Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 Montana State 27-8 (0.771) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.625 (135^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.302 (314^th)	Record Quality: 0.172 (90^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 148.70 (141^st)
Pace: 68.82 (171^st)	Momentum: -0.90 (223^rd)	Off. Momentum: 0.33 (180^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.23 (230^th)
Consistency: -9.83 (250^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.20 (194^th)	Away From Home: 1.84 (30^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.36 (223^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.33

28.21

74.81

78.10

44.56

30.22

35.14

22.13

39.28

25.75

60.16

7.60

11.80

3.10

38.69

28.33

32.98

2.06

RANK:

159^th

25^th

78^th

351^st

120^th

220^th

103^rd

221^st

98^th

303^rd

125^th

341^st

249^th

341^st

144^th

169^th

235^th

230^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.93

26.13

82.40

43.21

26.51

33.62

26.44

38.28

29.45

56.28

12.22

12.80

4.54

32.17

32.09

35.74

1.96

RANK:

159^th

263^rd

114^th

162^nd

20^th

167^th

306^th

205^th

215^th

92^nd

268^th

145^th

128^th

27^th

317^th

229^th

305^th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, Montana State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Their record this season is 27-8, and the club is ranked 135th overall (out of 358) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 11) in the Big Sky (average ranking 254.1).

Based on the data, Montana State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #159 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Montana State does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 28.21 vs. AO, they are ranked 25th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-100 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 74.8% of their attempts. If Montana State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties in getting off a sufficient number of shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of just 78.10 vs. AO, which ranks eighth-worst in college basketball.

Montana State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 159th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 100 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Montana State has been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 92nd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 56.3% of their attempts from close-up. If Montana State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 7.60 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 18th-worst in the college game.

On the road, Montana State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 30th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/9/2021	@ Colorado₉₂	L 64.40 - 72.91	L 90-94 (OT)	0-1	94.90	125.28	▲ 30.38	101.77	116.73	▼ 14.96	▲ 15.42
Sun 11/14/2021	vs Rocky Mo	---	W 81-52	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/17/2021	@ South Dakota St.₆₂	L 70.01 - 81.35	L 74-91	1-2	100.45	101.20	▲ 0.75	110.49	121.61	▼ 11.12	▼ 10.37
Sat 11/20/2021	@ New Mexico₁₄₃	L 73.05 - 76.55	L 78-81	1-3	101.84	106.33	▲ 4.49	101.41	105.33	▼ 3.92	▲ 0.57
Fri 11/26/2021	vs Portland₁₆₄ *	W 72.17 - 70.59	W 69-66	2-3	101.34	110.84	▲ 9.50	99.64	110.92	▼ 11.28	▼ 1.78
Sat 11/27/2021	@ Incarnate Word₃₅₂	W 76.37 - 62.61	W 83-64	3-3	113.16	122.67	▲ 9.51	89.40	80.38	▲ 9.02	▲ 18.53
Sun 11/28/2021	vs SE Missouri St.₂₄₀ *	W 79.93 - 72.95	W 75-68	4-3	108.48	92.31	▼ 16.17	99.28	84.74	▲ 14.54	▼ 1.63
Thu 12/2/2021	@ N. Colorado₂₂₅	W 76.01 - 74.70	L 75-77 (OT)	4-4	109.23	98.19	▼ 11.04	101.79	91.45	▲ 10.34	▼ 0.70
Sat 12/4/2021	@ Sacramento St.₃₂₂	W 70.83 - 61.89	W 68-66	5-4	107.34	107.29	▼ 0.05	89.56	100.45	▼ 10.89	▼ 10.94
Tue 12/7/2021	vs North Dakota St.₁₄₈	W 70.58 - 66.34	W 68-49	6-4	99.84	100.45	▲ 0.61	98.68	74.10	▲ 24.58	▲ 25.19
Sat 12/11/2021	@ St. Thomas₂₉₂	W 76.40 - 70.38	W 72-65	7-4	115.17	101.30	▼ 13.87	101.34	85.17	▲ 16.17	▲ 2.30
Sun 12/19/2021	vs Portland₁₆₄	W 74.05 - 68.65	W 61-59	8-4	101.34	83.24	▼ 18.10	99.64	86.96	▲ 12.68	▼ 5.42
Wed 12/22/2021	vs SAGU AIC	---	W 124-73	9-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/30/2021	vs Weber State₁₉₀	W 75.18 - 68.10	L 75-85	9-5	102.64	97.33	▼ 5.31	98.18	117.15	▼ 18.97	▼ 24.28
Sat 1/1/2022	vs Idaho State₃₄₆	W 75.73 - 56.61	W 60-40	10-5	111.38	100.78	▼ 10.60	87.82	65.38	▲ 22.44	▲ 11.84
Thu 1/6/2022	@ Idaho₃₂₅	W 79.78 - 70.09	W 92-72	11-5	112.48	123.80	▲ 11.32	94.29	91.53	▲ 2.76	▲ 14.08
Sun 1/9/2022	vs Montana₂₅₃	W 73.26 - 62.49	W 66-59	12-5	104.96	101.68	▼ 3.28	94.75	94.86	▼ 0.11	▼ 3.39
Thu 1/20/2022	@ N. Arizona₃₃₂	W 73.24 - 63.21	W 89-84	13-5	110.04	129.81	▲ 19.77	90.31	119.07	▼ 28.76	▼ 8.99
Sat 1/22/2022	@ Portland State₂₇₃	W 73.03 - 67.87	W 73-60	14-5	103.00	113.44	▲ 10.44	90.87	85.21	▲ 5.66	▲ 16.10
Thu 1/27/2022	vs E. Washington₂₁₆	W 77.51 - 69.04	W 69-65	15-5	105.63	90.57	▼ 15.06	98.63	91.41	▲ 7.22	▼ 7.84
Sat 1/29/2022	vs Idaho₃₂₅	W 83.64 - 66.26	W 70-64	16-5	112.48	95.92	▼ 16.56	94.29	91.56	▲ 2.73	▼ 13.83
Sat 2/5/2022	@ Weber State₁₉₀	L 71.40 - 71.89	W 78-57	17-5	102.64	124.71	▲ 22.07	98.18	82.07	▲ 16.11	▲ 38.18
Mon 2/7/2022	@ Idaho State₃₄₆	W 72.19 - 59.98	W 72-54	18-5	111.38	139.63	▲ 28.25	87.82	77.33	▲ 10.49	▲ 38.74
Thu 2/10/2022	vs Portland State₂₇₃	W 76.89 - 64.05	W 77-74	19-5	103.00	105.78	▲ 2.78	90.87	110.31	▼ 19.44	▼ 16.66
Sat 2/12/2022	vs N. Arizona₃₃₂	W 76.87 - 59.74	W 72-70	20-5	110.04	105.60	▼ 4.44	90.31	109.54	▼ 19.23	▼ 23.67
Thu 2/17/2022	@ E. Washington₂₁₆	W 73.71 - 72.86	L 86-88 (OT)	20-6	105.63	109.92	▲ 4.29	98.63	101.55	▼ 2.92	▲ 1.37
Sat 2/19/2022	@ Southern Utah₁₇₈	L 71.13 - 72.36	W 76-71	21-6	103.43	111.24	▲ 7.81	99.86	98.76	▲ 1.10	▲ 8.91
Sun 2/27/2022	@ Montana₂₅₃	W 69.65 - 66.18	L 74-80	21-7	104.96	106.90	▲ 1.94	94.75	110.00	▼ 15.25	▼ 13.31
Tue 3/1/2022	vs Southern Utah₁₇₈	W 74.88 - 68.68	W 69-53	22-7	103.43	93.98	▼ 9.45	99.86	80.83	▲ 19.03	▲ 9.58
Thu 3/3/2022	vs Sacramento St.₃₂₂	W 74.43 - 58.47	W 75-69	23-7	107.34	104.47	▼ 2.87	89.56	102.67	▼ 13.11	▼ 15.98
Sat 3/5/2022	vs N. Colorado₂₂₅	W 79.80 - 71.00	W 87-85	24-7	109.23	104.74	▼ 4.49	101.79	105.70	▼ 3.91	▼ 8.40
Thu 3/10/2022	vs Sacramento St.₃₂₂ *	W 72.63 - 60.18	W 83-61	25-7	107.34	116.07	▲ 8.73	89.56	76.79	▲ 12.77	▲ 21.50
Fri 3/11/2022	vs Weber State₁₉₀ *	W 73.29 - 70.00	W 69-66	26-7	102.64	104.55	▲ 1.91	98.18	100.00	▼ 1.82	▲ 0.09
Sat 3/12/2022	vs N. Colorado₂₂₅ *	W 77.90 - 72.85	W 87-66	27-7	109.23	126.48	▲ 17.25	101.79	92.19	▲ 9.60	▲ 26.85
Fri 3/18/2022	vs Texas Tech₈ *	L 58.56 - 74.96	L 62-97	27-8	84.83	77.08	▼ 7.75	108.95	144.90	▼ 35.95	▼ 43.70
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Montana State often performs worse than normal. Montana State is more efficient than usual 21% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 24.90. In their other contests, Montana State performs better than the norm 58% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	WATCH: Stanford's Fran Belibi blocks shot, throws down one-handed dunk in insane coast-to-coast play (3/19/2022 12:06:44 AM) The Cardinal routed Montana State 78-37 in the NCAA Tournament's first round, but Belibi's dunk will be the game's lasting memory
	NCAA Men's Tournament 2022: Friday's First-Round Winners and Losers (3/18/2022 7:51:41 PM) Plenty of brackets were busted on the first full day of the 2022 NCAA men's tournament when No. 2 seed Kentucky fell to No. seed 15 Saint Peter's, and that was just the appetizer for another 16-game lineup on Friday as first-round action continued...
	Notre Dame keeps rolling, beats Alabama 78-64 in 1st round (3/18/2022 7:48:02 PM) SAN DIEGO (AP) — Cormac Ryan scored a career-high 29 points, including seven 3-pointers, and 11th-seeded Notre Dame recovered from a grueling First Four win and late-night flight to beat sixth-seeded Alabama 78-64 on Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tour…
	RECAP: Red Raiders roll into NCAA Tournament Second Round - Texas Tech Red Raiders - TexasTech.com (3/18/2022 5:45:03 PM) <dfn><a href="/roster.aspx?rp_id=11501" rel="smarttag" rev="11501">Bryson Williams</a></dfn> and Terrence Shannon, Jr. scored 20 points each while <dfn><a href="/roster.aspx?rp_id=11538" rel="smarttag" rev="11538">Kevin Obanor</a></dfn> recorded a double-doub…
	Montana State vs. Texas Tech - Game Recap - March 18, 2022 - ESPN (3/18/2022 4:25:47 PM) Get a recap of the Montana State Bobcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders basketball game.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox