Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Buffalo 32-4 (0.889) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.935 (24^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.603 (88^th)	Record Quality: 0.485 (13^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 24.78 (24^th)
Pace: 72.98 (15^th)	Momentum: -1.27 (230^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.06 (211^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.21 (221^st)
Consistency: -6.93 (3^rd)	Res. Consistency: -10.10 (54^th)	Away From Home: -1.35 (296^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.42 (120^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.21

28.66

70.44

87.88

46.04

38.47

34.06

13.82

35.48

35.60

63.08

14.30

18.26

8.13

43.77

15.72

40.51

2.03

RANK:

24^th

69^th

191^st

20^th

78^th

19^th

197^th

339^th

191^st

23^rd

65^th

39^th

15^th

18^th

47^th

345^th

49^th

194^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.19

24.74

81.15

42.53

28.93

29.77

19.96

36.02

32.26

58.00

9.59

13.47

5.85

35.65

24.60

39.75

1.96

RANK:

37^th

112^th

79^th

99^th

46^th

8^th

135^th

174^th

253^rd

105^th

43^rd

162^nd

143^rd

69^th

164^th

291^st

296^th

ANALYSIS:
A top-25 caliber adversary, Buffalo will likely be a stiff test for any team in Division I. Ranked 24th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 32-4. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 132.3).

Buffalo will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 114 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and embracing a very up-tempo style of play (the 15th-fastest pace in D1), the squad is rated #24 in offensive efficiency. Buffalo appears to be one of the top-notch offensive rebounding teams you will find this year. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 18.26 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 15th in the NCAA), and they convert 8.1% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 18th) as well. Buffalo is also one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 20th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.88 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-100 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 46.0% of their total attempts vs. AO.

Buffalo plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 37th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 95 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Buffalo does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank eighth in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 29.8% of their attempts from afar. Buffalo also does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 39th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.30.

Buffalo is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked third in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs St. Francis (PA)₂₆₅	W 92.05 - 67.34	W 82-67	1-0	124.00	121.91	▼ 2.09	94.56	92.23	▲ 2.33	▲ 0.24
Fri 11/9/2018	@ West Virginia₁₀₃	W 82.20 - 76.19	W 99-94 (OT)	2-0	111.43	110.19	▼ 1.24	98.32	105.20	▼ 6.88	▼ 8.12
Mon 11/12/2018	@ S. Illinois₁₅₉	W 78.91 - 68.80	W 62-53	3-0	112.29	104.14	▼ 8.15	93.65	71.40	▲ 22.25	▲ 14.10
Wed 11/21/2018	vs Dartmouth₂₀₆	W 86.23 - 65.77	W 110-71	4-0	118.43	132.42	▲ 13.99	94.55	91.21	▲ 3.34	▲ 17.33
Sat 11/24/2018	vs Marist₂₈₂	W 86.21 - 61.77	W 76-49	5-0	120.68	104.40	▼ 16.28	90.76	72.37	▲ 18.39	▲ 2.11
Fri 11/30/2018	vs Milwaukee₂₇₇ *	W 85.55 - 64.14	W 96-77	6-0	118.95	128.99	▲ 10.04	89.21	98.57	▼ 9.36	▲ 0.68
Sat 12/1/2018	vs San Francisco₅₈ *	W 78.92 - 73.90	W 85-81	7-0	109.06	107.59	▼ 1.47	101.21	101.25	▼ 0.04	▼ 1.51
Wed 12/5/2018	vs Le Moyne	---	W 89-55	8-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/8/2018	@ St. Bonaventure₁₃₆	W 74.62 - 67.26	W 80-62	9-0	110.02	118.53	▲ 8.51	94.65	90.53	▲ 4.12	▲ 12.63
Sat 12/15/2018	vs S. Illinois₁₅₉	W 82.44 - 65.33	W 73-65	10-0	112.29	108.11	▼ 4.18	93.65	96.70	▼ 3.05	▼ 7.23
Tue 12/18/2018	@ Syracuse₄₃	L 73.93 - 75.27	W 71-59	11-0	104.98	105.39	▲ 0.41	101.57	83.01	▲ 18.56	▲ 18.97
Fri 12/21/2018	@ Marquette₄₄	L 77.04 - 78.25	L 85-103	11-1	108.56	118.86	▲ 10.30	104.28	134.53	▼ 30.25	▼ 19.95
Sat 12/29/2018	@ Canisius₂₅₇	W 86.11 - 69.09	W 87-72	12-1	120.51	122.79	▲ 2.28	92.38	96.36	▼ 3.98	▼ 1.70
Fri 1/4/2019	@ E. Michigan₁₆₇	W 75.79 - 65.31	W 74-58	13-1	113.28	109.05	▼ 4.23	92.55	71.70	▲ 20.85	▲ 16.62
Tue 1/8/2019	vs Toledo₆₇	W 81.35 - 71.49	W 110-80	14-1	109.00	136.97	▲ 27.97	100.34	102.10	▼ 1.76	▲ 26.21
Sat 1/12/2019	vs Miami (OH)₁₄₇	W 82.73 - 66.98	W 88-64	15-1	114.21	115.35	▲ 1.14	95.97	78.45	▲ 17.52	▲ 18.66
Tue 1/15/2019	@ W. Michigan₂₃₇	W 83.96 - 67.96	W 88-79	16-1	115.66	115.48	▼ 0.18	90.06	99.41	▼ 9.35	▼ 9.53
Fri 1/18/2019	vs E. Michigan₁₆₇	W 79.15 - 62.12	W 77-65	17-1	113.28	112.43	▼ 0.85	92.55	97.59	▼ 5.04	▼ 5.89
Tue 1/22/2019	@ N. Illinois₁₄₀	W 80.77 - 72.87	L 75-77	17-2	116.30	96.84	▼ 19.46	100.21	99.15	▲ 1.06	▼ 18.40
Fri 1/25/2019	@ Kent State₁₄₄	W 83.55 - 74.95	W 88-79	18-2	119.46	125.25	▲ 5.79	102.38	99.80	▲ 2.58	▲ 8.37
Tue 1/29/2019	vs Ball State₁₁₆	W 83.85 - 69.51	W 83-59	19-2	109.00	107.39	▼ 1.61	94.37	84.55	▲ 9.82	▲ 8.21
Fri 2/1/2019	@ Bowling Green₁₀₇	W 81.48 - 75.30	L 88-92	19-3	112.66	116.23	▲ 3.57	97.55	111.44	▼ 13.89	▼ 10.32
Sat 2/9/2019	vs Cent. Michigan₁₄₁	W 90.04 - 73.82	W 90-76	20-3	116.04	110.32	▼ 5.72	100.03	101.84	▼ 1.81	▼ 7.53
Tue 2/12/2019	@ Akron₁₁₈	W 74.15 - 67.43	W 76-70	21-3	105.02	102.50	▼ 2.52	90.46	89.61	▲ 0.85	▼ 1.67
Fri 2/15/2019	@ Toledo₆₇	W 77.77 - 75.22	W 88-82	22-3	109.00	113.54	▲ 4.54	100.34	107.44	▼ 7.10	▼ 2.56
Tue 2/19/2019	vs Ohio₁₈₀	W 84.88 - 65.67	W 114-67	23-3	113.01	143.50	▲ 30.49	91.02	80.50	▲ 10.52	▲ 41.01
Fri 2/22/2019	vs Kent State₁₄₄	W 87.06 - 71.38	W 80-57	24-3	119.46	112.45	▼ 7.01	102.38	91.02	▲ 11.36	▲ 4.35
Tue 2/26/2019	vs Akron₁₁₈	W 77.70 - 63.84	W 77-64	25-3	105.02	115.51	▲ 10.49	90.46	93.92	▼ 3.46	▲ 7.03
Fri 3/1/2019	@ Miami (OH)₁₄₇	W 79.24 - 70.49	W 77-69	26-3	114.21	110.95	▼ 3.26	95.97	92.02	▲ 3.95	▲ 0.69
Tue 3/5/2019	@ Ohio₁₈₀	W 81.27 - 69.13	W 82-79	27-3	113.01	114.06	▲ 1.05	91.02	100.77	▼ 9.75	▼ 8.70
Fri 3/8/2019	vs Bowling Green₁₀₇	W 85.11 - 71.69	W 84-73	28-3	112.66	115.40	▲ 2.74	97.55	95.74	▲ 1.81	▲ 4.55
Thu 3/14/2019	vs Akron₁₁₈ *	W 75.93 - 65.64	W 82-46	29-3	105.02	104.92	▼ 0.10	90.46	58.73	▲ 31.73	▲ 31.63
Fri 3/15/2019	vs Cent. Michigan₁₄₁ *	W 88.17 - 75.64	W 85-81	30-3	116.04	118.06	▲ 2.02	100.03	114.08	▼ 14.05	▼ 12.03
Sat 3/16/2019	vs Bowling Green₁₀₇ *	W 83.30 - 73.49	W 87-73	31-3	112.66	119.44	▲ 6.78	97.55	100.00	▼ 2.45	▲ 4.33
Fri 3/22/2019	vs Arizona State₆₆ *	W 81.61 - 75.35	W 91-74	32-3	108.27	130.23	▲ 21.96	99.15	96.06	▲ 3.09	▲ 25.05
Sun 3/24/2019	vs Texas Tech₅ *	L 67.29 - 76.89	L 58-78	32-4	94.62	67.01	▼ 27.61	107.04	119.23	▼ 12.19	▼ 39.80
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, Buffalo usually performs worse than average. Buffalo is more efficient than normal 21% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.61%. In all other contests, Buffalo performs better than average 62% of the time.
	Buffalo is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.73, Buffalo performs above their norm 58% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 18% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Buffalo often performs worse than normal. Buffalo is more efficient than usual 28% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.10%. In their other contests, Buffalo performs better than the norm 65% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Fast-Paced Buffalo Is Perfect Spoiler for Chalk-Filled 2019 Tourney (3/22/2019 10:04:00 PM) TULSA, Oklahoma ? If you're looking for a Cinderella story, Buffalo isn ... the 2019 men's NCAA basketball tournament?there wasn't any doubt it would be here. The Bulls received a "save ...
	Looking dangerous, No. 6 seed Buffalo breezes past ASU (3/22/2019 9:45:00 PM) which is going to filter through future Arizona State basketball teams.” The Sun Devils led 14-10 early, but then Buffalo reeled off a 14-2 run over a three-minute span. The Bulls outscored Arizona State 10-5 over another three-minute stretch to push ...
	CJ Massinburg NBA Draft: Projections & Mocks for Buffalo Guard (3/22/2019 7:04:00 PM) CJ Massinburg has seen his stock jump a bit through the 2018-19 college basketball season. In turn, this has culminated in the Buffalo Bulls star guard becoming a prospect to watch in the 2019 NBA ...
	Buffalo coach Oats to face ex-boss Hurley in first round (3/21/2019 7:37:00 PM) TULSA, Okla. (AP) — Buffalo coach Nate Oats has mixed feelings about facing his former boss. Oats’ sixth-seeded Bulls will face Arizona State and former Buffalo coach Bobby Hurley in an NCAA Tournament West Region matchup Friday. “Great friend ...
	Hurley and Oats: Friends and competitors, fueled Buffalo basketball’s rise (3/21/2019 4:37:00 PM) Danny White, then University at Buffalo athletic director, had a simple directive when he hired Bobby Hurley as men’s basketball coach in 2013: Make the team a winner. The Bulls had never been to the NCAA tournament before Hurley was hired. They were ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox