Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Mt. St. Mary's 13-19 (0.406) | MAAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.371 (228^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.277 (337^th)	Record Quality: -0.219 (300^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 224.92 (222^nd)
Pace: 69.14 (92^nd)	Momentum: -1.70 (245^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.72 (151^st)	Def. Momentum: -2.42 (295^th)
Consistency: -7.81 (27^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.91 (90^th)	Away From Home: -0.51 (228^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.37 (118^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.08

20.54

71.18

84.40

45.24

29.07

34.69

24.54

41.18

30.79

58.45

11.12

13.04

5.11

34.44

29.08

36.48

1.98

RANK:

253^rd

353^rd

224^th

230^th

114^th

263^rd

165^th

125^th

86^th

178^th

151^st

199^th

206^th

262^nd

122^nd

172^nd

126^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.04

25.77

85.85

44.81

30.51

35.13

22.78

39.43

32.56

57.64

14.67

13.82

5.72

35.54

26.53

37.93

1.98

RANK:

213^th

164^th

198^th

211^th

126^th

232^nd

185^th

208^th

261^st

167^th

345^th

215^th

211^th

108^th

178^th

253^rd

ANALYSIS:
Mt. St. Mary's has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Their record this season is 13-19, and the club is ranked 228th overall (out of 362) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 11) in the MAAC (average ranking 248.9).

Though their offense is far from the worst in the game, Mt. St. Mary's is not terribly gifted on that end of the court either. Scoring about 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked at #253 in offensive efficiency. Mt. St. Mary's does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 20.54 vs. AO, they are tenth from the bottom in the overall rankings for that category. Mt. St. Mary's also tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 14.67, which ranks 345th in D1.

Mt. St. Mary's doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #213 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Although their defense isn't the greatest, Mt. St. Mary's doesn't stand out as being especially horrible in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the bottom-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.

Mt. St. Mary's is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 27th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/7/2023	@ Maryland₆₉	L 59.33 - 74.76	L 53-68	0-1	90.77	80.70	▼ 10.07	107.87	97.09	▲ 10.78	▲ 0.71
Sat 11/11/2023	vs Coppin State₃₆₁	W 75.31 - 55.64	W 74-60	1-1	106.50	104.93	▼ 1.57	83.29	88.90	▼ 5.61	▼ 7.18
Sat 11/18/2023	@ Georgetown₂₀₅	L 71.38 - 75.89	L 72-83	1-2	106.62	98.54	▼ 8.08	108.09	108.13	▼ 0.04	▼ 8.12
Wed 11/22/2023	@ American₂₈₉	W 69.38 - 69.14	L 65-68	1-3	108.53	101.02	▼ 7.51	103.53	102.08	▲ 1.45	▼ 6.06
Sat 11/25/2023	vs Howard₂₇₇	W 77.92 - 71.47	L 83-87 (2OT)	1-4	109.08	97.46	▼ 11.62	104.77	101.04	▲ 3.73	▼ 7.89
Fri 12/1/2023	@ Manhattan₃₃₄	W 73.77 - 68.15	L 74-75 (OT)	1-5	107.75	105.52	▼ 2.23	94.81	102.01	▼ 7.20	▼ 9.43
Sun 12/3/2023	vs Siena₃₆₀	W 76.77 - 58.50	W 80-48	2-5	110.29	109.46	▼ 0.83	88.64	48.54	▲ 40.10	▲ 39.27
Tue 12/5/2023	@ Ole Miss₉₃	L 66.98 - 80.24	L 68-77	2-6	100.08	95.39	▼ 4.69	113.70	104.61	▲ 9.09	▲ 4.40
Sat 12/9/2023	@ Loyola (MD)₃₄₅	W 72.58 - 65.86	W 77-64	3-6	109.04	108.51	▼ 0.53	94.51	76.88	▲ 17.63	▲ 17.10
Fri 12/15/2023	@ St. Francis (PA)₃₅₅	W 73.86 - 64.58	W 72-65	4-6	111.41	108.42	▼ 2.99	92.70	91.67	▲ 1.03	▼ 1.96
Wed 12/20/2023	@ Georgia₈₃	L 65.39 - 79.93	L 82-94	4-7	94.91	110.43	▲ 15.52	110.32	119.54	▼ 9.22	▲ 6.30
Sat 12/23/2023	vs Long Island₃₅₀	W 79.82 - 64.78	W 87-59	5-7	108.24	116.21	▲ 7.97	92.25	85.08	▲ 7.17	▲ 15.14
Sat 12/30/2023	@ Delaware State₃₀₂	W 69.36 - 68.29	L 73-77	5-8	101.87	102.54	▲ 0.67	95.44	101.52	▼ 6.08	▼ 5.41
Fri 1/5/2024	vs Canisius₂₈₂	W 73.83 - 67.68	W 74-69	6-8	104.63	103.18	▼ 1.45	100.10	102.18	▼ 2.08	▼ 3.53
Sun 1/7/2024	@ St. Peter's₂₂₀	L 63.75 - 67.29	L 64-70	6-9	98.84	93.96	▼ 4.88	99.44	97.46	▲ 1.98	▼ 2.90
Sun 1/14/2024	@ Iona₂₀₈	L 68.93 - 73.43	L 70-87	6-10	102.41	111.91	▲ 9.50	104.03	130.80	▼ 26.77	▼ 17.27
Fri 1/19/2024	vs Marist₂₃₆	W 67.44 - 63.97	W 65-48	7-10	98.25	95.46	▼ 2.79	97.80	71.89	▲ 25.91	▲ 23.12
Sun 1/21/2024	vs Niagara₂₇₈	W 75.38 - 69.02	L 71-82	7-11	106.80	110.16	▲ 3.36	102.57	128.69	▼ 26.12	▼ 22.76
Thu 1/25/2024	@ Quinnipiac₁₇₆	L 71.88 - 78.28	L 65-79	7-12	102.94	92.24	▼ 10.70	107.11	109.23	▼ 2.12	▼ 12.82
Sat 1/27/2024	vs Rider₂₃₄	W 73.57 - 69.87	L 62-66	7-13	103.45	94.34	▼ 9.11	102.83	104.07	▼ 1.24	▼ 10.35
Fri 2/2/2024	@ Marist₂₃₆	L 64.16 - 67.23	W 76-58	8-13	98.25	125.18	▲ 26.93	97.80	70.01	▲ 27.79	▲ 54.72
Sun 2/4/2024	@ Siena₃₆₀	W 73.42 - 61.73	W 68-61	9-13	110.29	105.18	▼ 5.11	88.64	84.23	▲ 4.41	▼ 0.70
Thu 2/8/2024	vs Manhattan₃₃₄	W 77.21 - 64.69	W 82-78	10-13	107.75	103.96	▼ 3.79	94.81	103.51	▼ 8.70	▼ 12.49
Sat 2/10/2024	vs Quinnipiac₁₇₆	W 75.38 - 74.66	W 96-79	11-13	102.94	122.46	▲ 19.52	107.11	101.09	▲ 6.02	▲ 25.54
Fri 2/16/2024	@ Rider₂₃₄	L 70.16 - 73.35	L 57-61	11-14	103.45	81.43	▼ 22.02	102.83	83.38	▲ 19.45	▼ 2.57
Sun 2/18/2024	@ Fairfield₁₈₂	L 70.76 - 76.63	L 80-94	11-15	103.96	104.23	▲ 0.27	107.43	143.23	▼ 35.80	▼ 35.53
Fri 2/23/2024	vs St. Peter's₂₂₀	W 66.99 - 64.05	L 65-70	11-16	98.84	94.48	▼ 4.36	99.44	107.01	▼ 7.57	▼ 11.93
Sun 2/25/2024	vs Iona₂₀₈	W 72.32 - 70.14	W 72-65	12-16	102.41	98.87	▼ 3.54	104.03	95.06	▲ 8.97	▲ 5.43
Fri 3/1/2024	@ Canisius₂₈₂	L 70.45 - 70.92	L 56-61	12-17	104.63	94.34	▼ 10.29	100.10	95.82	▲ 4.28	▼ 6.01
Sun 3/3/2024	@ Niagara₂₇₈	L 71.99 - 72.46	W 91-72	13-17	106.80	129.40	▲ 22.60	102.57	97.46	▲ 5.11	▲ 27.71
Sat 3/9/2024	vs Fairfield₁₈₂	W 74.18 - 73.13	L 92-96	13-18	103.96	118.52	▲ 14.56	107.43	130.11	▼ 22.68	▼ 8.12
Tue 3/12/2024	vs Canisius₂₈₂ *	W 72.14 - 69.30	L 61-77	13-19	104.63	91.04	▼ 13.59	100.10	111.94	▼ 11.84	▼ 25.43
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Mt. St. Mary's does better vs. clubs that find ways to get to the free throw line. When playing squads that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 23.47, Mt. St. Mary's performs above average 48% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 9% of the time.
	Mt. St. Mary's performs worse against squads that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 107.13, Mt. St. Mary's is more efficient than normal 20% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 58% of the time.
	When playing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Mt. St. Mary's usually performs worse than average. Mt. St. Mary's is more efficient than normal 20% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.45%. In all other contests, Mt. St. Mary's performs better than average 58% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox