Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 North Dakota 22-10 (0.688) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.494 (177^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.388 (292^nd)	Record Quality: 0.068 (132^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 192.39 (194^th)
Pace: 73.11 (41^st)	Momentum: 1.27 (107^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.88 (166^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.39 (103^rd)
Consistency: -8.65 (140^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.50 (186^th)	Away From Home: -0.33 (187^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.33 (74^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.31

26.68

71.67

78.98

45.67

24.69

36.62

24.99

35.22

29.30

62.21

14.14

10.62

5.03

31.26

31.64

37.10

1.94

RANK:

180^th

201^st

131^st

292^nd

95^th

323^rd

104^th

124^th

232^nd

126^th

88^th

27^th

327^th

309^th

303^rd

100^th

82^nd

42^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.80

28.63

79.76

45.97

23.85

36.25

27.48

37.35

28.42

62.46

11.59

15.08

6.94

29.91

34.45

35.64

1.94

RANK:

161^st

213^th

96^th

243^rd

11^th

232^nd

314^th

198^th

168^th

248^th

238^th

217^th

202^nd

13^th

328^th

199^th

311^th

ANALYSIS:
Regardless of what the win percentage says, North Dakota isn't a very good team this year. Carrying a record of 22-10, they are currently rated #177 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 12) in the Big Sky (average ranking 244.5).

Based on their performances this year, North Dakota will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #161 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. North Dakota does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 27th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.14.

North Dakota is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 180th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. North Dakota poses no threat whatsoever to grab rebounds off their own misses. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 10.62 in potential points scored off of second chances (327th nationally), and they convert just 5.0% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 309th) as well.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Crown College	---	W 98-48	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/15/2016	vs Mayville St	---	W 94-66	2-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/20/2016	vs Presentation College	---	W 101-63	3-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/25/2016	vs North Florida₂₆₈ *	W 79.89 - 73.59	L 75-76	3-1	107.56	100.00	▼ 7.56	98.91	101.33	▼ 2.42	▼ 9.98
Sat 11/26/2016	@ Wright State₁₆₅	L 73.40 - 77.80	L 79-83	3-2	101.11	100.97	▼ 0.14	102.68	100.25	▲ 2.43	▲ 2.29
Sun 11/27/2016	vs CSU Bakersfield₉₉ *	L 65.47 - 70.96	W 57-55	4-2	90.25	85.07	▼ 5.18	97.53	82.09	▲ 15.44	▲ 10.26
Wed 12/7/2016	@ North Dakota St.₁₈₃	L 71.09 - 73.99	W 74-56	5-2	101.14	102.22	▲ 1.08	100.26	72.03	▲ 28.23	▲ 29.31
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Northern Iowa₁₅₃	L 62.37 - 67.09	L 70-78	5-3	93.74	99.36	▲ 5.62	95.29	109.21	▼ 13.92	▼ 8.30
Fri 12/16/2016	vs North Dakota St.₁₈₃	W 74.23 - 70.85	L 70-87	5-4	101.14	86.83	▼ 14.31	100.26	110.43	▼ 10.17	▼ 24.48
Tue 12/20/2016	@ Iowa₆₂	L 71.96 - 86.24	L 73-84	5-5	97.13	98.11	▲ 0.98	111.01	108.60	▲ 2.41	▲ 3.39
Thu 12/29/2016	@ Portland State₂₁₄	L 79.12 - 79.36	L 62-99	5-6	106.26	75.10	▼ 31.16	102.02	119.45	▼ 17.43	▼ 48.59
Sat 12/31/2016	@ Sacramento St.₂₉₅	W 75.42 - 70.20	W 90-82 (OT)	6-6	109.05	109.36	▲ 0.31	97.39	104.93	▼ 7.54	▼ 7.23
Thu 1/5/2017	vs N. Arizona₃₂₈	W 81.84 - 65.87	W 68-63	7-6	107.95	89.68	▼ 18.27	90.86	86.22	▲ 4.64	▼ 13.63
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Southern Utah₃₃₀	W 88.02 - 71.25	W 95-65	8-6	113.55	114.45	▲ 0.90	95.92	67.73	▲ 28.19	▲ 29.09
Thu 1/12/2017	@ Montana State₂₄₀	W 77.24 - 76.27	W 90-85	9-6	106.59	119.10	▲ 12.51	100.32	105.38	▼ 5.06	▲ 7.45
Sat 1/14/2017	@ Montana₁₇₂	L 72.51 - 76.18	L 70-76	9-7	102.81	95.07	▼ 7.74	103.51	104.93	▼ 1.42	▼ 9.16
Thu 1/19/2017	vs Weber State₁₇₃	W 76.64 - 73.91	W 83-77	10-7	104.55	113.06	▲ 8.51	104.96	107.69	▼ 2.73	▲ 5.78
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Idaho State₃₂₃	W 83.40 - 68.60	W 89-64	11-7	110.66	119.32	▲ 8.66	94.62	90.09	▲ 4.53	▲ 13.19
Thu 1/26/2017	@ Southern Utah₃₃₀	W 84.68 - 74.59	W 91-89	12-7	113.55	114.56	▲ 1.01	95.92	105.01	▼ 9.09	▼ 8.08
Sat 1/28/2017	@ N. Arizona₃₂₈	W 78.59 - 69.05	L 67-68	12-8	107.95	97.93	▼ 10.02	90.86	92.23	▼ 1.37	▼ 11.39
Sat 2/4/2017	vs N. Colorado₂₈₁	W 77.66 - 67.38	W 87-77 (OT)	13-8	102.78	110.17	▲ 7.39	93.22	101.34	▼ 8.12	▼ 0.73
Thu 2/9/2017	vs E. Washington₁₈₈	W 77.30 - 73.60	W 95-86	14-8	106.10	126.16	▲ 20.06	104.85	118.65	▼ 13.80	▲ 6.26
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Idaho₂₁₃	W 74.48 - 68.65	W 88-65	15-8	101.39	135.07	▲ 33.68	97.69	103.97	▼ 6.28	▲ 27.40
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Idaho State₃₂₃	W 80.16 - 71.76	W 77-61	16-8	110.66	114.16	▲ 3.50	94.62	81.61	▲ 13.01	▲ 16.51
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Weber State₁₇₃	L 73.50 - 77.10	W 77-68	17-8	104.55	100.93	▼ 3.62	104.96	84.96	▲ 20.00	▲ 16.38
Sat 2/25/2017	@ N. Colorado₂₈₁	W 74.43 - 70.31	W 84-81 (OT)	18-8	102.78	99.51	▼ 3.27	93.22	95.08	▼ 1.86	▼ 5.13
Thu 3/2/2017	vs Sacramento St.₂₉₅	W 78.52 - 67.23	L 53-57	18-9	109.05	80.60	▼ 28.45	97.39	89.91	▲ 7.48	▼ 20.97
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Portland State₂₁₄	W 82.44 - 76.18	W 82-73	19-9	106.26	102.91	▼ 3.35	102.02	98.27	▲ 3.75	▲ 0.40
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Portland State₂₁₄ *	W 80.78 - 77.77	W 95-72	20-9	106.26	122.73	▲ 16.47	102.02	86.36	▲ 15.66	▲ 32.13
Fri 3/10/2017	vs Idaho₂₁₃ *	W 72.91 - 70.21	W 69-64	21-9	101.39	89.61	▼ 11.78	97.69	85.33	▲ 12.36	▲ 0.58
Sat 3/11/2017	vs Weber State₁₇₃ *	L 75.07 - 75.50	W 93-89	22-9	104.55	112.50	▲ 7.95	104.96	110.96	▼ 6.00	▲ 1.95
Thu 3/16/2017	vs Arizona₂₇ *	L 64.62 - 81.48	L 82-100	22-10	91.78	107.46	▲ 15.68	114.81	140.30	▼ 25.49	▼ 9.81
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that convert well from outside the arc, North Dakota often performs better than normal. North Dakota is more efficient than usual 91% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.38%. In their other contests, North Dakota performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
	North Dakota does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.13, North Dakota performs above average 69% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 23% of the time.
	North Dakota performs worse against squads that tend to get off more shots. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.05, North Dakota is more efficient than normal 35% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 78% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox