Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Cent. Conn. St. 10-22 (0.313) | Northeast

All-Play Percentage: 0.080 (334^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.210 (358^th)	Record Quality: -0.372 (342^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 332.03 (337^th)
Pace: 65.54 (316^th)	Momentum: -3.08 (305^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.45 (185^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.53 (334^th)
Consistency: -10.17 (301^st)	Res. Consistency: -10.01 (57^th)	Away From Home: -1.25 (258^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.27 (216^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.00

19.97

69.76

86.91

40.62

32.04

32.64

26.52

36.77

28.35

53.24

8.01

12.77

4.20

36.87

30.51

32.62

2.04

RANK:

315^th

354^th

260^th

73^rd

326^th

146^th

259^th

97^th

239^th

234^th

334^th

321^st

250^th

299^th

183^rd

122^nd

264^th

231^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.59

24.43

87.62

46.46

31.56

36.51

24.95

41.07

31.12

60.86

12.29

13.24

5.77

36.01

28.47

35.52

2.00

RANK:

341^st

144^th

310^th

315^th

216^th

311^th

236^th

314^th

249^th

248^th

295^th

123^rd

255^th

150^th

204^th

201^st

215^th

ANALYSIS:
Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, Cent. Conn. St. should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. Carrying a record of 10-22, they are currently rated #334 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the nine schools in the NEC (average ranking 320.7), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.210 (which ranks sixth from the bottom nationally), Cent. Conn. St. has had one of the cushiest slates in all of college basketball.

Cent. Conn. St. has one of the most inept defenses in the NCAA. Allowing about 112 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they're ranked way down at #341 in defensive efficiency. Cent. Conn. St. does a pretty inadequate job to provide chances for themselves to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked #321 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 8.01 vs. AO. Cent. Conn. St. also allows opponents' field goal percentages to get far too high. The ball-club ranks #315 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 46.5% of their total attempts from the floor.

Cent. Conn. St. doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 95 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #315 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Cent. Conn. St. does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 19.97 vs. AO, they are tenth from the bottom in the overall rankings for that category. Cent. Conn. St. also won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 334th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 53.2% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Moreover, they find themselves in the bottom-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting just 40.6% of their total attempts vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	@ UMass₁₇₆	L 62.37 - 75.37	L 67-94	0-1	93.54	79.59	▼ 13.95	107.98	123.42	▼ 15.44	▼ 29.39
Sun 11/13/2022	vs Quinnipiac₁₇₄	L 65.53 - 73.00	L 70-72	0-2	95.37	96.70	▲ 1.33	110.26	102.84	▲ 7.42	▲ 8.75
Tue 11/15/2022	@ St. John's₈₁	L 61.36 - 82.70	L 74-91	0-3	88.96	95.45	▲ 6.49	113.85	130.24	▼ 16.39	▼ 9.90
Sat 11/19/2022	vs Lafayette₂₇₇ *	L 58.67 - 62.74	L 50-55	0-4	95.58	80.32	▼ 15.26	101.92	88.71	▲ 13.21	▼ 2.05
Sun 11/20/2022	@ UMBC₂₂₁	L 65.35 - 75.47	L 76-78	0-5	101.56	118.93	▲ 17.37	112.05	114.42	▼ 2.37	▲ 15.00
Wed 11/23/2022	vs Maine₂₇₃	L 64.78 - 66.39	L 58-66	0-6	98.81	86.89	▼ 11.92	105.23	100.51	▲ 4.72	▼ 7.20
Sat 11/26/2022	@ Rutgers₄₀	L 50.95 - 73.82	L 49-83	0-7	81.04	72.91	▼ 8.13	111.35	118.72	▼ 7.37	▼ 15.50
Tue 11/29/2022	vs Brown₁₈₀	L 62.90 - 70.28	L 51-59	0-8	90.59	80.26	▼ 10.33	105.30	97.16	▲ 8.14	▼ 2.19
Sat 12/3/2022	@ Holy Cross₃₄₁	L 66.71 - 68.34	L 57-63	0-9	101.36	84.09	▼ 17.27	100.37	89.30	▲ 11.07	▼ 6.20
Fri 12/9/2022	vs Dartmouth₂₅₈	L 66.02 - 68.81	W 59-50	1-9	97.00	84.76	▼ 12.24	104.71	72.59	▲ 32.12	▲ 19.88
Sun 12/11/2022	@ Fordham₁₂₄	L 59.24 - 75.86	L 77-90	1-10	89.81	113.88	▲ 24.07	109.21	127.41	▼ 18.20	▲ 5.87
Fri 12/16/2022	@ Manhattan₃₀₅	L 63.47 - 68.90	W 78-67	2-10	99.60	120.18	▲ 20.58	103.07	99.51	▲ 3.56	▲ 24.14
Tue 12/20/2022	vs Army₂₅₆	L 67.55 - 70.32	L 55-66	2-11	99.50	85.30	▼ 14.20	108.14	104.77	▲ 3.37	▼ 10.83
Thu 12/22/2022	@ Saint Joe's₁₇₃	L 62.71 - 75.57	L 66-83	2-12	96.58	97.16	▲ 0.58	110.82	126.98	▼ 16.16	▼ 15.58
Thu 12/29/2022	@ St. Francis (PA)₃₂₈	L 68.69 - 72.06	L 72-80	2-13	105.98	96.60	▼ 9.38	107.03	107.59	▼ 0.56	▼ 9.94
Sat 12/31/2022	vs St. Francis (BKN)₃₅₃	W 66.84 - 61.04	W 74-52	3-13	101.64	99.13	▼ 2.51	96.61	74.31	▲ 22.30	▲ 19.79
Thu 1/5/2023	vs Long Island₃₆₃	W 76.72 - 63.16	W 78-59	4-13	107.26	113.87	▲ 6.61	92.18	95.45	▼ 3.27	▲ 3.34
Sat 1/7/2023	@ Stonehill₃₁₈	L 63.48 - 67.57	L 49-51	4-14	98.93	85.05	▼ 13.88	101.35	84.44	▲ 16.91	▲ 3.03
Sat 1/14/2023	vs Fair. Dickinson₂₅₀	L 70.78 - 73.58	L 80-88	4-15	103.75	118.00	▲ 14.25	111.88	137.39	▼ 25.51	▼ 11.26
Fri 1/20/2023	@ Wagner₃₀₂	L 57.80 - 62.84	L 50-72	4-16	96.77	79.20	▼ 17.57	100.79	104.44	▼ 3.65	▼ 21.22
Sun 1/22/2023	@ Long Island₃₆₃	W 73.89 - 65.91	W 58-42	5-16	107.26	92.33	▼ 14.93	92.18	62.51	▲ 29.67	▲ 14.74
Thu 1/26/2023	vs Merrimack₃₁₁	W 61.24 - 61.19	L 61-64	5-17	92.91	98.00	▲ 5.09	96.31	103.59	▼ 7.28	▼ 2.19
Sat 1/28/2023	vs St. Francis (PA)₃₂₈	W 71.36 - 69.40	W 88-74	6-17	105.98	124.47	▲ 18.49	107.03	110.83	▼ 3.80	▲ 14.69
Thu 2/2/2023	@ St. Francis (BKN)₃₅₃	W 64.24 - 63.62	L 48-53	6-18	101.64	78.19	▼ 23.45	96.61	83.14	▲ 13.47	▼ 9.98
Sat 2/4/2023	@ Sacred Heart₃₂₇	L 67.36 - 70.88	L 65-78	6-19	100.72	98.97	▼ 1.75	101.98	116.29	▼ 14.31	▼ 16.06
Wed 2/8/2023	@ Hartford₃₆₂	W 67.91 - 62.95	W 82-73	7-19	107.74	128.99	▲ 21.25	96.25	113.92	▼ 17.67	▲ 3.58
Sat 2/11/2023	@ Fair. Dickinson₂₅₀	L 68.08 - 76.38	W 77-73	8-19	103.75	116.93	▲ 13.18	111.88	105.35	▲ 6.53	▲ 19.71
Thu 2/16/2023	vs Wagner₃₀₂	L 60.26 - 60.39	W 58-57	9-19	96.77	93.08	▼ 3.69	100.79	93.94	▲ 6.85	▲ 3.16
Sat 2/18/2023	vs Stonehill₃₁₈	W 66.11 - 64.85	W 94-90 (3OT)	10-19	98.93	107.52	▲ 8.59	101.35	111.53	▼ 10.18	▼ 1.59
Thu 2/23/2023	@ Merrimack₃₁₁	L 58.65 - 63.79	L 54-70	10-20	92.91	75.69	▼ 17.22	96.31	111.79	▼ 15.48	▼ 32.70
Sat 2/25/2023	vs Sacred Heart₃₂₇	W 70.10 - 68.19	L 67-69	10-21	100.72	98.00	▼ 2.72	101.98	107.75	▼ 5.77	▼ 8.49
Wed 3/1/2023	@ St. Francis (PA)₃₂₈	L 68.69 - 72.06	L 69-83	10-22	105.98	103.52	▼ 2.46	107.03	123.76	▼ 16.73	▼ 19.19
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Cent. Conn. St. performs worse against squads that tend to get off more shots. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.45, Cent. Conn. St. is more efficient than normal 35% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 83% of the time.
	When playing teams that prefer the outside shot, Cent. Conn. St. usually performs better than average. Cent. Conn. St. is more efficient than normal 70% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02. In all other contests, Cent. Conn. St. performs better than average 25% of the time.
	Cent. Conn. St. is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.16, Cent. Conn. St. performs above their norm 30% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 64% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox