Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Cincinnati 23-11 (0.676) | American

All-Play Percentage: 0.843 (56^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.588 (99^th)	Record Quality: 0.264 (48^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 63.27 (57^th)
Pace: 61.58 (340^th)	Momentum: 2.14 (65^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.75 (50^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.61 (163^rd)
Consistency: -9.82 (251^st)	Res. Consistency: -13.56 (283^rd)	Away From Home: -0.56 (229^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.25 (86^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.12

28.70

67.28

82.85

45.94

25.18

34.49

28.81

37.44

28.86

64.40

12.91

17.28

9.56

30.39

34.77

34.83

1.96

RANK:

93^rd

180^th

243^rd

137^th

53^rd

267^th

165^th

77^th

81^st

150^th

32^nd

82^nd

73^rd

6^th

278^th

78^th

164^th

99^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.64

22.71

85.30

39.12

28.75

32.79

23.79

31.17

32.76

50.44

11.08

13.76

5.96

33.70

27.89

38.41

1.95

RANK:

18^th

12^th

306^th

27^th

213^th

82^nd

108^th

24^th

319^th

6^th

141^st

67^th

94^th

158^th

65^th

298^th

263^rd

ANALYSIS:
This website places Cincinnati in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. Ranked 56th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 23-11. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 150.2).

The Cincinnati defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 91 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and demonstrating a preference for a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the 12th-slowest pace in D1), the club is ranked 18th overall in defensive efficiency. Cincinnati will take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 31.2% of their mid-range jumpers (24th in the nation), 50.4% of their near-proximity chances (sixth), and 39.1% of their total shots from the field (27th). Cincinnati is also a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.71 vs. AO, they are currently rated 12th in the country in that category. If Cincinnati does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 85.30 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 46th-worst in college basketball.

Cincinnati is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 93rd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Cincinnati does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.6% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked sixth nationally). Cincinnati also has the potential to make you pay if you let them get close to the rim. The team is ranked 32nd in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 64.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	vs St. Francis (PA)₁₉₈	W 64.00 - 50.55	W 52-37	1-0	102.95	75.72	▼ 27.23	87.38	59.64	▲ 27.74	▲ 0.51
Wed 11/19/2014	vs Morehead State₁₄₀	W 65.43 - 54.93	W 69-61	2-0	101.89	103.91	▲ 2.02	91.26	96.48	▼ 5.22	▼ 3.20
Sun 11/23/2014	vs E. Illinois₂₄₀	W 65.95 - 50.56	W 54-49	3-0	105.00	80.11	▼ 24.89	85.77	77.21	▲ 8.56	▼ 16.33
Tue 11/25/2014	vs NC Central₁₂₈	W 59.60 - 51.29	W 59-50	4-0	100.77	110.49	▲ 9.72	92.14	99.12	▼ 6.98	▲ 2.74
Fri 11/28/2014	vs Mid Tennessee₁₇₀ *	W 60.85 - 52.45	W 69-51	5-0	102.86	120.37	▲ 17.51	88.83	84.91	▲ 3.92	▲ 21.43
Sat 11/29/2014	vs Ole Miss₄₆ *	L 63.42 - 64.24	L 54-66	5-1	99.74	83.05	▼ 16.69	101.37	110.17	▼ 8.80	▼ 25.49
Tue 12/2/2014	vs Stony Brook₁₄₇	W 63.92 - 53.43	W 78-52	6-1	101.73	134.81	▲ 33.08	89.92	73.18	▲ 16.74	▲ 49.82
Sat 12/13/2014	@ Nebraska₁₀₅	W 56.52 - 55.66	L 55-56 (2OT)	6-2	95.90	73.94	▼ 21.96	89.10	66.87	▲ 22.23	▲ 0.27
Wed 12/17/2014	vs San Diego State₃₇	W 53.90 - 52.38	W 71-62 (OT)	7-2	90.01	88.96	▼ 1.05	93.00	96.41	▼ 3.41	▼ 4.46
Sat 12/20/2014	vs VCU₃₂	W 62.24 - 61.19	L 47-68	7-3	95.92	72.50	▼ 23.42	99.54	115.70	▼ 16.16	▼ 39.58
Tue 12/23/2014	vs Wagner₃₁₂	W 74.07 - 52.56	W 72-48	8-3	112.66	110.55	▼ 2.11	85.64	77.79	▲ 7.85	▲ 5.74
Tue 12/30/2014	@ NC State₂₈	L 58.20 - 64.62	W 76-60	9-3	98.08	119.92	▲ 21.84	102.85	90.01	▲ 12.84	▲ 34.68
Sat 1/3/2015	vs SMU₂₅	W 59.53 - 58.95	W 56-50	10-3	96.13	97.03	▲ 0.90	100.93	89.18	▲ 11.75	▲ 12.65
Tue 1/6/2015	vs ECU₂₃₈	W 66.71 - 51.71	W 69-48	11-3	109.63	107.20	▼ 2.43	90.15	74.16	▲ 15.99	▲ 13.56
Sat 1/10/2015	@ UConn₇₆	L 56.89 - 58.35	L 56-62	11-4	98.68	91.86	▼ 6.82	95.75	95.44	▲ 0.31	▼ 6.51
Thu 1/15/2015	@ Memphis₉₁	L 60.32 - 60.41	L 50-63	11-5	99.31	82.97	▼ 16.34	93.81	103.81	▼ 10.00	▼ 26.34
Sat 1/17/2015	vs Temple₆₈	W 61.64 - 56.30	W 84-53	12-5	96.97	136.61	▲ 39.64	93.72	82.14	▲ 11.58	▲ 51.22
Wed 1/21/2015	vs Houston₂₁₂	W 67.29 - 52.94	W 67-54	13-5	107.17	123.03	▲ 15.86	89.52	94.97	▼ 5.45	▲ 10.41
Sun 1/25/2015	@ UCF₂₈₅	W 68.33 - 57.32	W 56-46	14-5	113.76	99.58	▼ 14.18	90.42	81.77	▲ 8.65	▼ 5.53
Thu 1/29/2015	vs UConn₇₆	W 60.28 - 54.90	W 70-58	15-5	98.68	109.93	▲ 11.25	95.75	96.52	▼ 0.77	▲ 10.48
Sun 2/1/2015	@ ECU₂₃₈	W 63.30 - 55.09	L 46-50	15-6	109.63	83.67	▼ 25.96	90.15	89.62	▲ 0.53	▼ 25.43
Thu 2/5/2015	@ SMU₂₅	L 56.09 - 62.45	W 62-54	16-6	96.13	108.06	▲ 11.93	100.93	90.13	▲ 10.80	▲ 22.73
Sat 2/7/2015	vs USF₂₇₇	W 68.23 - 51.07	W 63-58	17-6	108.59	102.03	▼ 6.56	86.79	96.19	▼ 9.40	▼ 15.96
Tue 2/10/2015	@ Temple₆₈	L 58.11 - 59.93	L 59-75	17-7	96.97	101.25	▲ 4.28	93.72	115.36	▼ 21.64	▼ 17.36
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Tulane₂₂₆	W 64.92 - 50.52	L 49-50	17-8	103.81	76.06	▼ 27.75	86.23	86.30	▼ 0.07	▼ 27.82
Wed 2/18/2015	vs Xavier₂₂	W 63.04 - 62.87	L 57-59	17-9	98.72	95.30	▼ 3.42	104.40	108.33	▼ 3.93	▼ 7.35
Sat 2/21/2015	@ Houston₂₁₂	W 63.78 - 56.45	W 63-53	18-9	107.17	107.97	▲ 0.80	89.52	83.47	▲ 6.05	▲ 6.85
Wed 2/25/2015	vs UCF₂₈₅	W 71.87 - 53.89	W 83-60	19-9	113.76	127.39	▲ 13.63	90.42	95.83	▼ 5.41	▲ 8.22
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Tulane₂₂₆	W 61.44 - 53.89	W 63-47	20-9	103.81	119.30	▲ 15.49	86.23	67.86	▲ 18.37	▲ 33.86
Wed 3/4/2015	@ Tulsa₉₈	W 57.63 - 57.25	W 56-47	21-9	96.68	106.67	▲ 9.99	90.86	82.48	▲ 8.38	▲ 18.37
Sun 3/8/2015	vs Memphis₉₁	W 63.90 - 56.89	W 77-65	22-9	99.31	121.17	▲ 21.86	93.81	99.58	▼ 5.77	▲ 16.09
Fri 3/13/2015	vs UConn₇₆ *	W 58.58 - 56.62	L 54-57	22-10	98.68	101.89	▲ 3.21	95.75	109.62	▼ 13.87	▼ 10.66
Thu 3/19/2015	vs Purdue₃₃ *	L 58.74 - 61.05	W 66-65 (OT)	23-10	95.97	95.16	▼ 0.81	100.02	93.65	▲ 6.37	▲ 5.56
Sat 3/21/2015	vs Kentucky₁ *	L 50.02 - 66.14	L 51-64	23-11	83.57	75.44	▼ 8.13	109.42	105.26	▲ 4.16	▼ 3.97
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Cincinnati does worse vs. clubs that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.06, Cincinnati performs above average 20% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 63% of the time.
	Cincinnati performs worse against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.87%, Cincinnati is more efficient than normal 27% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 61% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox