Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Montana State 7-23 (0.233) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.089 (320^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.437 (232^nd)	Record Quality: -0.363 (324^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 313.39 (318^th)
Pace: 66.86 (99^th)	Momentum: -0.24 (178^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.44 (193^rd)	Def. Momentum: -0.68 (166^th)
Consistency: -10.87 (321^st)	Res. Consistency: -12.40 (228^th)	Away From Home: -0.24 (194^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.55 (291^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.71

23.05

69.54

82.40

38.47

32.23

34.99

26.13

32.89

24.04

49.20

6.42

13.61

5.12

39.11

31.71

29.18

2.10

RANK:

316^th

340^th

167^th

155^th

328^th

43^rd

139^th

151^st

278^th

331^st

344^th

351^st

255^th

307^th

45^th

157^th

328^th

332^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.58

33.88

80.41

46.45

24.67

38.43

27.39

37.94

28.35

61.65

12.75

14.27

6.81

30.68

34.06

35.26

1.95

RANK:

315^th

318^th

104^th

304^th

42^nd

335^th

256^th

268^th

165^th

257^th

286^th

105^th

173^rd

55^th

282^nd

194^th

260^th

ANALYSIS:
Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, Montana State should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. They have a record of 7-23 and are ranked 320th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the worst team (out of 12) in the Big Sky (average ranking 243.3).

Offense is not the strong suit when it comes to Montana State. The team is ranked 316th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 91 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Montana State will have a really tough time winning games when taking into consideration their shooting percentage near the basket. The team is ranked eighth from the bottom in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 49.2% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Moreover, they find themselves in the bottom-25 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting just 38.5% of their total attempts vs. AO. Montana State also does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 23.05 vs. AO, they are 340th in the overall rankings for that category.

Montana State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #315 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Montana State is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #351 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 6.42 vs. AO. Montana State also does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 335th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.4% of their attempts from afar.

Montana State has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 321st in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	@ UCLA₅₅	L 56.28 - 80.50	L 78-113	0-1	85.25	86.30	▲ 1.05	114.35	142.48	▼ 28.13	▼ 27.08
Mon 11/17/2014	@ Grand Canyon₂₅₄	L 64.97 - 74.72	L 45-61	0-2	99.67	72.27	▼ 27.40	107.96	92.19	▲ 15.77	▼ 11.63
Wed 11/19/2014	@ CSU Northridge₂₃₉	L 62.57 - 73.45	L 65-72	0-3	95.34	95.62	▲ 0.28	105.15	101.38	▲ 3.77	▲ 4.05
Sun 11/23/2014	@ Kentucky₁	L 43.65 - 84.88	L 28-86	0-4	70.06	27.42	▼ 42.64	125.81	103.70	▲ 22.11	▼ 20.53
Fri 11/28/2014	vs UT Arlington₁₈₈	L 68.43 - 74.10	W 104-81	1-4	93.26	131.88	▲ 38.62	106.60	99.89	▲ 6.71	▲ 45.33
Sun 11/30/2014	vs North Dakota St.₁₆₂	L 58.89 - 65.76	L 51-72	1-5	89.25	90.91	▲ 1.66	105.64	145.83	▼ 40.19	▼ 38.53
Wed 12/3/2014	vs SD School of Mines	---	W 79-41	2-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/6/2014	vs Utah Valley₃₁₉	W 64.27 - 61.04	W 68-60	3-5	94.89	106.72	▲ 11.83	95.73	98.78	▼ 3.05	▲ 8.78
Sun 12/14/2014	@ Wyoming₁₀₁	L 51.29 - 69.33	L 61-70	3-6	86.07	111.90	▲ 25.83	109.27	122.03	▼ 12.76	▲ 13.07
Thu 12/18/2014	@ South Dakota₂₁₁	L 61.81 - 74.20	L 53-55	3-7	93.91	83.27	▼ 10.64	106.37	80.36	▲ 26.01	▲ 15.37
Sat 12/20/2014	@ Portland₁₂₅	L 58.38 - 76.33	L 60-87	3-8	90.57	90.47	▼ 0.10	111.01	130.36	▼ 19.35	▼ 19.45
Tue 12/23/2014	vs Wyoming₁₀₁	L 54.84 - 65.70	L 51-61	3-9	86.07	77.98	▼ 8.09	109.27	96.82	▲ 12.45	▲ 4.36
Thu 1/1/2015	vs North Dakota₂₉₇	W 68.78 - 67.55	L 60-67	3-10	96.85	90.78	▼ 6.07	100.63	104.49	▼ 3.86	▼ 9.93
Sat 1/3/2015	vs N. Colorado₂₆₂	L 70.00 - 70.86	L 54-62	3-11	104.14	93.46	▼ 10.68	111.15	113.69	▼ 2.54	▼ 13.22
Thu 1/8/2015	@ Idaho State₃₀₁	L 62.39 - 68.52	L 61-70	3-12	97.25	99.80	▲ 2.55	100.66	108.14	▼ 7.48	▼ 4.93
Sat 1/10/2015	@ Weber State₂₆₄	L 60.71 - 69.79	L 62-65	3-13	94.26	99.85	▲ 5.59	101.95	94.04	▲ 7.91	▲ 13.50
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Montana₁₅₃	L 57.54 - 72.91	L 48-63	3-14	92.21	66.46	▼ 25.75	110.03	90.68	▲ 19.35	▼ 6.40
Thu 1/22/2015	vs Southern Utah₃₁₄	W 70.79 - 67.92	W 79-65	4-14	98.95	111.73	▲ 12.78	100.32	99.99	▲ 0.33	▲ 13.11
Sat 1/24/2015	vs N. Arizona₁₈₁	L 62.97 - 68.98	L 64-71	4-15	90.79	101.95	▲ 11.16	105.55	121.30	▼ 15.75	▼ 4.59
Thu 1/29/2015	@ Sacramento St.₂₁₄	L 62.56 - 74.26	L 59-75	4-16	99.01	90.27	▼ 8.74	111.04	107.97	▲ 3.07	▼ 5.67
Sat 1/31/2015	@ Portland State₂₇₂	L 64.44 - 73.15	L 62-80	4-17	97.93	98.05	▲ 0.12	104.72	124.90	▼ 20.18	▼ 20.06
Thu 2/5/2015	vs Idaho₂₂₅	L 71.34 - 75.12	L 71-80	4-18	100.19	101.44	▲ 1.25	110.87	118.91	▼ 8.04	▼ 6.79
Sat 2/7/2015	vs E. Washington₁₁₇	L 68.02 - 78.90	L 51-61	4-19	94.91	67.86	▼ 27.05	115.55	87.69	▲ 27.86	▲ 0.81
Thu 2/12/2015	@ N. Colorado₂₆₂	L 66.21 - 74.55	W 90-87	5-19	104.14	130.43	▲ 26.29	111.15	121.26	▼ 10.11	▲ 16.18
Sat 2/14/2015	@ North Dakota₂₉₇	L 64.80 - 71.53	W 80-78	6-19	96.85	115.65	▲ 18.80	100.63	105.36	▼ 4.73	▲ 14.07
Thu 2/19/2015	vs Weber State₂₆₄	L 64.54 - 65.82	L 71-74	6-20	94.26	97.03	▲ 2.77	101.95	113.42	▼ 11.47	▼ 8.70
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Idaho State₃₀₁	W 66.21 - 64.78	W 67-53	7-20	97.25	98.64	▲ 1.39	100.66	84.94	▲ 15.72	▲ 17.11
Thu 2/26/2015	@ E. Washington₁₁₇	L 64.01 - 83.05	L 68-92	7-21	94.91	80.39	▼ 14.52	115.55	116.08	▼ 0.53	▼ 15.05
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Idaho₂₂₅	L 67.35 - 79.16	L 73-80	7-22	100.19	107.21	▲ 7.02	110.87	112.35	▼ 1.48	▲ 5.54
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Montana₁₅₃	L 61.26 - 69.10	L 54-70	7-23	92.21	85.49	▼ 6.72	110.03	129.89	▼ 19.86	▼ 26.58
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Montana State performs worse against squads that tend to get off more shots. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.48, Montana State is more efficient than normal 26% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 80% of the time.
	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Montana State usually performs worse than average. Montana State is more efficient than normal 11% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.32%. In all other contests, Montana State performs better than average 60% of the time.
	Montana State is typically worse vs. teams that convert well from outside the arc. Against foes that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.34%, Montana State performs above their norm 32% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 70% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox