Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 North Dakota 18-14 (0.563) | Summit League

All-Play Percentage: 0.385 (223^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.295 (321^st)	Record Quality: -0.088 (226^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 257.79 (263^rd)
Pace: 67.59 (200^th)	Momentum: 1.51 (104^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.76 (92^nd)	Def. Momentum: -0.25 (162^nd)
Consistency: -10.81 (331^st)	Res. Consistency: -17.28 (356^th)	Away From Home: 1.34 (44^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.85 (262^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.01

26.40

70.97

87.65

41.54

35.77

32.00

22.25

37.11

29.63

56.40

11.82

16.82

6.18

40.81

25.38

33.81

2.07

RANK:

212^th

181^st

232^nd

74^th

290^th

52^nd

291^st

188^th

260^th

237^th

217^th

155^th

39^th

107^th

71^st

208^th

260^th

296^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.66

25.07

86.69

46.15

28.30

35.51

27.30

42.89

31.08

58.72

12.36

11.08

4.32

32.65

31.49

35.86

1.97

RANK:

249^th

128^th

247^th

283^rd

49^th

261^st

329^th

327^th

190^th

218^th

245^th

27^th

39^th

35^th

323^rd

167^th

273^rd

ANALYSIS:
If you see North Dakota on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. They are ranked #223 (out of 362) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 18-14. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of nine) in the Summit League (average ranking 228.3).

North Dakota does not have a terribly exceptional defense this year. Rated at #249 in defensive efficiency, they allow around 109 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. North Dakota has done a lackluster job this year when defending the mid-range shot. The squad is ranked 327th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 42.9% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Making matters worse, AO will take advantage of that weakness and put up mid-range shots in abundance. Of AO's total field goals, a huge portion of them (31.5%) will be from those in-between locations. If North Dakota does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success stopping opponents from earning second-chance opportunities via offensive boards. The team has a rating of 11.08 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 27th-best in college hoops.

North Dakota doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 103 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #212 in the nation in offensive efficiency. North Dakota has been below-average more times than not when shooting three-pointers this year. They are ranked 291st in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 32.0% of their attempts from long vs. AO. If North Dakota does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 16.82 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 39th in all of college hoops.

North Dakota has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 331st in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. On the road, North Dakota performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 44th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/7/2023	@ Iowa₅₇	L 70.75 - 87.97	L 68-110	0-1	102.06	81.11	▼ 20.95	120.89	136.06	▼ 15.17	▼ 36.12
Sun 11/12/2023	vs Elon₃₁₁	W 77.44 - 68.87	W 85-68	1-1	111.81	120.54	▲ 8.73	104.29	94.84	▲ 9.45	▲ 18.18
Thu 11/16/2023	vs Valley City	---	W 93-63	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/20/2023	@ Pacific₃₅₄	W 75.60 - 66.38	W 73-71	3-1	113.17	105.35	▼ 7.82	96.07	98.89	▼ 2.82	▼ 10.64
Sat 11/25/2023	vs New Orleans₃₃₂ *	W 79.37 - 70.77	W 71-69 (OT)	4-1	111.90	78.95	▼ 32.95	100.01	81.08	▲ 18.93	▼ 14.02
Sun 11/26/2023	vs E. Michigan₃₂₈ *	W 72.69 - 64.92	W 72-70	5-1	110.43	110.77	▲ 0.34	98.42	109.38	▼ 10.96	▼ 10.62
Tue 11/28/2023	vs Cncrdia SP	---	W 87-56	6-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/1/2023	@ CSU Fullerton₂₂₆	L 67.27 - 70.50	L 54-64	6-2	103.00	91.06	▼ 11.94	103.02	100.69	▲ 2.33	▼ 9.61
Sun 12/3/2023	@ UC Riverside₂₁₉	L 68.77 - 72.23	L 62-68	6-3	105.38	96.48	▼ 8.90	105.52	102.08	▲ 3.44	▼ 5.46
Sat 12/9/2023	vs Portland₂₉₃	W 77.81 - 70.46	L 72-83	6-4	111.91	98.56	▼ 13.35	106.48	118.25	▼ 11.77	▼ 25.12
Tue 12/12/2023	vs Waldorf	---	W 87-36	7-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/16/2023	@ Utah Tech₂₈₅	L 72.26 - 72.38	W 79-62	8-4	105.34	119.49	▲ 14.15	100.91	72.13	▲ 28.78	▲ 42.93
Wed 12/20/2023	@ Nebraska₃₁	L 63.85 - 83.56	L 75-83	8-5	95.58	111.23	▲ 15.65	118.62	119.52	▼ 0.90	▲ 14.75
Fri 12/29/2023	vs St. Thomas₁₃₀	L 65.47 - 68.18	L 45-70	8-6	100.71	47.46	▼ 53.25	109.86	120.31	▼ 10.45	▼ 63.70
Sun 12/31/2023	@ South Dakota St.₁₄₁	L 68.55 - 77.05	L 61-80	8-7	103.74	94.72	▼ 9.02	110.67	112.41	▼ 1.74	▼ 10.76
Wed 1/3/2024	vs N. Colorado₁₉₃	W 76.00 - 74.03	L 87-97	8-8	106.48	121.75	▲ 15.27	109.28	141.11	▼ 31.83	▼ 16.56
Sat 1/6/2024	@ N. Arizona₃₁₀	W 73.07 - 71.24	L 73-74	8-9	108.43	107.95	▼ 0.48	101.17	104.71	▼ 3.54	▼ 4.02
Thu 1/11/2024	@ Omaha₂₄₆	L 70.39 - 72.88	L 61-79	8-10	106.87	88.69	▼ 18.18	105.47	109.77	▼ 4.30	▼ 22.48
Sat 1/13/2024	@ UMKC₂₀₁	L 67.26 - 71.47	W 82-69	9-10	103.43	127.93	▲ 24.50	104.60	97.46	▲ 7.14	▲ 31.64
Thu 1/18/2024	vs Oral Roberts₂₆₉	W 74.86 - 68.92	W 87-77	10-10	108.22	116.24	▲ 8.02	104.34	108.02	▼ 3.68	▲ 4.34
Sat 1/20/2024	vs Denver₂₅₃	W 79.63 - 74.72	W 92-78	11-10	112.01	133.31	▲ 21.30	109.33	115.97	▼ 6.64	▲ 14.66
Sat 1/27/2024	@ St. Thomas₁₃₀	L 62.35 - 71.34	W 74-64	12-10	100.71	116.38	▲ 15.67	109.86	91.31	▲ 18.55	▲ 34.22
Thu 2/1/2024	@ South Dakota₃₂₀	W 75.96 - 73.14	W 95-81	13-10	113.26	140.04	▲ 26.78	104.25	106.69	▼ 2.44	▲ 24.34
Sat 2/3/2024	vs North Dakota St.₂₇₂	W 74.87 - 68.82	W 60-58	14-10	110.61	92.70	▼ 17.91	106.27	96.08	▲ 10.19	▼ 7.72
Thu 2/8/2024	vs Omaha₂₄₆	W 73.70 - 69.50	W 99-78	15-10	106.87	122.46	▲ 15.59	105.47	94.73	▲ 10.74	▲ 26.33
Sat 2/10/2024	vs UMKC₂₀₁	W 70.53 - 68.16	L 47-65	15-11	103.43	67.11	▼ 36.32	104.60	107.71	▼ 3.11	▼ 39.43
Thu 2/15/2024	@ Denver₂₅₃	L 76.21 - 78.14	W 92-78	16-11	112.01	137.92	▲ 25.91	109.33	111.31	▼ 1.98	▲ 23.93
Sat 2/17/2024	@ Oral Roberts₂₆₉	L 71.54 - 72.30	W 78-65	17-11	108.22	111.09	▲ 2.87	104.34	86.86	▲ 17.48	▲ 20.35
Sat 2/24/2024	@ North Dakota St.₂₇₂	L 71.61 - 72.11	L 68-73	17-12	110.61	106.75	▼ 3.86	106.27	104.82	▲ 1.45	▼ 2.41
Thu 2/29/2024	vs South Dakota St.₁₄₁	L 71.87 - 73.67	L 62-72	17-13	103.74	100.80	▼ 2.94	110.67	118.67	▼ 8.00	▼ 10.94
Sat 3/2/2024	vs South Dakota₃₂₀	W 79.33 - 69.72	W 95-66	18-13	113.26	135.56	▲ 22.30	104.25	107.45	▼ 3.20	▲ 19.10
Sun 3/10/2024	vs Omaha₂₄₆ *	W 72.05 - 71.19	L 72-73	18-14	106.87	107.46	▲ 0.59	105.47	108.96	▼ 3.49	▼ 2.90
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, North Dakota usually performs better than average. North Dakota is more efficient than normal 61% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.72%. In all other contests, North Dakota performs better than average 9% of the time.
	North Dakota is typically worse vs. teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint. Against foes that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 56.98%, North Dakota performs above their norm 15% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 63% of the time.
	When facing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, North Dakota often performs better than normal. North Dakota is more efficient than usual 67% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.05. In their other contests, North Dakota performs better than the norm 24% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox