Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Michigan State 32-7 (0.821) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.994 (3^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.803 (4^th)	Record Quality: 0.604 (2^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 3.91 (3^rd)
Pace: 67.53 (243^rd)	Momentum: -2.80 (287^th)	Off. Momentum: -2.30 (318^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.50 (166^th)
Consistency: -9.44 (160^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.23 (116^th)	Away From Home: -1.83 (321^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.02 (266^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

122.34

29.82

77.64

85.42

50.36

33.84

38.85

20.17

42.57

31.42

67.76

10.43

17.07

7.08

39.62

23.61

36.78

2.03

RANK:

4^th

38^th

10^th

86^th

4^th

120^th

12^th

203^rd

7^th

125^th

9^th

238^th

28^th

57^th

143^rd

224^th

153^rd

188^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

88.70

21.49

88.11

36.30

33.26

30.04

23.35

29.59

31.50

47.89

10.85

14.49

4.18

37.75

26.50

35.75

2.02

RANK:

6^th

19^th

340^th

2^nd

227^th

13^th

288^th

8^th

221^st

1^st

113^th

255^th

14^th

152^nd

245^th

146^th

184^th

ANALYSIS:
Michigan State is among the very best of the best in NCAA hoops this year. Ranked third overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 32-7. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 36.2), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference. Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.803 (the fourth-highest in the country), Michigan State has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.

Michigan State will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 122 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the squad is rated #4 in offensive efficiency. Michigan State is one of the most lethal teams in the country when it comes to shooting the basketball, ranking in the top-25 in each of our four major field goal categories. They make 38.8% of their three-pointers (12th in the nation), 42.6% of their mid-range jumpers (seventh), 67.8% of their near-proximity chances (ninth), and 50.4% of their total shots from the field (fourth) vs. AO. Michigan State is also deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 77.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked tenth nationally in free throw percentage. Moreover, they get ample opportunity to beat you from the line, as the ball-club falls in the top-50 in free throw attempt rate with a rating of 29.82 vs. AO.

The frightening part is that Michigan State is nearly as powerful on the defensive end of the floor as they are on the offensive side of things. The team ranks sixth nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 89 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Michigan State will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. While their best work on defense is done near the bucket (allowing 47.9% shooting from near-proximity locations vs. AO, best in the nation), the team also pesters AO into converting just 30.0% of their three-pointers (13th), 29.6% of their mid-range field goals (eighth), and 36.3% of their total shots from the field (second). Michigan State also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 14th in the NCAA). Michigan State is lastly a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.49 vs. AO, they are currently rated 19th in the country in that category. If Michigan State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 88.11 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 14th-worst in college basketball.

When playing on the road, Michigan State performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 321st in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs Kansas₁₈ *	W 76.84 - 68.01	L 87-92	0-1	110.03	105.78	▼ 4.25	98.05	110.84	▼ 12.79	▼ 17.04
Sun 11/11/2018	vs FGCU₂₂₀	W 87.33 - 57.18	W 106-82	1-1	125.58	137.73	▲ 12.15	87.11	111.05	▼ 23.94	▼ 11.79
Wed 11/14/2018	vs UL Monroe₁₃₈	W 85.84 - 61.61	W 80-59	2-1	125.92	112.45	▼ 13.47	96.00	89.32	▲ 6.68	▼ 6.79
Sun 11/18/2018	vs Tenn. Tech₃₂₇	W 88.18 - 48.75	W 101-33	3-1	125.58	151.79	▲ 26.21	74.67	47.66	▲ 27.01	▲ 53.22
Thu 11/22/2018	vs UCLA₁₃₁ *	W 87.34 - 66.32	W 87-67	4-1	124.12	122.58	▼ 1.54	94.34	86.67	▲ 7.67	▲ 6.13
Fri 11/23/2018	vs Texas₂₂ *	W 72.54 - 63.35	W 78-68	5-1	111.21	105.41	▼ 5.80	97.34	93.15	▲ 4.19	▼ 1.61
Tue 11/27/2018	@ Louisville₁₉	W 73.71 - 68.43	L 78-82 (OT)	5-2	113.47	102.12	▼ 11.35	100.32	96.05	▲ 4.27	▼ 7.08
Fri 11/30/2018	@ Rutgers₈₉	W 76.52 - 62.51	W 78-67	6-2	118.20	131.96	▲ 13.76	91.93	107.67	▼ 15.74	▼ 1.98
Mon 12/3/2018	vs Iowa₄₁	W 84.12 - 68.08	W 90-68	7-2	119.13	134.29	▲ 15.16	101.84	79.92	▲ 21.92	▲ 37.08
Sat 12/8/2018	@ Florida₂₇	W 68.44 - 61.50	W 63-59	8-2	109.87	105.77	▼ 4.10	95.09	94.23	▲ 0.86	▼ 3.24
Sun 12/16/2018	vs Green Bay₁₉₁	W 93.20 - 62.15	W 104-83	9-2	124.88	140.36	▲ 15.48	88.79	84.64	▲ 4.15	▲ 19.63
Fri 12/21/2018	vs Oakland₁₆₂	W 88.77 - 61.37	W 99-69	10-2	127.64	142.48	▲ 14.84	93.68	102.50	▼ 8.82	▲ 6.02
Sat 12/29/2018	vs N. Illinois₁₄₀	W 83.98 - 59.64	W 88-60	11-2	124.77	119.77	▼ 5.00	94.15	74.91	▲ 19.24	▲ 14.24
Wed 1/2/2019	vs Northwestern₇₀	W 76.87 - 57.51	W 81-55	12-2	113.22	135.97	▲ 22.75	90.10	81.74	▲ 8.36	▲ 31.11
Sat 1/5/2019	@ Ohio State₃₃	W 71.89 - 63.96	W 86-77	13-2	112.48	127.13	▲ 14.65	95.50	111.16	▼ 15.66	▼ 1.01
Tue 1/8/2019	vs Purdue₆	W 75.18 - 69.47	W 77-59	14-2	113.22	124.62	▲ 11.40	109.71	100.39	▲ 9.32	▲ 20.72
Sun 1/13/2019	@ Penn State₃₉	W 73.97 - 65.41	W 71-56	15-2	111.79	107.11	▼ 4.68	94.75	74.78	▲ 19.97	▲ 15.29
Thu 1/17/2019	@ Nebraska₂₈	W 74.76 - 67.33	W 70-64	16-2	115.38	105.06	▼ 10.32	100.57	91.71	▲ 8.86	▼ 1.46
Mon 1/21/2019	vs Maryland₁₆	W 75.12 - 64.38	W 69-55	17-2	112.39	115.96	▲ 3.57	100.60	90.83	▲ 9.77	▲ 13.34
Thu 1/24/2019	@ Iowa₄₁	W 80.56 - 71.52	W 82-67	18-2	119.13	131.53	▲ 12.40	101.84	102.22	▼ 0.38	▲ 12.02
Sun 1/27/2019	@ Purdue₆	L 71.84 - 72.73	L 63-73	18-3	113.22	101.68	▼ 11.54	109.71	116.69	▼ 6.98	▼ 18.52
Sat 2/2/2019	vs Indiana₄₉	W 78.33 - 61.88	L 75-79 (OT)	18-4	114.11	102.27	▼ 11.84	95.72	107.26	▼ 11.54	▼ 23.38
Tue 2/5/2019	@ Illinois₅₉	W 80.74 - 68.13	L 74-79	18-5	119.28	106.36	▼ 12.92	96.93	104.26	▼ 7.33	▼ 20.25
Sat 2/9/2019	vs Minnesota₅₂	W 79.27 - 62.39	W 79-55	19-5	116.99	123.73	▲ 6.74	96.28	89.61	▲ 6.67	▲ 13.41
Tue 2/12/2019	@ Wisconsin₁₅	W 67.38 - 63.63	W 67-59	20-5	108.42	104.06	▼ 4.36	97.44	78.73	▲ 18.71	▲ 14.35
Sun 2/17/2019	vs Ohio State₃₃	W 75.25 - 60.68	W 62-44	21-5	112.48	92.50	▼ 19.98	95.50	71.85	▲ 23.65	▲ 3.67
Wed 2/20/2019	vs Rutgers₈₉	W 79.92 - 59.39	W 71-60	22-5	118.20	107.03	▼ 11.17	91.93	92.26	▼ 0.33	▼ 11.50
Sun 2/24/2019	@ Michigan₇	L 65.95 - 66.68	W 77-70	23-5	104.75	128.73	▲ 23.98	101.37	106.30	▼ 4.93	▲ 19.05
Sat 3/2/2019	@ Indiana₄₉	W 74.88 - 65.06	L 62-63	23-6	114.11	105.83	▼ 8.28	95.72	104.28	▼ 8.56	▼ 16.84
Tue 3/5/2019	vs Nebraska₂₈	W 78.17 - 64.11	W 91-76	24-6	115.38	129.34	▲ 13.96	100.57	117.91	▼ 17.34	▼ 3.38
Sat 3/9/2019	vs Michigan₇	W 69.26 - 63.49	W 75-63	25-6	104.75	116.55	▲ 11.80	101.37	101.71	▼ 0.34	▲ 11.46
Fri 3/15/2019	vs Ohio State₃₃ *	W 73.57 - 62.32	W 77-70	26-6	112.48	122.45	▲ 9.97	95.50	94.92	▲ 0.58	▲ 10.55
Sat 3/16/2019	vs Wisconsin₁₅ *	W 69.02 - 62.11	W 67-55	27-6	108.42	106.45	▼ 1.97	97.44	83.79	▲ 13.65	▲ 11.68
Sun 3/17/2019	vs Michigan₇ *	W 67.60 - 65.09	W 65-60	28-6	104.75	107.88	▲ 3.13	101.37	101.69	▼ 0.32	▲ 2.81
Thu 3/21/2019	vs Bradley₁₄₈ *	W 78.05 - 56.64	W 76-65	29-6	118.41	113.41	▼ 5.00	87.51	97.67	▼ 10.16	▼ 15.16
Sat 3/23/2019	vs Minnesota₅₂ *	W 77.56 - 64.00	W 70-50	30-6	116.99	106.33	▼ 10.66	96.28	77.83	▲ 18.45	▲ 7.79
Fri 3/29/2019	vs LSU₂₆ *	W 80.60 - 69.84	W 80-63	31-6	115.90	133.33	▲ 17.43	100.98	110.04	▼ 9.06	▲ 8.37
Sun 3/31/2019	vs Duke₄ *	W 76.30 - 75.92	W 68-67	32-6	108.77	104.21	▼ 4.56	106.62	101.49	▲ 5.13	▲ 0.57
Sat 4/6/2019	vs Texas Tech₅ *	W 67.91 - 66.55	L 51-61	32-7	102.72	83.27	▼ 19.45	100.93	105.17	▼ 4.24	▼ 23.69
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Michigan State is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.94, Michigan State performs above their norm 86% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 28% of the time.
	When facing teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field, Michigan State often performs better than normal. Michigan State is more efficient than usual 77% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 41.20%. In their other contests, Michigan State performs better than the norm 35% of the time.
	Michigan State does worse vs. clubs that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.98, Michigan State performs above average 37% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 75% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	NCAA Final Four: Texas Tech 61, Michigan State 51 (4/7/2019 9:37:00 AM) NCAA Final Four: Texas Tech 61, Michigan State 51 Michigan State falls to Texas Tech 61-51 in the NCAA Final Four semifinal in Minneapolis Check out this story on detroitnews.com: https://www.detroitnews.com/picture-gallery/sports/college/michigan-state ...
	Michigan State basketball at Final Four: Live updates from Minneapolis (4/5/2019 9:08:00 PM) Michigan State basketball at Final Four: Live updates from Minneapolis Welcome to our coverage of Michigan State Spartans basketball in the Final Four in Minneapolis Check out this story on Freep.com: https://www.freep.com/story/sports/2019/04/05/michigan ...
	Cassius Winston can take his place in Michigan State’s pantheon of point guards (4/5/2019 6:28:00 PM) Spartans associate coach Dane Fife said the ... "The point guard position at Michigan State is one of the elite positions in college basketball, but with stature comes difficulty," Fife said. "That's where I think Cassius has really benefitted from being ...
	Michigan State player targeted by Tom Izzo rant just 'accepted the coaching' (4/5/2019 6:08:00 PM) MINNEAPOLIS — Michigan State freshman Aaron Henry, the target of Tom Izzo’s wrath during a now-infamous moment in the NCAA tournament, said he endured Izzo-like anger before he even knew about the Michigan State basketball coach. “I dealt with it 18 ...
	Magic Johnson praises Michigan State's Elite Eight upset over Duke: 'College basketball won today' (4/1/2019 12:21:00 PM) Michigan State's win over No. 1 overall seed Duke on Sunday in the Elite Eight has once again ... team in the sport led by the most electric player, Zion Williamson, in a 68-67 thriller. Experience won out in the end. Junior guard Cassius Winston ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox