Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Cent. Arkansas 18-17 (0.514) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.389 (215^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.390 (291^st)	Record Quality: -0.078 (208^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 205.26 (203^rd)
Pace: 74.33 (18^th)	Momentum: -2.91 (302^nd)	Off. Momentum: -2.18 (315^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.73 (180^th)
Consistency: -8.78 (145^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.19 (212^th)	Away From Home: 1.10 (37^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.55 (236^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.04

24.71

73.91

83.14

44.13

29.57

35.13

26.97

36.14

26.60

62.26

12.64

14.26

7.06

35.57

32.44

31.99

2.04

RANK:

162^nd

236^th

93^rd

115^th

172^nd

207^th

168^th

61^st

216^th

256^th

88^th

67^th

194^th

139^th

224^th

67^th

270^th

189^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.65

28.28

82.29

46.31

29.57

38.09

23.87

35.52

28.85

63.67

12.58

17.78

8.76

35.93

29.01

35.06

2.01

RANK:

249^th

264^th

182^nd

253^rd

118^th

307^th

239^th

97^th

179^th

277^th

304^th

337^th

321^st

111^th

238^th

168^th

208^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see Cent. Arkansas on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Their record this season is 18-17, and the club is ranked 215th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 13) in the Southland (average ranking 251.2).

Based on the data, Cent. Arkansas will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and utilizing a very up-tempo style of play (the 18th-fastest pace in D1), they currently occupy the #162 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Cent. Arkansas will shoot more mid-range jumpers than most teams. The club is ranked 67th in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those mid-range shots goes, the team shoots a mediocre 36.1% vs. AO. If Cent. Arkansas does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's penchant for allowing too many easy buckets off of giveaways. The squad has a rating of 12.58 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of steals, which ranks 48th-worst in the college game.

Cent. Arkansas doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 249th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 107 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Arkansas gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 17.78 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (337th nationally), and they let AO convert a healthy 8.8% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 321st) as well. Cent. Arkansas also does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 307th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.1% of their attempts from afar.

Cent. Arkansas has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 302nd in the country in positive momentum. On the road, Cent. Arkansas performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 37th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	@ Baylor₃₅	L 65.98 - 85.35	L 66-107	0-1	93.65	96.71	▲ 3.06	115.40	149.58	▼ 34.18	▼ 31.12
Sun 11/12/2017	vs University of the Ozarks	---	W 99-51	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/15/2017	@ UCLA₅₁	L 72.60 - 91.23	L 101-106 (OT)	1-2	97.46	104.65	▲ 7.19	117.36	101.34	▲ 16.02	▲ 23.21
Sun 11/19/2017	vs Alcorn State₃₄₀	W 86.50 - 70.15	W 102-76	2-2	113.92	130.54	▲ 16.62	96.81	91.33	▲ 5.48	▲ 22.10
Tue 11/21/2017	@ S. Carolina St.₃₄₁	W 86.45 - 75.55	W 73-64	3-2	114.63	93.30	▼ 21.33	96.28	76.95	▲ 19.33	▼ 2.00
Sat 11/25/2017	@ Tulsa₁₁₅	L 72.36 - 83.48	L 72-92	3-3	99.91	96.24	▼ 3.67	110.25	118.70	▼ 8.45	▼ 12.12
Mon 11/27/2017	vs Morehead State₃₀₂	W 82.67 - 72.93	W 82-78	4-3	108.50	107.06	▼ 1.44	100.02	107.67	▼ 7.65	▼ 9.09
Wed 11/29/2017	@ Little Rock₂₉₈	W 72.91 - 70.03	L 65-71	4-4	104.96	95.13	▼ 9.83	96.48	99.16	▼ 2.68	▼ 12.51
Mon 12/4/2017	@ San Francisco₁₄₀	L 69.95 - 78.54	L 76-78	4-5	97.65	106.38	▲ 8.73	105.00	101.73	▲ 3.27	▲ 12.00
Wed 12/6/2017	@ California₂₄₁	L 75.33 - 76.74	W 96-69	5-5	103.67	122.27	▲ 18.60	101.02	67.73	▲ 33.29	▲ 51.89
Sat 12/9/2017	vs Little Rock₂₉₈	W 76.10 - 67.11	W 69-54	6-5	104.96	88.40	▼ 16.56	96.48	75.24	▲ 21.24	▲ 4.68
Sun 12/17/2017	@ Morehead State₃₀₂	W 79.32 - 76.16	L 94-98 (OT)	6-6	108.50	98.57	▼ 9.93	100.02	94.03	▲ 5.99	▼ 3.94
Wed 12/20/2017	@ Oregon₇₃	L 69.76 - 85.13	L 82-96	6-7	98.16	116.98	▲ 18.82	114.76	134.50	▼ 19.74	▼ 0.92
Thu 12/28/2017	vs Texas A&M-CC₃₀₇	W 80.31 - 70.28	W 81-69	7-7	106.41	105.84	▼ 0.57	97.51	91.60	▲ 5.91	▲ 5.34
Sun 12/31/2017	vs SE Louisiana₁₉₉	W 76.37 - 74.16	L 69-73	7-8	102.92	88.52	▼ 14.40	104.27	99.60	▲ 4.67	▼ 9.73
Wed 1/3/2018	@ Sam Houston₂₁₈	L 74.38 - 77.49	L 76-82	7-9	103.67	103.60	▼ 0.07	103.62	107.06	▼ 3.44	▼ 3.51
Sat 1/6/2018	@ Lamar₂₁₆	L 74.67 - 77.78	W 100-91 (2OT)	8-9	102.98	108.94	▲ 5.96	102.68	102.99	▼ 0.31	▲ 5.65
Wed 1/10/2018	vs Incarnate Word₃₃₄	W 86.68 - 71.82	W 92-76	9-9	112.15	121.67	▲ 9.52	96.73	99.49	▼ 2.76	▲ 6.76
Sat 1/13/2018	@ Nicholls₁₈₇	L 80.45 - 86.10	L 79-86	9-10	103.17	104.87	▲ 1.70	105.83	107.99	▼ 2.16	▼ 0.46
Wed 1/17/2018	@ New Orleans₂₅₂	L 74.63 - 74.99	W 81-57	10-10	104.99	112.56	▲ 7.57	100.80	76.83	▲ 23.97	▲ 31.54
Sat 1/20/2018	vs Abil. Christian₂₆₈	W 80.05 - 72.90	L 63-80	10-11	105.01	88.21	▼ 16.80	99.62	117.89	▼ 18.27	▼ 35.07
Wed 1/24/2018	vs Stephen F. Austin₁₀₉	L 76.42 - 81.33	W 100-92	11-11	97.72	115.38	▲ 17.66	108.25	111.79	▼ 3.54	▲ 14.12
Sat 1/27/2018	@ Northwestern St.₃₄₅	W 82.39 - 70.10	W 95-78	12-11	110.41	120.94	▲ 10.53	90.05	92.47	▼ 2.42	▲ 8.11
Sat 2/3/2018	@ SE Louisiana₁₉₉	L 73.11 - 77.24	L 84-89	12-12	102.92	115.78	▲ 12.86	104.27	118.00	▼ 13.73	▼ 0.87
Wed 2/7/2018	@ Houston Baptist₃₁₆	W 85.55 - 80.95	W 100-80	13-12	110.42	124.80	▲ 14.38	100.38	88.01	▲ 12.37	▲ 26.75
Wed 2/14/2018	vs McNeese₃₀₀	W 84.41 - 75.06	L 72-76	13-13	109.48	88.87	▼ 20.61	101.62	98.47	▲ 3.15	▼ 17.46
Sat 2/17/2018	vs Nicholls₁₈₇	W 84.02 - 82.57	L 83-87	13-14	103.17	105.52	▲ 2.35	105.83	113.81	▼ 7.98	▼ 5.63
Wed 2/21/2018	@ Stephen F. Austin₁₀₉	L 73.00 - 84.69	L 62-97	13-15	97.72	77.68	▼ 20.04	108.25	119.04	▼ 10.79	▼ 30.83
Sat 2/24/2018	@ Abil. Christian₂₆₈	W 76.70 - 76.17	W 74-72	14-15	105.01	105.05	▲ 0.04	99.62	97.73	▲ 1.89	▲ 1.93
Wed 2/28/2018	vs Sam Houston₂₁₈	W 77.67 - 74.22	W 88-70	15-15	103.67	119.79	▲ 16.12	103.62	99.28	▲ 4.34	▲ 20.46
Sat 3/3/2018	vs Northwestern St.₃₄₅	W 85.81 - 67.01	W 61-58	16-15	110.41	90.15	▼ 20.26	90.05	90.15	▼ 0.10	▼ 20.36
Wed 3/7/2018	vs Lamar₂₁₆ *	W 76.33 - 76.20	W 67-57	17-15	102.98	103.08	▲ 0.10	102.68	87.69	▲ 14.99	▲ 15.09
Thu 3/8/2018	vs Stephen F. Austin₁₀₉ *	L 74.71 - 83.01	L 64-86	17-16	97.72	95.24	▼ 2.48	108.25	123.08	▼ 14.83	▼ 17.31
Wed 3/14/2018	@ Seattle₁₈₅	L 74.00 - 79.36	W 92-90 (OT)	18-16	103.03	107.67	▲ 4.64	105.60	103.14	▲ 2.46	▲ 7.10
Mon 3/19/2018	vs Jacksonville St.₁₄₂	L 72.43 - 74.63	L 59-80	18-17	96.31	75.86	▼ 20.45	103.29	114.97	▼ 11.68	▼ 32.13
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Cent. Arkansas performs worse against squads that shoot the ball well from the field. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.62%, Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than normal 17% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 64% of the time.
	When playing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Cent. Arkansas usually performs better than average. Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than normal 75% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.82%. In all other contests, Cent. Arkansas performs better than average 32% of the time.
	Cent. Arkansas is typically worse vs. teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint. Against foes that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 56.98%, Cent. Arkansas performs above their norm 25% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 67% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox