Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Arkansas State11-13 (0.458) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.301 (250th)
Schedule Strength: 0.391 (257th)
Record Quality: -0.226 (283rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 285.13 (296th)
Pace: 69.71 (185th)
Momentum: 1.61 (100th)
Off. Momentum: -1.01 (261st)
Def. Momentum: 2.62 (27th)
Consistency: -7.86 (58th)
Res. Consistency: -8.01 (12th)
Away From Home: -0.48 (229th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.31 (38th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
96.18
69.68
27.52
72.99
80.72
34.25
42.43
22.06
7.60
34.45
29.43
10.42
35.39
29.23
16.23
55.52
11.39
13.53
5.24
27.33
36.46
36.21
1.91
RANK:
235th
185th
66th
112th
235th
246th
235th
352nd
343rd
148th
31st
66th
271st
118th
180th
262nd
151st
136th
134th
353rd
19th
103rd
17th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.17
69.74
24.16
--
83.98
37.77
44.97
31.75
11.35
35.74
22.29
9.42
42.29
29.94
17.00
56.77
12.26
11.97
5.19
37.80
26.54
35.66
2.02
RANK:
273rd
175th
156th
--
269th
260th
234th
230th
273rd
266th
141st
234th
301st
256th
201st
101st
258th
129th
210th
192nd
120th
235th
196th
ANALYSIS: If you see Arkansas State on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Carrying a record of 11-13, they are currently rated #250 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 234.5), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.
Defense is not exactly a strength for Arkansas State this year. The team is ranked 273rd in defensive efficiency and allows more than 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State hasn't done terribly well defending the mid-range jumper. The squad is ranked 301st nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 42.3% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor.
Arkansas State doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 96 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #235 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Arkansas State has some difficulties converting mid-range shot attempts. The team is ranked 271st in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 35.4% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, Arkansas State often performs better than normal. Arkansas State is more efficient than usual 90% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 58.86%. In their other contests, Arkansas State performs better than the norm 18% of the time.
Arkansas State does better vs. clubs that shoot the ball well from the field. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 40.81%, Arkansas State performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
Arkansas State performs worse against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 13.04, Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 22% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 75% of the time.
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