Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Abil. Christian 24-5 (0.828) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.792 (75^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.361 (285^th)	Record Quality: 0.237 (65^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 96.54 (93^rd)
Pace: 70.24 (150^th)	Momentum: -0.62 (203^rd)	Off. Momentum: -0.79 (251^st)	Def. Momentum: 0.17 (131^st)
Consistency: -10.93 (318^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.09 (225^th)	Away From Home: -3.07 (339^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.36 (218^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.59

24.61

70.79

84.91

43.14

28.50

34.80

21.55

33.89

34.86

55.68

13.66

15.57

4.93

33.56

25.38

41.05

1.93

RANK:

152^nd

175^th

195^th

54^th

206^th

257^th

129^th

234^th

310^th

9^th

259^th

47^th

50^th

167^th

282^nd

254^th

14^th

24^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.25

26.91

73.69

42.52

28.41

31.17

21.73

38.75

23.55

59.69

9.83

13.34

5.81

38.55

29.49

31.96

2.07

RANK:

21^st

259^th

2^nd

107^th

87^th

40^th

115^th

194^th

23^rd

202^nd

86^th

221^st

278^th

233^rd

227^th

95^th

98^th

ANALYSIS:
Abil. Christian has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. They are ranked #75 (out of 357) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 24-5. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 13) in the Southland (average ranking 267.5).

Abil. Christian will suffocate most opponents with its stifling defense. Allowing roughly 90 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, this squad is rated #21 in defensive efficiency. Abil. Christian has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked second in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 73.69 vs. AO. Abil. Christian has also done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 40th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.2% of their attempts from afar.

Though they're not quite as efficient offensively as they are defensively, Abil. Christian still does OK when they have possession of the ball. The team ranks 152nd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Abil. Christian will routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is 14th in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. Curiously enough, though they shoot a fair amount of field goals from the inside, they don't really make a whole bunch of them, converting only 55.7% of their near-proximity attempts vs. AO. Abil. Christian has also established itself as a team that cleans the offensive glass quite well. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 15.57 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 50th in the NCAA). If Abil. Christian does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to drain mid-range jumpers. The squad makes just 33.9% of their mid-range field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 48th-worst in the nation.

Abil. Christian has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 318th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. On the road, Abil. Christian performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 339th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/25/2020	vs ETSU₁₃₄ *	W 66.73 - 61.59	W 70-47	1-0	98.87	98.44	▼ 0.43	91.66	64.06	▲ 27.60	▲ 27.17
Fri 11/27/2020	vs Austin Peay₂₁₈ *	W 73.54 - 62.84	W 80-72	2-0	106.75	108.22	▲ 1.47	91.47	90.54	▲ 0.93	▲ 2.40
Sat 11/28/2020	vs Omaha₃₀₁ *	W 77.75 - 60.64	W 70-58	3-0	106.34	97.22	▼ 9.12	83.74	81.69	▲ 2.05	▼ 7.07
Tue 12/1/2020	vs Howard Payne	---	W 81-51	4-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/5/2020	vs Tarleton₂₄₀	W 71.01 - 56.50	W 69-48	5-0	103.69	99.45	▼ 4.24	86.82	68.80	▲ 18.02	▲ 13.78
Wed 12/9/2020	@ Texas Tech₁₃	L 59.67 - 70.62	L 44-51	5-1	90.32	71.98	▼ 18.34	102.56	77.55	▲ 25.01	▲ 6.67
Sat 12/12/2020	vs McMurry	---	W 83-46	6-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/16/2020	vs Hardin-Simmons	---	W 95-73	7-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/22/2020	@ Arkansas₂₃	L 64.91 - 75.13	L 72-85	7-2	90.04	102.14	▲ 12.10	99.79	114.76	▼ 14.97	▼ 2.87
Tue 12/29/2020	vs Dallas Christ.	---	W 82-44	8-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 1/2/2021	vs Lamar₃₂₀	W 76.39 - 55.03	W 83-65	9-2	106.40	116.04	▲ 9.64	80.66	89.64	▼ 8.98	▲ 0.66
Wed 1/6/2021	@ Houston Baptist₃₄₅	W 80.76 - 59.78	W 66-63	10-2	111.73	96.09	▼ 15.64	78.95	87.86	▼ 8.91	▼ 24.55
Sat 1/16/2021	vs SE Louisiana₃₄₁	W 79.68 - 54.53	W 76-42	11-2	109.35	127.05	▲ 17.70	78.47	37.85	▲ 40.62	▲ 58.32
Wed 1/20/2021	@ Sam Houston₁₆₉	W 71.64 - 66.59	L 57-64	11-3	100.84	83.02	▼ 17.82	89.93	90.62	▼ 0.69	▼ 18.51
Sat 1/23/2021	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₀₀	W 80.82 - 60.71	W 93-58	12-3	108.26	118.23	▲ 9.97	85.59	64.40	▲ 21.19	▲ 31.16
Wed 1/27/2021	vs Stephen F. Austin₁₃₀	W 72.41 - 64.19	W 82-62	13-3	99.35	106.43	▲ 7.08	92.01	82.69	▲ 9.32	▲ 16.40
Sat 1/30/2021	@ Incarnate Word₃₃₄	W 73.51 - 56.49	W 75-67	14-3	110.39	109.28	▼ 1.11	81.29	96.03	▼ 14.74	▼ 15.85
Sat 2/6/2021	@ Lamar₃₂₀	W 73.47 - 57.96	W 77-62	15-3	106.40	118.80	▲ 12.40	80.66	90.29	▼ 9.63	▲ 2.77
Mon 2/8/2021	@ Texas A&M-CC₃₃₇	W 75.47 - 57.39	W 82-69	16-3	108.00	118.08	▲ 10.08	78.62	97.86	▼ 19.24	▼ 9.16
Wed 2/10/2021	vs Houston Baptist₃₄₅	W 83.81 - 56.69	W 88-59	17-3	111.73	113.65	▲ 1.92	78.95	62.14	▲ 16.81	▲ 18.73
Sat 2/13/2021	vs Texas A&M-CC₃₃₇	W 78.43 - 54.44	W 83-55	18-3	108.00	107.09	▼ 0.91	78.62	68.80	▲ 9.82	▲ 8.91
Wed 2/24/2021	vs Sam Houston₁₆₉	W 74.65 - 63.60	W 86-72	19-3	100.84	114.76	▲ 13.92	89.93	104.99	▼ 15.06	▼ 1.14
Sat 2/27/2021	@ Cent. Arkansas₃₀₀	W 77.78 - 63.73	L 82-84	19-4	108.26	108.29	▲ 0.03	85.59	108.39	▼ 22.80	▼ 22.77
Wed 3/3/2021	@ Stephen F. Austin₁₃₀	W 69.45 - 67.09	W 63-61	20-4	99.35	88.44	▼ 10.91	92.01	82.29	▲ 9.72	▼ 1.19
Sat 3/6/2021	vs Incarnate Word₃₃₄	W 76.33 - 53.70	W 85-60	21-4	110.39	117.53	▲ 7.14	81.29	75.91	▲ 5.38	▲ 12.52
Fri 3/12/2021	vs Lamar₃₂₀ *	W 74.93 - 56.49	W 93-71	22-4	106.40	132.76	▲ 26.36	80.66	89.66	▼ 9.00	▲ 17.36
Sat 3/13/2021	vs Nicholls₂₁₃ *	W 75.45 - 64.24	W 79-45	23-4	102.14	106.25	▲ 4.11	87.76	68.75	▲ 19.01	▲ 23.12
Sat 3/20/2021	vs Texas₂₂ *	L 65.02 - 71.92	W 53-52	24-4	91.95	82.81	▼ 9.14	101.42	81.25	▲ 20.17	▲ 11.03
Mon 3/22/2021	vs UCLA₂₇ *	L 62.55 - 68.51	L 47-67	24-5	94.45	65.45	▼ 29.00	103.36	111.11	▼ 7.75	▼ 36.75
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Abil. Christian performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.31, Abil. Christian is more efficient than normal 35% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 75% of the time.
	When playing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, Abil. Christian usually performs worse than average. Abil. Christian is more efficient than normal 25% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.84. In all other contests, Abil. Christian performs better than average 59% of the time.
	Abil. Christian is typically worse vs. teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.31%, Abil. Christian performs above their norm 25% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 59% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	UCLA downs Abilene Christian for unlikely Sweet 16 trip (3/22/2021 9:47:34 PM) The little guys and have-nots aren’t the only unlikely stories in this NCAA Tournament that’s become defined by upsets. Sometimes, the blue bloods can get their elbows dirty and surprise, too. Sometimes, the haves can become feel-good stories in March Madness…
	NCAA Tournament scores, winners and losers: Oregon, UCLA boost Pac-12's profile as Big Ten collapses (3/22/2021 9:00:48 PM) The maligned Pac-12 is sending more teams to the Sweet 16 than the heralded Big Ten
	Gonzaga dominant as ever, within four of perfection after trouncing Oklahoma (3/22/2021 8:23:48 PM) Facing a rare large-conference foe didn't much slow down the Bulldogs (28-0), who built a 10-point lead late in the first half and ran away from the Sooners.
	No. 11 UCLA cruises into Sweet 16 with rout of No. 14 Abilene Christian - Reuters (3/22/2021 7:41:00 PM) Johnny Juzang scored 17 points to lead a balanced UCLA attack as the 11th-seeded Bruins rolled past 14th-seeded Abilene Christian 67-47 Monday afternoon in an NCAA Tournament East Regional second-round game at Indianapolis.
	UCLA brushes off Abilene Christian 67-47 to reach Sweet 16 (3/22/2021 7:39:08 PM) Johnny Juzang scored 17 points and 11th-seeded UCLA carefully brushed off pesky Abilene Christian 67-47 Monday to become the fifth team to go from First Four to Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament. The Bruins (20-9) meet the winner of Maryland-Alabama in their fi…

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox