Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Montana State 17-18 (0.486) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.407 (215^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.361 (254^th)	Record Quality: -0.106 (234^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 229.04 (231^st)
Pace: 68.68 (119^th)	Momentum: 6.66 (8^th)	Off. Momentum: 5.99 (3^rd)	Def. Momentum: 0.67 (114^th)
Consistency: -9.13 (172^nd)	Res. Consistency: -12.82 (226^th)	Away From Home: 0.52 (111^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.08 (86^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.55

23.47

72.67

81.42

45.03

34.07

35.68

20.35

38.57

27.00

61.69

12.60

8.83

3.76

41.84

24.99

33.17

2.09

RANK:

225^th

290^th

155^th

343^rd

123^rd

95^th

101^st

260^th

204^th

312^th

73^rd

113^th

356^th

334^th

47^th

223^rd

279^th

311^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.94

28.52

83.84

46.05

27.62

33.94

21.10

37.93

35.12

60.45

12.61

13.06

5.38

32.94

25.17

41.89

1.91

RANK:

212^th

274^th

92^nd

278^th

31^st

166^th

108^th

133^rd

335^th

277^th

266^th

147^th

165^th

43^rd

120^th

348^th

343^rd

ANALYSIS:
Montana State has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. They are ranked #215 (out of 362) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 17-18. Of the 10 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 227.4), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

Montana State sports an offensive attack that is mediocre at best. Rated at #225 in offensive efficiency, they score about 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Montana State poses no threat whatsoever to grab rebounds off their own misses. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 8.83 in potential points scored off of second chances (seventh from the bottom nationally), and they convert just 3.8% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 334th) as well. Montana State also happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 343rd in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 81.42 vs. AO.

Montana State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #212 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Montana State allows opponents to make good on a fair number of their overall field goal attempts. The ball-club ranks #278 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 46.0% of their total attempts from the floor.

Montana State has been playing much better basketball as of late and is presently ranked eighth in positive momentum because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	vs NW Indian	---	W 103-63	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/11/2023	@ Seattle₁₀₁	L 63.91 - 75.34	L 68-71	1-1	97.03	100.73	▲ 3.70	108.50	101.49	▲ 7.01	▲ 10.71
Thu 11/16/2023	@ California₁₂₃	L 68.09 - 78.19	W 63-60	2-1	100.39	100.97	▲ 0.58	109.62	89.77	▲ 19.85	▲ 20.43
Mon 11/20/2023	vs Green Bay₂₃₅	W 70.61 - 66.69	L 53-54 (OT)	2-2	105.59	77.79	▼ 27.80	104.72	82.86	▲ 21.86	▼ 5.94
Wed 11/22/2023	vs UC Riverside₂₁₉	W 72.92 - 69.37	W 69-68	3-2	104.93	105.28	▲ 0.35	104.48	107.15	▼ 2.67	▼ 2.32
Sun 11/26/2023	vs Long Beach St.₁₆₃	W 76.37 - 76.21	L 69-75	3-3	103.17	96.04	▼ 7.13	107.82	112.43	▼ 4.61	▼ 11.74
Thu 11/30/2023	vs Rocky Mnt	---	L 62-70	3-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/5/2023	@ Washington₆₁	L 68.47 - 85.32	L 61-85	3-5	98.19	75.61	▼ 22.58	116.44	127.65	▼ 11.21	▼ 33.79
Sat 12/16/2023	vs SAGU AIC	---	W 106-81	4-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/19/2023	vs Southern Utah₂₃₀	W 77.40 - 73.41	W 89-88 (OT)	5-5	107.38	101.22	▼ 6.16	106.52	105.24	▲ 1.28	▼ 4.88
Fri 12/22/2023	@ CSU Northridge₂₃₇	L 72.60 - 75.28	L 70-82	5-6	101.97	96.98	▼ 4.99	100.50	107.05	▼ 6.55	▼ 11.54
Thu 12/28/2023	@ Idaho State₂₃₉	L 67.47 - 69.80	W 74-66	6-6	106.35	117.71	▲ 11.36	104.97	99.00	▲ 5.97	▲ 17.33
Sat 12/30/2023	@ Weber State₁₅₇	L 67.51 - 74.53	L 64-86	6-7	103.40	92.54	▼ 10.86	108.45	127.97	▼ 19.52	▼ 30.38
Wed 1/3/2024	vs Oral Roberts₂₆₉	W 75.75 - 69.40	L 76-82	6-8	107.75	98.80	▼ 8.95	103.41	110.43	▼ 7.02	▼ 15.97
Sat 1/6/2024	@ South Dakota St.₁₄₁	L 69.27 - 77.61	L 61-89	6-9	103.21	82.89	▼ 20.32	109.69	125.53	▼ 15.84	▼ 36.16
Thu 1/11/2024	vs N. Arizona₃₁₀	W 77.39 - 68.22	W 79-50	7-9	108.03	102.30	▼ 5.73	100.09	67.54	▲ 32.55	▲ 26.82
Sat 1/13/2024	vs N. Colorado₁₉₃	W 76.82 - 74.51	W 90-81	8-9	105.96	117.46	▲ 11.50	108.30	111.63	▼ 3.33	▲ 8.17
Sat 1/20/2024	vs Montana₁₅₂	L 72.93 - 73.97	L 77-87	8-10	106.01	108.99	▲ 2.98	112.52	125.72	▼ 13.20	▼ 10.22
Mon 1/22/2024	vs Idaho State₂₃₉	W 70.69 - 66.62	W 77-70	9-10	106.35	112.85	▲ 6.50	104.97	105.22	▼ 0.25	▲ 6.25
Thu 1/25/2024	@ Sacramento St.₃₀₄	W 69.12 - 67.51	W 70-62	10-10	107.43	111.91	▲ 4.48	100.09	98.69	▲ 1.40	▲ 5.88
Sat 1/27/2024	@ Portland State₂₅₈	L 71.31 - 72.53	L 91-94	10-11	103.41	123.87	▲ 20.46	99.97	117.98	▼ 18.01	▲ 2.45
Thu 2/1/2024	vs E. Washington₁₄₀	L 76.32 - 78.01	W 70-60	11-11	105.65	94.35	▼ 11.30	112.66	83.62	▲ 29.04	▲ 17.74
Sat 2/3/2024	vs Idaho₃₀₆	W 74.11 - 65.78	L 75-81	11-12	108.65	102.96	▼ 5.69	100.71	119.50	▼ 18.79	▼ 24.48
Thu 2/8/2024	@ N. Colorado₁₉₃	L 73.32 - 77.99	L 70-73	11-13	105.96	101.13	▼ 4.83	108.30	98.85	▲ 9.45	▲ 4.62
Sat 2/10/2024	@ N. Arizona₃₁₀	W 73.92 - 71.62	L 71-76	11-14	108.03	94.74	▼ 13.29	100.09	95.85	▲ 4.24	▼ 9.05
Sat 2/17/2024	@ Montana₁₅₂	L 69.59 - 77.42	L 69-88	11-15	106.01	107.37	▲ 1.36	112.52	135.22	▼ 22.70	▼ 21.34
Thu 2/22/2024	vs Portland State₂₅₈	W 74.81 - 69.11	W 72-67	12-15	103.41	94.76	▼ 8.65	99.97	94.00	▲ 5.97	▼ 2.68
Sat 2/24/2024	vs Sacramento St.₃₀₄	W 72.39 - 64.27	L 63-66	12-16	107.43	88.77	▼ 18.66	100.09	98.19	▲ 1.90	▼ 16.76
Thu 2/29/2024	@ Idaho₃₀₆	W 70.80 - 69.12	W 62-48	13-16	108.65	107.62	▼ 1.03	100.71	75.43	▲ 25.28	▲ 24.25
Sat 3/2/2024	@ E. Washington₁₄₀	L 72.83 - 81.59	L 104-108 (OT)	13-17	105.65	127.89	▲ 22.24	112.66	124.15	▼ 11.49	▲ 10.75
Mon 3/4/2024	vs Weber State₁₅₇	L 70.82 - 71.18	W 76-64	14-17	103.40	110.90	▲ 7.50	108.45	96.48	▲ 11.97	▲ 19.47
Mon 3/11/2024	vs Weber State₁₅₇ *	L 69.16 - 72.85	W 91-82	15-17	103.40	134.38	▲ 30.98	108.45	109.09	▼ 0.64	▲ 30.34
Tue 3/12/2024	vs Sacramento St.₃₀₄ *	W 70.75 - 65.89	W 74-71	16-17	107.43	111.52	▲ 4.09	100.09	105.58	▼ 5.49	▼ 1.40
Wed 3/13/2024	vs Montana₁₅₂ *	L 71.26 - 75.69	W 85-70	17-17	106.01	123.69	▲ 17.68	112.52	91.70	▲ 20.82	▲ 38.50
Wed 3/20/2024	vs Grambling₂₉₇ *	W 70.47 - 65.86	L 81-88 (OT)	17-18	106.68	110.77	▲ 4.09	99.51	110.34	▼ 10.83	▼ 6.74
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

Montana State does better vs. clubs that do a nice job converting inside the paint. When playing squads that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 58.69%, Montana State performs above average 62% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 18% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox