Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Towson 12-20 (0.375) | Colonial

All-Play Percentage: 0.220 (273^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.416 (255^th)	Record Quality: -0.207 (283^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 267.14 (271^st)
Pace: 62.42 (324^th)	Momentum: -1.48 (249^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.79 (161^st)	Def. Momentum: -2.27 (265^th)
Consistency: -9.96 (268^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.72 (16^th)	Away From Home: 2.28 (13^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.07 (193^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.17

36.04

62.29

81.47

40.36

22.07

31.56

28.63

33.36

30.77

53.18

7.80

25.13

10.36

27.09

35.14

37.77

1.89

RANK:

262^nd

4^th

342^nd

190^th

286^th

330^th

297^th

83^rd

262^nd

77^th

306^th

340^th

1^st

3^rd

331^st

65^th

66^th

26^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.45

35.03

83.09

43.48

26.52

34.45

26.06

33.77

30.51

59.61

12.91

15.63

6.75

31.92

31.36

36.72

1.95

RANK:

260^th

331^st

218^th

172^nd

109^th

159^th

206^th

93^rd

256^th

197^th

294^th

208^th

168^th

89^th

196^th

250^th

267^th

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Towson likely fits the bill. They are ranked #273 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 12-20. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of 10) in the Colonial (average ranking 207.0).

Towson is not one of the better offensive teams you will find. They are rated #262 in efficiency on that end of the court and only score about 95 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Towson has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 62.3% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #342 overall in free throw percentage. Towson also won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 306th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 53.2% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. If Towson does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 25.13 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks first in all of college hoops.

Towson doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 105 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #260 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Towson is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #340 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.80 vs. AO. Towson also fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 35.03 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #331 in the country in that category.

When playing on the road, Towson has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 13th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ Alabama₅₈	L 52.93 - 70.25	L 54-82	0-1	90.22	78.83	▼ 11.39	112.96	117.72	▼ 4.76	▼ 16.15
Mon 11/17/2014	@ Morgan State₃₂₅	W 62.91 - 61.31	W 51-46	1-1	103.00	97.69	▼ 5.31	95.31	83.45	▲ 11.86	▲ 6.55
Fri 11/21/2014	vs Cent. Conn. St.₃₄₂ *	W 65.43 - 57.15	W 58-49	2-1	106.66	85.29	▼ 21.37	93.81	72.06	▲ 21.75	▲ 0.38
Sat 11/22/2014	vs Bethune-Cookman₃₂₇ *	W 59.51 - 54.69	W 63-42	3-1	100.56	105.45	▲ 4.89	92.37	68.52	▲ 23.85	▲ 28.74
Sun 11/23/2014	@ Monmouth₁₇₇	L 56.12 - 64.72	W 79-75 (OT)	4-1	94.19	114.84	▲ 20.65	102.37	108.89	▼ 6.52	▲ 14.13
Wed 11/26/2014	vs Goucher	---	W 97-43	5-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/29/2014	@ UMBC₃₃₄	W 61.83 - 58.72	W 77-66	6-1	102.11	120.76	▲ 18.65	91.84	98.95	▼ 7.11	▲ 11.54
Wed 12/3/2014	vs Coppin State₃₂₈	W 77.74 - 67.67	W 84-76	7-1	107.84	108.86	▲ 1.02	99.30	103.17	▼ 3.87	▼ 2.85
Sun 12/7/2014	@ Georgetown₂₆	L 51.82 - 72.58	L 46-78	7-2	86.63	81.59	▼ 5.04	114.23	131.74	▼ 17.51	▼ 22.55
Wed 12/10/2014	@ Temple₆₈	L 53.36 - 69.64	L 64-76	7-3	88.12	104.64	▲ 16.52	107.75	114.77	▼ 7.02	▲ 9.50
Sat 12/20/2014	vs La Salle₉₆	L 56.30 - 63.14	L 53-67	7-4	87.13	82.99	▼ 4.14	103.62	113.32	▼ 9.70	▼ 13.84
Mon 12/22/2014	@ Navy₂₈₃	L 58.00 - 61.01	L 56-61	7-5	99.80	96.30	▼ 3.50	98.92	98.70	▲ 0.22	▼ 3.28
Mon 12/29/2014	vs Fair. Dickinson₃₁₃	W 68.14 - 61.49	L 84-85 (OT)	7-6	102.22	111.95	▲ 9.73	97.97	117.90	▼ 19.93	▼ 10.20
Sat 1/3/2015	@ JMU₂₀₅	L 60.61 - 67.72	L 52-61	7-7	100.31	93.14	▼ 7.17	105.93	103.93	▲ 2.00	▼ 5.17
Mon 1/5/2015	vs Elon₂₇₀	W 66.31 - 62.78	W 57-53	8-7	98.08	87.51	▼ 10.57	98.79	88.45	▲ 10.34	▼ 0.23
Thu 1/8/2015	vs Drexel₂₅₁	W 59.83 - 57.61	L 41-55	8-8	98.08	80.01	▼ 18.07	100.50	113.39	▼ 12.89	▼ 30.96
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Northeastern₈₉	L 59.10 - 65.96	L 49-52	8-9	94.59	87.77	▼ 6.82	111.32	97.52	▲ 13.80	▲ 6.98
Wed 1/14/2015	@ Delaware₂₈₂	L 62.94 - 66.08	L 64-67 (OT)	8-10	101.63	94.91	▼ 6.72	101.47	87.51	▲ 13.96	▲ 7.24
Sat 1/17/2015	vs William & Mary₁₁₅	L 62.97 - 68.39	L 72-85	8-11	99.54	105.36	▲ 5.82	114.09	140.26	▼ 26.17	▼ 20.35
Thu 1/22/2015	@ Elon₂₇₀	L 62.67 - 66.51	W 53-51	9-11	98.08	83.27	▼ 14.81	98.79	76.72	▲ 22.07	▲ 7.26
Sat 1/24/2015	@ UNC Wilmington₁₇₂	L 59.45 - 68.78	L 65-69	9-12	94.40	95.83	▲ 1.43	102.90	95.60	▲ 7.30	▲ 8.73
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Charleston₂₉₁	W 59.19 - 54.78	W 74-70	10-12	95.39	107.48	▲ 12.09	93.62	107.45	▼ 13.83	▼ 1.74
Sat 1/31/2015	@ Hofstra₁₂₂	L 62.31 - 75.37	W 86-72	11-12	96.79	121.81	▲ 25.02	111.09	101.51	▲ 9.58	▲ 34.60
Wed 2/4/2015	@ Northeastern₈₉	L 55.73 - 69.59	L 62-69	11-13	94.59	101.02	▲ 6.43	111.32	107.25	▲ 4.07	▲ 10.50
Sat 2/7/2015	vs JMU₂₀₅	L 64.06 - 64.09	L 61-63	11-14	100.31	97.03	▼ 3.28	105.93	106.25	▼ 0.32	▼ 3.60
Tue 2/10/2015	@ Drexel₂₅₁	L 56.53 - 61.12	L 49-53	11-15	98.08	95.42	▼ 2.66	100.50	97.03	▲ 3.47	▲ 0.81
Sun 2/15/2015	@ Charleston₂₉₁	L 55.85 - 58.19	W 53-50	12-15	95.39	85.78	▼ 9.61	93.62	73.95	▲ 19.67	▲ 10.06
Wed 2/18/2015	vs Hofstra₁₂₂	L 65.97 - 71.56	L 82-87	12-16	96.79	126.86	▲ 30.07	111.09	139.65	▼ 28.56	▲ 1.51
Sat 2/21/2015	vs UNC Wilmington₁₇₂	L 63.04 - 65.04	L 69-73	12-17	94.40	113.86	▲ 19.46	102.90	125.50	▼ 22.60	▼ 3.14
Wed 2/25/2015	@ William & Mary₁₁₅	L 59.55 - 72.03	L 50-65	12-18	99.54	83.62	▼ 15.92	114.09	101.87	▲ 12.22	▼ 3.70
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Delaware₂₈₂	W 66.47 - 62.43	L 60-65	12-19	101.63	90.78	▼ 10.85	101.47	106.15	▼ 4.68	▼ 15.53
Fri 3/6/2015	vs Elon₂₇₀ *	L 64.49 - 64.64	L 69-74 (OT)	12-20	98.08	105.08	▲ 7.00	98.79	106.90	▼ 8.11	▼ 1.11
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Towson does better vs. clubs that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.01%, Towson performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
	Towson performs worse against squads that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.38%, Towson is more efficient than normal 22% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 59% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox