Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Chicago State 13-19 (0.406) | Independent

All-Play Percentage: 0.180 (296^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.398 (212^th)	Record Quality: -0.189 (281^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 306.76 (312^th)
Pace: 65.83 (310^th)	Momentum: 0.28 (161^st)	Off. Momentum: 3.46 (33^rd)	Def. Momentum: -3.19 (321^st)
Consistency: -7.88 (32^nd)	Res. Consistency: -11.63 (139^th)	Away From Home: 0.81 (83^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: 2.24 (5^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.32

29.25

70.51

84.72

40.42

29.88

30.82

19.09

32.12

35.74

52.89

15.13

15.84

5.58

35.27

22.54

42.19

1.93

RANK:

291^st

65^th

253^rd

213^th

331^st

241^st

330^th

293^rd

359^th

31^st

320^th

38^th

70^th

162^nd

236^th

291^st

21^st

43^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.38

28.13

83.38

47.28

30.13

33.88

19.14

41.59

34.11

62.32

12.13

13.26

6.25

36.14

22.96

40.90

1.95

RANK:

241^st

262^nd

74^th

331^st

110^th

162^nd

35^th

297^th

311^th

325^th

227^th

160^th

287^th

146^th

40^th

330^th

306^th

ANALYSIS:
Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, Chicago State should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. Their record this season is 13-19, and the club is ranked 296th overall (out of 362) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings.

Offense is not the strong suit when it comes to Chicago State. The team is ranked 291st in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Chicago State is a lousy shooting team, incapable of converting efficiently from anyplace on the floor and ranking in the bottom-50 in each of our four most noteworthy field goal shooting categories. They make just 30.8% of their three-pointers (ranking 330th nationally), 32.1% of their mid-range attempts (fourth from the bottom), 52.9% of their near-proximity chances (320th), and 40.4% of their total shots from the field (331st) vs. AO.

Chicago State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 108 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #241 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Chicago State allows opponents' field goal percentages to get far too high. The ball-club ranks #331 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 47.3% of their total attempts from the floor. Chicago State has also done a pretty poor job this season to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. The team is ranked 325th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 62.3% of their attempts from close-up. And with such little resistance, AO will merrily cut, slash, and drive right to the hoop as often as possible. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (40.9%) will be from short-distance. If Chicago State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their willingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of steals. The team has a solid rating of 15.13 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 38th-best in college basketball.

Chicago State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 32nd in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	@ Bowling Green₂₃₈	L 64.76 - 71.62	L 41-70	0-1	100.83	52.54	▼ 48.29	105.43	102.92	▲ 2.51	▼ 45.78
Thu 11/9/2023	vs Mercer₂₂₁	L 66.16 - 67.21	L 61-66	0-2	99.85	89.54	▼ 10.31	105.52	101.04	▲ 4.48	▼ 5.83
Sun 11/12/2023	@ S. Indiana₃₂₃	L 66.66 - 67.92	W 78-67	1-2	101.58	103.93	▲ 2.35	98.54	83.18	▲ 15.36	▲ 17.71
Tue 11/14/2023	vs CSU Northridge₂₃₇	L 70.04 - 70.68	L 64-74	1-3	97.67	92.85	▼ 4.82	102.71	111.22	▼ 8.51	▼ 13.33
Thu 11/16/2023	@ S. Illinois₁₀₉	L 58.34 - 72.88	L 55-71	1-4	95.52	86.38	▼ 9.14	112.46	107.30	▲ 5.16	▼ 3.98
Tue 11/21/2023	vs N. Colorado₁₉₃ *	L 69.08 - 74.81	L 77-78 (OT)	1-5	101.81	102.94	▲ 1.13	110.49	104.48	▲ 6.01	▲ 7.14
Wed 11/22/2023	vs Morgan State₃₄₆ *	W 74.69 - 68.41	W 84-83	2-5	108.37	107.35	▼ 1.02	99.11	102.47	▼ 3.36	▼ 4.38
Sat 11/25/2023	vs UT Martin₂₁₃	L 73.86 - 75.37	L 71-94	2-6	103.15	98.93	▼ 4.22	109.39	131.52	▼ 22.13	▼ 26.35
Tue 11/28/2023	@ Loyola-Chicago₉₅	L 58.04 - 74.71	L 53-62	2-7	89.89	87.02	▼ 2.87	108.86	102.64	▲ 6.22	▲ 3.35
Thu 11/30/2023	vs Delaware State₃₀₂	W 67.39 - 63.93	L 69-76	2-8	99.11	94.99	▼ 4.12	98.51	108.09	▼ 9.58	▼ 13.70
Sun 12/3/2023	vs Stetson₂₂₅	L 69.41 - 70.32	W 77-54	3-8	105.55	120.68	▲ 15.13	111.02	88.74	▲ 22.28	▲ 37.41
Sun 12/10/2023	vs St. Thomas₁₃₀	L 60.62 - 67.20	L 50-66	3-9	96.04	81.67	▼ 14.37	111.07	109.32	▲ 1.75	▼ 12.62
Wed 12/13/2023	@ Northwestern₄₇	L 55.91 - 76.48	W 75-73	4-9	92.12	114.48	▲ 22.36	118.87	108.07	▲ 10.80	▲ 33.16
Sat 12/16/2023	@ Valparaiso₃₀₅	L 67.23 - 70.16	W 63-62	5-9	103.56	104.15	▲ 0.59	102.86	98.69	▲ 4.17	▲ 4.76
Mon 12/18/2023	vs UT Rio Grande₃₃₃	W 73.90 - 66.01	W 78-68	6-9	104.88	102.58	▼ 2.30	97.58	92.64	▲ 4.94	▲ 2.64
Wed 12/20/2023	vs Bethune-Cookman₃₁₃	W 70.61 - 66.09	W 55-54	7-9	102.37	85.82	▼ 16.55	100.53	89.28	▲ 11.25	▼ 5.30
Fri 12/22/2023	@ Wisconsin₁₉	L 56.45 - 80.70	L 53-80	7-10	91.28	75.61	▼ 15.67	122.93	115.65	▲ 7.28	▼ 8.39
Wed 12/27/2023	@ Cal Baptist₂₁₁	L 60.03 - 67.90	L 62-74	7-11	98.28	102.54	▲ 4.26	105.31	114.92	▼ 9.61	▼ 5.35
Sat 12/30/2023	@ DePaul₃₁₂	L 68.11 - 70.36	L 58-70	7-12	105.33	102.54	▼ 2.79	104.04	120.81	▼ 16.77	▼ 19.56
Tue 1/2/2024	@ Kansas State₇₇	L 56.99 - 74.87	L 55-62	7-13	89.81	94.20	▲ 4.39	111.40	97.05	▲ 14.35	▲ 18.74
Wed 1/3/2024	@ Oklahoma State₁₁₃	L 60.51 - 75.06	L 53-72	7-14	95.73	79.59	▼ 16.14	111.60	103.92	▲ 7.68	▼ 8.46
Sun 1/7/2024	@ UTEP₁₈₈	L 61.27 - 70.45	L 69-74	7-15	93.50	98.37	▲ 4.87	101.43	98.83	▲ 2.60	▲ 7.47
Wed 1/10/2024	@ Fair. Dickinson₃₃₅	W 73.15 - 71.72	W 75-74	8-15	106.72	108.17	▲ 1.45	99.55	100.24	▼ 0.69	▲ 0.76
Mon 1/15/2024	@ Stetson₂₂₅	L 66.26 - 73.59	W 77-70	9-15	105.55	124.76	▲ 19.21	111.02	108.14	▲ 2.88	▲ 22.09
Fri 1/19/2024	vs East-West	---	W 131-55	10-15	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 1/21/2024	vs St Xavier	---	W 108-58	11-15	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 1/31/2024	@ Duquesne₉₉	L 57.67 - 73.78	L 60-65	11-16	91.83	90.77	▼ 1.06	110.96	94.48	▲ 16.48	▲ 15.42
Sat 2/10/2024	@ S. Carolina St.₃₁₅	L 66.95 - 68.79	L 55-78	11-17	102.33	93.06	▼ 9.27	99.39	126.68	▼ 27.29	▼ 36.56
Wed 2/14/2024	@ E. Kentucky₂₀₉	L 67.01 - 75.52	L 73-86	11-18	102.30	106.82	▲ 4.52	109.47	120.32	▼ 10.85	▼ 6.33
Mon 2/19/2024	vs Indiana Nw	---	W 93-70	12-18	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 3/23/2024	vs UC San Diego₁₂₇ *	L 63.55 - 73.91	W 77-75	13-18	98.77	114.93	▲ 16.16	115.03	114.94	▲ 0.09	▲ 16.25
Mon 3/25/2024	vs Fairfield₁₈₂ *	L 67.11 - 73.53	L 74-77	13-19	101.22	112.12	▲ 10.90	110.61	118.46	▼ 7.85	▲ 3.05
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Chicago State usually performs worse than average. Chicago State is more efficient than normal 24% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.69%. In all other contests, Chicago State performs better than average 83% of the time.
	Chicago State is typically worse vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.35, Chicago State performs above their norm 15% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 75% of the time.
	When facing teams that prefer the outside shot, Chicago State often performs better than normal. Chicago State is more efficient than usual 67% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.97. In their other contests, Chicago State performs better than the norm 18% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox