Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Michigan State 30-5 (0.857) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.986 (6^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.675 (62^nd)	Record Quality: 0.525 (5^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 5.72 (6^th)
Pace: 69.61 (208^th)	Momentum: -5.03 (332^nd)	Off. Momentum: -1.73 (299^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.29 (322^nd)
Consistency: -8.56 (115^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.15 (210^th)	Away From Home: -2.33 (326^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.56 (237^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

115.14

29.75

73.19

82.06

49.50

30.75

39.41

21.84

41.15

29.48

66.22

7.91

16.45

9.30

37.47

26.61

35.92

2.02

RANK:

14^th

37^th

121^st

167^th

14^th

167^th

23^rd

204^th

36^th

129^th

26^th

324^th

88^th

25^th

164^th

202^nd

135^th

154^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

89.79

24.53

84.52

36.47

29.35

34.43

26.10

29.86

29.06

44.46

11.59

13.08

4.08

34.73

30.89

34.39

2.00

RANK:

3^rd

105^th

274^th

1^st

110^th

114^th

295^th

4^th

187^th

1^st

240^th

66^th

4^th

77^th

281^st

148^th

219^th

ANALYSIS:
Michigan State is one of the most elite and successful teams in college basketball this year. Carrying a record of 30-5, they are currently rated #6 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 56.1).

The Michigan State defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 90 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked third overall in defensive efficiency. Michigan State will do a number on many an opponent's shooting percentage, as the team ranks in the top-25 in three of our four major defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 29.9% of their mid-range jumpers (fourth in the nation), 44.5% of their near-proximity chances (first), and 36.5% of their total shots from the field (first). Michigan State also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fourth in the NCAA). If Michigan State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 7.91 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 28th-worst in the college game.

Michigan State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 14th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 115 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Michigan State is an outstanding shooting team, capable of converting from a variety of locations on the floor and ranking in the top-50 in each of our four most noteworthy field goal categories. They make 39.4% of their three-pointers (23rd in the nation), 41.2% of their mid-range jumpers (36th), 66.2% of their near-proximity chances (26th), and 49.5% of their total shots from the field (14th) vs. AO. Michigan State also does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.3% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 25th nationally).

Michigan State has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 332nd in positive momentum. When playing on the road, Michigan State performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 326th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	vs North Florida₂₈₀	W 97.06 - 64.52	W 98-66	1-0	127.01	110.85	▼ 16.16	88.50	63.94	▲ 24.56	▲ 8.40
Tue 11/14/2017	vs Duke₂ *	L 73.19 - 77.15	L 81-88	1-1	103.74	109.46	▲ 5.72	109.12	120.55	▼ 11.43	▼ 5.71
Sun 11/19/2017	vs Stony Brook₂₂₉	W 82.00 - 55.25	W 93-71	2-1	113.56	122.73	▲ 9.17	80.73	97.86	▼ 17.13	▼ 7.96
Thu 11/23/2017	vs DePaul₁₀₂ *	W 77.54 - 63.54	W 73-51	3-1	108.91	109.84	▲ 0.93	89.24	75.00	▲ 14.24	▲ 15.17
Sat 11/25/2017	vs UConn₁₇₈ *	W 79.71 - 60.33	W 77-57	4-1	116.12	110.94	▼ 5.18	88.88	85.94	▲ 2.94	▼ 2.24
Sun 11/26/2017	vs North Carolina₈ *	W 76.98 - 75.80	W 63-45	5-1	107.37	85.71	▼ 21.66	106.05	61.43	▲ 44.62	▲ 22.96
Thu 11/30/2017	vs Notre Dame₄₆	W 74.96 - 64.60	W 81-63	6-1	109.77	123.13	▲ 13.36	98.78	95.92	▲ 2.86	▲ 16.22
Sun 12/3/2017	vs Nebraska₅₇	W 76.27 - 64.21	W 86-57	7-1	108.07	117.73	▲ 9.66	95.49	81.93	▲ 13.56	▲ 23.22
Tue 12/5/2017	@ Rutgers₁₂₄	W 71.05 - 58.52	W 62-52	8-1	107.02	96.21	▼ 10.81	84.55	76.52	▲ 8.03	▼ 2.78
Sat 12/9/2017	vs Southern Utah₂₄₉	W 89.61 - 60.21	W 88-63	9-1	120.61	118.32	▼ 2.29	85.27	91.98	▼ 6.71	▼ 9.00
Sat 12/16/2017	vs Oakland₁₆₁ *	W 84.20 - 65.01	W 86-73	10-1	117.77	116.67	▼ 1.10	91.43	97.26	▼ 5.83	▼ 6.93
Mon 12/18/2017	vs Houston Baptist₃₁₆	W 93.78 - 59.48	W 107-62	11-1	123.50	126.06	▲ 2.56	82.33	80.60	▲ 1.73	▲ 4.29
Thu 12/21/2017	vs Long Beach St.₁₇₆	W 87.25 - 63.36	W 102-60	12-1	116.65	143.88	▲ 27.23	89.37	88.81	▲ 0.56	▲ 27.79
Fri 12/29/2017	vs Cleveland State₃₀₁	W 85.41 - 54.64	W 111-61	13-1	120.76	173.41	▲ 52.65	82.01	73.70	▲ 8.31	▲ 60.96
Sun 12/31/2017	vs Savannah State₃₀₈	W 104.06 - 67.04	W 108-52	14-1	125.14	117.13	▼ 8.01	85.03	79.88	▲ 5.15	▼ 2.86
Thu 1/4/2018	vs Maryland₄₃	W 75.60 - 65.46	W 91-61	15-1	108.75	137.73	▲ 28.98	98.40	95.13	▲ 3.27	▲ 32.25
Sun 1/7/2018	@ Ohio State₁₀	L 69.81 - 70.66	L 64-80	15-2	104.50	91.33	▼ 13.17	101.26	119.95	▼ 18.69	▼ 31.86
Wed 1/10/2018	vs Rutgers₁₂₄	W 74.08 - 55.59	W 76-72 (OT)	16-2	107.02	85.79	▼ 21.23	84.55	89.03	▼ 4.48	▼ 25.71
Sat 1/13/2018	vs Michigan₁₁	W 69.13 - 63.96	L 72-82	16-3	102.16	93.56	▼ 8.60	99.05	115.13	▼ 16.08	▼ 24.68
Fri 1/19/2018	vs Indiana₇₂	W 75.97 - 62.40	W 85-57	17-3	109.23	114.40	▲ 5.17	94.16	81.93	▲ 12.23	▲ 17.40
Mon 1/22/2018	@ Illinois₈₁	W 77.89 - 69.07	W 87-74	18-3	111.79	119.66	▲ 7.87	95.54	99.20	▼ 3.66	▲ 4.21
Fri 1/26/2018	vs Wisconsin₆₉	W 71.73 - 59.12	W 76-61	19-3	108.65	111.06	▲ 2.41	93.80	88.94	▲ 4.86	▲ 7.27
Sun 1/28/2018	@ Maryland₄₃	W 72.55 - 68.56	W 74-68	20-3	108.75	116.12	▲ 7.37	98.40	100.76	▼ 2.36	▲ 5.01
Wed 1/31/2018	vs Penn State₂₄	W 74.11 - 65.74	W 76-68	21-3	105.48	102.21	▼ 3.27	97.60	83.15	▲ 14.45	▲ 11.18
Sat 2/3/2018	@ Indiana₇₂	W 72.92 - 65.25	W 63-60	22-3	109.23	99.19	▼ 10.04	94.16	91.48	▲ 2.68	▼ 7.36
Tue 2/6/2018	@ Iowa₁₀₅	W 82.85 - 71.80	W 96-93	23-3	118.59	132.00	▲ 13.41	99.39	121.73	▼ 22.34	▼ 8.93
Sat 2/10/2018	vs Purdue₄	W 74.11 - 73.04	W 68-65	24-3	104.98	102.35	▼ 2.63	107.93	102.27	▲ 5.66	▲ 3.03
Tue 2/13/2018	@ Minnesota₁₀₃	W 78.58 - 67.62	W 87-57	25-3	112.78	140.27	▲ 27.49	92.97	75.73	▲ 17.24	▲ 44.73
Sat 2/17/2018	@ Northwestern₇₆	W 71.63 - 64.16	W 65-60	26-3	110.45	108.83	▼ 1.62	95.27	96.09	▼ 0.82	▼ 2.44
Tue 2/20/2018	vs Illinois₈₁	W 81.07 - 65.91	W 81-61	27-3	111.79	120.31	▲ 8.52	95.54	93.94	▲ 1.60	▲ 10.12
Sun 2/25/2018	@ Wisconsin₆₉	W 68.83 - 61.91	W 68-63	28-3	108.65	111.95	▲ 3.30	93.80	99.34	▼ 5.54	▼ 2.24
Fri 3/2/2018	vs Wisconsin₆₉ *	W 70.28 - 60.51	W 63-60	29-3	108.65	112.50	▲ 3.85	93.80	105.26	▼ 11.46	▼ 7.61
Sat 3/3/2018	vs Michigan₁₁ *	W 67.65 - 65.37	L 64-75	29-4	102.16	95.52	▼ 6.64	99.05	110.29	▼ 11.24	▼ 17.88
Fri 3/16/2018	vs Bucknell₁₀₁ *	W 82.16 - 68.04	W 82-78	30-4	114.01	112.68	▼ 1.33	94.94	105.88	▼ 10.94	▼ 12.27
Sun 3/18/2018	vs Syracuse₄₄ *	W 66.94 - 60.11	L 53-55	30-5	104.20	86.89	▼ 17.31	92.63	90.16	▲ 2.47	▼ 14.84
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Michigan State usually performs better than average. Michigan State is more efficient than normal 73% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 73.93%. In all other contests, Michigan State performs better than average 33% of the time.
	Michigan State is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.71%, Michigan State performs above their norm 59% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 23% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Michigan State often performs better than normal. Michigan State is more efficient than usual 56% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 94.19. In their other contests, Michigan State performs better than the norm 20% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox