Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 ECU 12-20 (0.375) | American

All-Play Percentage: 0.517 (170^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.572 (112^th)	Record Quality: -0.080 (210^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 152.86 (151^st)
Pace: 69.44 (189^th)	Momentum: -2.35 (277^th)	Off. Momentum: -3.62 (340^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.27 (66^th)
Consistency: -11.17 (348^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.19 (313^th)	Away From Home: 1.54 (48^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.87 (176^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.38

27.41

71.43

79.79

44.63

29.71

35.62

24.12

36.19

25.96

62.78

11.41

12.32

5.96

37.23

30.23

32.54

2.05

RANK:

168^th

216^th

120^th

275^th

114^th

147^th

130^th

173^rd

131^st

295^th

76^th

133^rd

295^th

244^th

119^th

149^th

267^th

265^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.46

22.07

85.27

44.51

34.74

33.71

23.23

37.34

27.31

64.35

12.41

17.09

8.99

40.74

27.24

32.02

2.09

RANK:

168^th

14^th

302^nd

198^th

344^th

108^th

141^st

229^th

114^th

311^th

297^th

291^st

319^th

334^th

105^th

71^st

27^th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, ECU is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. They have a record of 12-20 and are ranked 170th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 11 schools in the AAC (average ranking 106.6), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference.

ECU will likely rely on their offense more than anything else to win games. The team is ranked 168th in offensive efficiency and scores more than 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. ECU fares better than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the basket. The team is ranked 76th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 62.8% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on near-proximity attempts, this team usually settles for shots from longer distances. Only about 32.5% of their total attempts vs. AO are from the inside.

ECU plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 168th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. ECU is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.07 vs. AO, they are currently rated 14th in the country in that category. If ECU does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's issues trying to stop opponents from obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The squad has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 9.0% vs. AO, which ranks 33rd-worst in the nation.

ECU has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked fourth from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, ECU performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 48th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs Grambling₃₄₄	W 75.16 - 57.24	W 61-53	1-0	108.05	80.64	▼ 27.41	87.50	76.53	▲ 10.97	▼ 16.44
Mon 11/16/2015	vs Charlotte₂₁₇	W 77.83 - 70.77	W 88-74	2-0	106.17	123.55	▲ 17.38	101.78	107.40	▼ 5.62	▲ 11.76
Fri 11/20/2015	@ California₂₅	L 60.90 - 79.37	L 62-70	2-1	90.70	95.45	▲ 4.75	111.58	101.56	▲ 10.02	▲ 14.77
Mon 11/23/2015	@ San Diego State₅₃	L 57.06 - 70.74	L 54-79	2-2	89.41	90.01	▲ 0.60	103.81	114.82	▼ 11.01	▼ 10.41
Thu 11/26/2015	vs Little Rock₅₉ *	L 61.06 - 69.90	L 46-54	2-3	94.01	71.88	▼ 22.13	106.89	83.08	▲ 23.81	▲ 1.68
Fri 11/27/2015	vs Stetson₂₈₄ *	W 79.37 - 71.33	W 93-73	3-3	110.89	135.09	▲ 24.20	99.94	85.00	▲ 14.94	▲ 39.14
Tue 12/1/2015	vs FAU₂₉₂	W 73.75 - 61.69	W 74-48	4-3	103.51	98.75	▼ 4.76	92.32	62.24	▲ 30.08	▲ 25.32
Fri 12/4/2015	vs USC Upstate₃₂₀	W 78.98 - 64.62	W 82-71	5-3	111.86	118.29	▲ 6.43	96.72	105.95	▼ 9.23	▼ 2.80
Mon 12/7/2015	@ Charleston₁₃₇	L 60.54 - 66.48	L 73-77	5-4	94.24	107.31	▲ 13.07	97.43	108.17	▼ 10.74	▲ 2.33
Sun 12/13/2015	vs NC A&T₃₄₃	W 80.18 - 61.99	W 71-60	6-4	113.76	104.89	▼ 8.87	93.09	93.54	▼ 0.45	▼ 9.32
Wed 12/16/2015	vs UNC Wilmington₈₂	L 71.60 - 75.14	W 78-73	7-4	97.82	93.38	▼ 4.44	108.31	90.42	▲ 17.89	▲ 13.45
Sun 12/20/2015	@ JMU₉₁	L 63.36 - 73.73	L 61-67	7-5	95.09	98.23	▲ 3.14	105.06	103.43	▲ 1.63	▲ 4.77
Tue 12/22/2015	vs S. Carolina St.₂₇₈	W 77.30 - 66.16	W 98-71	8-5	108.88	144.36	▲ 35.48	99.02	90.19	▲ 8.83	▲ 44.31
Sat 1/2/2016	vs UCF₁₇₉	W 71.33 - 67.07	L 68-71	8-6	100.54	87.75	▼ 12.79	99.83	100.18	▼ 0.35	▼ 13.14
Tue 1/5/2016	@ Tulsa₆₄	L 64.81 - 78.03	L 43-55	8-7	95.93	68.07	▼ 27.86	108.52	80.42	▲ 28.10	▲ 0.24
Sat 1/9/2016	@ Temple₈₉	L 62.44 - 72.94	L 60-78	8-8	95.81	101.16	▲ 5.35	105.56	125.15	▼ 19.59	▼ 14.24
Wed 1/13/2016	vs SMU₁₉	L 65.75 - 77.11	L 55-79	8-9	95.11	85.22	▼ 9.89	117.43	130.50	▼ 13.07	▼ 22.96
Sat 1/16/2016	@ UCF₁₇₉	L 67.41 - 70.95	L 69-89	8-10	100.54	87.70	▼ 12.84	99.83	152.40	▼ 52.57	▼ 65.41
Tue 1/19/2016	vs Tulsa₆₄	L 68.77 - 74.13	L 69-84	8-11	95.93	97.08	▲ 1.15	108.52	126.45	▼ 17.93	▼ 16.78
Sun 1/24/2016	@ Memphis₇₅	L 67.78 - 80.38	W 84-83	9-11	95.50	123.75	▲ 28.25	106.99	110.78	▼ 3.79	▲ 24.46
Wed 1/27/2016	vs Temple₈₉	L 66.26 - 69.20	W 64-61	10-11	95.81	91.20	▼ 4.61	105.56	92.62	▲ 12.94	▲ 8.33
Sat 1/30/2016	vs Houston₆₅	L 69.91 - 74.60	L 93-97 (2OT)	10-12	100.69	110.72	▲ 10.03	112.97	116.55	▼ 3.58	▲ 6.45
Sun 2/7/2016	@ UConn₃₃	L 59.75 - 75.84	L 67-85	10-13	92.30	106.14	▲ 13.84	110.16	127.73	▼ 17.57	▼ 3.73
Wed 2/10/2016	vs Tulane₂₀₃	W 70.29 - 64.31	L 92-100 (3OT)	10-14	99.34	99.98	▲ 0.64	96.17	107.33	▼ 11.16	▼ 10.52
Sat 2/13/2016	@ Cincinnati₂₉	L 58.80 - 75.26	L 60-75	10-15	91.43	97.92	▲ 6.49	109.77	114.82	▼ 5.05	▲ 1.44
Tue 2/16/2016	vs USF₂₄₇	W 71.79 - 63.50	L 52-69	10-16	102.59	79.62	▼ 22.97	96.40	112.44	▼ 16.04	▼ 39.01
Sun 2/21/2016	@ SMU₁₉	L 61.93 - 80.91	L 63-74	10-17	95.11	104.56	▲ 9.45	117.43	114.54	▲ 2.89	▲ 12.34
Wed 2/24/2016	@ Tulane₂₀₃	L 66.38 - 68.12	W 79-73	11-17	99.34	112.64	▲ 13.30	96.17	99.90	▼ 3.73	▲ 9.57
Sat 2/27/2016	vs Cincinnati₂₉	L 62.57 - 71.48	L 56-65	11-18	91.43	87.40	▼ 4.03	109.77	106.09	▲ 3.68	▼ 0.35
Wed 3/2/2016	@ USF₂₄₇	W 67.91 - 67.22	W 52-39	12-18	102.59	90.85	▼ 11.74	96.40	50.42	▲ 45.98	▲ 34.24
Sun 3/6/2016	vs Memphis₇₅	L 71.93 - 76.21	L 53-83	12-19	95.50	62.54	▼ 32.96	106.99	125.14	▼ 18.15	▼ 51.11
Thu 3/10/2016	vs USF₂₄₇ *	W 69.85 - 65.36	L 66-71	12-20	102.59	91.67	▼ 10.92	96.40	100.00	▼ 3.60	▼ 14.52
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, ECU often performs worse than normal. ECU is more efficient than usual 39% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.48. In their other contests, ECU performs better than the norm 79% of the time.
	ECU does better vs. clubs that convert well from outside the arc. When playing squads that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.51%, ECU performs above average 68% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 30% of the time.
	ECU performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.14, ECU is more efficient than normal 30% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 68% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox