Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Alcorn State 18-14 (0.563) | SWAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.103 (315^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.283 (340^th)	Record Quality: -0.093 (216^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 326.62 (331^st)
Pace: 70.27 (175^th)	Momentum: 2.28 (67^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.44 (277^th)	Def. Momentum: 3.73 (9^th)
Consistency: -7.75 (43^rd)	Res. Consistency: -8.22 (16^th)	Away From Home: -0.25 (179^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.75 (333^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.86

23.49

64.62

83.45

39.86

29.58

30.91

25.46

32.60

28.41

55.70

10.63

15.62

7.70

35.44

30.51

34.04

2.01

RANK:

326^th

314^th

322^nd

72^nd

323^rd

176^th

326^th

112^th

327^th

178^th

278^th

172^nd

115^th

75^th

196^th

125^th

200^th

185^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.41

31.06

81.33

46.04

29.24

34.91

20.04

37.63

32.06

61.44

12.78

14.16

6.92

35.95

24.63

39.41

1.97

RANK:

233^rd

302^nd

146^th

247^th

173^rd

140^th

42^nd

213^th

303^rd

213^th

310^th

158^th

201^st

171^st

40^th

309^th

278^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite having a win percentage north of .500, Alcorn State is definitely a below-average ball-club in college hoops this year. Their record this season is 18-14, and the club is ranked 315th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 10) in the SWAC (average ranking 323.5). With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.283 (which ranks 340th in the nation), Alcorn State has faced some of the easiest opponents in all of college basketball.

Alcorn State is not one of the most productive teams on offense. Scoring fewer than 91 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are rated at #326 in offensive efficiency. Alcorn State struggles to drain shots consistently from most spots on the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four primary field goal shooting categories. They are at their worst when shooting outside the paint, converting just 30.9% of their three-pointers (326th in the nation), 32.6% of their mid-range chances (327th), and 39.9% of their total shots from the field (323rd) vs. AO. Alcorn State is also not one of the better teams when it comes to sinking foul shots. Converting just 64.6% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #322 overall in free throw percentage.

Though they rate better on defense than they do on offense, Alcorn State still isn't one of the more capable defensive teams in college hoops. Allowing roughly 105 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #233 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Alcorn State commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 31.06 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #302 in the country in that category.

Alcorn State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 43rd in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	@ Loyola-Chicago₈₉	L 58.74 - 77.22	L 44-69	0-1	88.51	71.71	▼ 16.80	111.08	107.23	▲ 3.85	▼ 12.95
Mon 11/14/2016	@ Evansville₁₄₈	L 60.54 - 75.06	L 59-82	0-2	89.51	90.35	▲ 0.84	105.95	120.74	▼ 14.79	▼ 13.95
Fri 11/18/2016	vs Selma	---	W 93-48	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/22/2016	vs Blue Mountain	---	W 83-57	2-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/27/2016	@ Colorado State₉₄	L 59.71 - 78.12	L 58-80	2-3	88.57	90.08	▲ 1.51	111.49	119.41	▼ 7.92	▼ 6.41
Wed 11/30/2016	@ San Francisco₁₂₁	L 60.10 - 75.90	L 65-78	2-4	86.53	86.72	▲ 0.19	104.95	103.34	▲ 1.61	▲ 1.80
Sat 12/3/2016	@ California₆₈	L 54.05 - 74.74	L 59-83	2-5	81.52	84.83	▲ 3.31	107.89	114.43	▼ 6.54	▼ 3.23
Mon 12/5/2016	@ LA Tech₈₅	L 60.71 - 79.92	L 65-98	2-6	88.11	67.79	▼ 20.32	110.76	121.12	▼ 10.36	▼ 30.68
Sun 12/18/2016	@ Georgia Tech₇₅	L 54.55 - 74.60	L 50-74	2-7	80.16	72.06	▼ 8.10	104.77	104.03	▲ 0.74	▼ 7.36
Tue 12/20/2016	@ Grand Canyon₁₆₄	L 61.56 - 75.24	L 53-63	2-8	87.99	73.05	▼ 14.94	103.34	84.09	▲ 19.25	▲ 4.31
Thu 12/22/2016	vs Rust	---	W 83-68	3-8	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 1/2/2017	vs Texas Southern₂₂₆	L 68.70 - 72.09	L 65-67	3-9	95.65	90.64	▼ 5.01	104.80	99.32	▲ 5.48	▲ 0.47
Wed 1/4/2017	vs PV A&M₃₁₆	W 70.79 - 67.81	W 66-55	4-9	97.58	96.29	▼ 1.29	97.35	81.93	▲ 15.42	▲ 14.13
Mon 1/9/2017	@ Grambling₃₃₇	W 68.76 - 67.35	L 62-67	4-10	101.07	97.40	▼ 3.67	95.23	101.02	▼ 5.79	▼ 9.46
Wed 1/11/2017	@ Jackson State₃₃₂	W 63.85 - 63.59	W 63-50	5-10	97.54	100.76	▲ 3.22	93.60	76.32	▲ 17.28	▲ 20.50
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Miss. Valley St.₃₄₃	W 78.65 - 68.18	L 77-84	5-11	106.05	86.29	▼ 19.76	96.37	101.04	▼ 4.67	▼ 24.43
Mon 1/16/2017	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₄₉	W 69.70 - 57.45	W 82-64	6-11	97.85	100.49	▲ 2.64	84.71	86.00	▼ 1.29	▲ 1.35
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Alabama State₃₄₅	W 70.27 - 65.39	W 78-71	7-11	101.02	102.22	▲ 1.20	90.70	91.03	▼ 0.33	▲ 0.87
Mon 1/23/2017	@ Alabama A&M₃₅₁	W 72.74 - 64.02	W 81-70	8-11	110.32	124.86	▲ 14.54	93.73	104.10	▼ 10.37	▲ 4.17
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Southern₃₂₁	W 73.28 - 69.23	W 74-64	9-11	100.42	115.24	▲ 14.82	99.89	108.88	▼ 8.99	▲ 5.83
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Jackson State₃₃₂	W 66.64 - 60.86	W 69-58	10-11	97.54	105.60	▲ 8.06	93.60	91.45	▲ 2.15	▲ 10.21
Mon 2/6/2017	vs Grambling₃₃₇	W 71.66 - 64.48	W 75-65	11-11	101.07	114.97	▲ 13.90	95.23	103.78	▼ 8.55	▲ 5.35
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Miss. Valley St.₃₄₃	W 75.61 - 71.19	W 88-77	12-11	106.05	119.53	▲ 13.48	96.37	100.77	▼ 4.40	▲ 9.08
Mon 2/13/2017	@ AR-Pine Bluff₃₄₉	W 66.79 - 60.30	W 70-58	13-11	97.85	108.28	▲ 10.43	84.71	91.33	▼ 6.62	▲ 3.81
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Alabama State₃₄₅	W 73.23 - 62.52	W 75-67	14-11	101.02	100.52	▼ 0.50	90.70	90.05	▲ 0.65	▲ 0.15
Mon 2/20/2017	vs Alabama A&M₃₅₁	W 75.57 - 61.14	W 74-59	15-11	110.32	114.45	▲ 4.13	93.73	84.18	▲ 9.55	▲ 13.68
Sat 2/25/2017	@ Southern₃₂₁	L 70.30 - 72.31	W 68-67	16-11	100.42	102.22	▲ 1.80	99.89	96.31	▲ 3.58	▲ 5.38
Thu 3/2/2017	@ Texas Southern₂₂₆	L 65.77 - 75.19	L 88-94 (OT)	16-12	95.65	116.50	▲ 20.85	104.80	115.43	▼ 10.63	▲ 10.22
Sat 3/4/2017	@ PV A&M₃₁₆	L 67.83 - 70.88	L 60-66	16-13	97.58	89.17	▼ 8.41	97.35	96.29	▲ 1.06	▼ 7.35
Tue 3/7/2017	vs Miss. Valley St.₃₄₃	W 78.65 - 68.18	W 63-60	17-13	106.05	80.22	▼ 25.83	96.37	84.41	▲ 11.96	▼ 13.87
Fri 3/10/2017	vs Southern₃₂₁ *	W 71.79 - 70.77	W 81-59	18-13	100.42	112.31	▲ 11.89	99.89	79.69	▲ 20.20	▲ 32.09
Sat 3/11/2017	vs Texas Southern₂₂₆ *	L 67.24 - 73.64	L 50-53	18-14	95.65	80.65	▼ 15.00	104.80	84.13	▲ 20.67	▲ 5.67
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from outside the arc, Alcorn State usually performs worse than average. Alcorn State is more efficient than normal 27% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.86%. In all other contests, Alcorn State performs better than average 78% of the time.
	Alcorn State is typically worse vs. teams that shoot the ball well from the field. Against foes that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 40.76%, Alcorn State performs above their norm 36% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 80% of the time.
	When facing teams that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter, Alcorn State often performs worse than normal. Alcorn State is more efficient than usual 30% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.01. In their other contests, Alcorn State performs better than the norm 74% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox