Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Ball State 18-13 (0.581) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.682 (113^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.464 (206^th)	Record Quality: 0.047 (153^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 103.85 (104^th)
Pace: 69.09 (210^th)	Momentum: 0.37 (159^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.54 (119^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.18 (206^th)
Consistency: -11.70 (352^nd)	Res. Consistency: -17.05 (350^th)	Away From Home: 0.46 (118^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.91 (181^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.27

23.92

69.16

80.64

42.22

38.15

33.09

14.63

34.16

27.86

58.96

11.65

12.11

3.51

47.31

18.14

34.55

2.13

RANK:

211^th

230^th

235^th

224^th

233^rd

17^th

196^th

345^th

302^nd

199^th

173^rd

130^th

210^th

324^th

8^th

344^th

177^th

320^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

92.37

22.68

82.85

40.97

27.25

31.34

23.41

35.62

32.19

53.01

10.41

12.88

4.55

32.89

28.26

38.86

1.94

RANK:

53^rd

71^st

217^th

66^th

45^th

68^th

219^th

110^th

315^th

29^th

113^th

171^st

120^th

37^th

210^th

310^th

324^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Ball State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 18-13, they are currently rated #113 overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the MAC (average ranking 166.6), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

Ball State has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #53 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings, they will allow about 92 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Ball State has done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 29th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.0% of their attempts from close-up. And to capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from the inside more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (38.9%) will be from short-distance. Ball State has also had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #66 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 41.0% of their total attempts from the floor.

Unfortunately, Ball State is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 211th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Ball State is one of the more deficient teams in the nation as it pertains to scoring off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 3.5% of all second-chance opportunities (324th nationally).

Ball State has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked second from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/5/2019	vs Defiance	---	W 87-43	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/9/2019	@ Evansville₂₆₃	W 67.86 - 61.35	L 75-79	1-1	101.01	96.20	▼ 4.81	86.35	98.83	▼ 12.48	▼ 17.29
Wed 11/13/2019	@ UIC₂₂₈	W 66.37 - 61.73	W 67-48	2-1	96.93	102.01	▲ 5.08	85.88	54.44	▲ 31.44	▲ 36.52
Sun 11/17/2019	vs Indiana State₁₃₀ *	W 65.36 - 64.09	W 69-55	3-1	96.89	106.50	▲ 9.61	95.06	84.89	▲ 10.17	▲ 19.78
Wed 11/20/2019	vs N. Kentucky₁₅₅	W 65.99 - 59.98	L 57-59	3-2	95.49	75.37	▼ 20.12	91.60	80.08	▲ 11.52	▼ 8.60
Sat 11/23/2019	vs Howard₃₄₈	W 83.75 - 56.25	W 100-69	4-2	115.50	170.05	▲ 54.55	82.52	87.45	▼ 4.93	▲ 49.62
Tue 11/26/2019	vs W. Illinois₃₂₄	W 80.22 - 61.59	L 62-69	4-3	109.20	81.05	▼ 28.15	88.73	96.33	▼ 7.60	▼ 35.75
Tue 12/3/2019	vs Loyola-Chicago₁₁₂	W 63.99 - 60.84	L 58-70	4-4	93.57	79.64	▼ 13.93	93.56	103.56	▼ 10.00	▼ 23.93
Sat 12/7/2019	vs IUPUI₃₃₅	W 80.92 - 60.20	W 102-54	5-4	110.22	130.89	▲ 20.67	86.97	73.60	▲ 13.37	▲ 34.04
Wed 12/18/2019	@ Georgia Tech₆₅	L 59.89 - 67.22	W 65-47	6-4	88.19	97.36	▲ 9.17	93.61	49.22	▲ 44.39	▲ 53.56
Sun 12/22/2019	vs Washington₄₆ *	L 61.12 - 67.70	L 64-85	6-5	87.39	93.55	▲ 6.16	96.32	123.81	▼ 27.49	▼ 21.33
Tue 12/24/2019	vs UTEP₁₈₇ *	W 64.45 - 59.56	L 70-71	6-6	94.08	96.89	▲ 2.81	87.23	99.65	▼ 12.42	▼ 9.61
Wed 12/25/2019	vs Portland₂₈₁ *	W 70.37 - 59.22	W 61-46	7-6	101.05	86.15	▼ 14.90	85.56	65.63	▲ 19.93	▲ 5.03
Fri 1/3/2020	vs Toledo₁₅₉	W 70.14 - 63.56	W 61-57	8-6	98.93	85.64	▼ 13.29	94.57	83.59	▲ 10.98	▼ 2.31
Tue 1/7/2020	vs Buffalo₁₅₀	W 74.26 - 67.84	W 88-68	9-6	96.78	117.41	▲ 20.63	92.89	93.75	▼ 0.86	▲ 19.77
Fri 1/10/2020	@ Akron₉₄	L 65.33 - 70.43	L 60-75	9-7	94.52	88.05	▼ 6.47	97.55	109.86	▼ 12.31	▼ 18.78
Tue 1/14/2020	@ E. Michigan₁₉₈	W 61.59 - 59.05	W 69-52	10-7	92.94	105.67	▲ 12.73	84.59	65.81	▲ 18.78	▲ 31.51
Sat 1/18/2020	vs Miami (OH)₂₁₉	W 71.18 - 60.97	W 71-62	11-7	101.85	112.07	▲ 10.22	92.36	102.45	▼ 10.09	▲ 0.13
Sat 1/25/2020	@ Cent. Michigan₂₀₃	W 73.55 - 70.31	L 66-71	11-8	101.46	79.04	▼ 22.42	92.67	86.03	▲ 6.64	▼ 15.78
Tue 1/28/2020	@ Bowling Green₁₇₂	W 67.94 - 67.60	L 61-67	11-9	99.15	87.17	▼ 11.98	93.87	91.92	▲ 1.95	▼ 10.03
Sat 2/1/2020	vs Ohio₁₄₇	W 68.46 - 62.64	W 65-54	12-9	97.58	91.75	▼ 5.83	94.22	78.92	▲ 15.30	▲ 9.47
Tue 2/4/2020	@ Kent State₁₁₅	L 65.56 - 68.96	W 62-54	13-9	97.95	93.57	▼ 4.38	97.73	77.55	▲ 20.18	▲ 15.80
Sat 2/8/2020	@ W. Michigan₂₄₉	W 68.20 - 62.25	L 64-68	13-10	101.32	100.53	▼ 0.79	88.65	105.49	▼ 16.84	▼ 17.63
Tue 2/11/2020	vs N. Illinois₁₈₀	W 64.36 - 57.17	W 63-59	14-10	94.69	94.48	▼ 0.21	89.06	93.22	▼ 4.16	▼ 4.37
Sat 2/15/2020	vs Bowling Green₁₇₂	W 71.33 - 64.10	L 71-77	14-11	99.15	80.36	▼ 18.79	93.87	114.95	▼ 21.08	▼ 39.87
Tue 2/18/2020	@ Buffalo₁₅₀	L 70.66 - 71.42	L 59-72	14-12	96.78	79.91	▼ 16.87	92.89	93.44	▼ 0.55	▼ 17.42
Sat 2/22/2020	vs E. Michigan₁₉₈	W 64.86 - 55.93	W 64-55	15-12	92.94	109.83	▲ 16.89	84.59	98.94	▼ 14.35	▲ 2.54
Tue 2/25/2020	vs W. Michigan₂₄₉	W 71.52 - 58.92	W 71-61	16-12	101.32	95.82	▼ 5.50	88.65	89.28	▼ 0.63	▼ 6.13
Sat 2/29/2020	@ Toledo₁₅₉	L 66.81 - 66.96	L 63-69	16-13	98.93	87.30	▼ 11.63	94.57	90.48	▲ 4.09	▼ 7.54
Tue 3/3/2020	vs Cent. Michigan₂₀₃	W 77.12 - 66.63	W 85-68	17-13	101.46	117.84	▲ 16.38	92.67	97.62	▼ 4.95	▲ 11.43
Fri 3/6/2020	@ N. Illinois₁₈₀	W 61.17 - 60.30	W 75-54	18-13	94.69	119.78	▲ 25.09	89.06	75.33	▲ 13.73	▲ 38.82
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Ball State usually performs worse than average. Ball State is more efficient than normal 22% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.69%. In all other contests, Ball State performs better than average 75% of the time.
	Ball State is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.30, Ball State performs above their norm 60% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 10% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Ball State often performs better than normal. Ball State is more efficient than usual 70% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.39%. In their other contests, Ball State performs better than the norm 30% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Silver Alert issued for 38-year-old missing from Camby (3/3/2020 11:14:00 PM) CAMBY, Ind. (WISH) — A 38-year-old man is missing, according to an Indiana Silver Alert. Charles W. Redenbaugh, 38, is missing from Camby. He is believed to be in danger and may require medical help, according to the Hendricks County Sheriff’s Office.
	Teague carries Ball St. over Cent. Michigan 85-68 (3/3/2020 10:00:00 PM) Teague carries Ball St. over Cent. Michigan 85-68 Tahjai Teague scored 16 points and grabbed 10 rebounds and Ball State beat Central Michigan 85-68 Check out this story on delawareonline.com: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/2020/03/03/teague ...
	El-Amin scores 21 to lift Ball State past W. Michigan 71-61 (2/25/2020 10:19:00 PM) Get real-time COLLEGEBASKETBALL basketball coverage and scores as Western Michigan Broncos takes on Ball State Cardinals. We bring you the latest game previews, live stats, and recaps on CBSSports.com
	Buffalo tops Ball St. 72-59 (2/19/2020 7:03:00 PM) BUFFALO, N.Y. (AP) — Josh Mballa scored 16 points, grabbed 15 rebounds and blocked three shots and Buffalo beat Ball State 72-59 on Tuesday night to win its third straight. Jayvon Graves scored 16 with 10 rebounds for the Bulls (17-9, 8-5 Mid-American ...
	Turner scores 33 to carry Bowling Green past Ball St. 77-71 (2/15/2020 3:40:00 PM) MUNCIE, Ind. — Justin Turner had a season-high 33 points as Bowling Green defeated Ball St. 77-71 on Saturday. Turner, who was a point shy of his career high, shot 10 of 19 from the field and made 11 of 13 free throws.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox