Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Fairfield 19-14 (0.576) | MAAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.366 (223^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.426 (237^th)	Record Quality: 0.023 (162^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 229.76 (236^th)
Pace: 72.91 (34^th)	Momentum: 1.02 (120^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.35 (221^st)	Def. Momentum: 1.37 (63^rd)
Consistency: -7.34 (15^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.96 (210^th)	Away From Home: 2.26 (21^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.61 (152^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.90

24.14

72.70

81.44

43.20

33.58

35.72

18.68

32.67

29.19

58.54

12.39

10.65

3.96

41.23

22.93

35.84

2.05

RANK:

185^th

325^th

75^th

203^rd

188^th

48^th

124^th

322^nd

303^rd

148^th

174^th

80^th

332^nd

340^th

44^th

320^th

142^nd

276^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.35

29.01

84.62

45.03

29.23

34.36

22.12

37.58

33.27

59.36

11.32

16.70

9.33

34.54

26.14

39.31

1.95

RANK:

253^rd

183^rd

279^th

223^rd

199^th

139^th

101^st

242^nd

313^th

169^th

214^th

276^th

331^st

159^th

70^th

288^th

272^nd

ANALYSIS:
If you see Fairfield on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Haslametrics has them ranked 223rd overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 19-14. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the MAAC (average ranking 215.2).

Fairfield does not provide much of a challenge on defense. They are ranked at #253 in efficiency on that end of the court and give up about 106 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Fairfield is one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 9.3% of all second-chance opportunities (331st nationally).

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Fairfield still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 100 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #185 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Fairfield does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 4.0% of all second-chance opportunities (340th nationally), and with a rating of 10.65, they're 332nd in potential points scored off of the offensive boards as well. Fairfield also struggles to draw fouls and earn opportunities at the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 24.14 vs. AO, they are 325th in the overall rankings for that category.

Fairfield is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 15th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict. When playing on the road, Fairfield has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 21st in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs Yale₄₉ *	L 64.34 - 79.07	L 57-70	0-1	90.58	72.58	▼ 18.00	110.72	106.35	▲ 4.37	▼ 13.63
Sun 11/15/2015	@ North Carolina₅	L 65.60 - 96.50	L 65-92	0-2	90.81	86.74	▼ 4.07	124.96	112.80	▲ 12.16	▲ 8.09
Wed 11/18/2015	@ Northwestern₇₁	L 62.94 - 78.87	L 72-79	0-3	94.24	102.92	▲ 8.68	111.86	108.35	▲ 3.51	▲ 12.19
Sat 11/21/2015	vs Sacred Heart₃₀₁	W 84.29 - 73.99	W 83-79 (OT)	1-3	108.46	94.38	▼ 14.08	100.73	101.55	▼ 0.82	▼ 14.90
Tue 11/24/2015	@ UMES₃₀₆	W 76.67 - 73.86	W 113-74	2-3	108.79	129.66	▲ 20.87	99.89	80.86	▲ 19.03	▲ 39.90
Fri 11/27/2015	vs Columbia₁₁₈	L 73.98 - 77.59	W 82-81 (OT)	3-3	102.76	102.96	▲ 0.20	112.76	108.80	▲ 3.96	▲ 4.16
Tue 12/1/2015	@ Iona₁₁₅	L 73.98 - 86.91	L 77-101	3-4	99.74	91.65	▼ 8.09	110.80	124.23	▼ 13.43	▼ 21.52
Fri 12/4/2015	vs Rider₂₁₄	W 71.85 - 68.51	W 74-70	4-4	100.08	102.80	▲ 2.72	101.41	105.86	▼ 4.45	▼ 1.73
Fri 12/18/2015	vs Wagner₁₉₃	W 72.47 - 70.41	L 64-76	4-5	99.33	86.94	▼ 12.39	102.56	111.74	▼ 9.18	▼ 21.57
Tue 12/22/2015	vs Loyola (MD)₂₇₀	W 79.15 - 71.92	W 94-88 (OT)	5-5	106.77	110.13	▲ 3.36	102.49	114.35	▼ 11.86	▼ 8.50
Sun 12/27/2015	@ Bucknell₁₇₄	L 74.94 - 82.61	W 101-91	6-5	102.90	120.77	▲ 17.87	107.21	102.90	▲ 4.31	▲ 22.18
Sat 1/2/2016	@ Manhattan₂₄₅	L 72.34 - 75.12	L 66-72	6-6	101.85	86.46	▼ 15.39	100.22	87.08	▲ 13.14	▼ 2.25
Mon 1/4/2016	vs Dartmouth₂₃₂	W 76.05 - 71.50	W 97-85	7-6	101.87	122.42	▲ 20.55	101.29	110.92	▼ 9.63	▲ 10.92
Thu 1/7/2016	@ Siena₁₂₆	L 72.09 - 83.23	L 76-91	7-7	99.42	101.47	▲ 2.05	108.40	126.07	▼ 17.67	▼ 15.62
Sat 1/9/2016	@ Rider₂₁₄	L 67.85 - 72.41	W 69-64	8-7	100.08	100.10	▲ 0.02	101.41	85.97	▲ 15.44	▲ 15.46
Mon 1/11/2016	vs Monmouth₉₉	L 75.58 - 81.84	L 74-86	8-8	95.60	99.86	▲ 4.26	109.47	124.04	▼ 14.57	▼ 10.31
Fri 1/15/2016	vs Niagara₂₉₃	W 75.22 - 66.43	W 73-68	9-8	102.67	98.47	▼ 4.20	96.18	98.69	▼ 2.51	▼ 6.71
Tue 1/19/2016	vs St. Peter's₂₁₆	W 70.54 - 67.12	L 71-77	9-9	98.19	98.57	▲ 0.38	99.15	119.58	▼ 20.43	▼ 20.05
Fri 1/22/2016	@ Marist₃₁₉	W 79.32 - 75.82	W 88-76	10-9	112.16	124.04	▲ 11.88	102.10	101.37	▲ 0.73	▲ 12.61
Sun 1/24/2016	vs Iona₁₁₅	L 78.35 - 82.57	W 98-91	11-9	99.74	113.75	▲ 14.01	110.80	113.89	▼ 3.09	▲ 10.92
Fri 1/29/2016	vs Canisius₂₃₅	W 81.37 - 76.77	W 84-77	12-9	109.14	115.39	▲ 6.25	108.50	108.40	▲ 0.10	▲ 6.35
Mon 2/1/2016	vs Quinnipiac₂₈₂	W 75.82 - 67.40	L 59-64	12-10	100.14	81.37	▼ 18.77	94.49	97.04	▼ 2.55	▼ 21.32
Fri 2/5/2016	@ Monmouth₉₉	L 71.20 - 86.35	L 67-91	12-11	95.60	84.08	▼ 11.52	109.47	113.02	▼ 3.55	▼ 15.07
Sun 2/7/2016	vs Manhattan₂₄₅	W 76.53 - 70.93	W 80-70	13-11	101.85	105.42	▲ 3.57	100.22	97.28	▲ 2.94	▲ 6.51
Sat 2/13/2016	@ Quinnipiac₂₈₂	W 71.60 - 71.39	W 84-80 (2OT)	14-11	100.14	95.02	▼ 5.12	94.49	87.99	▲ 6.50	▲ 1.38
Mon 2/15/2016	vs Marist₃₁₉	W 83.48 - 71.70	W 76-73	15-11	112.16	99.79	▼ 12.37	102.10	104.31	▼ 2.21	▼ 14.58
Thu 2/18/2016	@ Canisius₂₃₅	L 77.21 - 80.97	W 74-71	16-11	109.14	110.16	▲ 1.02	108.50	97.08	▲ 11.42	▲ 12.44
Sat 2/20/2016	@ Niagara₂₉₃	W 71.14 - 70.43	W 71-59	17-11	102.67	115.62	▲ 12.95	96.18	90.73	▲ 5.45	▲ 18.40
Wed 2/24/2016	vs Siena₁₂₆	L 76.36 - 78.96	W 76-69	18-11	99.42	104.12	▲ 4.70	108.40	100.10	▲ 8.30	▲ 13.00
Sat 2/27/2016	@ St. Peter's₂₁₆	L 66.54 - 70.93	L 68-72	18-12	98.19	109.07	▲ 10.88	99.15	106.17	▼ 7.02	▲ 3.86
Sat 3/5/2016	vs St. Peter's₂₁₆ *	L 68.54 - 69.02	W 64-55	19-12	98.19	104.92	▲ 6.73	99.15	88.71	▲ 10.44	▲ 17.17
Sun 3/6/2016	vs Monmouth₉₉ *	L 73.39 - 84.09	L 63-76	19-13	95.60	83.10	▼ 12.50	109.47	105.80	▲ 3.67	▼ 8.83
Wed 3/16/2016	vs UNH₂₂₈	W 76.19 - 71.73	L 62-77	19-14	103.23	81.80	▼ 21.43	102.56	105.66	▼ 3.10	▼ 24.53
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

When facing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Fairfield often performs worse than normal. Fairfield is more efficient than usual 27% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 16.01. In their other contests, Fairfield performs better than the norm 64% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox