Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Michigan 16-16 (0.500) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.874 (45^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.719 (20^th)	Record Quality: 0.138 (99^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 63.46 (58^th)
Pace: 61.25 (342^nd)	Momentum: 4.46 (13^th)	Off. Momentum: 6.90 (1^st)	Def. Momentum: -2.44 (277^th)
Consistency: -10.32 (293^rd)	Res. Consistency: -13.65 (289^th)	Away From Home: 0.63 (97^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.21 (322^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.32

24.32

76.86

86.40

45.27

33.74

36.78

25.57

41.41

27.10

59.47

11.65

10.95

5.64

39.05

29.59

31.36

2.08

RANK:

36^th

321^st

9^th

16^th

72^nd

24^th

67^th

169^th

8^th

240^th

137^th

144^th

339^th

268^th

46^th

220^th

292^nd

313^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.13

22.12

84.18

42.10

28.88

31.29

25.87

35.03

29.43

58.92

7.76

15.31

7.67

34.30

30.73

34.96

1.99

RANK:

69^th

10^th

265^th

116^th

221^st

27^th

197^th

156^th

215^th

177^th

3^rd

187^th

254^th

187^th

167^th

184^th

178^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Michigan is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They are ranked #45 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 16-16. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 56.1), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference. Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.719 (the 20th-highest in the country), Michigan has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.

Michigan has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #36 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings and embracing a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the tenth-slowest pace in D1), they will score about 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Michigan allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 7.76, which ranks #3 in the country. Michigan is also superb at converting jumpers in between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked eighth nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 41.4% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. Michigan is lastly deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 76.9% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked ninth nationally in free throw percentage. Unfortunately, with a free throw attempt rate of just 24.32 vs. AO, they don't provide themselves a whole lot of opportunities at the foul line. If Michigan does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 10.95 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 13th-worst in college hoops.

Michigan plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 69th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 95 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Michigan is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.12 vs. AO, they are currently rated tenth in the country in that category. Michigan has also done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 27th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.3% of their attempts from afar.

Michigan has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 13th in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	vs Hillsdale	---	W 92-68	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/17/2014	vs Bucknell₂₀₃	W 70.84 - 55.75	W 77-53	2-0	113.28	113.12	▼ 0.16	94.70	82.00	▲ 12.70	▲ 12.54
Thu 11/20/2014	vs Detroit Mercy₁₈₃	W 72.22 - 57.23	W 71-62	3-0	110.34	108.50	▼ 1.84	92.65	91.30	▲ 1.35	▼ 0.49
Mon 11/24/2014	vs Oregon₄₉ *	W 67.40 - 66.75	W 70-63	4-0	106.69	112.90	▲ 6.21	106.25	103.28	▲ 2.97	▲ 9.18
Tue 11/25/2014	vs Villanova₅ *	L 58.95 - 69.27	L 55-60	4-1	97.17	87.30	▼ 9.87	113.56	93.75	▲ 19.81	▲ 9.94
Sat 11/29/2014	vs Nicholls₃₄₁	W 75.86 - 48.30	W 91-62	5-1	117.13	145.81	▲ 28.68	79.79	62.97	▲ 16.82	▲ 45.50
Tue 12/2/2014	vs Syracuse₄₇	W 63.14 - 59.64	W 68-65	6-1	99.15	106.71	▲ 7.56	98.87	107.81	▼ 8.94	▼ 1.38
Sat 12/6/2014	vs NJIT₁₆₀	W 71.80 - 58.61	L 70-72	6-2	110.53	111.78	▲ 1.25	95.87	122.97	▼ 27.10	▼ 25.85
Tue 12/9/2014	vs E. Michigan₁₄₄	W 67.75 - 55.56	L 42-45	6-3	105.10	65.88	▼ 39.22	91.76	76.74	▲ 15.02	▼ 24.20
Sat 12/13/2014	@ Arizona₄	L 56.96 - 71.55	L 53-80	6-4	93.76	82.35	▼ 11.41	110.52	118.14	▼ 7.62	▼ 19.03
Sat 12/20/2014	vs SMU₂₅	W 62.25 - 60.65	L 51-62	6-5	101.10	70.88	▼ 30.22	104.26	98.36	▲ 5.90	▼ 24.32
Mon 12/22/2014	vs Coppin State₃₂₈	W 86.84 - 59.15	W 72-56	7-5	122.56	105.96	▼ 16.60	88.62	65.47	▲ 23.15	▲ 6.55
Tue 12/30/2014	vs Illinois₄₄	W 63.79 - 59.98	W 73-65 (OT)	8-5	101.52	95.36	▼ 6.16	101.50	101.30	▲ 0.20	▼ 5.96
Sat 1/3/2015	@ Purdue₃₃	L 59.83 - 64.54	L 51-64	8-6	101.36	82.97	▼ 18.39	103.36	98.67	▲ 4.69	▼ 13.70
Tue 1/6/2015	@ Penn State₇₂	L 62.04 - 62.69	W 73-64	9-6	102.77	118.84	▲ 16.07	97.40	98.62	▼ 1.22	▲ 14.85
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Minnesota₄₁	W 67.87 - 64.47	W 62-57	10-6	103.61	100.36	▼ 3.25	104.06	97.97	▲ 6.09	▲ 2.84
Tue 1/13/2015	@ Ohio State₁₅	L 60.46 - 69.16	L 52-71	10-7	100.41	84.94	▼ 15.47	108.67	108.70	▼ 0.03	▼ 15.50
Sat 1/17/2015	vs Northwestern₁₁₉	W 64.05 - 54.46	W 56-54	11-7	108.55	95.27	▼ 13.28	98.04	97.71	▲ 0.33	▼ 12.95
Tue 1/20/2015	@ Rutgers₁₉₁	W 64.38 - 57.28	W 54-50	12-7	106.67	94.50	▼ 12.17	90.03	83.24	▲ 6.79	▼ 5.38
Sat 1/24/2015	vs Wisconsin₂	L 56.21 - 65.39	L 64-69 (OT)	12-8	98.12	108.79	▲ 10.67	119.82	114.74	▲ 5.08	▲ 15.75
Tue 1/27/2015	vs Nebraska₁₀₅	W 62.92 - 53.91	W 58-44	13-8	101.19	102.48	▲ 1.29	92.43	76.19	▲ 16.24	▲ 17.53
Sun 2/1/2015	@ Michigan State₁₀	L 56.29 - 66.18	L 66-76 (OT)	13-9	97.58	107.73	▲ 10.15	107.50	100.15	▲ 7.35	▲ 17.50
Thu 2/5/2015	vs Iowa₂₁	W 62.52 - 61.47	L 54-72	13-10	99.75	91.03	▼ 8.72	104.04	140.47	▼ 36.43	▼ 45.15
Sun 2/8/2015	@ Indiana₅₇	L 67.78 - 70.46	L 67-70	13-11	110.73	114.64	▲ 3.91	109.22	113.70	▼ 4.48	▼ 0.57
Thu 2/12/2015	@ Illinois₄₄	L 60.11 - 63.68	L 52-64 (OT)	13-12	101.52	93.88	▼ 7.64	101.50	86.31	▲ 15.19	▲ 7.55
Tue 2/17/2015	vs Michigan State₁₀	L 59.88 - 62.84	L 67-80	13-13	97.58	115.21	▲ 17.63	107.50	144.79	▼ 37.29	▼ 19.66
Sun 2/22/2015	vs Ohio State₁₅	L 64.21 - 65.59	W 64-57	14-13	100.41	107.37	▲ 6.96	108.67	97.80	▲ 10.87	▲ 17.83
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Maryland₃₁	L 59.69 - 64.38	L 56-66	14-14	101.98	96.07	▼ 5.91	103.24	110.82	▼ 7.58	▼ 13.49
Tue 3/3/2015	@ Northwestern₁₁₉	W 60.56 - 57.90	L 78-82 (2OT)	14-15	108.55	120.97	▲ 12.42	98.04	110.49	▼ 12.45	▼ 0.03
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Rutgers₁₉₁	W 68.14 - 53.81	W 79-69	15-15	106.67	145.11	▲ 38.44	90.03	95.28	▼ 5.25	▲ 33.19
Thu 3/12/2015	vs Illinois₄₄ *	W 61.95 - 61.83	W 73-55	16-15	101.52	123.21	▲ 21.69	101.50	82.14	▲ 19.36	▲ 41.05
Fri 3/13/2015	vs Wisconsin₂ *	L 54.53 - 67.10	L 60-71	16-16	98.12	113.73	▲ 15.61	119.82	132.69	▼ 12.87	▲ 2.74
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Michigan is typically worse vs. teams that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.03, Michigan performs above their norm 20% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 62% of the time.
	When facing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, Michigan often performs worse than normal. Michigan is more efficient than usual 20% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.41. In their other contests, Michigan performs better than the norm 62% of the time.
	Michigan does worse vs. clubs that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.52%, Michigan performs above average 35% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 73% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox