Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Cent. Michigan 16-16 (0.500) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.337 (233^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.469 (197^th)	Record Quality: -0.050 (202^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 213.06 (212^th)
Pace: 75.60 (8^th)	Momentum: -7.43 (350^th)	Off. Momentum: -4.38 (346^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.06 (310^th)
Consistency: -8.81 (168^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.35 (243^rd)	Away From Home: 0.46 (99^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.00 (169^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.83

26.25

78.59

85.47

41.43

42.91

35.83

19.90

38.16

22.67

54.90

10.21

16.14

6.57

50.20

23.28

26.52

2.24

RANK:

79^th

217^th

7^th

26^th

284^th

2^nd

144^th

295^th

92^nd

336^th

297^th

204^th

89^th

173^rd

3^rd

310^th

344^th

350^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.61

27.23

87.70

47.67

32.05

36.09

25.01

41.10

30.63

65.16

11.36

16.37

8.94

36.55

28.52

34.93

2.02

RANK:

342^nd

163^rd

347^th

314^th

281^st

218^th

237^th

333^rd

265^th

313^th

226^th

292^nd

332^nd

195^th

165^th

173^rd

176^th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Cent. Michigan should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They are ranked #233 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 16-16. They are also ranked by this site as the #10 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 175.6).

Cent. Michigan has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #79 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings and embracing a feverish pace (the eighth-fastest in D1), they will score about 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Cent. Michigan lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks third in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. When it comes to actually making their three-point attempts, the squad shoots a so-so 35.8% from beyond the arc vs. AO. Cent. Michigan is also deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 78.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked seventh nationally in free throw percentage.

Sadly for Cent. Michigan, the drop-off from offensive efficiency to defensive efficiency is massive. The team is ranked tenth from the bottom in defensive efficiency, allowing about 115 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Michigan allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked fifth from the bottom in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.70 vs. AO. Cent. Michigan also allows opposing teams far too many easy chances from the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four main defensive field goal shooting categories. They are exceptionally deficient defending inside the three-point line, allowing AO to make good on 41.1% of their mid-range jumpers (333rd in the nation), 65.2% of their near-proximity chances (313th), and 47.7% of their total shots from the field (314th). Cent. Michigan is lastly one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 8.9% of all second-chance opportunities (332nd nationally).

Cent. Michigan has been playing some of their worst basketball of the season as of late, and they're presently ranked second from the bottom in positive momentum because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs IU-Kokomo	---	W 117-53	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/14/2016	@ Tenn. Tech₂₅₃	L 81.67 - 83.73	W 86-74	2-0	109.73	120.02	▲ 10.29	107.55	97.78	▲ 9.77	▲ 20.06
Thu 11/17/2016	vs Marygrove	---	W 107-58	3-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/21/2016	vs Pepperdine₃₀₉ *	W 88.98 - 83.13	W 88-77	4-0	116.66	119.18	▲ 2.52	109.46	101.35	▲ 8.11	▲ 10.63
Tue 11/22/2016	vs St. Bonaventure₈₃ *	L 79.32 - 90.95	L 71-102	4-1	103.94	80.77	▼ 23.17	119.46	143.40	▼ 23.94	▼ 47.11
Wed 11/23/2016	vs Little Rock₂₃₄ *	W 77.46 - 77.32	L 79-91	4-2	108.69	101.28	▼ 7.41	108.71	116.67	▼ 7.96	▼ 15.37
Sat 11/26/2016	@ Green Bay₂₀₁	L 85.14 - 91.24	W 89-77	5-2	107.17	103.38	▼ 3.79	110.24	86.02	▲ 24.22	▲ 20.43
Tue 11/29/2016	vs William & Mary₁₄₂	L 88.94 - 92.03	W 91-81	6-2	112.14	119.87	▲ 7.73	120.63	110.54	▲ 10.09	▲ 17.82
Sat 12/3/2016	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₄₉	W 88.38 - 67.65	W 82-59	7-2	115.55	118.93	▲ 3.38	92.38	89.07	▲ 3.31	▲ 6.69
Tue 12/6/2016	vs Green Bay₂₀₁	W 88.83 - 87.77	W 107-97	8-2	107.17	117.62	▲ 10.45	110.24	110.51	▼ 0.27	▲ 10.18
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Illinois₆₇	L 70.99 - 88.24	L 73-92	8-3	98.38	99.36	▲ 0.98	116.98	117.50	▼ 0.52	▲ 0.46
Wed 12/21/2016	@ Montana State₂₄₀	L 85.29 - 88.07	W 106-103	9-3	113.69	131.48	▲ 17.79	112.50	123.39	▼ 10.89	▲ 6.90
Fri 12/30/2016	vs Chicago State₃₃₄	W 88.40 - 74.70	W 90-82	10-3	115.25	117.78	▲ 2.53	101.58	110.11	▼ 8.53	▼ 6.00
Tue 1/3/2017	@ E. Michigan₁₅₂	L 80.04 - 88.81	L 63-85	10-4	107.56	86.83	▼ 20.73	114.52	116.25	▼ 1.73	▼ 22.46
Sat 1/7/2017	@ N. Illinois₂₀₆	L 77.71 - 82.78	L 83-87	10-5	106.64	105.97	▼ 0.67	108.59	107.91	▲ 0.68	▲ 0.01
Tue 1/10/2017	vs Akron₁₁₁	L 81.74 - 87.06	L 85-89	10-6	108.65	116.37	▲ 7.72	120.26	126.01	▼ 5.75	▲ 1.97
Fri 1/13/2017	vs Toledo₁₄₅	L 81.77 - 84.88	W 96-88	11-6	107.78	118.04	▲ 10.26	116.66	112.11	▲ 4.55	▲ 14.81
Tue 1/17/2017	@ Ball State₁₇₅	L 82.28 - 90.15	L 83-98	11-7	107.86	106.11	▼ 1.75	113.72	121.16	▼ 7.44	▼ 9.19
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Miami (OH)₂₅₂	W 84.41 - 79.73	W 101-92	12-7	107.99	132.38	▲ 24.39	106.48	124.48	▼ 18.00	▲ 6.39
Tue 1/24/2017	vs Bowling Green₂₄₆	W 86.10 - 82.18	W 82-76	13-7	108.93	101.58	▼ 7.35	108.56	99.65	▲ 8.91	▲ 1.56
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Kent State₁₅₉	L 79.30 - 88.19	W 105-98 (OT)	14-7	107.09	110.01	▲ 2.92	114.33	106.99	▲ 7.34	▲ 10.26
Tue 1/31/2017	@ Buffalo₁₅₄	L 81.80 - 90.96	L 91-101	14-8	106.58	108.31	▲ 1.73	113.93	122.48	▼ 8.55	▼ 6.82
Fri 2/3/2017	vs W. Michigan₁₆₉	L 83.86 - 85.35	W 86-82	15-8	108.37	114.00	▲ 5.63	115.20	111.55	▲ 3.65	▲ 9.28
Tue 2/7/2017	@ Ohio₁₀₅	L 77.86 - 91.15	W 97-87	16-8	103.07	132.35	▲ 29.28	115.68	105.89	▲ 9.79	▲ 39.07
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Miami (OH)₂₅₂	L 80.91 - 83.06	L 76-81	16-9	107.99	99.65	▼ 8.34	106.48	100.32	▲ 6.16	▼ 2.18
Tue 2/14/2017	vs Buffalo₁₅₄	L 85.38 - 87.59	L 93-99	16-10	106.58	114.03	▲ 7.45	113.93	125.97	▼ 12.04	▼ 4.59
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Ball State₁₇₅	L 85.84 - 86.73	L 100-109 (OT)	16-11	107.86	104.06	▼ 3.80	113.72	117.69	▼ 3.97	▼ 7.77
Tue 2/21/2017	vs N. Illinois₂₀₆	W 81.12 - 79.59	L 66-89	16-12	106.64	93.24	▼ 13.40	108.59	127.59	▼ 19.00	▼ 32.40
Fri 2/24/2017	@ Toledo₁₄₅	L 78.37 - 88.06	L 66-87	16-13	107.78	87.93	▼ 19.85	116.66	107.93	▲ 8.73	▼ 11.12
Tue 2/28/2017	vs E. Michigan₁₅₂	L 83.51 - 85.48	L 81-109	16-14	107.56	71.12	▼ 36.44	114.52	154.39	▼ 39.87	▼ 76.31
Fri 3/3/2017	@ W. Michigan₁₆₉	L 80.40 - 88.65	L 80-88	16-15	108.37	100.88	▼ 7.49	115.20	111.12	▲ 4.08	▼ 3.41
Mon 3/6/2017	@ Kent State₁₅₉	L 79.30 - 88.19	L 106-116 (OT)	16-16	107.09	126.87	▲ 19.78	114.33	125.95	▼ 11.62	▲ 8.16
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field, Cent. Michigan often performs better than normal. Cent. Michigan is more efficient than usual 71% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.95%. In their other contests, Cent. Michigan performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
	Cent. Michigan does worse vs. clubs that allow more chances at the line. When playing squads that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.92, Cent. Michigan performs above average 33% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
	Cent. Michigan performs worse against squads that shoot the ball well from the field. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.23%, Cent. Michigan is more efficient than normal 42% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 82% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox