Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Wake Forest 11-20 (0.355) | ACC

All-Play Percentage: 0.443 (198^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.670 (57^th)	Record Quality: -0.050 (195^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 196.23 (198^th)
Pace: 66.75 (290^th)	Momentum: 3.30 (47^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.03 (137^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.27 (35^th)
Consistency: -10.74 (300^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.04 (276^th)	Away From Home: 0.09 (158^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.24 (203^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.22

31.79

75.04

85.49

40.88

29.45

32.13

26.31

32.85

29.73

56.67

10.75

16.66

5.90

34.45

30.77

34.78

2.00

RANK:

166^th

11^th

53^rd

82^nd

308^th

267^th

297^th

34^th

288^th

192^nd

254^th

217^th

35^th

184^th

294^th

44^th

220^th

119^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.72

25.83

87.59

44.69

35.59

34.21

20.79

33.52

31.21

64.08

13.54

12.59

4.58

40.63

23.73

35.64

2.05

RANK:

279^th

168^th

334^th

188^th

307^th

149^th

181^st

67^th

212^th

300^th

305^th

94^th

33^rd

260^th

119^th

140^th

122^nd

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Wake Forest should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They are ranked #198 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 11-20. Of the 15 schools in the ACC (average ranking 57.2), they're currently ranked as the worst team in the conference.

Based on the data, Wake Forest will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #166 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Wake Forest does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 31.79 vs. AO, they are ranked 11th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-75 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 75.0% of their attempts. Wake Forest has also established itself as a team that cleans the offensive glass quite well. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 16.66 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 35th in the NCAA). If Wake Forest does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's lackluster shooting from the field. The squad makes just 40.9% of their total field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 46th-worst in the entire country.

The defense for Wake Forest, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 279th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 109 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Wake Forest allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked 334th in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.59 vs. AO. If Wake Forest does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to prevent opponents from converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The team has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 4.6% vs. AO, which ranks 33rd-best in the nation.

Wake Forest has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #47 ranking in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/10/2018	vs NC A&T₃₁₁	W 73.61 - 63.38	W 90-78	1-0	108.84	126.73	▲ 17.89	99.89	123.76	▼ 23.87	▼ 5.98
Thu 11/15/2018	vs Saint Joe's₁₆₅ *	L 71.61 - 73.41	L 69-89	1-1	106.73	106.44	▼ 0.29	110.29	132.81	▼ 22.52	▼ 22.81
Fri 11/16/2018	vs CSU Fullerton₂₁₃ *	W 71.35 - 70.34	W 66-59	2-1	102.67	92.96	▼ 9.71	102.89	87.08	▲ 15.81	▲ 6.10
Sun 11/18/2018	vs Valparaiso₂₃₃ *	W 67.91 - 65.75	W 69-63	3-1	105.70	102.60	▼ 3.10	102.99	104.13	▼ 1.14	▼ 4.24
Fri 11/23/2018	vs Houston Baptist₂₇₄	W 81.60 - 73.22	L 91-93 (OT)	3-2	111.71	120.25	▲ 8.54	105.14	125.92	▼ 20.78	▼ 12.24
Tue 11/27/2018	vs W. Carolina₂₉₆	W 78.41 - 68.06	W 71-64	4-2	110.73	91.86	▼ 18.87	103.66	92.32	▲ 11.34	▼ 7.53
Sat 12/1/2018	@ Richmond₂₀₃	L 70.08 - 72.58	L 74-84	4-3	109.19	108.75	▼ 0.44	110.44	120.58	▼ 10.14	▼ 10.58
Thu 12/6/2018	vs Charlotte₂₈₄	W 70.47 - 62.20	W 80-56	5-3	106.47	111.56	▲ 5.09	99.70	82.50	▲ 17.20	▲ 22.29
Mon 12/17/2018	vs Davidson₈₅	L 65.89 - 70.53	W 67-63	6-3	97.98	99.83	▲ 1.85	112.29	98.34	▲ 13.95	▲ 15.80
Sat 12/22/2018	@ Tennessee₁₀	L 62.20 - 85.93	L 64-83	6-4	96.25	92.69	▼ 3.56	127.50	137.89	▼ 10.39	▼ 13.95
Sat 12/29/2018	vs Gardner-Webb₁₈₅	W 73.52 - 70.83	L 69-73	6-5	106.65	88.59	▼ 18.06	110.13	101.14	▲ 8.99	▼ 9.07
Wed 1/2/2019	vs Cornell₂₁₀	W 71.80 - 67.60	W 83-61	7-5	103.79	127.33	▲ 23.54	105.02	96.84	▲ 8.18	▲ 31.72
Sat 1/5/2019	@ Georgia Tech₁₂₀	L 61.67 - 70.26	L 79-92	7-6	97.94	107.11	▲ 9.17	106.75	126.08	▼ 19.33	▼ 10.16
Tue 1/8/2019	vs Duke₄	L 64.24 - 86.84	L 65-87	7-7	89.83	81.11	▼ 8.72	126.12	128.73	▼ 2.61	▼ 11.33
Sat 1/12/2019	@ Miami₆₈	L 63.81 - 76.41	L 65-76	7-8	99.87	90.15	▼ 9.72	114.92	117.83	▼ 2.91	▼ 12.63
Tue 1/15/2019	vs NC State₄₂	L 69.75 - 79.87	W 71-67	8-8	97.26	107.58	▲ 10.32	117.97	108.42	▲ 9.55	▲ 19.87
Sat 1/19/2019	@ Virginia Tech₁₁	L 56.71 - 79.11	L 71-87	8-9	92.02	105.48	▲ 13.46	123.70	128.78	▼ 5.08	▲ 8.38
Tue 1/22/2019	@ Virginia₂	L 51.17 - 77.11	L 45-68	8-10	88.82	75.74	▼ 13.08	128.73	118.66	▲ 10.07	▼ 3.01
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Boston College₁₀₁	L 68.98 - 72.38	L 61-65	8-11	100.68	97.50	▼ 3.18	112.71	109.49	▲ 3.22	▲ 0.04
Wed 1/30/2019	vs Louisville₁₉	L 63.86 - 77.07	L 54-82	8-12	94.41	69.55	▼ 24.86	120.18	153.98	▼ 33.80	▼ 58.66
Sun 2/3/2019	@ Clemson₄₀	L 58.54 - 75.03	L 37-64	8-13	91.53	56.34	▼ 35.19	112.41	103.39	▲ 9.02	▼ 26.17
Tue 2/5/2019	vs Pittsburgh₉₉	L 66.75 - 70.24	W 78-76 (OT)	9-13	96.72	110.58	▲ 13.86	108.33	110.13	▼ 1.80	▲ 12.06
Wed 2/13/2019	@ Florida State₁₇	L 59.31 - 79.78	L 66-88	9-14	90.77	100.61	▲ 9.84	116.73	138.24	▼ 21.51	▼ 11.67
Sat 2/16/2019	vs North Carolina₈	L 67.85 - 87.93	L 57-95	9-15	92.65	67.96	▼ 24.69	125.09	151.65	▼ 26.56	▼ 51.25
Tue 2/19/2019	@ Notre Dame₈₆	L 63.39 - 74.58	W 75-68	10-15	100.59	117.88	▲ 17.29	114.68	105.01	▲ 9.67	▲ 26.96
Sun 2/24/2019	@ NC State₄₂	L 66.23 - 83.27	L 74-94	10-16	97.26	95.25	▼ 2.01	117.97	117.21	▲ 0.76	▼ 1.25
Tue 2/26/2019	vs Miami₆₈	L 67.12 - 73.13	W 76-75	11-16	99.87	108.45	▲ 8.58	114.92	107.99	▲ 6.93	▲ 15.51
Sat 3/2/2019	vs Syracuse₄₃	L 64.20 - 73.81	L 54-79	11-17	93.99	76.69	▼ 17.30	115.15	136.50	▼ 21.35	▼ 38.65
Tue 3/5/2019	@ Duke₄	L 60.75 - 90.29	L 70-71	11-18	89.83	102.50	▲ 12.67	126.12	95.80	▲ 30.32	▲ 42.99
Sat 3/9/2019	vs Florida State₁₇	L 62.69 - 76.42	L 57-65	11-19	90.77	88.93	▼ 1.84	116.73	107.76	▲ 8.97	▲ 7.13
Tue 3/12/2019	vs Miami₆₈ *	L 65.47 - 74.77	L 71-79	11-20	99.87	105.11	▲ 5.24	114.92	117.47	▼ 2.55	▲ 2.69
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Wake Forest does worse vs. clubs that do not defend well on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.42%, Wake Forest performs above average 11% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 64% of the time.
	Wake Forest performs better against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.76%, Wake Forest is more efficient than normal 64% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 11% of the time.
	When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Wake Forest usually performs worse than average. Wake Forest is more efficient than normal 23% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.29. In all other contests, Wake Forest performs better than average 67% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Jerome helps Virginia rally past Louisville (3/10/2019 4:18:00 AM) Trent Forrest scored 11 points and No. 14 Florida State reeled off 18 consecutive points in the second half, beating Wake Forest 65-57. ... James Akinjo scored 25 points, Mac McClung added 23 and Georgetown beat No. 16 Marquette 86-84 in the Golden Eagles ...
	Men’s Top 25: Barrett scores 28 as No. 4 Duke outlasts Wake Forest, 71-70 (3/6/2019 8:28:00 AM) DURHAM, N.C. (AP) – RJ Barrett scored 28 points and No. 4 Duke held on to beat Wake Forest, 71-70, on Tuesday night after Chaundee Brown’s jumper rimmed out at the buzzer. Tre Jones added 13 points for a sluggish Duke team missing star freshman Zion ...
	Playbook: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2/20/2019 10:37:00 AM) Wake Forest came away with the rare ACC road win last night over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish by a score of 75-68. In a change of pace from the previous 5 or 6 games, the Deacs did not start out ice cold from the field, but just the opposite. In fact ...
	ACC Roundup - Wake Forest Surprises (2/20/2019 9:15:00 AM) Feb 19, 2019; South Bend, IN, USA; Wake Forest Demon Deacons forward Isaiah Mucius (1 ... the Demon Deacons won an ACC road game, beating Notre Dame 75-68. It was Wake’s first road win this season and only the second in the last two seasons (they ...
	Johnson, No. 8 North Carolina roll past Wake Forest 95-57 (2/16/2019 5:02:00 PM) Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons found reason for hope with a Jan. 15 win against then-No. 17 North Carolina State, but they had won just once since with five losses coming by at least 16 points.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox