Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Buffalo16-9 (0.640) | Mid-American
All-Play Percentage: 0.770 (83rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.495 (181st)
Record Quality: 0.156 (100th)
Avg. Season Rank: 88.86 (86th)
Pace: 73.94 (14th)
Momentum: -1.54 (246th)
Off. Momentum: -0.34 (225th)
Def. Momentum: -1.20 (223rd)
Consistency: -7.78 (52nd)
Res. Consistency: -12.98 (218th)
Away From Home: 0.61 (131st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.70 (169th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.59
74.08
26.52
69.13
85.57
38.18
44.62
25.70
8.89
34.59
20.03
6.23
31.12
39.84
23.06
57.88
14.28
21.87
9.41
30.04
23.40
46.56
1.83
RANK:
103rd
14th
107th
243rd
41st
71st
119th
323rd
294th
137th
267th
332nd
348th
1st
3rd
212th
39th
2nd
3rd
336th
299th
2nd
2nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
96.12
73.80
23.17
--
84.12
35.32
41.99
26.53
7.47
28.14
22.94
8.10
35.31
34.65
19.76
57.03
10.50
13.64
5.74
31.54
27.27
41.19
1.90
RANK:
99th
340th
114th
--
276th
150th
87th
29th
3rd
2nd
168th
102nd
73rd
349th
327th
110th
132nd
239th
272nd
19th
145th
347th
348th
ANALYSIS: This website places Buffalo in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. Carrying a record of 16-9, they are currently rated #83 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the MAC (average ranking 193.1), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.
Buffalo has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #99 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings and preferring a very up-tempo style of play (the 14th-fastest pace in D1), they will allow about 96 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Buffalo does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank second in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 28.1% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 31.5% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown. Buffalo also does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 39th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.28.
Buffalo plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 103rd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Buffalo appears to be one of the top-notch offensive rebounding teams you will find this year. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 21.87 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked second in the NCAA), and they convert 9.4% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked third) as well. Buffalo will also routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is second in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those near-proximity shots goes, the team shoots 57.9% vs. AO, which falls somewhere in the middle of the pack of the rankings in that category. If Buffalo does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to drain mid-range jumpers. The squad makes just 31.1% of their mid-range field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks tenth-worst in the nation.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Buffalo usually performs better than average. Buffalo is more efficient than normal 67% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.69. In all other contests, Buffalo performs better than average 17% of the time.
Buffalo is typically better vs. teams that convert well from outside the arc. Against foes that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.42%, Buffalo performs above their norm 67% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 17% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Buffalo often performs worse than normal. Buffalo is more efficient than usual 13% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.43. In their other contests, Buffalo performs better than the norm 56% of the time.
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