Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Cent. Conn. St. 20-11 (0.645) | Northeast

All-Play Percentage: 0.208 (287^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.191 (362^nd)	Record Quality: -0.041 (201^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 291.48 (297^th)
Pace: 67.32 (221^st)	Momentum: -0.38 (193^rd)	Off. Momentum: 0.84 (133^rd)	Def. Momentum: -1.23 (220^th)
Consistency: -8.20 (54^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.21 (112^th)	Away From Home: 1.98 (17^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.14 (326^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.99

25.30

70.60

84.03

42.63

29.82

31.83

23.13

35.70

31.08

58.15

11.97

4.85

35.49

27.52

36.98

1.99

RANK:

281^st

228^th

250^th

253^rd

257^th

243^rd

301^st

165^th

300^th

163^rd

160^th

151^st

242^nd

241^st

228^th

153^rd

146^th

135^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.49

24.96

87.36

45.89

30.04

37.32

22.29

39.80

35.03

57.10

11.12

16.31

7.39

34.38

25.51

40.10

1.94

RANK:

245^th

125^th

282^nd

270^th

107^th

340^th

164^th

227^th

332^nd

144^th

147^th

339^th

353^rd

73^rd

138^th

315^th

318^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite having a win percentage north of .500, Cent. Conn. St. is definitely a below-average ball-club in college hoops this year. Carrying a record of 20-11, they are currently rated #287 overall (out of 362) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the nine schools in the NEC (average ranking 313.1), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.191 (which ranks last nationally), Cent. Conn. St. has had one of the cushiest slates in all of college basketball.

Cent. Conn. St. is not one of the most productive teams on offense. Scoring fewer than 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are rated at #281 in offensive efficiency. Cent. Conn. St. has been below-average more times than not when shooting three-pointers this year. They are ranked 301st in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 31.8% of their attempts from long vs. AO.

Cent. Conn. St. doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 108 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #245 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Cent. Conn. St. is one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 7.4% of all second-chance opportunities (tenth from the bottom nationally), and with a rating of 16.31, they're 339th in potential points surrendered off of the offensive boards as well. Cent. Conn. St. also does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 340th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.3% of their attempts from afar.

When playing on the road, Cent. Conn. St. has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 17th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	@ URI₂₃₁	L 69.81 - 76.36	L 70-81	0-1	104.32	96.65	▼ 7.67	109.15	115.11	▼ 5.96	▼ 13.63
Fri 11/10/2023	@ Quinnipiac₁₇₆	L 68.77 - 78.25	L 70-74	0-2	100.86	95.87	▼ 4.99	110.19	99.89	▲ 10.30	▲ 5.31
Mon 11/13/2023	vs Framingham St	---	W 99-42	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/19/2023	vs Manhattan₃₃₄	W 73.97 - 64.98	L 63-67	1-3	105.67	88.77	▼ 16.90	97.93	99.64	▼ 1.71	▼ 18.61
Wed 11/22/2023	@ UMass₇₆	L 63.11 - 80.79	L 60-89	1-4	95.26	86.85	▼ 8.41	116.34	135.93	▼ 19.59	▼ 28.00
Wed 11/29/2023	@ Army₃₃₉	W 63.78 - 61.23	W 79-51	2-4	102.77	130.24	▲ 27.47	94.80	79.76	▲ 15.04	▲ 42.51
Sat 12/2/2023	vs Holy Cross₃₄₃	W 75.26 - 65.65	W 78-67	3-4	111.76	112.62	▲ 0.86	102.34	99.51	▲ 2.83	▲ 3.69
Tue 12/5/2023	@ Boston College₆₅	L 61.18 - 80.05	L 68-82	3-5	94.05	63.76	▼ 30.29	117.22	123.46	▼ 6.24	▼ 36.53
Sat 12/9/2023	@ Maine₂₅₁	L 62.36 - 67.60	L 56-69	3-6	97.32	84.89	▼ 12.43	100.25	98.93	▲ 1.32	▼ 11.11
Sat 12/16/2023	@ UMass Lowell₁₆₉	L 67.64 - 77.34	W 57-54	4-6	99.59	82.82	▼ 16.77	109.09	76.58	▲ 32.51	▲ 15.74
Tue 12/19/2023	vs Northeastern₂₄₂	W 70.12 - 69.47	L 74-79	4-7	103.62	110.44	▲ 6.82	108.07	125.97	▼ 17.90	▼ 11.08
Thu 12/21/2023	@ Fordham₁₉₄	L 65.03 - 73.36	W 82-80	5-7	96.71	119.68	▲ 22.97	103.95	110.14	▼ 6.19	▲ 16.78
Sat 12/30/2023	vs Elizabeth	---	W 99-38	6-7	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 1/4/2024	@ Stonehill₃₅₉	W 71.20 - 63.38	W 74-59	7-7	107.96	106.88	▼ 1.08	92.50	81.29	▲ 11.21	▲ 10.13
Sat 1/13/2024	@ St. Francis (PA)₃₅₅	W 70.67 - 64.83	W 75-61	8-7	109.29	119.81	▲ 10.52	95.93	92.78	▲ 3.15	▲ 13.67
Mon 1/15/2024	vs Merrimack₂₃₃	W 65.42 - 65.10	W 75-70	9-7	94.63	102.73	▲ 8.10	99.25	98.99	▲ 0.26	▲ 8.36
Fri 1/19/2024	vs Le Moyne₂₉₉	W 72.27 - 67.77	L 73-75	9-8	105.07	104.82	▼ 0.25	103.16	112.83	▼ 9.67	▼ 9.92
Sun 1/21/2024	@ Long Island₃₅₀	W 73.04 - 68.58	W 72-63	10-8	106.11	116.82	▲ 10.71	95.41	95.90	▼ 0.49	▲ 10.22
Thu 1/25/2024	@ Fair. Dickinson₃₃₅	W 75.47 - 73.05	W 76-60	11-8	107.40	118.16	▲ 10.76	99.66	87.94	▲ 11.72	▲ 22.48
Sat 1/27/2024	vs Wagner₃₀₈	W 64.51 - 60.06	W 69-68 (OT)	12-8	101.40	100.91	▼ 0.49	99.86	109.68	▼ 9.82	▼ 10.31
Thu 2/1/2024	vs St. Francis (PA)₃₅₅	W 73.92 - 61.77	W 63-62	13-8	109.29	94.39	▼ 14.90	95.93	99.41	▼ 3.48	▼ 18.38
Sat 2/3/2024	@ Merrimack₂₃₃	L 62.13 - 68.43	L 68-71	13-9	94.63	104.03	▲ 9.40	99.25	101.88	▼ 2.63	▲ 6.77
Thu 2/8/2024	vs Sacred Heart₂₉₂	W 74.11 - 70.04	W 77-70	14-9	104.83	101.52	▼ 3.31	104.55	97.13	▲ 7.42	▲ 4.11
Sat 2/10/2024	vs Fair. Dickinson₃₃₅	W 78.99 - 69.58	W 71-62	15-9	107.40	84.81	▼ 22.59	99.66	79.91	▲ 19.75	▼ 2.84
Thu 2/15/2024	@ Le Moyne₂₉₉	L 68.98 - 71.18	L 64-69 (OT)	15-10	105.07	102.54	▼ 2.53	103.16	94.24	▲ 8.92	▲ 6.39
Thu 2/22/2024	@ Wagner₃₀₈	L 61.46 - 63.07	W 73-72	16-10	101.40	105.35	▲ 3.95	99.86	100.32	▼ 0.46	▲ 3.49
Sat 2/24/2024	@ Sacred Heart₂₉₂	L 70.73 - 73.38	W 68-67	17-10	104.83	101.09	▼ 3.74	104.55	95.63	▲ 8.92	▲ 5.18
Thu 2/29/2024	vs Long Island₃₅₀	W 76.49 - 65.22	W 78-64	18-10	106.11	106.16	▲ 0.05	95.41	90.94	▲ 4.47	▲ 4.52
Sat 3/2/2024	vs Stonehill₃₅₉	W 74.51 - 60.14	W 79-67	19-10	107.96	122.05	▲ 14.09	92.50	97.62	▼ 5.12	▲ 8.97
Wed 3/6/2024	vs St. Francis (PA)₃₅₅	W 73.92 - 61.77	W 71-62	20-10	109.29	115.80	▲ 6.51	95.93	105.87	▼ 9.94	▼ 3.43
Sat 3/9/2024	vs Wagner₃₀₈	W 64.51 - 60.06	L 56-66	20-11	101.40	90.80	▼ 10.60	99.86	110.73	▼ 10.87	▼ 21.47
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Cent. Conn. St. performs better against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 69.01, Cent. Conn. St. is more efficient than normal 89% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 45% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, Cent. Conn. St. usually performs better than average. Cent. Conn. St. is more efficient than normal 89% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.44%. In all other contests, Cent. Conn. St. performs better than average 45% of the time.
	Cent. Conn. St. is typically better vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.04%, Cent. Conn. St. performs above their norm 79% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 40% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox