Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Buffalo 15-17 (0.469) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.417 (212^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.499 (132^nd)	Record Quality: -0.041 (197^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 188.56 (186^th)
Pace: 72.02 (12^th)	Momentum: -3.83 (328^th)	Off. Momentum: -2.11 (327^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.72 (238^th)
Consistency: -10.40 (316^th)	Res. Consistency: -15.67 (343^rd)	Away From Home: -2.22 (334^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.94 (315^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.93

25.03

69.92

85.37

43.42

29.42

31.58

23.31

40.82

32.64

55.96

12.86

16.23

5.54

34.46

27.31

38.24

1.96

RANK:

209^th

188^th

252^nd

147^th

196^th

256^th

312^th

200^th

61^st

58^th

269^th

66^th

62^nd

138^th

264^th

208^th

64^th

72^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.14

28.24

82.62

45.30

28.31

35.12

22.73

39.24

31.59

58.78

10.28

14.08

5.68

34.26

27.51

38.23

1.96

RANK:

223^rd

301^st

96^th

257^th

74^th

251^st

143^rd

245^th

276^th

173^rd

142^nd

201^st

242^nd

91^st

162^nd

304^th

299^th

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, Buffalo is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Ranked 212th overall (out of 363) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 15-17. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 215.0).

Buffalo does not have a terribly exceptional defense this year. Rated at #223 in defensive efficiency, they allow around 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Buffalo has some difficulty staying out of foul trouble, leading to an excess of free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 28.24 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #301 in the country in that category.

Buffalo doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #209 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Buffalo has been below-average more times than not when shooting three-pointers this year. They are ranked 312th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 31.6% of their attempts from long vs. AO.

Buffalo has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 328th in the country in positive momentum. Buffalo has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 316th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. When playing on the road, Buffalo performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 334th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs Colgate₁₁₈	L 76.44 - 79.39	W 88-87	1-0	103.13	103.70	▲ 0.57	111.70	109.41	▲ 2.29	▲ 2.86
Sat 11/12/2022	vs JMU₉₈	L 73.05 - 78.30	L 62-97	1-1	95.50	61.63	▼ 33.87	107.17	112.77	▼ 5.60	▼ 39.47
Tue 11/15/2022	@ UConn₁	L 61.24 - 88.65	L 64-84	1-2	87.75	79.03	▼ 8.72	122.24	99.33	▲ 22.91	▲ 14.19
Fri 11/18/2022	vs Drake₆₇ *	L 66.70 - 78.45	L 72-80	1-3	92.59	98.63	▲ 6.04	109.92	111.11	▼ 1.19	▲ 4.85
Sat 11/19/2022	vs Howard₂₂₈ *	W 77.04 - 75.59	L 59-63	1-4	103.99	85.51	▼ 18.48	102.68	96.55	▲ 6.13	▼ 12.35
Mon 11/21/2022	vs George Mason₁₅₄ *	L 70.24 - 73.05	W 82-74	2-4	97.21	113.89	▲ 16.68	101.93	101.37	▲ 0.56	▲ 17.24
Sun 11/27/2022	vs Canisius₂₆₁	W 78.11 - 71.75	W 86-66	3-4	105.42	108.29	▲ 2.87	101.84	87.27	▲ 14.57	▲ 17.44
Sat 12/3/2022	vs St. Bonaventure₁₇₂	W 71.50 - 70.62	W 83-66	4-4	97.83	116.18	▲ 18.35	101.97	95.94	▲ 6.03	▲ 24.38
Tue 12/6/2022	vs SJFish	---	W 91-53	5-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/10/2022	vs Tulane₁₀₆ *	L 76.66 - 84.56	L 63-88	5-5	98.91	78.69	▼ 20.22	109.89	120.97	▼ 11.08	▼ 31.30
Sun 12/18/2022	@ West Virginia₁₈	L 66.85 - 86.85	L 78-96	5-6	93.45	103.47	▲ 10.02	117.30	126.57	▼ 9.27	▲ 0.75
Wed 12/21/2022	vs SUNY Canton	---	W 129-62	6-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/30/2022	@ Michigan State₃₃	L 63.86 - 81.23	L 68-89	6-7	93.21	92.91	▼ 0.30	113.95	120.72	▼ 6.77	▼ 7.07
Tue 1/3/2023	vs Ohio₁₃₆	L 77.13 - 78.84	W 75-72	7-7	103.25	95.40	▼ 7.85	111.02	97.68	▲ 13.34	▲ 5.49
Sat 1/7/2023	vs N. Illinois₂₅₁	W 77.78 - 71.82	W 80-62	8-7	103.03	117.05	▲ 14.02	100.03	90.71	▲ 9.32	▲ 23.34
Tue 1/10/2023	@ Miami (OH)₂₆₆	W 76.13 - 75.50	L 80-91	8-8	108.01	97.00	▼ 11.01	104.00	110.30	▼ 6.30	▼ 17.31
Sat 1/14/2023	@ Cent. Michigan₃₄₅	W 76.01 - 68.00	L 78-87 (OT)	8-9	105.57	91.18	▼ 14.39	91.51	91.02	▲ 0.49	▼ 13.90
Tue 1/17/2023	vs Bowling Green₂₈₂	W 82.47 - 74.75	W 100-71	9-9	108.22	130.31	▲ 22.09	103.08	92.77	▲ 10.31	▲ 32.40
Fri 1/20/2023	vs Toledo₈₈	L 79.39 - 85.68	L 77-86	9-10	104.35	104.94	▲ 0.59	117.73	119.81	▼ 2.08	▼ 1.49
Tue 1/24/2023	@ Ball State₁₆₁	L 73.68 - 78.92	W 91-65	10-10	103.59	127.40	▲ 23.81	107.55	85.30	▲ 22.25	▲ 46.06
Fri 1/27/2023	@ Kent State₇₆	L 66.25 - 80.04	L 68-74	10-11	92.30	81.49	▼ 10.81	107.59	94.05	▲ 13.54	▲ 2.73
Tue 1/31/2023	vs Akron₁₁₅	L 71.05 - 74.45	L 64-81	10-12	98.53	91.75	▼ 6.78	108.11	124.09	▼ 15.98	▼ 22.76
Sat 2/4/2023	@ W. Michigan₃₃₁	W 77.77 - 72.07	W 85-76	11-12	112.09	118.44	▲ 6.35	101.38	105.80	▼ 4.42	▲ 1.93
Tue 2/7/2023	vs E. Michigan₃₁₇	W 83.29 - 72.97	W 102-97	12-12	110.15	134.00	▲ 23.85	101.22	134.43	▼ 33.21	▼ 9.36
Fri 2/10/2023	vs Kent State₇₆	L 69.18 - 77.07	L 65-72	12-13	92.30	85.84	▼ 6.46	107.59	99.96	▲ 7.63	▲ 1.17
Tue 2/14/2023	@ Ohio₁₃₆	L 74.19 - 81.83	L 61-85	12-14	103.25	82.00	▼ 21.25	111.02	113.62	▼ 2.60	▼ 23.85
Sat 2/18/2023	@ Akron₁₁₅	L 68.21 - 77.35	L 66-86	12-15	98.53	94.80	▼ 3.73	108.11	123.00	▼ 14.89	▼ 18.62
Tue 2/21/2023	vs Cent. Michigan₃₄₅	W 78.96 - 65.08	W 63-35	13-15	105.57	104.52	▼ 1.05	91.51	33.11	▲ 58.40	▲ 57.35
Sat 2/25/2023	@ Toledo₈₈	L 76.40 - 88.79	L 71-101	13-16	104.35	87.19	▼ 17.16	117.73	140.59	▼ 22.86	▼ 40.02
Tue 2/28/2023	@ N. Illinois₂₅₁	W 74.81 - 74.67	W 85-75	14-16	103.03	122.00	▲ 18.97	100.03	103.71	▼ 3.68	▲ 15.29
Fri 3/3/2023	vs Miami (OH)₂₆₆	W 79.02 - 72.50	W 68-63	15-16	108.01	101.03	▼ 6.98	104.00	98.93	▲ 5.07	▼ 1.91
Thu 3/9/2023	vs Akron₁₁₅ *	L 69.63 - 75.90	L 77-101	15-17	98.53	81.36	▼ 17.17	108.11	132.20	▼ 24.09	▼ 41.26
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Buffalo usually performs worse than average. Buffalo is more efficient than normal 29% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.72%. In all other contests, Buffalo performs better than average 85% of the time.
	Buffalo is typically better vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.19, Buffalo performs above their norm 90% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 35% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Buffalo often performs better than normal. Buffalo is more efficient than usual 89% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.37%. In their other contests, Buffalo performs better than the norm 38% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox