Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Cent. Arkansas 8-24 (0.250) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.117 (310^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.423 (247^th)	Record Quality: -0.344 (326^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 303.13 (308^th)
Pace: 73.58 (29^th)	Momentum: -1.98 (266^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.81 (100^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.79 (333^rd)
Consistency: -8.99 (184^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.07 (151^st)	Away From Home: -1.16 (265^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.81 (258^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.75

27.04

72.45

82.28

41.72

25.99

36.61

30.68

34.17

25.61

55.93

10.49

15.32

7.00

31.59

37.28

31.13

2.00

RANK:

227^th

189^th

110^th

147^th

272^nd

284^th

105^th

19^th

282^nd

285^th

270^th

186^th

126^th

129^th

295^th

20^th

295^th

160^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

112.35

24.62

86.32

46.49

38.66

39.07

20.87

37.52

26.80

64.19

10.89

14.80

7.14

44.78

24.17

31.04

2.14

RANK:

331^st

69^th

329^th

266^th

349^th

328^th

69^th

206^th

106^th

287^th

187^th

201^st

221^st

349^th

30^th

51^st

11^th

ANALYSIS:
Cent. Arkansas presently has one of the below-average teams in college basketball. Carrying a record of 8-24, they are currently rated #310 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 13 schools in the Southland (average ranking 265.5), they're currently ranked as our #11 team in the conference.

Cent. Arkansas has one of the most inept defenses in the NCAA. Allowing about 112 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they're ranked way down at #331 in defensive efficiency. Cent. Arkansas allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked 329th in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.32 vs. AO. Cent. Arkansas also does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 328th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 39.1% of their attempts from afar. And to expose that weakness, AO will gladly launch the three all day and all night. Of AO's total field goals, a large chunk of them (44.8%) will be from long-distance.

Even though the team ranks considerably higher in offensive efficiency, Cent. Arkansas isn't a powerhouse on that end of the floor either. Scoring roughly 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #227 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Cent. Arkansas has some difficulties converting mid-range shot attempts. The team is ranked 282nd in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 34.2% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	@ Wisconsin₂₁	L 56.41 - 85.90	L 47-79	0-1	84.69	77.73	▼ 6.96	122.22	123.27	▼ 1.05	▼ 8.01
Mon 11/14/2016	@ Oklahoma State₂₀	L 70.04 - 103.76	L 90-102	0-2	94.17	102.22	▲ 8.05	132.45	115.64	▲ 16.81	▲ 24.86
Sat 11/19/2016	vs Chattanooga₉₅ *	L 66.44 - 82.08	L 64-75	0-3	94.06	81.82	▼ 12.24	114.75	98.53	▲ 16.22	▲ 3.98
Sun 11/20/2016	@ Army₂₁₇	L 73.45 - 84.00	W 81-76	1-3	98.27	102.22	▲ 3.95	107.36	91.61	▲ 15.75	▲ 19.70
Sat 11/26/2016	@ W. Michigan₁₆₉	L 71.45 - 85.30	L 63-80	1-4	99.31	85.78	▼ 13.53	113.55	101.89	▲ 11.66	▼ 1.87
Tue 11/29/2016	vs Little Rock₂₃₄	L 70.21 - 72.60	L 87-89 (OT)	1-5	99.47	105.68	▲ 6.21	106.98	111.55	▼ 4.57	▲ 1.64
Thu 12/1/2016	@ SE Missouri St.₂₂₉	L 74.08 - 83.44	L 63-87	1-6	102.32	88.32	▼ 14.00	110.15	117.12	▼ 6.97	▼ 20.97
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Butler₂₅	L 62.44 - 92.10	L 58-82	1-7	90.64	85.82	▼ 4.82	126.86	121.12	▲ 5.74	▲ 0.92
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Little Rock₂₃₄	L 67.17 - 75.69	L 59-70	1-8	99.47	90.28	▼ 9.19	106.98	100.73	▲ 6.25	▼ 2.94
Tue 12/13/2016	@ Michigan₁₈	L 61.30 - 91.92	L 53-97	1-9	91.92	65.37	▼ 26.55	131.06	158.31	▼ 27.25	▼ 53.80
Fri 12/16/2016	vs Arkansas State₁₂₇	L 71.88 - 81.55	L 77-89	1-10	96.63	85.28	▼ 11.35	113.68	103.35	▲ 10.33	▼ 1.02
Mon 12/19/2016	@ Morehead State₂₀₄	L 74.57 - 85.69	L 85-111	1-11	103.67	105.07	▲ 1.40	113.98	134.40	▼ 20.42	▼ 19.02
Thu 12/22/2016	@ Arizona State₁₂₆	L 74.53 - 91.14	L 62-98	1-12	101.31	70.07	▼ 31.24	118.88	125.85	▼ 6.97	▼ 38.21
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Sam Houston₂₄₄	L 75.67 - 77.74	W 67-65	2-12	97.42	79.49	▼ 17.93	104.02	79.60	▲ 24.42	▲ 6.49
Mon 1/2/2017	vs Lamar₂₄₂	L 77.01 - 79.37	L 75-78	2-13	102.70	100.52	▼ 2.18	109.86	110.55	▼ 0.69	▼ 2.87
Thu 1/5/2017	@ Abil. Christian₃₀₃	L 72.82 - 76.52	W 81-76	3-13	103.24	107.41	▲ 4.17	103.88	96.49	▲ 7.39	▲ 11.56
Thu 1/12/2017	@ Houston Baptist₂₂₂	L 75.32 - 85.21	W 89-78	4-13	102.88	135.55	▲ 32.67	111.45	104.03	▲ 7.42	▲ 40.09
Sat 1/14/2017	@ Texas A&M-CC₁₈₉	L 71.21 - 83.65	L 81-88	4-14	98.41	98.73	▲ 0.32	110.27	103.81	▲ 6.46	▲ 6.78
Wed 1/18/2017	@ McNeese₃₁₈	L 77.07 - 79.21	L 72-82	4-15	105.07	108.37	▲ 3.30	103.54	124.35	▼ 20.81	▼ 17.51
Sat 1/21/2017	vs New Orleans₂₀₇	L 71.18 - 75.48	L 63-81	4-16	97.78	103.24	▲ 5.46	107.91	134.97	▼ 27.06	▼ 21.60
Wed 1/25/2017	@ Stephen F. Austin₂₅₉	L 69.55 - 76.91	L 76-78	4-17	98.41	110.79	▲ 12.38	104.16	106.12	▼ 1.96	▲ 10.42
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Incarnate Word₂₉₄	W 82.93 - 81.05	L 80-81	4-18	106.20	107.37	▲ 1.17	107.96	111.80	▼ 3.84	▼ 2.67
Thu 2/2/2017	vs Northwestern St.₃₀₆	W 84.00 - 81.04	W 107-97	5-18	107.09	127.41	▲ 20.32	107.34	119.50	▼ 12.16	▲ 8.16
Sat 2/4/2017	vs SE Louisiana₂₄₇	L 73.44 - 75.43	W 68-66	6-18	97.80	93.56	▼ 4.24	104.77	95.17	▲ 9.60	▲ 5.36
Thu 2/9/2017	vs Abil. Christian₃₀₃	W 75.99 - 73.48	W 84-73	7-18	103.24	112.85	▲ 9.61	103.88	103.60	▲ 0.28	▲ 9.89
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Nicholls₃₁₁	W 82.67 - 79.04	W 106-83	8-18	108.23	144.05	▲ 35.82	107.34	116.92	▼ 9.58	▲ 26.24
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Nicholls₃₁₁	L 79.38 - 82.37	L 89-96 (OT)	8-19	108.23	106.11	▼ 2.12	107.34	101.68	▲ 5.66	▲ 3.54
Sat 2/18/2017	@ New Orleans₂₀₇	L 68.05 - 78.61	L 61-84	8-20	97.78	83.25	▼ 14.53	107.91	118.47	▼ 10.56	▼ 25.09
Wed 2/22/2017	@ SE Louisiana₂₄₇	L 70.22 - 78.57	L 70-87	8-21	97.80	103.66	▲ 5.86	104.77	119.21	▼ 14.44	▼ 8.58
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Stephen F. Austin₂₅₉	L 72.72 - 73.77	L 85-90 (OT)	8-22	98.41	108.23	▲ 9.82	104.16	109.46	▼ 5.30	▲ 4.52
Sat 3/4/2017	@ Northwestern St.₃₀₆	L 80.62 - 84.36	L 83-97	8-23	107.09	112.88	▲ 5.79	107.34	127.12	▼ 19.78	▼ 13.99
Wed 3/8/2017	vs Sam Houston₂₄₄ *	L 74.01 - 79.38	L 69-77	8-24	97.42	95.71	▼ 1.71	104.02	110.14	▼ 6.12	▼ 7.83
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

When facing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Cent. Arkansas often performs better than normal. Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than usual 77% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.20%. In their other contests, Cent. Arkansas performs better than the norm 42% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox