Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 NC State 21-12 (0.636) | ACC

All-Play Percentage: 0.851 (53^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.654 (71^st)	Record Quality: 0.276 (53^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 65.66 (59^th)
Pace: 72.63 (48^th)	Momentum: 1.20 (114^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.60 (55^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.40 (226^th)
Consistency: -8.18 (76^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.22 (215^th)	Away From Home: -2.80 (342^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: 1.21 (22^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

113.94

30.30

69.34

84.68

48.48

28.49

38.01

22.27

40.36

33.92

62.60

14.04

17.80

9.89

33.65

26.30

40.05

1.94

RANK:

19^th

28^th

267^th

53^rd

28^th

250^th

53^rd

184^th

48^th

22^nd

83^rd

20^th

38^th

13^th

279^th

213^th

35^th

45^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.46

26.09

80.26

45.25

26.84

31.18

18.86

33.99

34.56

62.33

10.02

16.19

8.45

33.44

23.50

43.06

1.90

RANK:

108^th

172^nd

103^rd

199^th

35^th

13^th

41^st

37^th

338^th

244^th

100^th

283^rd

307^th

45^th

41^st

343^rd

335^th

ANALYSIS:
This website places NC State in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. They are ranked #53 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 21-12. Of the 15 schools in the ACC (average ranking 55.7), they're currently ranked as our #11 team in the conference.

NC State is one of the very most competent offensive teams in the country. Ranked 19th in offensive efficiency, they'll rack up more than 113 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. NC State does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.9% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 13th nationally), and with a rating of 17.80, they're 38th in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. NC State also does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 30.30 vs. AO, they are ranked 28th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. Unfortunately, they don't convert a ton of their free throws and make just 69.3% of their attempts.

NC State is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 108th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. NC State does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank 13th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.2% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 33.4% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown. NC State also thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked 20th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.04. If NC State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's issues trying to stop opponents from obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The squad has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 8.4% vs. AO, which ranks 45th-worst in the nation.

On the road, NC State performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked tenth from the bottom in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	vs VMI₃₃₃	W 88.03 - 60.06	W 102-67	1-0	117.49	125.80	▲ 8.31	84.02	72.44	▲ 11.58	▲ 19.89
Sun 11/12/2017	vs Charleston So.₂₆₂	W 84.77 - 64.21	W 78-56	2-0	117.33	106.82	▼ 10.51	93.08	82.57	▲ 10.51	▼ 0.00
Tue 11/14/2017	vs Bryant₃₄₂	W 98.37 - 66.38	W 95-72	3-0	130.06	115.79	▼ 14.27	91.59	88.57	▲ 3.02	▼ 11.25
Thu 11/16/2017	vs Presbyterian₃₃₁	W 88.19 - 62.22	W 86-68	4-0	126.18	117.73	▼ 8.45	93.12	102.27	▼ 9.15	▼ 17.60
Wed 11/22/2017	vs Arizona₂₇ *	L 77.91 - 80.98	W 90-84	5-0	109.65	126.76	▲ 17.11	113.27	112.33	▲ 0.94	▲ 18.05
Thu 11/23/2017	vs Northern Iowa₁₂₅ *	W 73.22 - 65.90	L 60-64	5-1	108.22	92.31	▼ 15.91	96.93	98.46	▼ 1.53	▼ 17.44
Fri 11/24/2017	vs Tennessee₁₇ *	L 71.75 - 77.22	L 58-67	5-2	102.12	85.29	▼ 16.83	108.96	97.10	▲ 11.86	▼ 4.97
Wed 11/29/2017	vs Penn State₂₄	L 76.23 - 76.34	W 85-78	6-2	104.34	109.57	▲ 5.23	107.95	103.57	▲ 4.38	▲ 9.61
Sat 12/2/2017	vs S. Carolina St.₃₄₁	W 96.75 - 64.62	W 103-71	7-2	126.50	128.69	▲ 2.19	88.27	91.87	▼ 3.60	▼ 1.41
Sat 12/9/2017	vs UMKC₂₇₆	W 88.77 - 66.49	W 88-69	8-2	117.19	113.12	▼ 4.07	92.16	92.04	▲ 0.12	▼ 3.95
Sat 12/16/2017	vs UNCG₉₃	W 74.94 - 67.49	L 76-81	8-3	106.06	109.50	▲ 3.44	99.37	120.58	▼ 21.21	▼ 17.77
Tue 12/19/2017	vs Robert Morris₂₅₁	W 85.08 - 64.72	W 81-69	9-3	113.32	107.59	▼ 5.73	90.07	93.94	▼ 3.87	▼ 9.60
Fri 12/22/2017	vs Jacksonville₃₂₅	W 88.61 - 62.90	W 116-64	10-3	119.98	156.25	▲ 36.27	89.16	89.11	▲ 0.05	▲ 36.32
Sat 12/30/2017	@ Clemson₁₈	L 70.64 - 79.05	L 62-78	10-4	102.17	85.60	▼ 16.57	108.70	103.29	▲ 5.41	▼ 11.16
Wed 1/3/2018	@ Notre Dame₄₆	L 74.31 - 78.28	L 58-88	10-5	108.81	85.03	▼ 23.78	109.22	117.73	▼ 8.51	▼ 32.29
Sat 1/6/2018	vs Duke₂	L 77.00 - 86.77	W 96-85	11-5	102.84	123.06	▲ 20.22	119.49	114.60	▲ 4.89	▲ 25.11
Thu 1/11/2018	vs Clemson₁₈	L 73.71 - 75.78	W 78-77	12-5	102.17	112.44	▲ 10.27	108.70	115.50	▼ 6.80	▲ 3.47
Sun 1/14/2018	@ Virginia₃	L 59.68 - 73.78	L 51-68	12-6	94.92	82.63	▼ 12.29	111.19	110.23	▲ 0.96	▼ 11.33
Thu 1/18/2018	vs Wake Forest₈₉	W 83.84 - 76.14	W 72-63	13-6	110.40	96.36	▼ 14.04	104.39	88.57	▲ 15.82	▲ 1.78
Sun 1/21/2018	vs Miami₄₅	W 77.09 - 74.96	L 81-86	13-7	106.28	111.81	▲ 5.53	106.39	121.71	▼ 15.32	▼ 9.79
Wed 1/24/2018	@ Pittsburgh₂₄₃	W 79.14 - 66.53	W 72-68	14-7	115.47	103.68	▼ 11.79	93.02	94.87	▼ 1.85	▼ 13.64
Sat 1/27/2018	@ North Carolina₈	L 77.61 - 88.77	W 95-91 (OT)	15-7	106.40	119.17	▲ 12.77	116.49	113.01	▲ 3.48	▲ 16.25
Sat 2/3/2018	vs Notre Dame₄₆	W 77.35 - 75.09	W 76-58	16-7	108.81	122.26	▲ 13.45	109.22	72.08	▲ 37.14	▲ 50.59
Wed 2/7/2018	@ Virginia Tech₃₆	L 77.41 - 82.03	L 75-85	16-8	108.95	106.68	▼ 2.27	110.70	118.02	▼ 7.32	▼ 9.59
Sat 2/10/2018	vs North Carolina₈	L 80.85 - 85.38	L 89-96	16-9	106.40	109.57	▲ 3.17	116.49	125.95	▼ 9.46	▼ 6.29
Wed 2/14/2018	@ Syracuse₄₄	L 67.60 - 71.77	W 74-70	17-9	103.06	119.73	▲ 16.67	103.04	103.79	▼ 0.75	▲ 15.92
Sat 2/17/2018	@ Wake Forest₈₉	W 80.60 - 79.48	W 90-84	18-9	110.40	114.77	▲ 4.37	104.39	102.73	▲ 1.66	▲ 6.03
Tue 2/20/2018	vs Boston College₇₄	W 83.84 - 77.91	W 82-66	19-9	112.21	115.12	▲ 2.91	107.81	97.92	▲ 9.89	▲ 12.80
Sun 2/25/2018	vs Florida State₃₃	W 81.45 - 80.18	W 92-72	20-9	106.60	124.71	▲ 18.11	108.74	86.40	▲ 22.34	▲ 40.45
Thu 3/1/2018	@ Georgia Tech₁₀₈	W 74.57 - 71.69	L 75-78	20-10	107.87	109.41	▲ 1.54	98.99	107.59	▼ 8.60	▼ 7.06
Sat 3/3/2018	vs Louisville₃₄	W 78.06 - 76.80	W 76-69	21-10	104.62	107.88	▲ 3.26	106.46	102.27	▲ 4.19	▲ 7.45
Wed 3/7/2018	vs Boston College₇₄ *	W 82.24 - 79.58	L 87-91	21-11	112.21	117.57	▲ 5.36	107.81	121.33	▼ 13.52	▼ 8.16
Thu 3/15/2018	vs Seton Hall₂₃ *	L 78.46 - 82.11	L 83-94	21-12	107.36	113.70	▲ 6.34	111.06	128.77	▼ 17.71	▼ 11.37
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	NC State performs better against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.86%, NC State is more efficient than normal 55% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 15% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field, NC State usually performs worse than average. NC State is more efficient than normal 25% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 41.11%. In all other contests, NC State performs better than average 62% of the time.
	NC State is typically better vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 16.51, NC State performs above their norm 64% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 27% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox