Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Alabama State 4-14 (0.222) | SWAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.008 (354^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.103 (347^th)	Record Quality: -0.617 (356^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 350.79 (352^nd)
Pace: 73.09 (32^nd)	Momentum: -1.26 (233^rd)	Off. Momentum: 0.96 (133^rd)	Def. Momentum: -2.22 (284^th)
Consistency: -7.25 (23^rd)	Res. Consistency: -10.89 (108^th)	Away From Home: -0.23 (213^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 2.51 (10^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

79.48

23.80

63.95

77.61

36.41

26.08

29.65

25.95

31.31

25.58

48.48

9.16

14.08

4.37

33.60

33.44

32.96

2.01

RANK:

356^th

209^th

338^th

339^th

357^th

321^st

334^th

82^nd

346^th

278^th

357^th

281^st

104^th

231^st

281^st

58^th

218^th

125^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.15

29.28

81.06

47.48

30.74

36.49

19.71

40.28

30.61

63.16

11.74

14.81

6.09

37.92

24.32

37.76

2.00

RANK:

329^th

324^th

126^th

327^th

179^th

303^rd

42^nd

250^th

281^st

304^th

227^th

301^st

298^th

201^st

43^rd

300^th

247^th

ANALYSIS:
As one of the worst teams in NCAA basketball, Alabama State should be a pushover for the average-to-good squads in Division I. Haslametrics has them ranked fourth from the bottom overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 4-14. Of the 10 schools in the SWAC (average ranking 326.5), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.103 (which ranks 347th nationally), Alabama State has had one of the cushiest slates in all of college basketball.

Alabama State has one of the most anemic offenses around. They rank second from the bottom in efficiency on that end of the court and score fewer than 80 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Alabama State is downright awful shooting the basketball and can't hit from anywhere, shamefully ranking in the bottom-25 in each of the four major field goal shooting categories. They make just 29.7% of their three-pointers (ranking 334th nationally), 31.3% of their mid-range attempts (346th), 48.5% of their near-proximity chances (last), and 36.4% of their total shots from the field (last) vs. AO. Alabama State also happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 339th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.61 vs. AO. Alabama State lastly has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 64.0% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #338 overall in free throw percentage.

Alabama State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #329 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Alabama State allows opponents' field goal percentages to get far too high. The ball-club ranks #327 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 47.5% of their total attempts from the floor. Alabama State also commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 29.28 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #324 in the country in that category.

Alabama State is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 23rd in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 1/2/2021	vs Grambling₃₂₈	L 64.07 - 71.15	L 49-66	0-1	85.06	63.80	▼ 21.26	98.00	99.20	▼ 1.20	▼ 22.46
Mon 1/4/2021	vs Jackson State₃₂₇	L 59.60 - 66.81	L 44-60	0-2	78.54	60.93	▼ 17.61	91.89	89.44	▲ 2.45	▼ 15.16
Sat 1/9/2021	@ AR-Pine Bluff₃₅₆	L 68.30 - 69.13	L 82-91	0-3	95.62	107.27	▲ 11.65	92.42	112.69	▼ 20.27	▼ 8.62
Tue 1/12/2021	@ Miss. Valley St.₃₅₇	W 75.10 - 68.19	W 64-51	1-3	99.61	103.98	▲ 4.37	86.63	80.05	▲ 6.58	▲ 10.95
Sat 1/16/2021	@ Alabama A&M₃₄₆	L 59.17 - 68.36	L 63-70	1-4	83.87	82.65	▼ 1.22	91.80	88.77	▲ 3.03	▲ 1.81
Sat 1/23/2021	vs Alcorn State₃₄₇	L 68.70 - 71.78	L 52-57	1-5	90.67	67.90	▼ 22.77	98.54	80.22	▲ 18.32	▼ 4.45
Mon 1/25/2021	vs Southern₃₂₅	L 64.28 - 71.65	W 66-64	2-5	84.23	87.96	▲ 3.73	97.24	86.07	▲ 11.17	▲ 14.90
Sat 1/30/2021	@ Texas Southern₂₃₉	L 60.29 - 81.77	L 73-80	2-6	81.86	83.25	▲ 1.39	104.63	88.00	▲ 16.63	▲ 18.02
Mon 2/1/2021	@ PV A&M₂₈₆	L 59.45 - 77.11	L 63-87	2-7	81.91	83.92	▲ 2.01	100.92	106.43	▼ 5.51	▼ 3.50
Sat 2/6/2021	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₅₆	W 71.20 - 66.07	W 73-67	3-7	95.62	92.67	▼ 2.95	92.42	90.01	▲ 2.41	▼ 0.54
Mon 2/8/2021	vs Miss. Valley St.₃₅₇	W 78.15 - 65.34	L 65-68	3-8	99.61	90.72	▼ 8.89	86.63	97.91	▼ 11.28	▼ 20.17
Sat 2/13/2021	vs Alabama A&M₃₄₆	L 62.03 - 65.47	W 72-58	4-8	83.87	97.86	▲ 13.99	91.80	87.43	▲ 4.37	▲ 18.36
Mon 2/22/2021	@ Southern₃₂₅	L 61.34 - 74.66	L 66-75	4-9	84.23	87.30	▲ 3.07	97.24	89.33	▲ 7.91	▲ 10.98
Wed 2/24/2021	@ Alcorn State₃₄₇	L 65.77 - 74.92	L 59-68	4-10	90.67	86.87	▼ 3.80	98.54	96.76	▲ 1.78	▼ 2.02
Sat 2/27/2021	vs Texas Southern₂₃₉	L 63.28 - 78.59	L 76-86	4-11	81.86	90.36	▲ 8.50	104.63	108.31	▼ 3.68	▲ 4.82
Mon 3/1/2021	vs PV A&M₂₈₆	L 62.39 - 74.14	L 67-70	4-12	81.91	83.76	▲ 1.85	100.92	90.75	▲ 10.17	▲ 12.02
Thu 3/4/2021	@ Grambling₃₂₈	L 61.16 - 74.14	L 68-91	4-13	85.06	69.35	▼ 15.71	98.00	112.39	▼ 14.39	▼ 30.10
Sat 3/6/2021	@ Jackson State₃₂₇	L 56.67 - 69.83	L 54-79	4-14	78.54	81.09	▲ 2.55	91.89	114.78	▼ 22.89	▼ 20.34
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Alabama State is typically worse vs. teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.73%, Alabama State performs above their norm 20% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 88% of the time.
	When facing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Alabama State often performs worse than normal. Alabama State is more efficient than usual 30% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.49. In their other contests, Alabama State performs better than the norm 75% of the time.
	Alabama State does better vs. clubs that favor a faster tempo. When playing squads that have a pace vs. AO greater than 70.98, Alabama State performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 30% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Battle carries Alabama St. past Ark.-Pine Bluff 73-67 (2/6/2021 9:49:25 PM) MONTGOMERY, Ala. (AP) — Brandon Battle recorded 12 points and 11 rebounds to lift Alabama State to a 73-67 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on Saturday.
	#UAPBMensHoops Rally Falls Short At Alabama State (2/6/2021 2:10:00 PM) The University of Arkansas at Pine Bluff men's basketball team nearly erased a 21-point second-half deficit, falling to Alabama State 73-67 Saturday in the Dunn-Oliver Acadome.
	Mack scores 24 to lead Prairie View past Alabama St. 87-63 (2/2/2021 12:11:17 AM) PRAIRIE VIEW, Texas (AP) — Cam Mack matched his career high with 24 points plus 10 assists as Prairie View rolled past Alabama State 87-63 on Monday night.
	Dramatic buzzer beat lifts Alabama State over Southern 66-64 (1/26/2021 12:32:17 AM) Kenny Strawbridge recorded 16 points and 14 rebounds, the last of both coming at the buzzer as he plucked a blocked shot out of the air and laid it in to give Alabama State to a 66-64 win over Southern on Monday night. After Jayden Saddler's layup pulled Sout…
	Hicks scores 13 to lift Alabama A&M over Alabama St. 70-63 (1/16/2021 7:19:25 PM) NORMAL, Ala. (AP) — Garrett Hicks scored 13 points and Alabama A&M topped Alabama State 70-63 on Saturday.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox