Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 NC State 22-14 (0.611) | ACC

All-Play Percentage: 0.926 (28^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.725 (14^th)	Record Quality: 0.306 (39^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 37.58 (38^th)
Pace: 65.15 (199^th)	Momentum: -1.62 (253^rd)	Off. Momentum: 1.11 (143^rd)	Def. Momentum: -2.73 (289^th)
Consistency: -10.67 (309^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.60 (241^st)	Away From Home: -0.91 (267^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.30 (212^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.36

31.72

68.60

86.44

45.72

27.89

37.83

30.43

38.37

28.13

61.51

8.10

17.65

7.40

32.26

35.20

32.54

2.00

RANK:

25^th

61^st

199^th

15^th

60^th

184^th

35^th

42^nd

47^th

184^th

83^rd

334^th

50^th

94^th

233^rd

63^rd

263^rd

180^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.27

27.40

85.40

38.74

27.98

33.00

28.70

32.50

28.72

50.55

9.97

15.12

5.65

32.76

33.61

33.64

1.99

RANK:

58^th

117^th

311^th

21^st

178^th

93^rd

308^th

52^nd

185^th

7^th

63^rd

164^th

65^th

123^rd

263^rd

135^th

186^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite their unexceptional win percentage, NC State should be regarded as one of the better teams in college hoops. They have a record of 22-14 and are ranked 28th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 15) in the ACC (average ranking 59.1). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.725 (the 14th-highest in the country), NC State has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.

NC State is undoubtedly one of the best in the business on offense. The team is rated 25th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 111 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. NC State is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 15th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.44 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-75 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 45.7% of their total attempts vs. AO. NC State is also one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 35th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 37.8% of their attempts from there vs. AO.

NC State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 58th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 94 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. NC State does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked seventh in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 50.6% of their attempts from close-up. NC State is also one of the very best in the land in overall defensive field goal percentage. The team ranks #21 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 38.7% of their total attempts from the floor. If NC State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.10 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 18th-worst in the college game.

NC State has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 309th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	vs Jackson State₂₉₈	W 75.00 - 51.61	W 93-58	1-0	113.67	120.62	▲ 6.95	83.18	79.21	▲ 3.97	▲ 10.92
Mon 11/17/2014	vs Hofstra₁₂₂	W 80.03 - 66.77	W 76-64	2-0	113.01	102.51	▼ 10.50	99.92	81.84	▲ 18.08	▲ 7.58
Thu 11/20/2014	vs Jacksonville₃₄₀	W 82.03 - 52.59	W 79-43	3-0	124.56	100.95	▼ 23.61	84.66	38.27	▲ 46.39	▲ 22.78
Sun 11/23/2014	vs USF₂₇₇	W 76.93 - 55.45	W 68-65	4-0	115.88	103.28	▼ 12.60	88.93	102.97	▼ 14.04	▼ 26.64
Wed 11/26/2014	vs Richmond₆₁	W 67.11 - 59.93	W 84-72	5-0	104.58	128.18	▲ 23.60	98.88	114.45	▼ 15.57	▲ 8.03
Fri 11/28/2014	vs Boise State₅₀	W 68.80 - 62.80	W 60-54	6-0	105.81	90.78	▼ 15.03	102.06	88.69	▲ 13.37	▼ 1.66
Tue 12/2/2014	@ Purdue₃₃	L 64.99 - 68.06	L 61-66	6-1	103.24	101.36	▼ 1.88	102.47	105.23	▼ 2.76	▼ 4.64
Sat 12/6/2014	vs Wake Forest₁₁₂	W 76.44 - 63.88	W 78-65	7-1	108.53	102.74	▼ 5.79	96.10	90.11	▲ 5.99	▲ 0.20
Fri 12/12/2014	vs Charleston So.₂₁₃	W 78.75 - 59.97	W 86-50	8-1	115.96	126.20	▲ 10.24	93.27	65.47	▲ 27.80	▲ 38.04
Sun 12/14/2014	vs Wofford₁₁₃	W 67.96 - 56.45	L 54-55	8-2	106.01	85.55	▼ 20.46	93.56	93.13	▲ 0.43	▼ 20.03
Wed 12/17/2014	vs Tennessee₈₄	W 69.30 - 59.77	W 83-72	9-2	109.25	128.70	▲ 19.45	99.67	116.30	▼ 16.63	▲ 2.82
Sat 12/20/2014	vs West Virginia₂₉ *	W 69.56 - 69.48	L 69-83	9-3	101.49	100.00	▼ 1.49	100.71	119.12	▼ 18.41	▼ 19.90
Tue 12/23/2014	vs LA Tech₈₃	W 74.87 - 64.69	W 73-65	10-3	107.17	109.34	▲ 2.17	97.90	102.97	▼ 5.07	▼ 2.90
Tue 12/30/2014	vs Cincinnati₅₆	W 64.62 - 58.20	L 60-76	10-4	102.85	90.01	▼ 12.84	98.08	119.92	▼ 21.84	▼ 34.68
Sat 1/3/2015	vs Pittsburgh₇₅	W 70.16 - 61.68	W 68-50	11-4	110.60	117.03	▲ 6.43	102.55	88.43	▲ 14.12	▲ 20.55
Wed 1/7/2015	@ Virginia₆	L 54.05 - 65.39	L 51-61	11-5	94.48	86.02	▼ 8.46	107.32	95.36	▲ 11.96	▲ 3.50
Sun 1/11/2015	vs Duke₃	L 68.59 - 74.98	W 87-75	12-5	100.89	117.03	▲ 16.14	116.02	105.87	▲ 10.15	▲ 26.29
Wed 1/14/2015	vs North Carolina₉	L 71.63 - 73.66	L 79-81	12-6	101.16	111.52	▲ 10.36	109.22	122.09	▼ 12.87	▼ 2.51
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Florida State₉₉	W 69.05 - 65.47	W 72-63	13-6	106.99	117.26	▲ 10.27	96.11	93.95	▲ 2.16	▲ 12.43
Thu 1/22/2015	@ Miami₃₈	L 64.89 - 67.44	L 60-65	13-7	105.13	99.75	▼ 5.38	103.26	100.20	▲ 3.06	▼ 2.32
Sun 1/25/2015	vs Notre Dame₁₁	L 70.53 - 71.67	L 78-81 (OT)	13-8	108.02	111.55	▲ 3.53	115.57	117.49	▼ 1.92	▲ 1.61
Wed 1/28/2015	vs Clemson₉₃	W 67.88 - 57.50	L 57-68	13-9	104.82	80.11	▼ 24.71	94.92	107.73	▼ 12.81	▼ 37.52
Sat 1/31/2015	@ Georgia Tech₇₈	W 65.01 - 63.24	W 81-80 (OT)	14-9	103.87	114.95	▲ 11.08	95.58	108.66	▼ 13.08	▼ 2.00
Tue 2/3/2015	@ Wake Forest₁₁₂	W 72.49 - 67.69	L 84-88	14-10	108.53	112.06	▲ 3.53	96.10	109.85	▼ 13.75	▼ 10.22
Wed 2/11/2015	vs Virginia₆	L 57.45 - 61.88	L 47-51	14-11	94.48	78.06	▼ 16.42	107.32	92.44	▲ 14.88	▼ 1.54
Sat 2/14/2015	@ Louisville₁₇	L 61.62 - 68.13	W 74-65	15-11	97.16	113.42	▲ 16.26	101.33	95.51	▲ 5.82	▲ 22.08
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Virginia Tech₁₈₂	W 75.97 - 59.65	W 69-53	16-11	116.52	139.58	▲ 23.06	96.61	105.10	▼ 8.49	▲ 14.57
Tue 2/24/2015	@ North Carolina₉	L 67.67 - 77.67	W 58-46	17-11	101.16	98.05	▼ 3.11	109.22	73.70	▲ 35.52	▲ 32.41
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Boston College₈₈	W 68.23 - 65.49	L 63-79	17-12	109.21	98.13	▼ 11.08	99.81	118.34	▼ 18.53	▼ 29.61
Tue 3/3/2015	@ Clemson₉₃	W 64.24 - 61.11	W 66-61	18-12	104.82	100.03	▼ 4.79	94.92	88.33	▲ 6.59	▲ 1.80
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Syracuse₄₇	W 68.64 - 62.69	W 71-57	19-12	101.54	103.48	▲ 1.94	97.86	81.66	▲ 16.20	▲ 18.14
Wed 3/11/2015	vs Pittsburgh₇₅ *	W 68.37 - 63.47	W 81-70	20-12	110.60	132.20	▲ 21.60	102.55	110.34	▼ 7.79	▲ 13.81
Thu 3/12/2015	vs Duke₃ *	L 66.69 - 76.92	L 53-77	20-13	100.89	93.18	▼ 7.71	116.02	153.33	▼ 37.31	▼ 45.02
Thu 3/19/2015	vs LSU₅₄ *	W 72.57 - 69.37	W 66-65	21-13	104.93	98.51	▼ 6.42	100.14	95.59	▲ 4.55	▼ 1.87
Sat 3/21/2015	vs Villanova₅ *	L 64.37 - 73.26	W 71-68	22-13	99.66	112.70	▲ 13.04	112.95	106.25	▲ 6.70	▲ 19.74
Fri 3/27/2015	vs Louisville₁₇ *	L 63.50 - 66.26	L 65-75	22-14	97.16	101.61	▲ 4.45	101.33	117.74	▼ 16.41	▼ 11.96
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, NC State usually performs better than average. NC State is more efficient than normal 68% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.76. In all other contests, NC State performs better than average 21% of the time.
	NC State is typically better vs. teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively. Against foes that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 95.89, NC State performs above their norm 71% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 36% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox