Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Bowling Green 21-10 (0.677) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.514 (172^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.505 (154^th)	Record Quality: 0.172 (92^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 167.67 (171^st)
Pace: 70.74 (102^nd)	Momentum: 0.37 (158^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.51 (256^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.88 (89^th)
Consistency: -8.83 (141^st)	Res. Consistency: -10.89 (109^th)	Away From Home: 0.58 (105^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 1.29 (23^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.63

24.49

75.32

84.99

41.94

31.84

34.21

22.79

36.91

30.36

53.82

11.26

16.29

6.35

37.46

26.82

35.72

2.02

RANK:

149^th

205^th

52^nd

39^th

246^th

142^nd

120^th

170^th

173^rd

92^nd

309^th

157^th

38^th

48^th

181^st

205^th

137^th

157^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.38

26.95

83.35

43.05

30.07

33.86

21.73

35.35

31.55

57.11

9.61

13.86

5.00

36.08

26.07

37.85

1.98

RANK:

190^th

248^th

233^rd

143^rd

204^th

139^th

100^th

293^rd

110^th

58^th

239^th

176^th

117^th

131^st

292^nd

273^rd

ANALYSIS:
Bowling Green is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Their record this season is 21-10, and the club is ranked 172nd overall (out of 353) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 166.6).

Based on the data, Bowling Green will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #149 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Bowling Green has established itself as a team that cleans the offensive glass quite well. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 16.29 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 38th in the NCAA), and they convert 6.3% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 48th) as well. Bowling Green also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 39th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.99 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 41.9% of them vs. AO. If Bowling Green does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's troubles converting from the inside. The squad makes just 53.8% of their near-proximity field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 45th-worst in Division I.

Bowling Green is not quite as good on the defensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 190th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Although their defense isn't the greatest, Bowling Green doesn't stand out as being especially horrible in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the bottom-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/5/2019	vs Tiffin	---	W 94-73	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/8/2019	@ LSU₃₉	L 70.44 - 85.52	L 79-88	1-1	100.68	94.55	▼ 6.13	115.78	106.40	▲ 9.38	▲ 3.25
Mon 11/11/2019	vs Jacksonville₂₃₄ *	W 70.48 - 65.63	W 75-59	2-1	101.44	110.94	▲ 9.50	94.20	80.00	▲ 14.20	▲ 23.70
Fri 11/15/2019	vs Fairmont	---	W 88-66	3-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/22/2019	vs W. Kentucky₁₀₇ *	L 71.33 - 75.75	W 77-75	4-1	100.62	102.67	▲ 2.05	106.97	98.68	▲ 8.29	▲ 10.34
Sun 11/24/2019	vs Cincinnati₅₆ *	L 65.58 - 74.13	W 91-84 (OT)	5-1	93.55	85.71	▼ 7.84	105.64	88.34	▲ 17.30	▲ 9.46
Mon 11/25/2019	vs Nevada₇₈ *	L 72.00 - 79.50	L 62-77	5-2	97.10	82.05	▼ 15.05	107.56	105.42	▲ 2.14	▼ 12.91
Sat 11/30/2019	vs Dartmouth₂₃₀	W 71.54 - 63.63	W 76-69	6-2	101.25	104.59	▲ 3.34	94.82	102.09	▼ 7.27	▼ 3.93
Sat 12/7/2019	vs Oakland₂₄₈	W 73.12 - 64.32	W 68-65	7-2	103.92	101.49	▼ 2.43	96.11	100.56	▼ 4.45	▼ 6.88
Sun 12/15/2019	vs Cleveland State₃₁₉	W 74.80 - 60.80	W 72-58	8-2	104.32	95.33	▼ 8.99	89.74	82.75	▲ 6.99	▼ 2.00
Fri 12/20/2019	vs Norfolk State₂₅₄ *	W 70.65 - 64.50	L 67-72 (OT)	8-3	101.41	90.16	▼ 11.25	93.12	91.67	▲ 1.45	▼ 9.80
Sat 12/21/2019	vs Quinnipiac₂₅₅ *	W 76.26 - 70.22	L 64-69	8-4	108.62	92.75	▼ 15.87	99.49	98.57	▲ 0.92	▼ 14.95
Tue 12/31/2019	vs Hartford₂₄₂	W 73.32 - 64.51	W 81-68	9-4	101.02	114.03	▲ 13.01	93.99	98.89	▼ 4.90	▲ 8.11
Fri 1/3/2020	vs Kent State₁₁₅	L 72.94 - 73.26	L 61-79	9-5	101.37	80.89	▼ 20.48	106.37	117.83	▼ 11.46	▼ 31.94
Tue 1/7/2020	vs Miami (OH)₂₁₉	W 75.41 - 68.49	W 78-76	10-5	105.43	107.41	▲ 1.98	101.01	113.80	▼ 12.79	▼ 10.81
Sat 1/11/2020	@ Ohio₁₄₇	L 69.02 - 73.47	W 83-74	11-5	101.00	128.21	▲ 27.21	102.69	111.40	▼ 8.71	▲ 18.50
Tue 1/14/2020	@ W. Michigan₂₄₉	W 72.09 - 69.78	W 85-82	12-5	104.69	117.48	▲ 12.79	97.21	109.19	▼ 11.98	▲ 0.81
Sat 1/18/2020	vs N. Illinois₁₈₀	W 68.29 - 64.29	W 66-64	13-5	98.10	96.75	▼ 1.35	97.43	101.65	▼ 4.22	▼ 5.57
Tue 1/21/2020	vs E. Michigan₁₉₈	W 68.72 - 63.02	W 62-59	14-5	96.20	85.81	▼ 10.39	92.78	81.61	▲ 11.17	▲ 0.78
Sat 1/25/2020	@ Toledo₁₅₉	L 70.54 - 74.72	W 85-79	15-5	102.10	120.50	▲ 18.40	103.22	107.27	▼ 4.05	▲ 14.35
Tue 1/28/2020	vs Ball State₁₁₃	L 67.60 - 67.94	W 67-61	16-5	93.87	91.92	▼ 1.95	99.15	87.17	▲ 11.98	▲ 10.03
Fri 1/31/2020	@ Buffalo₁₅₀	L 74.66 - 79.51	W 78-77	17-5	100.12	103.42	▲ 3.30	101.34	95.02	▲ 6.32	▲ 9.62
Tue 2/4/2020	@ Cent. Michigan₂₀₃	L 77.52 - 78.52	L 82-92	17-6	104.69	110.90	▲ 6.21	101.41	127.13	▼ 25.72	▼ 19.51
Sat 2/8/2020	vs Toledo₁₅₉	W 74.08 - 71.23	W 85-83	18-6	102.10	118.98	▲ 16.88	103.22	118.16	▼ 14.94	▲ 1.94
Tue 2/11/2020	@ Akron₉₄	L 69.14 - 78.48	L 59-74	18-7	97.82	79.47	▼ 18.35	106.37	98.60	▲ 7.77	▼ 10.58
Sat 2/15/2020	@ Ball State₁₁₃	L 64.10 - 71.33	W 77-71	19-7	93.87	114.95	▲ 21.08	99.15	80.36	▲ 18.79	▲ 39.87
Sat 2/22/2020	vs Ohio₁₄₇	W 72.52 - 70.10	W 62-61	20-7	101.00	94.43	▼ 6.57	102.69	95.73	▲ 6.96	▲ 0.39
Tue 2/25/2020	vs Akron₉₄	L 72.75 - 74.83	W 78-60	21-7	97.82	110.05	▲ 12.23	106.37	82.14	▲ 24.23	▲ 36.46
Sat 2/29/2020	@ Miami (OH)₂₁₉	L 71.92 - 71.93	L 55-73	21-8	105.43	86.74	▼ 18.69	101.01	104.72	▼ 3.71	▼ 22.40
Tue 3/3/2020	@ Kent State₁₁₅	L 69.43 - 76.75	L 69-83	21-9	101.37	96.24	▼ 5.13	106.37	111.25	▼ 4.88	▼ 10.01
Fri 3/6/2020	vs Buffalo₁₅₀	W 78.47 - 75.84	L 84-88	21-10	100.12	102.55	▲ 2.43	101.34	113.84	▼ 12.50	▼ 10.07
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, Bowling Green often performs worse than normal. Bowling Green is more efficient than usual 10% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.49. In their other contests, Bowling Green performs better than the norm 68% of the time.
	Bowling Green does worse vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.17, Bowling Green performs above average 23% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 69% of the time.
	Bowling Green performs worse against squads that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.01, Bowling Green is more efficient than normal 23% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 69% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	UB tops Bowling Green 88-84 in regular season finale, earns no. 5 seed in MAC Tournament (3/6/2020 11:19:00 PM) BUFFALO, N.Y. (WKBW) — The UB men's basketball team closed out the regular season with a big road win, topping Bowling Green 88-84 on Friday evening. Despite grabbing a win, the Bulls failed to earn a bye to the MAC Tournament quarterfinals following a Ball State win over Northern Illinois. The Bulls led 40-33 at halftime, but a Bowling Green ...
	Graves scores 25 to carry Buffalo past Bowling Green 88-84 (3/6/2020 10:25:00 PM) BOWLING GREEN, Ohio — Jayvon Graves had 25 points as Buffalo defeated Bowling Green 88-84 on Friday night. Josh Mballa had 16 points and 12 rebounds for Buffalo (20-11, 11-7 Mid-American Conference).
	BGSU takes over first place in the MAC (2/26/2020 5:33:30 AM) Justin Turner scored 19 points, Daeqwon Plowden added 10 with 13 rebounds and Bowling Green beat Akron 78-60 on Tuesday night to take sole possession of first place in the Mid-American Conference standings.
	Jackson scores 37 to lead Toledo over Cent. Michigan 93-81 (2/25/2020 11:08:00 PM) Central Michigan plays Miami (Ohio) on the road on Thursday. Justin Turner scored 19 points, Daeqwon Plowden added 10 with 13 rebounds and Bowling Green beat Akron 78-60 to take sole possession of first place in Mid-American Conference standings
	Bowling Green rolls past Akron 78-60 in battle for first place (2/25/2020 10:15:53 PM) The University of Akron looked out of sync and in trouble early on during their game at Bowling Green Tuesday night. With first place for the Mid-American Conference's East Division on the line, the Falcons pounded the Zips 78-60 in the Stroh Center.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox