Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Princeton 16-12 (0.571) | Ivy

All-Play Percentage: 0.494 (178^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.530 (136^th)	Record Quality: 0.067 (133^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 195.98 (197^th)
Pace: 68.53 (188^th)	Momentum: -1.72 (244^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.17 (274^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.55 (167^th)
Consistency: -8.37 (47^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.31 (22^nd)	Away From Home: 1.68 (16^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.20 (200^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.25

24.39

75.18

82.74

41.70

34.73

31.40

16.05

30.46

31.96

58.54

8.74

11.27

4.12

41.97

19.40

38.63

2.03

RANK:

255^th

253^rd

47^th

205^th

276^th

94^th

318^th

310^th

338^th

104^th

204^th

314^th

303^rd

337^th

83^rd

314^th

94^th

195^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.04

24.03

85.05

43.38

29.50

32.18

23.45

40.55

32.10

55.75

11.82

14.64

5.94

34.69

27.57

37.75

1.97

RANK:

123^rd

81^st

238^th

128^th

60^th

46^th

292^nd

328^th

246^th

60^th

192^nd

268^th

158^th

39^th

278^th

224^th

285^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see Princeton on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Ranked 178th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 16-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of eight) in the Ivy League (average ranking 158.3).

If there is a strength for Princeton this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 123rd in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Princeton has done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 46th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 32.2% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 34.7% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown. Princeton has also been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 60th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 55.8% of their attempts from close-up. If Princeton does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's troubles stopping opponents from converting mid-range jumpers. AO will make good on 40.5% of their mid-range field goal attempts, and the squad ranks 26th-worst in that category because of it.

The offense for Princeton, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 255th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Princeton is downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 338th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 30.5% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. Princeton also does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 4.1% of all second-chance opportunities (337th nationally). If Princeton does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's outstanding shooting at the charity stripe. The squad makes 75.2% of their free throw attempts, which ranks #47 in Division I.

Princeton is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 47th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm. When playing on the road, Princeton has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 16th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/9/2018	vs DeSales	---	W 85-51	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/16/2018	@ Lehigh₁₆₄	L 71.91 - 76.45	L 57-72	1-1	103.09	85.83	▼ 17.26	104.00	99.00	▲ 5.00	▼ 12.26
Wed 11/21/2018	vs Fair. Dickinson₂₂₈	W 72.32 - 66.32	L 66-77	1-2	106.51	91.44	▼ 15.07	101.78	120.96	▼ 19.18	▼ 34.25
Sat 11/24/2018	@ Monmouth₃₀₂	W 67.02 - 62.42	W 60-57	2-2	101.43	107.30	▲ 5.87	89.79	94.23	▼ 4.44	▲ 1.43
Wed 11/28/2018	@ Maine₃₃₇	W 68.42 - 59.69	W 73-59	3-2	106.31	120.53	▲ 14.22	88.55	84.39	▲ 4.16	▲ 18.38
Sat 12/1/2018	vs G. Washington₃₀₀	W 71.45 - 60.41	W 73-52	4-2	102.56	99.02	▼ 3.54	91.26	77.50	▲ 13.76	▲ 10.22
Wed 12/5/2018	vs Saint Joe's₁₆₅	W 71.08 - 68.53	L 82-92	4-3	101.76	109.10	▲ 7.34	101.77	133.92	▼ 32.15	▼ 24.81
Sun 12/9/2018	@ St. John's₈₂	L 65.88 - 77.35	L 74-89	4-4	95.21	98.60	▲ 3.39	105.14	111.98	▼ 6.84	▼ 3.45
Sat 12/15/2018	vs Iona₂₀₂ *	W 73.74 - 72.21	W 85-81	5-4	103.56	111.84	▲ 8.28	102.04	108.00	▼ 5.96	▲ 2.32
Tue 12/18/2018	@ Duke₄	L 58.17 - 87.36	L 50-101	5-5	84.85	78.12	▼ 6.73	117.70	122.39	▼ 4.69	▼ 11.42
Fri 12/21/2018	@ Lafayette₂₉₈	W 72.47 - 68.03	W 81-79	6-5	106.68	107.83	▲ 1.15	95.76	107.71	▼ 11.95	▼ 10.80
Sat 12/29/2018	@ Arizona State₆₆	L 63.66 - 76.44	W 67-66	7-5	92.33	102.12	▲ 9.79	104.32	93.16	▲ 11.16	▲ 20.95
Sat 1/5/2019	vs Penn₁₂₄	L 66.07 - 67.56	W 68-65 (OT)	8-5	94.85	91.44	▼ 3.41	100.69	95.03	▲ 5.66	▲ 2.25
Sat 1/12/2019	@ Penn₁₂₄	L 62.66 - 70.83	W 62-53	9-5	94.85	91.72	▼ 3.13	100.69	72.69	▲ 28.00	▲ 24.87
Sun 1/27/2019	vs Wesley College	---	W 91-62	10-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 2/1/2019	@ Columbia₂₁₉	L 67.58 - 68.85	W 55-43	11-5	101.38	84.59	▼ 16.79	98.22	61.68	▲ 36.54	▲ 19.75
Sat 2/2/2019	@ Cornell₂₁₀	L 66.07 - 67.75	W 70-61 (OT)	12-5	98.82	94.30	▼ 4.52	96.55	87.83	▲ 8.72	▲ 4.20
Fri 2/8/2019	@ Yale₆₄	L 65.71 - 78.74	L 60-74	12-6	94.34	83.58	▼ 10.76	107.13	98.87	▲ 8.26	▼ 2.50
Sat 2/9/2019	@ Brown₁₅₄	L 65.43 - 70.99	L 70-78	12-7	93.57	97.09	▲ 3.52	96.36	101.50	▼ 5.14	▼ 1.62
Fri 2/15/2019	vs Harvard₁₁₁	L 65.85 - 67.62	L 69-78	12-8	94.64	97.50	▲ 2.86	101.85	112.36	▼ 10.51	▼ 7.65
Sat 2/16/2019	vs Dartmouth₂₀₆	W 70.10 - 65.18	W 69-68	13-8	102.38	108.79	▲ 6.41	99.69	110.43	▼ 10.74	▼ 4.33
Fri 2/22/2019	vs Cornell₂₁₀	W 69.53 - 64.36	W 68-59	14-8	98.82	100.53	▲ 1.71	96.55	92.92	▲ 3.63	▲ 5.34
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Columbia₂₁₉	W 71.03 - 65.50	W 79-61	15-8	101.38	116.25	▲ 14.87	98.22	96.15	▲ 2.07	▲ 16.94
Fri 3/1/2019	@ Dartmouth₂₀₆	L 66.73 - 68.51	W 77-76 (OT)	16-8	102.38	86.71	▼ 15.67	99.69	86.39	▲ 13.30	▼ 2.37
Sat 3/2/2019	@ Harvard₁₁₁	L 62.44 - 71.00	L 58-66	16-9	94.64	92.82	▼ 1.82	101.85	103.96	▼ 2.11	▼ 3.93
Fri 3/8/2019	vs Brown₁₅₄	W 69.04 - 67.44	L 63-67	16-10	93.57	75.76	▼ 17.81	96.36	85.99	▲ 10.37	▼ 7.44
Sat 3/9/2019	vs Yale₆₄	L 69.30 - 75.15	L 59-81	16-11	94.34	78.54	▼ 15.80	107.13	124.53	▼ 17.40	▼ 33.20
Sat 3/16/2019	@ Yale₆₄	L 65.71 - 78.74	L 77-83	16-12	94.34	110.95	▲ 16.61	107.13	112.78	▼ 5.65	▲ 10.96
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Princeton performs worse against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 70.25%, Princeton is more efficient than normal 24% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 89% of the time.
	When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Princeton usually performs worse than average. Princeton is more efficient than normal 17% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 12.56. In all other contests, Princeton performs better than average 71% of the time.
	Princeton is typically worse vs. teams that convert well from outside the arc. Against foes that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.81%, Princeton performs above their norm 11% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 65% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Ivy League slide continues as men's basketball loses to Harvard (2/16/2019 12:33:00 PM) Men’s basketball (12–8, 4–3 Ivy) was defeated at home last night by Harvard (12–8, 5–2) 78–69. A close match ended in disappointment after the Tigers lost the lead with seven minutes to go in the second half. Princeton was first place in the ...
	COLUMN: Bryce Aiken leaves men's basketball searching for answers (2/16/2019 2:49:00 AM) That’s fitting, since Aiken put on a performance reminiscent of Irving in the second half of Harvard’s 78–69 win over Princeton at Jadwin. With a combination of slick handles, acrobatic finishes at the rim, and stepback threes, Aiken dismantled the ...
	Aiken scores 33 to carry Harvard over Princeton 78-69 (2/15/2019 11:53:00 PM) Richmond Aririguzoh had 15 points, 11 rebounds and three assists for the Tigers (12-8 ... plays Penn on the road on Saturday. Princeton matches up against Dartmouth at home on Saturday. For more AP college basketball coverage: https://apnews.com ...
	Princeton has no answer for Harvard's Bryce Aiken in Ivy League loss (2/15/2019 10:11:00 PM) Aiken torched the Tigers for 24 of his 33 points in the second half, including a momentum-turning 4-point play that helped send Princeton to a third consecutive ... This group has a lot of really good basketball left. We have Richmond and that is a major ...
	Harvard, Princeton meet in conference play (2/14/2019 6:56:00 AM) He’s also made 86.8 per cent of his free throws this season. PERFECT WHEN: Princeton is a perfect 10-0 when it holds an opponent to 66 points or fewer. The Tigers are 2-7 when opponents score more than 66 points. ASSIST-TO-FG RATIO: The Crimson have ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox