Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Arkansas State 13-20 (0.394) | Sun Belt

All-Play Percentage: 0.254 (270^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.400 (232^nd)	Record Quality: -0.191 (276^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 276.15 (281^st)
Pace: 65.44 (317^th)	Momentum: 4.53 (18^th)	Off. Momentum: 4.89 (6^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.36 (153^rd)
Consistency: -8.23 (56^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.01 (58^th)	Away From Home: 0.08 (99^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.67 (246^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.25

25.81

67.50

84.01

41.42

27.73

33.27

27.19

32.73

29.09

57.31

10.45

14.80

5.30

33.01

32.36

34.63

1.98

RANK:

298^th

148^th

312^th

201^st

298^th

296^th

220^th

75^th

352^nd

197^th

220^th

200^th

138^th

169^th

299^th

69^th

195^th

104^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.32

28.09

82.55

44.98

29.48

37.84

21.36

36.13

31.72

57.58

9.87

13.86

5.97

35.71

25.87

38.42

1.97

RANK:

253^rd

297^th

93^rd

237^th

118^th

348^th

74^th

97^th

278^th

124^th

106^th

180^th

277^th

138^th

83^rd

310^th

278^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see Arkansas State on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Carrying a record of 13-20, they are currently rated #270 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 14 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 176.7), they're currently ranked as our #12 team in the conference.

Offense is not the strong suit when it comes to Arkansas State. The team is ranked 298th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 97 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Arkansas State is downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 352nd in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 32.7% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

Arkansas State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 106 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #253 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Arkansas State does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 348th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.8% of their attempts from afar.

Arkansas State has been playing much better basketball as of late and is presently ranked 18th in positive momentum because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs Harding	---	W 86-55	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/12/2022	@ LSU₁₄₉	L 60.70 - 69.92	L 52-61	1-1	97.09	78.47	▼ 18.62	107.29	88.70	▲ 18.59	▼ 0.03
Mon 11/14/2022	vs Lyon College	---	W 82-58	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/18/2022	@ UC Davis₁₇₁	L 64.07 - 72.66	L 60-75	2-2	96.30	89.22	▼ 7.08	104.71	102.28	▲ 2.43	▼ 4.65
Tue 11/22/2022	vs UT Martin₂₈₆	W 71.55 - 68.40	W 70-64	3-2	102.19	95.22	▼ 6.97	101.64	93.43	▲ 8.21	▲ 1.24
Fri 11/25/2022	vs PV A&M₂₈₃	W 63.90 - 60.93	L 59-67	3-3	94.74	84.15	▼ 10.59	94.63	100.51	▼ 5.88	▼ 16.47
Sun 11/27/2022	vs Bethel (TN)	---	W 90-65	4-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/1/2022	vs Miss. Valley St.₃₅₈	W 70.36 - 58.81	W 58-38	5-3	105.25	103.88	▼ 1.37	91.99	68.67	▲ 23.32	▲ 21.95
Tue 12/6/2022	@ Cent. Arkansas₃₂₃	W 72.36 - 71.55	L 67-72	5-4	104.82	97.38	▼ 7.44	100.43	102.35	▼ 1.92	▼ 9.36
Fri 12/9/2022	@ Air Force₁₃₇	L 57.69 - 67.56	L 55-80	5-5	95.72	100.00	▲ 4.28	107.20	144.00	▼ 36.80	▼ 32.52
Wed 12/14/2022	vs SE Missouri St.₂₆₇	W 71.10 - 69.11	W 68-61	6-5	100.39	91.15	▼ 9.24	101.26	81.22	▲ 20.04	▲ 10.80
Mon 12/19/2022	vs Alabama State₃₅₁	W 68.78 - 58.98	W 72-65	7-5	103.25	108.77	▲ 5.52	92.68	98.93	▼ 6.25	▼ 0.73
Thu 12/22/2022	vs Little Rock₃₂₁	W 75.19 - 68.94	W 77-75	8-5	106.40	109.19	▲ 2.79	102.34	112.30	▼ 9.96	▼ 7.17
Thu 12/29/2022	@ Old Dominion₁₉₆	L 60.22 - 67.17	W 60-57	9-5	96.29	100.36	▲ 4.07	102.87	91.06	▲ 11.81	▲ 15.88
Sat 12/31/2022	vs UL Monroe₂₇₅	W 64.68 - 61.98	L 72-84	9-6	98.67	102.61	▲ 3.94	98.86	127.00	▼ 28.14	▼ 24.20
Thu 1/5/2023	@ South Alabama₉₆	L 57.36 - 70.93	L 45-63	9-7	90.99	69.86	▼ 21.13	108.31	105.14	▲ 3.17	▼ 17.96
Sat 1/7/2023	@ Troy₁₂₁	L 59.11 - 71.07	L 54-66	9-8	91.71	82.60	▼ 9.11	106.10	95.01	▲ 11.09	▲ 1.98
Thu 1/12/2023	vs Texas State₁₉₉	L 62.07 - 63.89	L 58-61	9-9	96.74	82.06	▼ 14.68	104.55	93.05	▲ 11.50	▼ 3.18
Sat 1/14/2023	vs Southern Miss₉₉	L 61.84 - 70.41	L 57-74	9-10	90.78	72.62	▼ 18.16	107.68	109.69	▼ 2.01	▼ 20.17
Thu 1/19/2023	vs Louisiana₁₀₁	L 64.67 - 72.93	L 71-80	9-11	95.44	93.65	▼ 1.79	112.25	120.18	▼ 7.93	▼ 9.72
Sat 1/21/2023	vs Marshall₈₇	L 66.42 - 76.29	L 78-87 (OT)	9-12	94.07	103.97	▲ 9.90	112.00	107.97	▲ 4.03	▲ 13.93
Thu 1/26/2023	@ Southern Miss₉₉	L 59.21 - 73.15	L 57-73	9-13	90.78	95.34	▲ 4.56	107.68	119.66	▼ 11.98	▼ 7.42
Sat 1/28/2023	@ Appalachian St.₁₈₁	L 58.13 - 65.59	L 51-63	9-14	93.55	88.44	▼ 5.11	101.49	103.00	▼ 1.51	▼ 6.62
Thu 2/2/2023	vs South Alabama₉₆	L 59.91 - 68.34	L 62-82	9-15	90.99	94.49	▲ 3.50	108.31	133.04	▼ 24.73	▼ 21.23
Sat 2/4/2023	vs Coast. Carolina₂₉₁	W 70.52 - 67.02	W 73-57	10-15	104.33	103.97	▼ 0.36	103.98	87.94	▲ 16.04	▲ 15.68
Thu 2/9/2023	@ Texas State₁₉₉	L 59.58 - 66.46	L 62-66	10-16	96.74	101.60	▲ 4.86	104.55	102.76	▲ 1.79	▲ 6.65
Sat 2/11/2023	@ GA Southern₁₉₅	L 60.36 - 67.46	L 53-68	10-17	94.04	82.00	▼ 12.04	100.73	110.50	▼ 9.77	▼ 21.81
Thu 2/16/2023	vs Troy₁₂₁	L 61.71 - 68.39	L 62-67	10-18	91.71	84.11	▼ 7.60	106.10	97.38	▲ 8.72	▲ 1.12
Sat 2/18/2023	vs Georgia State₂₆₅	W 65.04 - 63.09	W 75-70	11-18	98.74	115.19	▲ 16.45	100.43	111.38	▼ 10.95	▲ 5.50
Wed 2/22/2023	@ Louisiana₁₀₁	L 62.04 - 75.56	L 74-85	11-19	95.44	107.88	▲ 12.44	112.25	120.06	▼ 7.81	▲ 4.63
Fri 2/24/2023	@ UL Monroe₂₇₅	L 62.13 - 64.58	W 64-61	12-19	98.67	103.59	▲ 4.92	98.86	94.82	▲ 4.04	▲ 8.96
Tue 2/28/2023	vs Coast. Carolina₂₉₁ *	W 69.20 - 68.40	W 86-69	13-19	104.33	128.13	▲ 23.80	103.98	106.35	▼ 2.37	▲ 21.43
Thu 3/2/2023	vs Troy₁₂₁ *	L 60.41 - 69.73	L 59-63	13-20	91.71	96.72	▲ 5.01	106.10	100.00	▲ 6.10	▲ 11.11
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Arkansas State often performs worse than normal. Arkansas State is more efficient than usual 32% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.25%. In their other contests, Arkansas State performs better than the norm 91% of the time.
	Arkansas State does worse vs. clubs that shoot the ball well from the field. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.88%, Arkansas State performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 72% of the time.
	Arkansas State performs better against squads that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.13%, Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 72% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 25% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox