Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 North Carolina 20-13 (0.606) | ACC

All-Play Percentage: 0.873 (47^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.684 (38^th)	Record Quality: 0.254 (59^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 38.32 (35^th)
Pace: 68.55 (140^th)	Momentum: -0.62 (206^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.19 (290^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.56 (101^st)
Consistency: -6.46 (3^rd)	Res. Consistency: -8.60 (13^th)	Away From Home: -1.78 (306^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.80 (262^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.45

32.77

73.30

86.27

44.70

31.48

32.72

26.88

38.92

27.91

63.78

10.52

16.21

6.50

36.48

31.16

32.35

2.04

RANK:

40^th

4^th

128^th

102^nd

127^th

165^th

251^st

86^th

123^rd

247^th

52^nd

194^th

65^th

57^th

198^th

103^rd

275^th

229^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.01

21.02

86.74

41.62

28.06

31.62

30.14

36.88

28.53

56.47

9.08

9.87

4.30

32.35

34.75

32.89

1.99

RANK:

53^rd

30^th

270^th

70^th

67^th

55^th

354^th

139^th

133^rd

89^th

50^th

3^rd

52^nd

42^nd

350^th

100^th

236^th

ANALYSIS:
North Carolina has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. They are ranked #47 (out of 363) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 20-13. Of the 15 schools in the ACC (average ranking 99.9), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

North Carolina has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #40 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 111 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. North Carolina does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 32.77 vs. AO, they are ranked fourth in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 73.3%. North Carolina also does a pretty good job of protecting the ball when they have possession and not allowing quick and easy baskets off of their own turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.08, which ranks #50 in the country.

North Carolina plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 53rd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 96 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. North Carolina does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 9.87 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked third in the country). North Carolina also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.02 vs. AO, they are currently rated 30th in the country in that category.

North Carolina is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked third in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs UNC Wilmington₁₇₀	W 74.17 - 60.79	W 69-56	1-0	109.43	109.66	▲ 0.23	93.29	89.10	▲ 4.19	▲ 4.42
Fri 11/11/2022	vs Charleston₈₃	W 77.71 - 71.09	W 102-86	2-0	106.00	131.33	▲ 25.33	100.69	116.09	▼ 15.40	▲ 9.93
Tue 11/15/2022	vs Gardner-Webb₂₀₁	W 74.37 - 59.76	W 72-66	3-0	107.81	98.00	▼ 9.81	90.13	84.36	▲ 5.77	▼ 4.04
Sun 11/20/2022	vs JMU₉₈	W 76.88 - 68.60	W 80-64	4-0	105.97	105.04	▼ 0.93	98.27	83.43	▲ 14.84	▲ 13.91
Thu 11/24/2022	vs Portland₁₇₅ *	W 81.29 - 69.98	W 89-81	5-0	116.02	123.61	▲ 7.59	99.81	112.50	▼ 12.69	▼ 5.10
Fri 11/25/2022	vs Iowa State₃₄ *	L 65.08 - 66.26	L 65-70	5-1	98.20	95.45	▼ 2.75	99.57	107.69	▼ 8.12	▼ 10.87
Sun 11/27/2022	vs Alabama₄ *	L 69.81 - 79.15	L 101-103 (4OT)	5-2	96.36	110.00	▲ 13.64	108.10	110.00	▼ 1.90	▲ 11.74
Wed 11/30/2022	@ Indiana₂₇	L 70.24 - 74.98	L 65-77	5-3	104.52	94.65	▼ 9.87	106.80	106.69	▲ 0.11	▼ 9.76
Sun 12/4/2022	@ Virginia Tech₇₈	W 73.29 - 73.06	L 72-80	5-4	109.57	100.59	▼ 8.98	104.95	109.11	▼ 4.16	▼ 13.14
Sat 12/10/2022	vs Georgia Tech₁₆₂	W 76.96 - 63.91	W 75-59	6-4	112.08	110.50	▼ 1.58	96.37	84.81	▲ 11.56	▲ 9.98
Tue 12/13/2022	vs The Citadel₃₂₄	W 82.88 - 59.40	W 100-67	7-4	118.60	133.71	▲ 15.11	88.83	85.64	▲ 3.19	▲ 18.30
Sat 12/17/2022	vs Ohio State₅₀ *	W 72.49 - 72.16	W 89-84 (OT)	8-4	108.13	106.76	▼ 1.37	106.82	106.76	▲ 0.06	▼ 1.31
Wed 12/21/2022	vs Michigan₅₄ *	W 71.88 - 71.16	W 80-76	9-4	105.32	108.84	▲ 3.52	103.72	101.33	▲ 2.39	▲ 5.91
Fri 12/30/2022	@ Pittsburgh₆₃	L 73.04 - 74.17	L 74-76	9-5	108.31	104.78	▼ 3.53	105.63	103.55	▲ 2.08	▼ 1.45
Wed 1/4/2023	vs Wake Forest₈₂	W 78.16 - 71.82	W 88-79	10-5	110.13	123.37	▲ 13.24	104.20	109.36	▼ 5.16	▲ 8.08
Sat 1/7/2023	vs Notre Dame₁₄₇	W 77.25 - 65.56	W 81-64	11-5	114.46	116.46	▲ 2.00	100.83	97.31	▲ 3.52	▲ 5.52
Tue 1/10/2023	@ Virginia₂₈	L 62.59 - 66.97	L 58-65	11-6	100.92	93.70	▼ 7.22	102.91	98.00	▲ 4.91	▼ 2.31
Sat 1/14/2023	@ Louisville₂₈₄	W 78.37 - 63.98	W 80-59	12-6	117.52	119.19	▲ 1.67	92.17	79.25	▲ 12.92	▲ 14.59
Tue 1/17/2023	vs Boston College₁₆₈	W 76.05 - 62.45	W 72-64	13-6	110.16	110.50	▲ 0.34	93.81	98.88	▼ 5.07	▼ 4.73
Sat 1/21/2023	vs NC State₄₂	W 75.23 - 72.60	W 80-69	14-6	105.22	113.98	▲ 8.76	105.86	99.19	▲ 6.67	▲ 15.43
Tue 1/24/2023	@ Syracuse₁₁₇	W 74.91 - 70.89	W 72-68	15-6	111.18	102.00	▼ 9.18	100.90	92.44	▲ 8.46	▼ 0.72
Wed 2/1/2023	vs Pittsburgh₆₃	W 75.86 - 71.30	L 64-65	15-7	108.31	96.46	▼ 11.85	105.63	103.56	▲ 2.07	▼ 9.78
Sat 2/4/2023	@ Duke₁₅	L 65.30 - 72.20	L 57-63	15-8	100.95	89.69	▼ 11.26	106.41	94.92	▲ 11.49	▲ 0.23
Tue 2/7/2023	@ Wake Forest₈₂	W 75.30 - 74.72	L 85-92	15-9	110.13	102.00	▼ 8.13	104.20	107.52	▼ 3.32	▼ 11.45
Sat 2/11/2023	vs Clemson₅₁	W 73.50 - 69.75	W 91-71	16-9	104.78	134.84	▲ 30.06	103.39	94.98	▲ 8.41	▲ 38.47
Mon 2/13/2023	vs Miami₂₄	W 76.32 - 75.49	L 72-80	16-10	107.84	98.00	▼ 9.84	110.33	111.59	▼ 1.26	▼ 11.10
Sun 2/19/2023	@ NC State₄₂	L 72.35 - 75.45	L 69-77	16-11	105.22	98.93	▼ 6.29	105.86	111.63	▼ 5.77	▼ 12.06
Wed 2/22/2023	@ Notre Dame₁₄₇	W 74.52 - 68.34	W 63-59	17-11	114.46	100.44	▼ 14.02	100.83	90.19	▲ 10.64	▼ 3.38
Sat 2/25/2023	vs Virginia₂₈	W 65.19 - 64.38	W 71-63	18-11	100.92	104.35	▲ 3.43	102.91	91.80	▲ 11.11	▲ 14.54
Mon 2/27/2023	@ Florida State₁₉₀	W 77.69 - 68.82	W 77-66	19-11	113.79	110.55	▼ 3.24	96.58	90.19	▲ 6.39	▲ 3.15
Sat 3/4/2023	vs Duke₁₅	L 68.00 - 69.41	L 57-62	19-12	100.95	85.69	▼ 15.26	106.41	97.39	▲ 9.02	▼ 6.24
Wed 3/8/2023	vs Boston College₁₆₈ *	W 74.65 - 63.84	W 85-61	20-12	110.16	132.14	▲ 21.98	93.81	94.64	▼ 0.83	▲ 21.15
Thu 3/9/2023	vs Virginia₂₈ *	L 63.89 - 65.67	L 59-68	20-13	100.92	91.67	▼ 9.25	102.91	110.00	▼ 7.09	▼ 16.34
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	North Carolina performs worse against squads that convert well from outside the arc. When facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.69%, North Carolina is more efficient than normal 30% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 80% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, North Carolina usually performs better than average. North Carolina is more efficient than normal 69% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.89%. In all other contests, North Carolina performs better than average 24% of the time.
	North Carolina is typically worse vs. teams that are typically efficient on offense. Against foes that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 111.03, North Carolina performs above their norm 18% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 59% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox