Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 E. Michigan 18-15 (0.545) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.554 (157^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.554 (131^st)	Record Quality: 0.036 (157^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 150.84 (146^th)
Pace: 71.54 (78^th)	Momentum: 1.72 (91^st)	Off. Momentum: -0.46 (227^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.19 (31^st)
Consistency: -9.83 (287^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.56 (295^th)	Away From Home: -2.46 (340^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.93 (187^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.88

32.63

74.20

80.50

43.75

26.02

31.60

23.98

33.77

30.50

61.96

14.31

18.10

9.24

32.33

29.79

37.89

1.94

RANK:

145^th

35^th

40^th

253^rd

162^nd

268^th

299^th

175^th

258^th

97^th

92^nd

19^th

38^th

20^th

259^th

163^rd

78^th

69^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.51

32.78

80.23

43.40

29.58

36.50

19.09

32.73

31.56

56.32

10.84

19.69

7.89

36.87

23.79

39.34

1.98

RANK:

189^th

308^th

92^nd

146^th

218^th

264^th

14^th

47^th

271^st

83^rd

176^th

347^th

259^th

245^th

17^th

289^th

233^rd

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, E. Michigan should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They have a record of 18-15 and are ranked 157th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 12 schools in the MAC (average ranking 168.1), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for E. Michigan this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 145th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. E. Michigan does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 20th nationally), and with a rating of 18.10, they're 38th in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. E. Michigan also does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 32.63 vs. AO, they are ranked 35th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-50 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 74.2% of their attempts.

E. Michigan is not quite as good on the defensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 189th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. E. Michigan gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 19.69 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (fifth from the bottom nationally). E. Michigan also commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 32.78 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #308 in the country in that category. If E. Michigan does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their willingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of steals. The team has a solid rating of 14.31 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 19th-best in college basketball.

On the road, E. Michigan performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 340th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs Vermont₁₄₇	W 77.27 - 73.69	W 70-50	1-0	105.99	94.05	▼ 11.94	107.27	77.92	▲ 29.35	▲ 17.41
Wed 11/18/2015	@ Oakland₈₀	L 76.50 - 88.98	L 81-91	1-1	103.24	98.10	▼ 5.14	114.10	105.42	▲ 8.68	▲ 3.54
Fri 11/20/2015	vs Siena Heights	---	W 79-34	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/23/2015	@ Michigan State₄	L 61.99 - 86.62	L 65-89	2-2	92.16	78.36	▼ 13.80	121.01	127.44	▼ 6.43	▼ 20.23
Wed 11/25/2015	vs Marygrove	---	W 108-64	3-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/28/2015	vs Madonna University	---	W 79-63	4-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/1/2015	@ Omaha₁₂₂	L 79.69 - 86.87	W 80-73	5-2	104.74	101.65	▼ 3.09	108.09	84.10	▲ 23.99	▲ 20.90
Sat 12/5/2015	@ Penn State₁₄₄	L 68.65 - 73.21	L 70-81	5-3	101.26	93.33	▼ 7.93	102.28	109.58	▼ 7.30	▼ 15.23
Tue 12/8/2015	vs Rochester (MI)	---	W 86-58	6-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/12/2015	@ Louisville₇	L 58.75 - 81.29	L 53-86	6-4	87.50	61.74	▼ 25.76	113.82	123.61	▼ 9.79	▼ 35.55
Mon 12/21/2015	@ Coppin State₃₃₀	W 81.56 - 71.56	W 73-62	7-4	114.45	115.67	▲ 1.22	95.45	93.72	▲ 1.73	▲ 2.95
Mon 12/28/2015	vs Detroit Mercy₁₈₁	W 85.44 - 79.28	W 88-73	8-4	109.45	104.87	▼ 4.58	106.91	92.53	▲ 14.38	▲ 9.80
Sat 1/2/2016	vs North Florida₁₅₄	W 84.69 - 80.73	L 77-82	8-5	111.85	115.54	▲ 3.69	112.57	129.07	▼ 16.50	▼ 12.81
Wed 1/6/2016	@ Cent. Michigan₁₅₅	L 74.15 - 78.39	W 99-80	9-5	108.67	142.65	▲ 33.98	109.20	110.85	▼ 1.65	▲ 32.33
Sat 1/9/2016	@ N. Illinois₁₇₃	L 70.47 - 73.10	L 63-80	9-6	101.27	93.22	▼ 8.05	100.17	112.83	▼ 12.66	▼ 20.71
Tue 1/12/2016	vs Buffalo₁₄₈	W 78.97 - 75.19	W 81-69	10-6	102.26	103.66	▲ 1.40	102.91	92.39	▲ 10.52	▲ 11.92
Sat 1/16/2016	vs Bowling Green₂₃₈	W 78.44 - 68.84	L 79-84	10-7	105.82	101.03	▼ 4.79	98.27	114.92	▼ 16.65	▼ 21.44
Tue 1/19/2016	@ Akron₉₈	L 69.06 - 78.43	L 88-92	10-8	101.04	121.49	▲ 20.45	108.68	127.08	▼ 18.40	▲ 2.05
Sat 1/23/2016	vs Ball State₁₇₈	W 72.75 - 67.31	L 87-88 (2OT)	10-9	101.96	97.08	▼ 4.88	100.04	102.92	▼ 2.88	▼ 7.76
Tue 1/26/2016	@ Kent State₁₈₃	L 73.22 - 75.62	L 58-73	10-10	105.68	82.63	▼ 23.05	103.65	98.53	▲ 5.12	▼ 17.93
Sat 1/30/2016	@ W. Michigan₁₉₁	L 72.49 - 74.41	L 86-94	10-11	104.95	121.23	▲ 16.28	101.55	122.42	▼ 20.87	▼ 4.59
Tue 2/2/2016	vs Miami (OH)₂₄₁	W 72.30 - 63.14	W 94-69	11-11	102.71	133.75	▲ 31.04	95.83	96.02	▼ 0.19	▲ 30.85
Sat 2/6/2016	@ Buffalo₁₄₈	L 74.63 - 79.44	L 70-80	11-12	102.26	98.81	▼ 3.45	102.91	103.75	▼ 0.84	▼ 4.29
Tue 2/9/2016	vs Cent. Michigan₁₅₅	W 78.22 - 74.30	W 71-56	12-12	108.67	106.92	▼ 1.75	109.20	88.16	▲ 21.04	▲ 19.29
Sat 2/13/2016	vs Kent State₁₈₃	W 77.35 - 71.68	W 75-70	13-12	105.68	110.72	▲ 5.04	103.65	107.40	▼ 3.75	▲ 1.29
Tue 2/16/2016	@ Ohio₁₃₆	L 74.81 - 80.79	L 64-86	13-13	105.21	98.00	▼ 7.21	107.86	130.98	▼ 23.12	▼ 30.33
Sat 2/20/2016	vs Toledo₁₁₉	W 76.17 - 75.52	W 91-85	14-13	102.98	130.91	▲ 27.93	108.14	126.11	▼ 17.97	▲ 9.96
Tue 2/23/2016	vs W. Michigan₁₉₁	W 76.60 - 70.35	W 73-62	15-13	104.95	106.17	▲ 1.22	101.55	86.25	▲ 15.30	▲ 16.52
Sat 2/27/2016	@ Ball State₁₇₈	L 68.73 - 71.17	L 79-115	15-14	101.96	95.45	▼ 6.51	100.04	131.41	▼ 31.37	▼ 37.88
Tue 3/1/2016	vs N. Illinois₁₇₃	W 74.61 - 69.17	W 75-71	16-14	101.27	97.08	▼ 4.19	100.17	97.58	▲ 2.59	▼ 1.60
Fri 3/4/2016	@ Toledo₁₁₉	L 72.01 - 79.73	W 79-75	17-14	102.98	111.14	▲ 8.16	108.14	99.82	▲ 8.32	▲ 16.48
Mon 3/7/2016	vs Toledo₁₁₉	W 76.17 - 75.52	W 69-60	18-14	102.98	94.27	▼ 8.71	108.14	87.42	▲ 20.72	▲ 12.01
Thu 3/10/2016	vs Akron₉₈ *	L 71.09 - 76.46	L 63-65	18-15	101.04	96.92	▼ 4.12	108.68	98.48	▲ 10.20	▲ 6.08
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	E. Michigan is typically better vs. teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. Against foes that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 59.71%, E. Michigan performs above their norm 92% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 29% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, E. Michigan often performs better than normal. E. Michigan is more efficient than usual 70% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 101.10. In their other contests, E. Michigan performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
	E. Michigan does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.57%, E. Michigan performs above average 70% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 22% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox