Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Cent. Arkansas 14-19 (0.424) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.173 (292^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.406 (272^nd)	Record Quality: -0.228 (286^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 269.35 (273^rd)
Pace: 70.87 (67^th)	Momentum: 1.63 (99^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.68 (59^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.05 (206^th)
Consistency: -8.87 (88^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.03 (224^th)	Away From Home: 0.05 (161^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.78 (151^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.05

24.23

72.53

82.96

41.28

33.91

35.36

23.17

31.13

25.87

58.12

11.51

12.24

3.99

40.88

27.93

31.19

2.10

RANK:

257^th

260^th

132^nd

187^th

292^nd

116^th

129^th

103^rd

333^rd

320^th

213^th

169^th

257^th

339^th

113^th

94^th

318^th

300^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

110.21

27.45

85.22

45.81

35.37

35.80

18.67

34.89

31.19

63.68

12.23

14.50

5.90

41.50

21.90

36.60

2.05

RANK:

301^st

235^th

245^th

246^th

300^th

248^th

73^rd

117^th

210^th

283^rd

228^th

256^th

155^th

290^th

61^st

176^th

123^rd

ANALYSIS:
Cent. Arkansas is not one of the better teams in Division I this year. They are ranked #292 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 14-19. Of the 13 schools in the Southland (average ranking 269.8), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference.

Cent. Arkansas does not provide much of a challenge on defense. They are ranked at #301 in efficiency on that end of the court and give up about 110 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Arkansas does not stand out in a positive manner when they're asked to defend in the paint. The team is ranked 283rd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 63.7% of their attempts from close-up.

Cent. Arkansas doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #257 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Cent. Arkansas does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 4.0% of all second-chance opportunities (339th nationally). Cent. Arkansas is also downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 333rd in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 31.1% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	@ Missouri₆₃	L 60.20 - 79.54	L 55-68	0-1	90.30	79.03	▼ 11.27	112.26	94.65	▲ 17.61	▲ 6.34
Thu 11/8/2018	vs Hendrix College	---	W 99-73	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/12/2018	vs University of the Ozarks	---	W 93-52	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/15/2018	@ Pittsburgh₉₉	L 63.08 - 79.69	L 71-97	2-2	91.56	95.93	▲ 4.37	109.75	118.63	▼ 8.88	▼ 4.51
Sun 11/18/2018	@ Troy₂₄₃	L 71.51 - 77.97	L 77-82	2-3	102.91	109.07	▲ 6.16	107.46	109.83	▼ 2.37	▲ 3.79
Sat 11/24/2018	@ Saint Louis₁₁₄	L 61.87 - 76.65	L 61-73	2-4	92.46	90.56	▼ 1.90	108.54	101.53	▲ 7.01	▲ 5.11
Wed 11/28/2018	vs Little Rock₂₁₅	L 75.63 - 77.03	W 78-65	3-4	100.18	101.50	▲ 1.32	106.83	90.33	▲ 16.50	▲ 17.82
Wed 12/5/2018	@ Louisville₁₉	L 60.28 - 87.30	L 41-86	3-5	89.29	74.69	▼ 14.60	121.73	130.20	▼ 8.47	▼ 23.07
Sat 12/8/2018	@ Little Rock₂₁₅	L 71.98 - 80.54	W 85-82	4-5	100.18	122.20	▲ 22.02	106.83	114.65	▼ 7.82	▲ 14.20
Sun 12/16/2018	@ New Mexico₂₀₁	L 74.21 - 83.73	L 70-82	4-6	101.93	98.27	▼ 3.66	109.09	117.79	▼ 8.70	▼ 12.36
Wed 12/19/2018	@ Indiana₄₉	L 61.37 - 83.26	L 53-86	4-7	90.02	72.37	▼ 17.65	116.49	121.83	▼ 5.34	▼ 22.99
Fri 12/21/2018	@ Oklahoma State₇₉	L 63.65 - 81.75	L 73-82	4-8	94.64	113.95	▲ 19.31	115.57	114.65	▲ 0.92	▲ 20.23
Sun 12/30/2018	vs Lyon	---	W 62-47	5-8	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 1/2/2019	@ Texas A&M-CC₂₅₆	L 65.94 - 71.19	L 75-87	5-9	98.54	93.04	▼ 5.50	100.54	106.47	▼ 5.93	▼ 11.43
Sat 1/5/2019	@ SE Louisiana₂₅₉	L 67.15 - 72.11	W 73-71	6-9	99.79	102.50	▲ 2.71	101.21	94.76	▲ 6.45	▲ 9.16
Wed 1/9/2019	vs Sam Houston₁₆₉	L 71.74 - 75.58	L 69-78	6-10	99.91	93.34	▼ 6.57	110.31	109.54	▲ 0.77	▼ 5.80
Sat 1/12/2019	vs Lamar₂₂₅	L 74.40 - 75.29	W 75-68	7-10	101.80	109.03	▲ 7.23	106.58	102.50	▲ 4.08	▲ 11.31
Wed 1/16/2019	@ Incarnate Word₃₄₀	W 76.00 - 72.53	W 77-60	8-10	112.79	123.02	▲ 10.23	102.67	82.57	▲ 20.10	▲ 30.33
Sat 1/19/2019	vs Nicholls₃₀₇	W 78.03 - 72.80	W 74-68	9-10	105.78	103.22	▼ 2.56	103.60	96.94	▲ 6.66	▲ 4.10
Wed 1/23/2019	vs New Orleans₂₆₈	W 72.49 - 70.34	W 76-71	10-10	99.50	101.61	▲ 2.11	101.23	99.76	▲ 1.47	▲ 3.58
Sat 1/26/2019	@ Abil. Christian₁₅₅	L 65.52 - 77.63	L 56-79	10-11	96.52	76.41	▼ 20.11	108.53	106.59	▲ 1.94	▼ 18.17
Wed 1/30/2019	@ Stephen F. Austin₂₉₇	L 72.54 - 74.89	L 99-105 (OT)	10-12	104.22	122.78	▲ 18.56	102.42	116.42	▼ 14.00	▲ 4.56
Sat 2/2/2019	vs Northwestern St.₃₄₁	W 78.32 - 67.22	L 75-80	10-13	105.51	96.19	▼ 9.32	95.50	107.76	▼ 12.26	▼ 21.58
Sat 2/9/2019	vs SE Louisiana₂₅₉	W 70.57 - 68.66	L 67-75	10-14	99.79	94.61	▼ 5.18	101.21	110.80	▼ 9.59	▼ 14.77
Wed 2/13/2019	vs Houston Baptist₂₇₄	W 81.71 - 79.08	L 71-75	10-15	106.49	87.38	▼ 19.11	106.51	98.34	▲ 8.17	▼ 10.94
Wed 2/20/2019	@ McNeese₃₂₅	W 74.45 - 73.29	L 75-83 (OT)	10-16	109.14	101.05	▼ 8.09	102.85	96.05	▲ 6.80	▼ 1.29
Sat 2/23/2019	@ Nicholls₃₀₇	L 74.45 - 76.47	L 57-100	10-17	105.78	68.50	▼ 37.28	103.60	131.50	▼ 27.90	▼ 65.18
Wed 2/27/2019	vs Stephen F. Austin₂₉₇	W 76.08 - 71.43	W 92-74	11-17	104.22	115.56	▲ 11.34	102.42	95.45	▲ 6.97	▲ 18.31
Sat 3/2/2019	vs Abil. Christian₁₅₅	L 68.98 - 74.13	L 55-67	11-18	96.52	77.19	▼ 19.33	108.53	104.01	▲ 4.52	▼ 14.81
Wed 3/6/2019	@ Sam Houston₁₆₉	L 68.26 - 79.16	W 91-87	12-18	99.91	138.32	▲ 38.41	110.31	129.32	▼ 19.01	▲ 19.40
Sat 3/9/2019	@ Northwestern St.₃₄₁	W 74.72 - 70.75	W 70-63	13-18	105.51	105.44	▼ 0.07	95.50	90.15	▲ 5.35	▲ 5.28
Wed 3/13/2019	vs Texas A&M-CC₂₅₆ *	L 67.64 - 69.50	W 73-53	14-18	98.54	109.84	▲ 11.30	100.54	88.33	▲ 12.21	▲ 23.51
Thu 3/14/2019	vs SE Louisiana₂₅₉ *	L 68.86 - 70.38	L 65-79	14-19	99.79	101.27	▲ 1.48	101.21	120.31	▼ 19.10	▼ 17.62
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Cent. Arkansas usually performs better than average. Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than normal 71% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.14. In all other contests, Cent. Arkansas performs better than average 22% of the time.
	Cent. Arkansas is typically worse vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.44, Cent. Arkansas performs above their norm 43% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 89% of the time.
	When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Cent. Arkansas often performs better than normal. Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than usual 77% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.80%. In their other contests, Cent. Arkansas performs better than the norm 41% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Bearkats go for sweep of SFA in regular season finale (3/7/2019 1:11:00 PM) Sam Houston State heads to Stephen F. Austin on Saturday looking to bounce back from a 91-87 upset loss to Central Arkansas. In addition to righting the ship ahead of next week’s Southland Conference Tournament, for which the Kats have secured a No. 1 ...
	BEARS' RALLY FALLS SHORT AGAIN IN 75-71 LOSS TO HUSKIES (2/14/2019 12:15:00 AM) CONWAY, Ark. _ Another second-half comeback fell short for the University of Central Arkansas Bears on Wednesday night in a 75-71 loss to the Houston Baptist Huskies at the Farris Center. The Bears, down by 16 points with 10:15 to play, tied the game at ...
	Dalton carries Houston Baptist over Cent. Arkansas 75-71 (2/13/2019 10:55:00 PM) Thatch Unruh had 22 points for the Bears (10-15 ... Baptist plays Nicholls State at home on Saturday. Central Arkansas plays McNeese State on the road next Wednesday. For more AP college basketball coverage: https://apnews.com/Collegebasketball and ...
	Kayouloud scores 18, Central Arkansas defeats Incarnate Word (1/16/2019 11:14:00 PM) SAN ANTONIO (AP) — Eddy Kayouloud scored 18 points, Central Arkansas built a 24-point second-half lead and the Bears defeated Incarnate Word 77-60 on Wednesday night. Central Arkansas led 51-46 with 12:39 left in the game before going on a 20-1 run over ...
	Lions return home to face Central Arkansas (1/5/2019 6:27:00 AM) HAMMOND -- The reigning Southland Conference champion Southeastern Louisiana men's basketball team returns home this afternoon at 4 p.m. when they host Central Arkansas at the University ... be fine in the long run." The Bears (5-9, 0-1 Southland) made ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox