Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 NC State 20-12 (0.625) | ACC

All-Play Percentage: 0.858 (51^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.675 (62^nd)	Record Quality: 0.279 (52^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 49.58 (46^th)
Pace: 70.80 (98^th)	Momentum: 2.27 (70^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.41 (68^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.14 (139^th)
Consistency: -7.80 (37^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.40 (82^nd)	Away From Home: -0.85 (231^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.84 (52^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.23

25.80

71.23

85.31

46.27

30.00

33.02

23.86

41.17

31.45

62.78

13.66

10.26

4.74

35.16

27.97

36.87

1.98

RANK:

43^rd

153^rd

176^th

35^th

37^th

197^th

202^nd

128^th

27^th

57^th

55^th

50^th

308^th

195^th

249^th

166^th

99^th

93^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.73

26.83

80.36

42.10

27.09

31.67

23.03

35.76

30.24

56.28

11.48

11.32

4.32

33.71

28.66

37.63

1.96

RANK:

84^th

240^th

104^th

107^th

40^th

86^th

204^th

119^th

259^th

81^st

209^th

66^th

89^th

52^nd

223^rd

286^th

307^th

ANALYSIS:
This website places NC State in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. They are ranked #51 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 20-12. Of the 15 schools in the ACC (average ranking 68.5), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference.

NC State succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 43rd in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 107 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. NC State has a keen ability to drain field goals between the three-point line and the low post. The squad is ranked 27th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 41.2% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. The squad likewise lands in the top-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, making good on about 46.3% of their total attempts vs. AO. NC State also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 35th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 85.31 vs. AO. If NC State does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 10.26 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 46th-worst in college hoops.

NC State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 84th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 95 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. NC State does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 50th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.66. NC State also does a fairly satisfactory job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. They have a rating of 11.32 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 66th in the country).

NC State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 37th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/5/2019	vs Georgia Tech₆₅	W 72.21 - 67.08	L 81-82 (OT)	0-1	98.16	98.59	▲ 0.43	96.26	107.11	▼ 10.85	▼ 10.42
Sun 11/10/2019	vs Detroit Mercy₂₈₀	W 84.79 - 64.13	W 84-65	1-1	115.50	107.70	▼ 7.80	93.13	87.30	▲ 5.83	▼ 1.97
Wed 11/13/2019	vs FIU₁₄₈	W 81.83 - 69.54	W 86-77	2-1	107.44	106.64	▼ 0.80	96.63	104.77	▼ 8.14	▼ 8.94
Sat 11/16/2019	vs St. Francis (BKN)₃₁₆	W 83.51 - 59.96	W 95-64	3-1	112.63	113.43	▲ 0.80	86.14	74.11	▲ 12.03	▲ 12.83
Tue 11/19/2019	vs Alcorn State₃₄₀	W 88.35 - 60.63	W 87-64	4-1	118.48	112.48	▼ 6.00	86.82	89.61	▼ 2.79	▼ 8.79
Sat 11/23/2019	vs Little Rock₁₃₅	W 78.98 - 68.02	W 74-58	5-1	107.15	101.70	▼ 5.45	97.67	79.37	▲ 18.30	▲ 12.85
Thu 11/28/2019	vs Memphis₅₅ *	W 70.91 - 70.03	L 78-83	5-2	95.22	111.43	▲ 16.21	94.83	118.57	▼ 23.74	▼ 7.53
Wed 12/4/2019	vs Wisconsin₂₇	L 67.27 - 67.38	W 69-54	6-2	98.34	120.77	▲ 22.43	103.94	97.09	▲ 6.85	▲ 29.28
Sat 12/7/2019	@ Wake Forest₁₁₁	W 75.88 - 73.86	W 91-82	7-2	106.83	119.33	▲ 12.50	100.10	104.05	▼ 3.95	▲ 8.55
Sun 12/15/2019	@ UNCG₉₂	W 69.31 - 68.82	W 80-77	8-2	100.76	116.33	▲ 15.57	96.16	110.37	▼ 14.21	▲ 1.36
Thu 12/19/2019	@ Auburn₃₄	L 70.10 - 76.17	L 73-79	8-3	100.47	92.29	▼ 8.18	104.18	93.89	▲ 10.29	▲ 2.11
Sun 12/22/2019	vs The Citadel₃₃₁	W 90.99 - 64.69	W 83-63	9-3	117.71	104.22	▼ 13.49	88.99	83.53	▲ 5.46	▼ 8.03
Sun 12/29/2019	vs Appalachian St.₁₈₃	W 75.47 - 62.14	W 72-60	10-3	105.50	100.49	▼ 5.01	92.03	83.93	▲ 8.10	▲ 3.09
Sat 1/4/2020	@ Clemson₇₄	L 67.36 - 68.67	L 70-81	10-4	99.29	102.45	▲ 3.16	97.11	116.96	▼ 19.85	▼ 16.69
Wed 1/8/2020	vs Notre Dame₄₉	W 74.17 - 70.92	W 73-68	11-4	103.00	108.16	▲ 5.16	104.18	107.06	▼ 2.88	▲ 2.28
Sat 1/11/2020	@ Virginia Tech₉₉	W 68.68 - 67.82	L 58-72	11-5	102.92	86.51	▼ 16.41	97.59	103.05	▼ 5.46	▼ 21.87
Wed 1/15/2020	vs Miami₁₁₈	W 77.03 - 67.85	W 80-63	12-5	106.07	120.00	▲ 13.93	98.67	89.75	▲ 8.92	▲ 22.85
Sat 1/18/2020	vs Clemson₇₄	W 70.75 - 65.34	W 60-54	13-5	99.29	86.77	▼ 12.52	97.11	81.86	▲ 15.25	▲ 2.73
Mon 1/20/2020	@ Virginia₄₀	L 56.32 - 60.81	W 53-51	14-5	92.03	95.43	▲ 3.40	94.24	85.48	▲ 8.76	▲ 12.16
Sat 1/25/2020	@ Georgia Tech₆₅	L 68.71 - 70.50	L 58-64	14-6	98.16	85.31	▼ 12.85	96.26	91.32	▲ 4.94	▼ 7.91
Mon 1/27/2020	vs North Carolina₆₃	W 76.42 - 71.31	L 65-75	14-7	102.56	90.41	▼ 12.15	101.04	112.74	▼ 11.70	▼ 23.85
Sat 2/1/2020	vs Louisville₈	L 69.81 - 73.03	L 57-77	14-8	97.80	85.24	▼ 12.56	107.70	111.54	▼ 3.84	▼ 16.40
Wed 2/5/2020	@ Miami₁₁₈	W 73.56 - 71.35	W 83-72	15-8	106.07	112.50	▲ 6.43	98.67	93.65	▲ 5.02	▲ 11.45
Tue 2/11/2020	@ Syracuse₄₇	L 72.00 - 75.93	W 79-74	16-8	104.03	105.05	▲ 1.02	104.76	93.66	▲ 11.10	▲ 12.12
Sun 2/16/2020	@ Boston College₁₈₅	W 74.16 - 66.93	L 68-71	16-9	105.50	93.11	▼ 12.39	91.57	95.82	▼ 4.25	▼ 16.64
Wed 2/19/2020	vs Duke₄	L 72.77 - 79.43	W 88-66	17-9	95.65	112.26	▲ 16.61	110.24	86.03	▲ 24.21	▲ 40.82
Sat 2/22/2020	vs Florida State₁₄	L 71.49 - 74.00	L 61-67	17-10	96.88	94.38	▼ 2.50	105.72	107.14	▼ 1.42	▼ 3.92
Tue 2/25/2020	@ North Carolina₆₃	L 72.87 - 74.77	L 79-85	17-11	102.56	106.05	▲ 3.49	101.04	107.94	▼ 6.90	▼ 3.41
Sat 2/29/2020	vs Pittsburgh₁₀₀	W 72.09 - 64.44	W 77-73	18-11	102.38	104.13	▲ 1.75	97.09	103.49	▼ 6.40	▼ 4.65
Mon 3/2/2020	@ Duke₄	L 69.16 - 83.05	L 69-88	18-12	95.65	100.98	▲ 5.33	110.24	122.55	▼ 12.31	▼ 6.98
Fri 3/6/2020	vs Wake Forest₁₁₁	W 79.43 - 70.28	W 84-64	19-12	106.83	118.81	▲ 11.98	100.10	92.92	▲ 7.18	▲ 19.16
Wed 3/11/2020	vs Pittsburgh₁₀₀ *	W 70.41 - 66.10	W 73-58	20-12	102.38	107.28	▲ 4.90	97.09	80.30	▲ 16.79	▲ 21.69
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	NC State performs worse against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.40, NC State is more efficient than normal 21% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 67% of the time.
	When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, NC State usually performs better than average. NC State is more efficient than normal 75% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.72%. In all other contests, NC State performs better than average 30% of the time.
	NC State is typically worse vs. teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.03%, NC State performs above their norm 18% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 62% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	ACC tournament Round 2: Five observations (3/11/2020 11:58:00 PM) 1. Resume building: North Carolina State was likely facing a pass-fail scenario Wednesday when it comes to securing an NCAA tournament bid. The fifth-seeded Wolfpack beat Pittsburgh, 73-58, behind guard Devon Daniels’ game-high 23 points. It was the ...
	Syracuse bounces Tar Heels out of ACC Tournament, 81-53 (3/11/2020 11:51:00 PM) CHAPEL HILL, NORTH CAROLINA – DECEMBER 15: Head coach Roy Williams of the North Carolina Tar Heels reacts following a play against the Wofford Terriers during their game at Carmichael Arena on December 15, 2019 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. (Photo by ...
	Wolfpack Fans Leaving ACC Tourney Before Their Team (3/11/2020 11:09:00 PM) GREENSBORO -- Darren Nix has been waiting five years for the ACC tournament to return to Greensboro so that he could attend the event and cheer on his NC State Wolfpack. He spent $800 on a pair of ticket books, took time off from work and drove in from Clayton to see State score a 73-58 victory ... Wednesday's game between North Carolina ...
	Condensed Game: NC State vs. Pittsburgh 2020 ACC Tournament (3/11/2020 8:24:00 PM) NC State faced Pittsburgh in a must-win game Wednesday in the second round of the 2020 ACC Tournament and won in convincing fashion 73-58. Junior guard Devon Daniels led the way for the Wolfpack ...
	An empty building might be the best thing for NC State’s ACC title chances (3/11/2020 6:35:00 PM) So the N.C. State fans who held onto their ticket books after a very taking-care-of-business 73-58 win over Pittsburgh on Wednesday won’t know whether ... national and state awards for his columns and feature writing while twice being named North Carolina Sportswriter of the Year.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox