Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Air Force 14-18 (0.438) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.624 (137^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.522 (117^th)	Record Quality: -0.019 (184^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 158.54 (159^th)
Pace: 64.08 (348^th)	Momentum: 1.19 (115^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.95 (277^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.14 (26^th)
Consistency: -9.67 (246^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.60 (148^th)	Away From Home: -1.72 (301^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.41 (227^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.49

23.73

72.25

81.62

46.04

34.88

34.94

18.44

37.11

28.30

65.54

7.73

9.04

2.88

42.73

22.59

34.68

2.08

RANK:

141^st

253^rd

161^st

317^th

65^th

60^th

124^th

334^th

218^th

237^th

20^th

331^st

353^rd

359^th

34^th

327^th

194^th

306^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.22

26.36

86.30

43.49

28.03

30.02

27.01

36.16

31.26

61.91

10.03

15.74

6.02

32.48

31.29

36.23

1.96

RANK:

184^th

228^th

250^th

151^st

65^th

15^th

311^th

98^th

260^th

285^th

119^th

302^nd

282^nd

47^th

304^th

241^st

293^rd

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Air Force, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Their record this season is 14-18, and the club is ranked 137th overall (out of 363) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. Of the 11 schools in the MWC (average ranking 85.3), they're currently ranked as our #10 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Air Force this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. While favoring a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 16th-slowest pace in D1), the team is rated 141st in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Air Force is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked 20th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 65.5% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Air Force will also make a concerted effort to fire off quite a few three-pointers each game. The team ranks 34th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. When it comes to actually making their three-point attempts, the squad shoots a so-so 34.9% from beyond the arc vs. AO. If Air Force does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 2.9% vs. AO, which ranks fifth-worst in the nation.

Air Force is not quite as good on the defensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 184th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Air Force does a pretty inadequate job to provide chances for themselves to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked #331 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.73 vs. AO. If Air Force does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to hinder opponents from sinking threes. AO will convert only 30.0% of their three-point attempts, and the team ranks 15th-best in the NCAA in that category because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	@ Bowling Green₂₈₂	W 73.31 - 67.74	L 58-62	0-1	111.81	84.86	▼ 26.95	100.44	87.85	▲ 12.59	▼ 14.36
Fri 11/11/2022	vs Delaware₂₄₅	W 70.95 - 62.25	W 75-71	1-1	108.16	103.63	▼ 4.53	99.56	107.97	▼ 8.41	▼ 12.94
Mon 11/14/2022	vs Texas A&M-Comm.₃₀₈	W 71.93 - 60.15	L 69-73 (OT)	1-2	112.01	88.70	▼ 23.31	98.24	95.49	▲ 2.75	▼ 20.56
Thu 11/17/2022	vs Portland₁₇₅	W 73.10 - 68.19	L 51-64	1-3	109.08	78.95	▼ 30.13	106.24	102.00	▲ 4.24	▼ 25.89
Mon 11/21/2022	vs USC Upstate₂₅₂	W 69.69 - 60.48	W 83-56	2-3	104.01	125.12	▲ 21.11	94.82	93.53	▲ 1.29	▲ 22.40
Wed 11/23/2022	vs Miss. Valley St.₃₅₈	W 74.54 - 55.48	W 64-51	3-3	113.69	126.57	▲ 12.88	88.89	96.00	▼ 7.11	▲ 5.77
Sun 11/27/2022	vs Montana₁₅₉	W 66.77 - 62.91	W 59-56	4-3	107.22	93.16	▼ 14.06	106.18	95.34	▲ 10.84	▼ 3.22
Wed 11/30/2022	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₁₂	W 72.67 - 59.70	W 81-53	5-3	105.49	118.69	▲ 13.20	91.51	75.69	▲ 15.82	▲ 29.02
Sat 12/3/2022	@ Portland State₂₃₉	W 72.84 - 69.52	L 64-68	5-4	107.97	94.76	▼ 13.21	99.89	96.55	▲ 3.34	▼ 9.87
Tue 12/6/2022	vs South Dakota₃₁₆	W 72.67 - 60.01	W 79-58	6-4	113.51	118.34	▲ 4.83	97.70	86.49	▲ 11.21	▲ 16.04
Fri 12/9/2022	vs Arkansas State₂₇₀	W 67.56 - 57.69	W 80-55	7-4	107.20	144.00	▲ 36.80	95.72	100.00	▼ 4.28	▲ 32.52
Sun 12/18/2022	vs Tarleton₁₅₀	W 65.78 - 62.29	W 81-67	8-4	100.96	115.73	▲ 14.77	100.38	100.46	▼ 0.08	▲ 14.69
Tue 12/20/2022	@ N. Colorado₂₃₆	W 71.81 - 68.84	W 67-65	9-4	110.78	94.74	▼ 16.04	102.86	91.52	▲ 11.34	▼ 4.70
Wed 12/28/2022	@ San Diego State₁₃	L 55.98 - 70.74	L 55-71	9-5	91.11	91.29	▲ 0.18	110.92	115.54	▼ 4.62	▼ 4.44
Sat 12/31/2022	vs Nevada₅₈	L 62.92 - 67.65	L 69-75	9-6	97.08	99.47	▲ 2.39	108.21	112.30	▼ 4.09	▼ 1.70
Tue 1/3/2023	vs Utah State₃₀	L 65.68 - 72.93	L 65-77	9-7	99.02	98.00	▼ 1.02	113.54	117.15	▼ 3.61	▼ 4.63
Tue 1/10/2023	@ Colorado State₁₀₅	L 64.28 - 69.45	W 85-74 (OT)	10-7	103.20	112.17	▲ 8.97	107.70	108.17	▼ 0.47	▲ 8.50
Sat 1/14/2023	@ Fresno State₁₃₁	L 60.41 - 63.68	W 51-48	11-7	99.89	89.93	▼ 9.96	101.84	80.76	▲ 21.08	▲ 11.12
Tue 1/17/2023	vs Wyoming₁₅₅	W 67.39 - 63.63	W 82-74	12-7	105.06	120.39	▲ 15.33	103.82	112.45	▼ 8.63	▲ 6.70
Sat 1/21/2023	vs San Diego State₁₃	L 58.54 - 68.16	L 60-70	12-8	91.11	98.00	▲ 6.89	110.92	116.76	▼ 5.84	▲ 1.05
Tue 1/24/2023	@ San Jose State₁₀₃	L 60.37 - 65.33	L 52-82	12-9	103.58	97.46	▼ 6.12	107.65	159.36	▼ 51.71	▼ 57.83
Fri 1/27/2023	@ New Mexico₆₈	L 68.09 - 77.83	L 73-81	12-10	102.08	110.96	▲ 8.88	112.26	118.89	▼ 6.63	▲ 2.25
Tue 1/31/2023	vs Boise State₄₈	L 61.96 - 67.40	L 52-59	12-11	95.75	86.13	▼ 9.62	108.83	98.72	▲ 10.11	▲ 0.49
Fri 2/3/2023	@ Nevada₅₈	L 60.33 - 70.37	L 52-72	12-12	97.08	83.04	▼ 14.04	108.21	110.07	▼ 1.86	▼ 15.90
Tue 2/7/2023	vs Colorado State₁₀₅	W 66.88 - 66.83	L 53-69	12-13	103.20	90.59	▼ 12.61	107.70	128.42	▼ 20.72	▼ 33.33
Fri 2/10/2023	vs New Mexico₆₈	L 70.86 - 75.01	W 89-77	13-13	102.08	137.34	▲ 35.26	112.26	108.56	▲ 3.70	▲ 38.96
Tue 2/14/2023	@ Utah State₃₀	L 63.03 - 75.68	L 65-80	13-14	99.02	92.77	▼ 6.25	113.54	116.75	▼ 3.21	▼ 9.46
Fri 2/17/2023	@ Wyoming₁₅₅	L 64.81 - 66.17	W 75-69	14-14	105.06	113.94	▲ 8.88	103.82	100.98	▲ 2.84	▲ 11.72
Tue 2/21/2023	vs Fresno State₁₃₁	W 62.94 - 61.12	L 69-74	14-15	99.89	105.81	▲ 5.92	101.84	117.63	▼ 15.79	▼ 9.87
Fri 2/24/2023	@ UNLV₉₀	L 63.75 - 70.67	L 53-54	14-16	98.56	84.49	▼ 14.07	105.19	81.07	▲ 24.12	▲ 10.05
Sat 3/4/2023	vs San Jose State₁₀₃	L 62.81 - 62.93	L 61-63	14-17	103.58	96.38	▼ 7.20	107.65	102.00	▲ 5.65	▼ 1.55
Wed 3/8/2023	vs UNLV₉₀ *	L 65.10 - 69.32	L 70-78 (OT)	14-18	98.56	87.69	▼ 10.87	105.19	87.69	▲ 17.50	▲ 6.63
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Air Force does better vs. clubs that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.00, Air Force performs above average 70% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 17% of the time.
	Air Force performs better against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.60, Air Force is more efficient than normal 80% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 36% of the time.
	When playing teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint, Air Force usually performs better than average. Air Force is more efficient than normal 64% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 56.33%. In all other contests, Air Force performs better than average 20% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox