Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Arkansas State 13-19 (0.406) | Sun Belt

All-Play Percentage: 0.352 (229^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.521 (149^th)	Record Quality: -0.128 (234^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 236.31 (236^th)
Pace: 68.66 (179^th)	Momentum: 0.19 (166^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.27 (37^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.08 (312^th)
Consistency: -6.99 (4^th)	Res. Consistency: -7.72 (3^rd)	Away From Home: -0.97 (272^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.04 (80^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.13

29.31

74.19

84.42

41.59

30.80

33.00

22.74

35.73

30.88

54.47

9.87

14.31

4.76

36.48

26.93

36.58

2.00

RANK:

189^th

52^nd

81^st

124^th

279^th

225^th

251^st

117^th

178^th

143^rd

305^th

267^th

134^th

292^nd

237^th

122^nd

157^th

122^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.73

32.52

84.00

44.45

31.38

34.60

18.91

37.30

33.71

57.62

11.54

14.41

6.51

37.36

22.51

40.13

1.97

RANK:

294^th

346^th

186^th

176^th

146^th

173^rd

89^th

229^th

304^th

98^th

164^th

243^rd

235^th

137^th

75^th

302^nd

277^th

ANALYSIS:
Arkansas State has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Ranked 229th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 13-19. They are also ranked by this site as the #11 team (out of 12) in the Sun Belt (average ranking 171.9).

Arkansas State will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #294 in defensive efficiency. Arkansas State fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 32.52 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #346 in the country in that category.

Even though the team ranks considerably higher in offensive efficiency, Arkansas State isn't a powerhouse on that end of the floor either. Scoring roughly 102 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #189 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Arkansas State won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 305th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 54.5% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Arkansas State is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked fourth in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/9/2018	@ Abil. Christian₁₅₅	L 66.16 - 74.24	L 73-94	0-1	100.65	93.16	▼ 7.49	107.07	118.07	▼ 11.00	▼ 18.49
Mon 11/12/2018	vs Missouri Baptist	---	W 89-54	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/16/2018	@ Grand Canyon₁₀₈	L 66.81 - 79.10	L 72-96	1-2	100.51	99.55	▼ 0.96	111.56	116.28	▼ 4.72	▼ 5.68
Fri 11/23/2018	vs UNC Wilmington₂₄₉ *	W 77.54 - 76.15	L 64-78	1-3	110.91	80.00	▼ 30.91	108.37	108.55	▼ 0.18	▼ 31.09
Sat 11/24/2018	vs E. Illinois₃₀₃ *	W 75.60 - 70.23	L 86-90 (OT)	1-4	109.79	108.45	▼ 1.34	102.44	109.35	▼ 6.91	▼ 8.25
Sun 11/25/2018	vs Gardner-Webb₁₈₅ *	L 72.45 - 75.20	W 77-69	2-4	105.57	116.67	▲ 11.10	110.04	94.29	▲ 15.75	▲ 26.85
Sat 12/1/2018	@ Lehigh₁₆₄	L 74.90 - 82.86	L 70-82	2-5	106.96	96.78	▼ 10.18	112.84	121.28	▼ 8.44	▼ 18.62
Tue 12/4/2018	vs Evansville₂₃₀	W 74.52 - 70.92	W 87-77	3-5	102.98	113.89	▲ 10.91	103.18	104.79	▼ 1.61	▲ 9.30
Sat 12/8/2018	@ Minnesota₅₂	L 63.23 - 80.17	L 56-72	3-6	96.87	93.92	▼ 2.95	115.41	113.42	▲ 1.99	▼ 0.96
Fri 12/14/2018	vs FAU₁₆₃	L 69.22 - 69.83	W 75-71 (2OT)	4-6	97.75	89.20	▼ 8.55	103.53	94.93	▲ 8.60	▲ 0.05
Tue 12/18/2018	vs Missouri State₁₉₅	W 71.29 - 69.78	W 71-63	5-6	102.72	95.64	▼ 7.08	105.42	89.22	▲ 16.20	▲ 9.12
Sat 12/22/2018	@ Syracuse₄₃	L 61.30 - 79.83	L 52-82	5-7	92.90	84.90	▼ 8.00	114.89	117.68	▼ 2.79	▼ 10.79
Sat 12/29/2018	vs Harding	---	W 87-62	6-7	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 1/3/2019	@ Louisiana₁₅₆	L 73.84 - 82.52	W 94-83	7-7	104.89	116.78	▲ 11.89	110.56	97.50	▲ 13.06	▲ 24.95
Sat 1/5/2019	@ UL Monroe₁₃₈	L 69.75 - 80.09	L 75-85	7-8	105.83	111.19	▲ 5.36	116.11	118.93	▼ 2.82	▲ 2.54
Thu 1/10/2019	vs South Alabama₂₂₇	W 74.11 - 70.78	W 66-65	8-8	106.86	99.04	▼ 7.82	107.38	100.61	▲ 6.77	▼ 1.05
Sat 1/12/2019	vs Troy₂₄₃	W 75.49 - 71.11	L 85-90 (OT)	8-9	106.98	119.38	▲ 12.40	105.90	122.50	▼ 16.60	▼ 4.20
Thu 1/17/2019	@ UT Arlington₁₅₇	L 65.04 - 72.93	L 59-68	8-10	99.52	90.87	▼ 8.65	105.87	93.96	▲ 11.91	▲ 3.26
Sat 1/19/2019	@ Texas State₁₂₃	L 62.69 - 73.19	L 64-77	8-11	96.87	96.61	▼ 0.26	107.00	110.74	▼ 3.74	▼ 4.00
Thu 1/24/2019	vs Appalachian St.₁₉₃	W 78.74 - 77.39	W 82-81 (OT)	9-11	106.24	97.50	▼ 8.74	110.07	110.89	▼ 0.82	▼ 9.56
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Coast. Carolina₁₄₅	L 75.07 - 77.37	L 64-77	9-12	106.27	88.85	▼ 17.42	113.52	107.03	▲ 6.49	▼ 10.93
Sat 2/2/2019	@ Little Rock₂₁₅	L 72.70 - 76.84	W 84-83	10-12	104.31	110.36	▲ 6.05	104.96	104.46	▲ 0.50	▲ 6.55
Thu 2/7/2019	@ South Alabama₂₂₇	L 70.70 - 74.04	L 62-70	10-13	106.86	105.83	▼ 1.03	107.38	117.68	▼ 10.30	▼ 11.33
Sat 2/9/2019	@ Troy₂₄₃	L 72.02 - 74.52	L 79-84	10-14	106.98	112.22	▲ 5.24	105.90	114.17	▼ 8.27	▼ 3.03
Thu 2/14/2019	vs Texas State₁₂₃	L 66.02 - 69.92	L 74-84	10-15	96.87	108.01	▲ 11.14	107.00	126.74	▼ 19.74	▼ 8.60
Sat 2/16/2019	vs UT Arlington₁₅₇	L 68.40 - 69.56	W 83-79	11-15	99.52	106.36	▲ 6.84	105.87	107.48	▼ 1.61	▲ 5.23
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Little Rock₂₁₅	W 76.28 - 73.43	W 72-65	12-15	104.31	102.23	▼ 2.08	104.96	99.15	▲ 5.81	▲ 3.73
Thu 2/28/2019	@ Georgia State₁₃₇	L 70.21 - 80.53	L 60-76	12-16	101.17	92.97	▼ 8.20	110.88	114.96	▼ 4.08	▼ 12.28
Sat 3/2/2019	@ GA Southern₁₀₀	L 71.17 - 84.22	L 70-81	12-17	99.97	99.25	▼ 0.72	112.68	118.72	▼ 6.04	▼ 6.76
Thu 3/7/2019	vs UL Monroe₁₃₈	L 73.14 - 76.62	W 73-72	13-17	105.83	118.67	▲ 12.84	116.11	120.05	▼ 3.94	▲ 8.90
Sat 3/9/2019	vs Louisiana₁₅₆	L 77.45 - 78.85	L 87-90 (OT)	13-18	104.89	132.44	▲ 27.55	110.56	133.24	▼ 22.68	▲ 4.87
Tue 3/12/2019	@ South Alabama₂₂₇	L 70.70 - 74.04	L 67-75	13-19	106.86	111.28	▲ 4.42	107.38	120.45	▼ 13.07	▼ 8.65
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Arkansas State does worse vs. clubs that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When playing squads that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 107.19, Arkansas State performs above average 11% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 62% of the time.
	Arkansas State performs better against squads that find ways to get to the free throw line. When facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.95, Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 67% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 17% of the time.
	When playing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Arkansas State usually performs worse than average. Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 33% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.28%. In all other contests, Arkansas State performs better than average 78% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Ty Cockfield joins select Arkansas State company with USBWA All-District honor (3/12/2019 8:37:00 PM) The United States Basketball ... of the Year). A-State opens Sun Belt Conference Tournament play Tuesday at South Alabama. Tip-off is set for 7:00 p.m. from the Mitchell Center. The game will air on ESPN+ and across the EAB/Red Wolves Sports Network ...
	ULM loses another heartbreaker at Arkansas State (3/8/2019 12:09:00 PM) JONESBORO, Ark. – Ty Cockfield and Grantham Gillard combined to score 51 points and Marquis Eaton converted two free throws with :08 left to give Arkansas State a 73-72 victory over Louisiana-Monroe Thursday night at First National Bank Arena.
	Ga. Southern looks to extend streak vs Arkansas St. (3/1/2019 7:50:00 AM) Georgia Southern's last Sun Belt loss came against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 88-79 on Feb. 8. Arkansas State fell short in a 76-60 game at Georgia State in its last outing. VETERAN PRESENCE ...
	South Alabama earns split, knocks off Arkansas State 70-62 (2/7/2019 11:08:00 PM) The Jaguars split the season series with Arkansas State. The Red Wolves won the first meeting January 10 in Jonesboro, 66-65. Ty Cockfield hit a 3 with 4:08 left to pull the Red Wolves within a point, 60-59. And Marquis Eaton missed a 3 and two layup ...
	Chants Pick up Another Road Win at Arkansas State (1/27/2019 1:18:00 PM) JONESBORO, Ark. – Zac Cuthbertson and DeVante Jones scored 16 points each to lead Coastal Carolina to a 77-64 road win at Arkansas State. The win for the Chants was their third consecutive win, giving them their longest winning streak of the season.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox