14-17	99.39	95.32	▼ 4.07	105.37	137.44	▼ 32.07	▼ 36.14
Wed 3/8/2017	vs Nebraska₁₀₄ *	W 70.65 - 69.94	W 76-67 (OT)	15-17	98.73	98.36	▼ 0.37	97.90	95.24	▲ 2.66	▲ 2.29
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Michigan State₄₁ *	L 66.37 - 73.72	L 51-78	15-18	93.42	78.18	▼ 15.24	103.61	124.56	▼ 20.95	▼ 36.19
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, Penn State often performs better than normal. Penn State is more efficient than usual 70% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 9.71. In their other contests, Penn State performs better than the norm 31% of the time.
	Penn State does worse vs. clubs that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.03, Penn State performs above average 33% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 67% of the time.
	Penn State performs better against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.13%, Penn State is more efficient than normal 67% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 33% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox