Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Michigan State 20-15 (0.571) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.956 (17^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.741 (6^th)	Record Quality: 0.265 (62^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 16.32 (15^th)
Pace: 65.68 (317^th)	Momentum: -1.14 (227^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.38 (277^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.24 (130^th)
Consistency: -9.14 (176^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.30 (198^th)	Away From Home: -1.49 (311^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.80 (339^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.55

27.31

71.64

89.26

47.28

28.37

37.32

29.63

38.18

31.26

64.96

13.72

14.58

6.56

31.79

33.20

35.02

1.97

RANK:

37^th

146^th

202^nd

23^rd

44^th

286^th

30^th

35^th

229^th

154^th

20^th

67^th

120^th

78^th

314^th

47^th

224^th

104^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

92.50

22.59

83.77

39.09

34.19

31.49

24.54

35.35

25.04

53.14

9.07

10.94

4.34

40.81

29.30

29.89

2.11

RANK:

8^th

34^th

89^th

11^th

298^th

30^th

252^nd

36^th

11^th

40^th

30^th

23^rd

40^th

322^nd

274^th

12^th

19^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite their unexceptional win percentage, Michigan State should be regarded as one of the better teams in college hoops. Carrying a record of 20-15, they are currently rated #17 overall (out of 362) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 54.7). With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.741 (which ranks sixth nationally), Michigan State is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

The Michigan State defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 92 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked eighth overall in defensive efficiency. Michigan State will put a good dent in the shooting percentages of several opponents, considering the team ranks in the top-50 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 31.5% of their three-pointers (30th in the nation), 35.4% of their mid-range shots (36th), 53.1% of their near-proximity attempts (40th), and 39.1% of their total shots from the field (11th). Michigan State also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 10.94 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 23rd in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.3% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 40th) as well.

Michigan State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 37th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 115 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Michigan State is an excellent shooting team, capable of converting from multiple locations on the court and ranking in the top-50 in three of our four primary field goal categories. They convert 37.3% of their three-pointers (30th in the nation), 65.0% of their near-proximity attempts (20th), and 47.3% of their total shots from the field (44th) vs. AO. Michigan State is also one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 23rd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 89.26 vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	vs JMU₆₃	W 75.22 - 65.72	L 76-79 (OT)	0-1	108.69	88.13	▼ 20.56	100.04	92.01	▲ 8.03	▼ 12.53
Thu 11/9/2023	vs S. Indiana₃₂₃	W 81.33 - 52.69	W 74-51	1-1	117.92	112.46	▼ 5.46	81.58	75.42	▲ 6.16	▲ 0.70
Tue 11/14/2023	vs Duke₁₁ *	L 68.53 - 70.06	L 65-74	1-2	105.52	96.55	▼ 8.97	107.96	112.12	▼ 4.16	▼ 13.13
Fri 11/17/2023	vs Butler₅₆	W 73.93 - 64.71	W 74-54	2-2	108.92	108.75	▼ 0.17	100.73	84.50	▲ 16.23	▲ 16.06
Sun 11/19/2023	vs Alcorn State₃₂₂	W 83.46 - 56.11	W 81-49	3-2	126.39	131.51	▲ 5.12	89.74	68.49	▲ 21.25	▲ 26.37
Thu 11/23/2023	vs Arizona₅ *	L 70.33 - 74.57	L 68-74	3-3	100.92	98.55	▼ 2.37	106.98	107.25	▼ 0.27	▼ 2.64
Tue 11/28/2023	vs GA Southern₂₇₃	W 83.86 - 58.72	W 86-55	4-3	121.48	110.67	▼ 10.81	90.31	56.38	▲ 33.93	▲ 23.12
Tue 12/5/2023	vs Wisconsin₁₉	W 70.20 - 65.87	L 57-70	4-4	107.47	95.61	▼ 11.86	105.91	122.54	▼ 16.63	▼ 28.49
Sun 12/10/2023	@ Nebraska₃₁	L 70.05 - 70.39	L 70-77	4-5	107.09	107.01	▼ 0.08	102.91	114.13	▼ 11.22	▼ 11.30
Sat 12/16/2023	vs Baylor₁₆ *	L 68.53 - 68.66	W 88-64	5-5	107.43	130.19	▲ 22.76	108.12	76.92	▲ 31.20	▲ 53.96
Mon 12/18/2023	vs Oakland₁₃₆	W 75.27 - 59.35	W 79-62	6-5	113.59	140.32	▲ 26.73	94.97	95.51	▼ 0.54	▲ 26.19
Thu 12/21/2023	vs Stony Brook₁₈₀	W 77.67 - 58.39	W 99-55	7-5	116.04	114.13	▼ 1.91	92.09	46.29	▲ 45.80	▲ 43.89
Sat 12/30/2023	vs Indiana State₃₀	W 77.20 - 70.67	W 87-75	8-5	110.54	123.93	▲ 13.39	106.32	112.98	▼ 6.66	▲ 6.73
Thu 1/4/2024	vs Penn State₇₀	W 75.50 - 64.98	W 92-61	9-5	108.78	125.80	▲ 17.02	99.00	87.78	▲ 11.22	▲ 28.24
Sun 1/7/2024	@ Northwestern₄₇	W 66.33 - 65.15	L 74-88	9-6	108.35	113.31	▲ 4.96	101.87	133.97	▼ 32.10	▼ 27.14
Thu 1/11/2024	@ Illinois₁₃	L 70.69 - 75.37	L 68-71	9-7	107.84	107.15	▼ 0.69	110.20	105.04	▲ 5.16	▲ 4.47
Sun 1/14/2024	vs Rutgers₁₁₀	W 70.09 - 55.90	W 73-55	10-7	103.26	106.85	▲ 3.59	87.06	86.14	▲ 0.92	▲ 4.51
Thu 1/18/2024	vs Minnesota₈₀	W 74.53 - 63.28	W 76-66	11-7	111.84	107.61	▼ 4.23	100.09	96.65	▲ 3.44	▼ 0.79
Sun 1/21/2024	@ Maryland₆₉	W 65.20 - 61.75	W 61-59	12-7	104.24	97.85	▼ 6.39	94.11	91.11	▲ 3.00	▼ 3.39
Fri 1/26/2024	@ Wisconsin₁₉	L 67.05 - 69.09	L 66-81	12-8	107.47	114.40	▲ 6.93	105.91	132.46	▼ 26.55	▼ 19.62
Tue 1/30/2024	vs Michigan₁₁₂	W 76.40 - 62.19	W 81-62	13-8	114.11	132.55	▲ 18.44	97.56	106.17	▼ 8.61	▲ 9.83
Sat 2/3/2024	vs Maryland₆₉	W 68.36 - 58.57	W 63-54	14-8	104.24	102.46	▼ 1.78	94.11	87.54	▲ 6.57	▲ 4.79
Tue 2/6/2024	@ Minnesota₈₀	W 71.30 - 66.42	L 56-59	14-9	111.84	97.45	▼ 14.39	100.09	95.80	▲ 4.29	▼ 10.10
Sat 2/10/2024	vs Illinois₁₃	W 74.00 - 72.04	W 88-80	15-9	107.84	123.18	▲ 15.34	110.20	118.48	▼ 8.28	▲ 7.06
Wed 2/14/2024	@ Penn State₇₀	W 72.15 - 68.35	W 80-72	16-9	108.78	125.61	▲ 16.83	99.00	100.59	▼ 1.59	▲ 15.24
Sat 2/17/2024	@ Michigan₁₁₂	W 73.16 - 65.38	W 73-63	17-9	114.11	101.18	▼ 12.93	97.56	82.60	▲ 14.96	▲ 2.03
Tue 2/20/2024	vs Iowa₅₇	W 80.57 - 70.87	L 71-78	17-10	113.60	107.97	▼ 5.63	105.15	122.54	▼ 17.39	▼ 23.02
Sun 2/25/2024	vs Ohio State₅₀	W 71.53 - 63.55	L 57-60	17-11	107.85	87.94	▼ 19.91	100.81	97.77	▲ 3.04	▼ 16.87
Sat 3/2/2024	@ Purdue₃	L 64.56 - 74.69	L 74-80	17-12	101.57	114.66	▲ 13.09	112.02	118.68	▼ 6.66	▲ 6.43
Wed 3/6/2024	vs Northwestern₄₇	W 69.43 - 62.00	W 53-49	18-12	108.35	85.80	▼ 22.55	101.87	85.59	▲ 16.28	▼ 6.27
Sun 3/10/2024	@ Indiana₈₈	W 70.89 - 65.23	L 64-65	18-13	110.15	102.54	▼ 7.61	96.42	97.46	▼ 1.04	▼ 8.65
Thu 3/14/2024	vs Minnesota₈₀ *	W 72.91 - 64.85	W 77-67	19-13	111.84	118.46	▲ 6.62	100.09	101.19	▼ 1.10	▲ 5.52
Fri 3/15/2024	vs Purdue₃ *	L 66.16 - 73.07	L 62-67	19-14	101.57	92.54	▼ 9.03	112.02	100.00	▲ 12.02	▲ 2.99
Thu 3/21/2024	vs Miss. State₃₄ *	W 66.97 - 64.07	W 69-51	20-14	103.43	110.00	▲ 6.57	99.70	85.00	▲ 14.70	▲ 21.27
Sat 3/23/2024	vs North Carolina₈ *	L 69.91 - 72.04	L 69-85	20-15	102.55	95.71	▼ 6.84	105.94	118.57	▼ 12.63	▼ 19.47
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Michigan State usually performs worse than average. Michigan State is more efficient than normal 36% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 46.02%. In all other contests, Michigan State performs better than average 80% of the time.
	Michigan State is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.14, Michigan State performs above their norm 64% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 23% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Michigan State often performs worse than normal. Michigan State is more efficient than usual 20% of the time when facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.75%. In their other contests, Michigan State performs better than the norm 60% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox