Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Saint Louis 11-21 (0.344) | Atlantic 10

All-Play Percentage: 0.354 (227^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.589 (100^th)	Record Quality: -0.091 (217^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 223.70 (227^th)
Pace: 70.16 (143^rd)	Momentum: 3.42 (32^nd)	Off. Momentum: 3.80 (21^st)	Def. Momentum: -0.38 (171^st)
Consistency: -9.87 (291^st)	Res. Consistency: -14.16 (312^th)	Away From Home: 0.50 (115^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.89 (179^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.08

27.87

69.30

77.29

42.34

27.99

33.31

22.66

36.81

26.63

56.53

9.57

10.63

4.23

36.22

29.33

34.46

2.02

RANK:

297^th

196^th

193^rd

339^th

238^th

210^th

252^nd

225^th

111^th

277^th

242^nd

245^th

334^th

335^th

147^th

180^th

202^nd

215^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.96

30.04

78.90

43.95

30.16

33.31

21.80

37.22

26.94

61.31

10.57

13.10

6.30

38.23

27.63

34.14

2.04

RANK:

143^rd

219^th

58^th

172^nd

237^th

84^th

81^st

222^nd

100^th

228^th

152^nd

54^th

125^th

279^th

123^rd

141^st

89^th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Saint Louis should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Ranked 227th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 11-21. Of the 14 schools in the A-10 (average ranking 117.6), they're currently ranked as our #13 team in the conference.

Based on their performances this year, Saint Louis will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #143 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Saint Louis does a fairly satisfactory job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. They have a rating of 13.10 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 54th in the country). Saint Louis also has been doing fairly decent work to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 58th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.90 vs. AO.

Unfortunately, Saint Louis is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 297th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 94 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Saint Louis happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 339th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.29 vs. AO. Saint Louis also does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 4.2% of all second-chance opportunities (335th nationally), and with a rating of 10.63, they're 334th in potential points scored off of the offensive boards as well.

Saint Louis has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #32 ranking in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sun 11/15/2015	vs Hartford₃₂₃	W 76.65 - 64.55	W 85-68	1-0	105.33	108.04	▲ 2.71	94.39	95.88	▼ 1.49	▲ 1.22
Wed 11/18/2015	@ SIUE₂₈₇	W 65.34 - 65.02	W 70-60	2-0	98.13	92.39	▼ 5.74	92.12	76.03	▲ 16.09	▲ 10.35
Sat 11/21/2015	vs St. Francis (BKN)₂₆₁	W 65.66 - 59.63	W 76-60	3-0	94.31	114.82	▲ 20.51	90.70	96.47	▼ 5.77	▲ 14.74
Tue 11/24/2015	vs North Florida₁₅₄	L 76.51 - 77.29	W 70-57	4-0	103.22	98.53	▼ 4.69	109.52	81.49	▲ 28.03	▲ 23.34
Sat 11/28/2015	vs Louisville₇ *	L 53.33 - 75.99	L 57-77	4-1	78.68	100.00	▲ 21.32	110.84	124.14	▼ 13.30	▲ 8.02
Wed 12/2/2015	vs Morehead State₁₃₂	L 64.82 - 66.99	L 46-60	4-2	92.29	60.88	▼ 31.41	100.63	97.83	▲ 2.80	▼ 28.61
Sat 12/5/2015	vs Wichita State₁₂	L 55.50 - 72.15	L 53-68	4-3	78.82	77.08	▼ 1.74	107.54	121.10	▼ 13.56	▼ 15.30
Sat 12/12/2015	vs Alabama A&M₃₁₃	W 72.13 - 61.93	W 75-58	5-3	104.08	94.30	▼ 9.78	94.04	79.31	▲ 14.73	▲ 4.95
Wed 12/16/2015	vs UT Martin₂₀₆	W 69.19 - 66.14	L 76-82	5-4	96.12	98.17	▲ 2.05	97.49	111.00	▼ 13.51	▼ 11.46
Sat 12/19/2015	vs Indiana State₁₈₇	W 67.77 - 66.77	L 68-76	5-5	90.41	84.58	▼ 5.83	94.40	104.31	▼ 9.91	▼ 15.74
Mon 12/21/2015	vs S. Illinois₁₅₂	L 69.53 - 70.42	L 52-65	5-6	93.73	73.27	▼ 20.46	100.25	104.50	▼ 4.25	▼ 24.71
Tue 12/29/2015	@ Kansas State₅₂	L 56.66 - 74.43	L 47-75	5-7	85.57	74.35	▼ 11.22	104.60	95.54	▲ 9.06	▼ 2.16
Sat 1/2/2016	@ URI₇₆	L 57.13 - 72.26	L 57-85	5-8	87.77	97.26	▲ 9.49	103.99	141.31	▼ 37.32	▼ 27.83
Wed 1/6/2016	vs G. Washington₃₈	L 62.47 - 74.62	W 65-62	6-8	88.40	95.57	▲ 7.17	111.59	95.45	▲ 16.14	▲ 23.31
Sun 1/10/2016	vs VCU₂₇	L 61.59 - 75.44	L 56-72	6-9	83.59	68.51	▼ 15.08	107.45	106.04	▲ 1.41	▼ 13.67
Wed 1/13/2016	@ Duquesne₁₄₂	L 68.07 - 78.02	L 71-81	6-10	94.95	56.14	▼ 38.81	102.58	102.00	▲ 0.58	▼ 38.23
Sun 1/17/2016	vs George Mason₁₉₅	W 67.12 - 65.45	L 79-92	6-11	93.76	102.72	▲ 8.96	96.93	126.86	▼ 29.93	▼ 20.97
Wed 1/20/2016	vs Davidson₁₀₇	L 71.57 - 76.96	W 96-87	7-11	96.73	120.16	▲ 23.43	109.50	111.78	▼ 2.28	▲ 21.15
Sat 1/23/2016	@ UMass₁₅₀	L 64.53 - 73.76	W 86-75	8-11	92.49	115.68	▲ 23.19	99.54	96.30	▲ 3.24	▲ 26.43
Wed 1/27/2016	@ Dayton₅₇	L 56.68 - 73.84	L 37-73	8-12	84.62	56.86	▼ 27.76	102.83	104.91	▼ 2.08	▼ 29.84
Sat 1/30/2016	vs Duquesne₁₄₂	L 72.21 - 73.85	L 67-78	8-13	94.95	80.42	▼ 14.53	102.58	100.35	▲ 2.23	▼ 12.30
Sun 2/7/2016	@ St. Bonaventure₉₅	L 63.86 - 78.22	L 62-65	8-14	94.09	91.49	▼ 2.60	108.47	91.29	▲ 17.18	▲ 14.58
Wed 2/10/2016	vs Richmond₈₈	L 67.43 - 74.04	L 53-67	8-15	94.51	74.13	▼ 20.38	109.29	109.48	▼ 0.19	▼ 20.57
Sat 2/13/2016	@ VCU₂₇	L 57.60 - 79.50	L 52-85	8-16	83.59	71.44	▼ 12.15	107.45	117.08	▼ 9.63	▼ 21.78
Wed 2/17/2016	@ George Mason₁₉₅	L 63.23 - 69.29	W 79-77 (OT)	9-16	93.76	105.77	▲ 12.01	96.93	99.94	▼ 3.01	▲ 9.00
Sat 2/20/2016	vs Fordham₁₄₆	L 64.03 - 65.24	W 76-68	10-16	90.50	99.79	▲ 9.29	97.35	93.58	▲ 3.77	▲ 13.06
Tue 2/23/2016	vs Dayton₅₇	L 60.56 - 69.93	L 49-52 (OT)	10-17	84.62	66.78	▼ 17.84	102.83	70.56	▲ 32.27	▲ 14.43
Sun 2/28/2016	@ Saint Joe's₃₇	L 60.68 - 81.34	L 63-77	10-18	87.95	94.09	▲ 6.14	110.33	107.23	▲ 3.10	▲ 9.24
Wed 3/2/2016	@ La Salle₂₆₂	L 65.22 - 66.75	L 68-76	10-19	97.99	101.47	▲ 3.48	94.40	105.65	▼ 11.25	▼ 7.77
Sat 3/5/2016	vs St. Bonaventure₉₅	L 67.78 - 74.07	L 67-76	10-20	94.09	98.60	▲ 4.51	108.47	118.07	▼ 9.60	▼ 5.09
Wed 3/9/2016	vs George Mason₁₉₅ *	L 65.17 - 67.37	W 83-78	11-20	93.76	109.21	▲ 15.45	96.93	102.63	▼ 5.70	▲ 9.75
Thu 3/10/2016	vs G. Washington₃₈ *	L 60.55 - 76.61	L 65-73	11-21	88.40	98.48	▲ 10.08	111.59	108.96	▲ 2.63	▲ 12.71
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Saint Louis performs better against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.29, Saint Louis is more efficient than normal 82% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 38% of the time.
	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Saint Louis usually performs worse than average. Saint Louis is more efficient than normal 37% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.73%. In all other contests, Saint Louis performs better than average 77% of the time.
	Saint Louis is typically better vs. teams that convert well from the charity stripe. Against foes that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.83%, Saint Louis performs above their norm 75% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 40% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox