Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Fairfield 16-15 (0.516) | MAAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.374 (220^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.445 (228^th)	Record Quality: -0.019 (191^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 210.92 (206^th)
Pace: 71.27 (115^th)	Momentum: -1.82 (259^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.56 (284^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.25 (149^th)
Consistency: -8.40 (110^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.90 (275^th)	Away From Home: 0.35 (109^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.86 (335^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.38

20.47

67.50

82.82

43.09

36.02

33.85

19.51

33.91

27.29

61.85

10.87

10.64

5.16

43.49

23.56

32.94

2.11

RANK:

238^th

346^th

276^th

107^th

209^th

19^th

231^st

304^th

285^th

226^th

97^th

161^st

326^th

304^th

22^nd

309^th

240^th

313^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.11

26.89

83.86

44.90

27.68

33.90

25.41

38.45

30.77

60.12

10.45

15.98

7.29

33.01

30.30

36.70

1.96

RANK:

189^th

149^th

264^th

197^th

85^th

96^th

254^th

257^th

270^th

173^rd

144^th

272^nd

230^th

54^th

229^th

244^th

282^nd

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Fairfield should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They have a record of 16-15 and are ranked 220th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 11 schools in the MAAC (average ranking 203.1), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference.

Fairfield sports an offensive attack that is mediocre at best. Rated at #238 in offensive efficiency, they score about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Fairfield does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 20.47 vs. AO, they are sixth from the bottom in the overall rankings for that category. Fairfield also does a fairly poor job cleaning the offensive glass. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 10.64 in potential points scored off of second chances (326th nationally), and they convert just 5.2% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 304th) as well.

Fairfield doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 103 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #189 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Fairfield could do a better job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. The club has a rating of 15.98 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (272nd nationally).

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Sacred Heart₂₉₇	W 77.97 - 69.09	W 85-63	1-0	102.82	108.90	▲ 6.08	95.34	86.94	▲ 8.40	▲ 14.48
Tue 11/15/2016	@ Dartmouth₃₀₈	W 73.11 - 69.70	W 79-62	2-0	104.65	110.67	▲ 6.02	96.01	78.94	▲ 17.07	▲ 23.09
Sat 11/19/2016	@ Wagner₂₄₈	L 66.10 - 67.45	W 70-64 (OT)	3-0	101.21	97.38	▼ 3.83	98.75	92.95	▲ 5.80	▲ 1.97
Wed 11/23/2016	@ Loyola (MD)₂₃₂	L 66.61 - 68.94	L 66-81	3-1	98.54	94.97	▼ 3.57	97.46	109.05	▼ 11.59	▼ 15.16
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Army₂₁₇	W 74.30 - 71.34	W 75-74	4-1	97.90	100.52	▲ 2.62	98.17	102.22	▼ 4.05	▼ 1.43
Thu 12/1/2016	@ Rider₂₁₀	L 71.47 - 75.37	W 76-67	5-1	98.00	100.48	▲ 2.48	98.94	84.75	▲ 14.19	▲ 16.67
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Siena₁₆₂	L 69.14 - 76.59	L 73-80	5-2	98.08	93.47	▼ 4.61	104.01	96.55	▲ 7.46	▲ 2.85
Tue 12/6/2016	vs Bucknell₈₁	L 70.00 - 77.43	L 64-75	5-3	94.00	82.51	▼ 11.49	108.21	104.99	▲ 3.22	▼ 8.27
Sun 12/18/2016	@ NC State₁₀₁	L 71.05 - 83.07	L 78-99	5-4	98.89	93.76	▼ 5.13	110.86	122.07	▼ 11.21	▼ 16.34
Wed 12/21/2016	vs Boston College₁₃₇ *	L 70.35 - 75.87	W 89-83	6-4	95.59	108.54	▲ 12.95	103.47	102.47	▲ 1.00	▲ 13.95
Fri 12/30/2016	@ Penn₁₄₉	L 64.80 - 72.59	L 68-74	6-5	94.30	95.37	▲ 1.07	101.19	99.15	▲ 2.04	▲ 3.11
Mon 1/2/2017	vs Iona₁₁₅	L 74.42 - 78.01	W 93-87	7-5	99.39	111.20	▲ 11.81	108.46	109.62	▼ 1.16	▲ 10.65
Thu 1/5/2017	@ Manhattan₂₉₂	W 72.08 - 70.25	W 97-79	8-5	101.06	133.20	▲ 32.14	94.43	103.50	▼ 9.07	▲ 23.07
Tue 1/10/2017	vs Canisius₁₈₇	W 76.07 - 75.40	L 72-86	8-6	102.33	92.23	▼ 10.10	105.69	118.88	▼ 13.19	▼ 23.29
Sun 1/15/2017	vs Siena₁₆₂	L 72.20 - 73.44	L 54-63	8-7	98.08	82.16	▼ 15.92	104.01	100.65	▲ 3.36	▼ 12.56
Tue 1/17/2017	vs St. Peter's₁₂₅	L 61.97 - 64.59	L 55-69	8-8	92.72	89.45	▼ 3.27	100.65	113.51	▼ 12.86	▼ 16.13
Fri 1/20/2017	@ Iona₁₁₅	L 71.31 - 81.33	L 89-96	8-9	99.39	117.80	▲ 18.41	108.46	122.46	▼ 14.00	▲ 4.41
Sun 1/22/2017	@ Monmouth₉₁	L 69.35 - 82.62	L 49-91	8-10	94.47	57.57	▼ 36.90	107.68	119.21	▼ 11.53	▼ 48.43
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Marist₃₀₁	W 77.13 - 68.04	W 72-62	9-10	107.25	102.33	▼ 4.92	99.04	87.29	▲ 11.75	▲ 6.83
Tue 1/31/2017	vs Manhattan₂₉₂	W 75.18 - 67.06	W 78-49	10-10	101.06	124.32	▲ 23.26	94.43	66.22	▲ 28.21	▲ 51.47
Thu 2/2/2017	vs Niagara₂₄₉	W 75.55 - 70.49	W 81-61	11-10	102.23	113.17	▲ 10.94	99.69	87.06	▲ 12.63	▲ 23.57
Mon 2/6/2017	vs Quinnipiac₂₈₂	W 80.68 - 73.25	L 71-73	11-11	105.15	91.21	▼ 13.94	99.45	98.27	▲ 1.18	▼ 12.76
Thu 2/9/2017	@ Marist₃₀₁	W 74.12 - 71.15	W 73-53	12-11	107.25	108.56	▲ 1.31	99.04	75.20	▲ 23.84	▲ 25.15
Mon 2/13/2017	vs Rider₂₁₀	W 74.63 - 72.20	W 69-67	13-11	98.00	94.97	▼ 3.03	98.94	97.93	▲ 1.01	▼ 2.02
Fri 2/17/2017	@ Quinnipiac₂₈₂	W 77.48 - 76.45	W 89-86	14-11	105.15	106.22	▲ 1.07	99.45	101.78	▼ 2.33	▼ 1.26
Sun 2/19/2017	@ St. Peter's₁₂₅	L 59.19 - 67.40	L 55-74	14-12	92.72	98.15	▲ 5.43	100.65	127.28	▼ 26.63	▼ 21.20
Tue 2/21/2017	vs Monmouth₉₁	L 72.53 - 79.21	L 62-82	14-13	94.47	86.02	▼ 8.45	107.68	117.14	▼ 9.46	▼ 17.91
Fri 2/24/2017	@ Canisius₁₈₇	L 72.97 - 78.61	W 58-55	15-13	102.33	95.76	▼ 6.57	105.69	86.49	▲ 19.20	▲ 12.63
Sun 2/26/2017	@ Niagara₂₄₉	L 72.47 - 73.74	W 62-58	16-13	102.23	94.75	▼ 7.48	99.69	85.66	▲ 14.03	▲ 6.55
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Siena₁₆₂ *	L 70.67 - 75.01	L 66-78	16-14	98.08	89.19	▼ 8.89	104.01	105.41	▼ 1.40	▼ 10.29
Wed 3/15/2017	@ UMBC₁₉₇	L 74.18 - 79.15	L 83-88	16-15	103.40	111.43	▲ 8.03	105.89	112.07	▼ 6.18	▲ 1.85
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Fairfield usually performs better than average. Fairfield is more efficient than normal 82% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.79%. In all other contests, Fairfield performs better than average 21% of the time.
	Fairfield is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.91%, Fairfield performs above their norm 78% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 23% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Fairfield often performs better than normal. Fairfield is more efficient than usual 81% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 103.76. In their other contests, Fairfield performs better than the norm 27% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox