Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 ECU 15-18 (0.455) | American

All-Play Percentage: 0.491 (180^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.546 (121^st)	Record Quality: -0.011 (183^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 188.98 (186^th)
Pace: 69.72 (215^th)	Momentum: 4.76 (14^th)	Off. Momentum: 5.28 (3^rd)	Def. Momentum: -0.52 (175^th)
Consistency: -10.10 (309^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.05 (148^th)	Away From Home: -1.19 (268^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.17 (189^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.06

29.65

66.21

79.11

41.59

26.84

32.16

26.28

34.48

25.99

58.51

10.49

16.04

7.84

33.94

33.22

32.85

2.01

RANK:

297^th

77^th

298^th

286^th

278^th

255^th

299^th

89^th

267^th

269^th

196^th

185^th

93^rd

62^nd

234^th

71^st

247^th

180^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.75

24.21

86.50

39.97

30.46

33.85

28.02

33.73

28.01

52.86

13.15

16.82

6.15

35.22

32.40

32.38

2.03

RANK:

68^th

59^th

333^rd

30^th

222^nd

92^nd

322^nd

60^th

155^th

32^nd

331^st

313^th

119^th

135^th

292^nd

96^th

146^th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but ECU should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Haslametrics has them ranked 180th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 15-18. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 117.5).

ECU will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 68th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. ECU boasts one of the better overall defensive field goal percentages in the country. The team ranks #30 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 40.0% of their total attempts from the floor. ECU has also done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 32nd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 52.9% of their attempts from close-up. If ECU does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 86.50 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 19th-worst in college basketball.

Unfortunately, ECU is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 297th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 94 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. ECU tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 13.15, which ranks 331st in D1.

ECU has been playing much better basketball as of late and is presently ranked 14th in positive momentum because of it. ECU has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 309th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Grambling₃₃₇	W 73.32 - 57.16	W 72-57	1-0	104.35	109.63	▲ 5.28	85.24	90.44	▼ 5.20	▲ 0.08
Mon 11/14/2016	vs NC A&T₃₄₄	W 73.61 - 55.21	W 61-51	2-0	110.23	87.49	▼ 22.74	87.10	78.33	▲ 8.77	▼ 13.97
Thu 11/17/2016	@ Charlotte₂₃₈	W 71.63 - 70.79	L 64-76	2-1	98.89	89.54	▼ 9.35	93.52	103.50	▼ 9.98	▼ 19.33
Sun 11/20/2016	vs Stetson₃₂₀	W 78.94 - 65.05	W 73-50	3-1	105.44	100.81	▼ 4.63	90.77	68.88	▲ 21.89	▲ 17.26
Tue 11/22/2016	vs Florida A&M₃₄₁	W 76.97 - 58.38	W 82-62	4-1	105.95	111.02	▲ 5.07	84.46	87.06	▼ 2.60	▲ 2.47
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Mercer₁₃₂ *	L 61.95 - 64.19	L 66-70	4-2	95.68	101.54	▲ 5.86	99.09	107.69	▼ 8.60	▼ 2.74
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Air Force₂₁₈ *	W 67.93 - 65.29	W 70-63	5-2	98.32	97.22	▼ 1.10	95.26	84.51	▲ 10.75	▲ 9.65
Tue 11/29/2016	vs Hampton₃₁₄	W 70.10 - 57.55	W 68-48	6-2	98.32	94.75	▼ 3.57	84.61	70.40	▲ 14.21	▲ 10.64
Sat 12/3/2016	vs NC Central₁₈₄	W 66.12 - 62.87	W 69-56	7-2	93.63	96.31	▲ 2.68	93.64	81.32	▲ 12.32	▲ 15.00
Tue 12/6/2016	@ Virginia₉	L 46.25 - 67.12	L 53-76	7-3	76.84	89.72	▲ 12.88	106.42	132.48	▼ 26.06	▼ 13.18
Thu 12/15/2016	vs Charleston₁₀₇	L 61.30 - 62.95	L 35-53	7-4	90.15	54.24	▼ 35.91	96.90	87.70	▲ 9.20	▼ 26.71
Tue 12/20/2016	@ UNC Wilmington₆₁	L 65.66 - 79.17	L 71-81	7-5	94.41	96.42	▲ 2.01	108.74	113.50	▼ 4.76	▼ 2.75
Thu 12/22/2016	vs Presbyterian₃₅₀	W 72.25 - 51.25	W 76-56	8-5	107.28	99.26	▼ 8.02	80.32	75.74	▲ 4.58	▼ 3.44
Wed 12/28/2016	vs USF₂₈₉	W 70.34 - 60.65	W 60-49	9-5	98.29	81.61	▼ 16.68	89.08	68.88	▲ 20.20	▲ 3.52
Sat 12/31/2016	vs SMU₁₅	L 56.63 - 71.82	L 44-75	9-6	84.82	70.86	▼ 13.96	111.76	123.78	▼ 12.02	▼ 25.98
Tue 1/3/2017	@ UCF₆₉	L 55.54 - 66.76	L 45-48	9-7	84.40	62.22	▼ 22.18	96.53	60.94	▲ 35.59	▲ 13.41
Sat 1/7/2017	@ Temple₁₀₈	L 62.48 - 70.07	L 62-81	9-8	93.11	97.45	▲ 4.34	99.58	119.32	▼ 19.74	▼ 15.40
Wed 1/11/2017	vs Houston₄₇	L 60.45 - 69.51	L 58-74	9-9	87.73	90.51	▲ 2.78	105.33	133.12	▼ 27.79	▼ 25.01
Sun 1/15/2017	vs Cincinnati₁₆	L 54.99 - 69.87	L 46-55	9-10	81.95	70.80	▼ 11.15	108.33	88.15	▲ 20.18	▲ 9.03
Sun 1/22/2017	@ UConn₈₀	L 57.74 - 67.49	L 65-72	9-11	88.42	94.52	▲ 6.10	98.33	105.48	▼ 7.15	▼ 1.05
Wed 1/25/2017	vs Tulsa₁₄₆	W 66.57 - 65.67	W 69-66	10-11	93.54	91.03	▼ 2.51	96.99	92.63	▲ 4.36	▲ 1.85
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Memphis₁₀₀	L 62.59 - 71.25	L 50-57	10-12	91.83	74.68	▼ 17.15	99.72	80.39	▲ 19.33	▲ 2.18
Wed 2/1/2017	@ SMU₁₅	L 53.89 - 74.67	L 46-86	10-13	84.82	58.74	▼ 26.08	111.76	130.39	▼ 18.63	▼ 44.71
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Tulane₂₄₃	W 73.00 - 65.70	W 74-65	11-13	99.46	111.63	▲ 12.17	93.73	102.22	▼ 8.49	▲ 3.68
Sat 2/11/2017	@ USF₂₈₉	W 67.39 - 63.57	L 57-64	11-14	98.29	88.15	▼ 10.14	89.08	97.78	▼ 8.70	▼ 18.84
Wed 2/15/2017	vs Temple₁₀₈	L 65.37 - 67.03	W 78-64	12-14	93.11	122.37	▲ 29.26	99.58	95.66	▲ 3.92	▲ 33.18
Sat 2/18/2017	vs UCF₆₉	L 58.38 - 63.91	L 58-61	12-15	84.40	85.66	▲ 1.26	96.53	93.26	▲ 3.27	▲ 4.53
Tue 2/21/2017	@ Tulane₂₄₃	W 69.97 - 68.83	W 76-73	13-15	99.46	107.77	▲ 8.31	93.73	99.17	▼ 5.44	▲ 2.87
Sun 2/26/2017	@ Tulsa₁₄₆	L 63.64 - 68.73	L 66-74	13-16	93.54	110.84	▲ 17.30	96.99	125.37	▼ 28.38	▼ 11.08
Wed 3/1/2017	vs UConn₈₀	L 60.55 - 64.54	W 66-62	14-16	88.42	92.07	▲ 3.65	98.33	90.79	▲ 7.54	▲ 11.19
Sun 3/5/2017	@ Houston₄₇	L 57.63 - 72.50	L 51-73	14-17	87.73	75.23	▼ 12.50	105.33	100.96	▲ 4.37	▼ 8.13
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Temple₁₀₈ *	L 63.92 - 68.55	W 80-69	15-17	93.11	116.92	▲ 23.81	99.58	93.85	▲ 5.73	▲ 29.54
Fri 3/10/2017	vs SMU₁₅ *	L 55.26 - 73.24	L 77-81	15-18	84.82	110.00	▲ 25.18	111.76	117.39	▼ 5.63	▲ 19.55
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that favor a faster tempo, ECU usually performs better than average. ECU is more efficient than normal 75% of the time when facing clubs that have a pace vs. AO greater than 67.84. In all other contests, ECU performs better than average 31% of the time.
	ECU is typically better vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.78, ECU performs above their norm 77% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 38% of the time.
	When facing teams that tend to get off more shots, ECU often performs worse than normal. ECU is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.43. In their other contests, ECU performs better than the norm 71% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox