Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Ball State 7-23 (0.233) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.271 (256^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.558 (116^th)	Record Quality: -0.240 (298^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 238.32 (239^th)
Pace: 65.17 (194^th)	Momentum: -1.80 (265^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.70 (263^rd)	Def. Momentum: -1.10 (200^th)
Consistency: -11.36 (340^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.07 (141^st)	Away From Home: 1.65 (28^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 1.30 (18^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.19

26.68

67.62

80.00

41.32

33.28

33.17

22.59

34.88

24.13

58.58

9.79

14.35

5.61

41.60

28.24

30.16

2.11

RANK:

261^st

260^th

232^nd

259^th

252^nd

33^rd

232^nd

269^th

190^th

326^th

169^th

269^th

223^rd

271^st

25^th

257^th

316^th

339^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.74

30.34

79.37

46.59

25.60

35.30

25.17

36.70

28.60

65.40

14.60

11.51

6.46

32.25

31.71

36.04

1.96

RANK:

221^st

229^th

75^th

311^th

77^th

214^th

163^rd

223^rd

176^th

333^rd

339^th

5^th

142^nd

107^th

210^th

217^th

245^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see Ball State on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Ranked 256th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 7-23. They are also ranked by this site as the worst team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 147.5).

Ball State is not one of the better offensive teams you will find. They are rated #261 in efficiency on that end of the court and only score about 95 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Ball State tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 14.60, which ranks 339th in D1.

Ball State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #221 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Ball State fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked 333rd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 65.4% of their attempts from close-up. Ball State also allows opponents' field goal percentages to get far too high. The ball-club ranks #311 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 46.6% of their total attempts from the floor. If Ball State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success stopping opponents from earning second-chance opportunities via offensive boards. The team has a rating of 11.51 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks fifth-best in college hoops.

Ball State has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 340th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, Ball State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 28th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ Utah₈	L 48.53 - 74.60	L 72-90	0-1	81.85	108.20	▲ 26.35	118.14	129.73	▼ 11.59	▲ 14.76
Mon 11/17/2014	vs IU-Kokomo	---	W 101-62	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/22/2014	@ IUPUI₂₅₂	L 59.54 - 63.47	L 69-71 (OT)	1-2	94.93	94.02	▼ 0.91	95.65	86.73	▲ 8.92	▲ 8.01
Mon 11/24/2014	vs Grambling₃₅₁	W 74.58 - 49.34	W 88-46	2-2	111.64	123.56	▲ 11.92	78.66	66.24	▲ 12.42	▲ 24.34
Wed 12/3/2014	@ E. Illinois₂₄₀	L 60.25 - 64.92	L 54-61	2-3	96.07	81.76	▼ 14.31	97.62	89.45	▲ 8.17	▼ 6.14
Sat 12/6/2014	vs Indiana State₁₆₉	L 65.04 - 66.00	W 70-63	3-3	93.91	101.51	▲ 7.60	101.22	95.62	▲ 5.60	▲ 13.20
Sat 12/13/2014	@ Valparaiso₆₃	L 54.42 - 70.88	L 62-65	3-4	88.53	98.36	▲ 9.83	108.50	97.03	▲ 11.47	▲ 21.30
Wed 12/17/2014	vs JMU₂₀₅	W 66.90 - 65.85	L 52-72	3-5	100.27	71.57	▼ 28.70	104.24	119.04	▼ 14.80	▼ 43.50
Sat 12/20/2014	@ San Diego State₃₇	L 48.13 - 66.35	L 57-70	3-6	81.05	79.78	▼ 1.27	104.67	95.56	▲ 9.11	▲ 7.84
Sun 12/28/2014	vs Longwood₃₁₇	W 70.62 - 62.00	W 69-64	4-6	102.23	92.86	▼ 9.37	95.40	91.86	▲ 3.54	▼ 5.83
Sat 1/3/2015	vs Bethune-Cookman₃₂₇	W 64.28 - 54.43	W 51-48	5-6	100.97	79.29	▼ 21.68	90.70	80.39	▲ 10.31	▼ 11.37
Wed 1/7/2015	@ E. Michigan₁₄₄	L 58.37 - 68.95	W 60-59 (OT)	6-6	90.59	82.34	▼ 8.25	100.74	76.39	▲ 24.35	▲ 16.10
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Cent. Michigan₈₆	L 65.60 - 72.29	W 83-65	7-6	98.75	123.26	▲ 24.51	115.12	102.97	▲ 12.15	▲ 36.66
Wed 1/14/2015	@ W. Michigan₁₅₆	L 62.95 - 72.58	L 93-95 (2OT)	7-7	99.21	114.74	▲ 15.53	107.78	108.79	▼ 1.01	▲ 14.52
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Bowling Green₁₀₉	L 57.62 - 70.22	L 46-58	7-8	92.55	77.55	▼ 15.00	106.22	93.75	▲ 12.47	▼ 2.53
Wed 1/21/2015	vs Ohio₂₂₀	W 67.85 - 66.04	L 73-82	7-9	98.60	104.72	▲ 6.12	101.54	127.21	▼ 25.67	▼ 19.55
Sat 1/24/2015	vs Kent State₁₂₉	L 60.88 - 64.69	L 52-63	7-10	94.58	81.77	▼ 12.81	106.07	108.14	▼ 2.07	▼ 14.88
Tue 1/27/2015	@ Akron₁₀₄	L 57.67 - 70.66	L 47-59	7-11	92.10	77.55	▼ 14.55	106.40	97.03	▲ 9.37	▼ 5.18
Sat 1/31/2015	@ Miami (OH)₂₁₇	L 62.43 - 68.44	L 73-79	7-12	98.67	118.84	▲ 20.17	101.75	124.45	▼ 22.70	▼ 2.53
Wed 2/4/2015	vs Buffalo₆₅	L 64.52 - 73.87	L 78-82	7-13	91.57	103.88	▲ 12.31	110.72	113.78	▼ 3.06	▲ 9.25
Sat 2/7/2015	vs Toledo₇₇	L 64.82 - 72.94	L 61-72	7-14	93.92	79.12	▼ 14.80	111.66	102.97	▲ 8.69	▼ 6.11
Tue 2/10/2015	@ N. Illinois₂₀₇	L 59.65 - 65.78	L 63-75	7-15	96.89	106.41	▲ 9.52	100.81	121.31	▼ 20.50	▼ 10.98
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Bowling Green₁₀₉	L 61.29 - 66.43	L 65-79	7-16	92.55	84.07	▼ 8.48	106.22	130.75	▼ 24.53	▼ 33.01
Wed 2/18/2015	@ Kent State₁₂₉	L 57.31 - 68.23	L 53-58	7-17	94.58	95.70	▲ 1.12	106.07	100.60	▲ 5.47	▲ 6.59
Sat 2/21/2015	@ Cent. Michigan₈₆	L 61.91 - 76.13	L 60-83	7-18	98.75	106.96	▲ 8.21	115.12	142.12	▼ 27.00	▼ 18.79
Tue 2/24/2015	vs W. Michigan₁₅₆	L 66.69 - 68.73	L 48-53	7-19	99.21	79.79	▼ 19.42	107.78	94.35	▲ 13.43	▼ 5.99
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Toledo₇₇	L 61.00 - 76.95	L 59-70	7-20	93.92	87.82	▼ 6.10	111.66	100.06	▲ 11.60	▲ 5.50
Tue 3/3/2015	vs E. Michigan₁₄₄	L 62.16 - 65.06	L 60-67	7-21	90.59	87.94	▼ 2.65	100.74	104.49	▼ 3.75	▼ 6.40
Fri 3/6/2015	vs N. Illinois₂₀₇	W 63.27 - 62.17	L 67-71 (OT)	7-22	96.89	83.39	▼ 13.50	100.81	90.66	▲ 10.15	▼ 3.35
Mon 3/9/2015	@ Bowling Green₁₀₉	L 57.62 - 70.22	L 75-88	7-23	92.55	117.03	▲ 24.48	106.22	136.71	▼ 30.49	▼ 6.01
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Ball State is typically worse vs. teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. Against foes that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.24%, Ball State performs above their norm 11% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 55% of the time.
	When facing teams that are typically efficient on offense, Ball State often performs better than normal. Ball State is more efficient than usual 67% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 102.85. In their other contests, Ball State performs better than the norm 30% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox