Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 Ball State 14-17 (0.452) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.190 (290^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.349 (261^st)	Record Quality: -0.128 (243^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 268.42 (272^nd)
Pace: 71.33 (39^th)	Momentum: -1.21 (233^rd)	Off. Momentum: -1.14 (262^nd)	Def. Momentum: -0.07 (151^st)
Consistency: -8.52 (101^st)	Res. Consistency: -12.20 (193^rd)	Away From Home: -1.90 (338^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.48 (234^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.94

28.52

69.38

78.00

42.32

32.13

34.66

20.04

40.80

25.83

53.04

11.21

14.15

4.61

41.19

25.70

33.11

2.08

RANK:

247^th

18^th

254^th

356^th

234^th

151^st

126^th

283^rd

56^th

301^st

318^th

167^th

117^th

207^th

82^nd

243^rd

230^th

279^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.42

25.50

84.82

45.56

34.80

37.01

23.88

43.69

26.14

58.65

13.17

15.46

5.78

41.03

28.16

30.81

2.10

RANK:

317^th

241^st

239^th

268^th

313^th

327^th

213^th

344^th

68^th

164^th

320^th

316^th

281^st

294^th

195^th

50^th

42^nd

ANALYSIS:
Ball State presently has one of the below-average teams in college basketball. Carrying a record of 14-17, they are currently rated #290 overall (out of 358) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the MAC (average ranking 229.2), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference.

Ball State will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 108 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #317 in defensive efficiency. Ball State performs really badly when attempting to stop opponents from making mid-range jumpers. The squad is ranked 344th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 43.7% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Ball State also does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 327th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.0% of their attempts from afar.

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Ball State still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 97 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #247 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Ball State happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked third from the bottom in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 78.00 vs. AO. Ball State also has some difficulty protecting the ball efficiently when in possession, which leads to some quick and easy baskets for the opposition. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 13.17, which ranks 320th in D1. If Ball State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 28.52 vs. AO, which ranks 18th in the country.

On the road, Ball State performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 338th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/9/2021	@ GA Southern₂₆₃	L 67.60 - 73.18	L 71-82	0-1	97.18	99.93	▲ 2.75	99.83	113.04	▼ 13.21	▼ 10.46
Sat 11/13/2021	vs Omaha₃₄₃	W 82.58 - 72.44	W 73-69	1-1	108.03	103.13	▼ 4.90	100.43	102.67	▼ 2.24	▼ 7.14
Thu 11/18/2021	vs FIU₂₇₅ *	L 71.72 - 72.92	L 60-73	1-2	100.04	84.11	▼ 15.93	101.33	102.33	▼ 1.00	▼ 16.93
Fri 11/19/2021	vs Weber State₁₉₀ *	L 72.74 - 79.58	L 74-85	1-3	98.49	97.10	▼ 1.39	107.74	111.53	▼ 3.79	▼ 5.18
Sun 11/21/2021	vs UMass₁₉₈ *	L 77.67 - 84.28	W 89-86	2-3	105.22	117.71	▲ 12.49	114.40	113.74	▲ 0.66	▲ 13.15
Sat 11/27/2021	vs Indiana State₁₈₅	L 73.28 - 76.96	W 97-75	3-3	96.18	125.02	▲ 28.84	106.32	91.73	▲ 14.59	▲ 43.43
Wed 12/1/2021	@ W. Illinois₂₂₈	L 73.41 - 82.30	L 80-93	3-4	99.10	108.47	▲ 9.37	105.97	126.91	▼ 20.94	▼ 11.57
Wed 12/8/2021	@ Xavier₄₂	L 63.33 - 86.91	L 50-96	3-5	89.34	57.39	▼ 31.95	115.86	112.14	▲ 3.72	▼ 28.23
Sun 12/12/2021	vs IU-Kokomo	---	W 85-58	4-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/18/2021	@ Illinois State₁₆₁	L 70.55 - 83.08	L 64-85	4-6	99.04	83.44	▼ 15.60	110.77	131.29	▼ 20.52	▼ 36.12
Tue 12/21/2021	vs E. Illinois₃₅₇	W 75.14 - 59.57	W 75-55	5-6	104.50	115.66	▲ 11.16	87.34	89.11	▼ 1.77	▲ 9.39
Sat 1/1/2022	vs Bowling Green₂₉₄	W 83.22 - 79.05	W 81-80	6-6	105.85	103.56	▼ 2.29	105.69	110.42	▼ 4.73	▼ 7.02
Tue 1/4/2022	vs Kent State₁₄₁	L 68.64 - 74.71	L 65-66	6-7	94.91	91.53	▼ 3.38	108.21	97.98	▲ 10.23	▲ 6.85
Sat 1/8/2022	@ E. Michigan₃₁₀	L 73.16 - 75.05	W 78-72	7-7	101.10	102.35	▲ 1.25	98.05	89.34	▲ 8.71	▲ 9.96
Tue 1/11/2022	@ Akron₁₄₂	L 63.47 - 76.24	L 74-84	7-8	96.46	109.53	▲ 13.07	109.05	113.99	▼ 4.94	▲ 8.13
Fri 1/14/2022	vs Buffalo₁₃₆	L 74.99 - 81.68	L 68-74	7-9	96.73	91.77	▼ 4.96	109.59	102.67	▲ 6.92	▲ 1.96
Tue 1/18/2022	@ Toledo₉₆	L 68.20 - 87.08	L 70-83	7-10	95.39	91.20	▼ 4.19	115.10	130.11	▼ 15.01	▼ 19.20
Tue 1/25/2022	vs Miami (OH)₂₅₉	W 77.93 - 76.38	W 81-64	8-10	105.42	122.72	▲ 17.30	108.23	101.06	▲ 7.17	▲ 24.47
Thu 1/27/2022	@ N. Illinois₃₀₄	L 69.06 - 71.75	W 74-67	9-10	98.31	104.04	▲ 5.73	96.62	87.87	▲ 8.75	▲ 14.48
Sat 1/29/2022	vs W. Michigan₃₃₇	W 76.02 - 67.89	W 83-72	10-10	107.32	117.62	▲ 10.30	100.85	110.13	▼ 9.28	▲ 1.02
Tue 2/1/2022	@ Ohio₁₁₀	L 65.60 - 81.54	L 63-87	10-11	93.78	69.91	▼ 23.87	109.38	112.58	▼ 3.20	▼ 27.07
Fri 2/4/2022	vs Toledo₉₆	L 71.96 - 83.14	W 93-83	11-11	95.39	121.33	▲ 25.94	115.10	114.46	▲ 0.64	▲ 26.58
Tue 2/8/2022	vs Cent. Michigan₃₃₁	W 78.53 - 70.78	L 85-89 (OT)	11-12	105.38	113.75	▲ 8.37	99.65	117.38	▼ 17.73	▼ 9.36
Sat 2/12/2022	@ Buffalo₁₃₆	L 71.12 - 85.67	L 74-80	11-13	96.73	95.17	▼ 1.56	109.59	94.89	▲ 14.70	▲ 13.14
Tue 2/15/2022	vs N. Illinois₃₀₄	W 72.76 - 68.08	L 58-64	11-14	98.31	79.02	▼ 19.29	96.62	90.34	▲ 6.28	▼ 13.01
Sat 2/19/2022	@ Bowling Green₂₉₄	L 79.28 - 83.11	W 91-82	12-14	105.85	109.73	▲ 3.88	105.69	93.80	▲ 11.89	▲ 15.77
Tue 2/22/2022	@ Kent State₁₄₁	L 65.03 - 78.47	L 82-93	12-15	94.91	112.26	▲ 17.35	108.21	123.00	▼ 14.79	▲ 2.56
Sat 2/26/2022	vs E. Michigan₃₁₀	W 76.97 - 71.22	W 75-64	13-15	101.10	110.76	▲ 9.66	98.05	98.86	▼ 0.81	▲ 8.85
Tue 3/1/2022	vs Akron₁₄₂	L 66.94 - 72.70	L 60-79	13-16	96.46	91.08	▼ 5.38	109.05	116.52	▼ 7.47	▼ 12.85
Fri 3/4/2022	@ W. Michigan₃₃₇	W 72.46 - 71.46	W 64-63	14-16	107.32	96.33	▼ 10.99	100.85	90.17	▲ 10.68	▼ 0.31
Thu 3/10/2022	vs Ohio₁₁₀ *	L 67.44 - 79.61	L 67-77	14-17	93.78	83.87	▼ 9.91	109.38	119.05	▼ 9.67	▼ 19.58
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, Ball State usually performs better than average. Ball State is more efficient than normal 77% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.64. In all other contests, Ball State performs better than average 23% of the time.
	Ball State is typically better vs. teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.86%, Ball State performs above their norm 72% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 25% of the time.
	When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Ball State often performs better than normal. Ball State is more efficient than usual 72% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.05%. In their other contests, Ball State performs better than the norm 25% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Sparks, Bumbalough carry Ball St. over Toledo 93-83 (2/4/2022 11:40:24 PM) MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) — Payton Sparks had 18 points as Ball State got past Toledo 93-83 on Friday night.
	Williams scores 20 to lead Buffalo over Ball St. 74-68 (1/14/2022 8:58:13 PM) MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) — Jeenathan Williams had 20 points as Buffalo topped Ball State 74-68 on Friday night.
	Sandage scores 33 to carry W. Illinois past Ball St. 93-80 (12/1/2021 11:57:53 PM) MACOMB, Ill. (AP) — Colton Sandage had a career-high 33 points as Western Illinois beat Ball State 93-80 on Wednesday night.
	McEwen scores 30 to carry Weber St. past Ball St. 85-74 (11/19/2021 9:28:45 PM) ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) — Koby McEwen had 30 points as Weber State got past Ball State 85-74 on Friday night.
	Brewer scores 25 to carry FIU over Ball St. 73-60 (11/18/2021 10:26:01 PM) ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) — Tevin Brewer had a career-high 25 points as Florida International beat Ball State 73-60 on Thursday night.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox