Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 UMass20-11 (0.645) | Atlantic 10
All-Play Percentage: 0.792 (76th)
Schedule Strength: 0.475 (136th)
Record Quality: 0.187 (88th)
Avg. Season Rank: 92.05 (95th)
Pace: 68.51 (128th)
Momentum: -2.12 (260th)
Off. Momentum: -1.77 (301st)
Def. Momentum: -0.35 (169th)
Consistency: -9.49 (218th)
Res. Consistency: -13.72 (281st)
Away From Home: -0.48 (225th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.29 (72nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
112.16
68.55
30.87
69.83
88.22
40.26
45.63
30.96
10.08
32.55
23.57
8.64
36.66
33.69
21.54
63.94
13.57
17.44
6.19
35.10
26.72
38.18
1.97
RANK:
67th
126th
25th
271st
47th
66th
101st
201st
241st
271st
152nd
191st
277th
72nd
24th
30th
72nd
26th
106th
242nd
170th
110th
107th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
101.83
68.47
29.43
--
84.04
35.18
41.86
30.54
9.96
32.62
19.96
7.60
38.07
33.53
17.62
52.53
12.33
15.13
5.97
36.34
23.75
39.90
1.96
RANK:
106th
230th
298th
--
102nd
59th
75th
130th
93rd
79th
59th
47th
139th
291st
168th
30th
241st
306th
251st
155th
63rd
312th
282nd
ANALYSIS: While this site doesn't quite consider them to be in the national title hunt, UMass has the potential to be a formidable opponent for many in Division I. Carrying a record of 20-11, they are currently rated #76 overall (out of 362) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 15) in the A-10 (average ranking 121.2).
UMass has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #67 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 112 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UMass does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 30.87 vs. AO, they are ranked 25th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. Unfortunately, they don't convert a ton of their free throws and make just 69.8% of their attempts. UMass has also established itself as a team that cleans the offensive glass quite well. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 17.44 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 26th in the NCAA).
UMass plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 106th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UMass has done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 30th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 52.5% of their attempts from close-up. And to capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from the inside more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (39.9%) will be from short-distance. UMass will also look to secure a relatively healthy number of easy scoring opportunities off of steals. They're ranked 72nd in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.57.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UMass does worse vs. clubs that effectively clean the offensive glass. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.59, UMass performs above average 27% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 75% of the time.
UMass performs better against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.57, UMass is more efficient than normal 67% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 20% of the time.
When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, UMass usually performs worse than average. UMass is more efficient than normal 20% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.89%. In all other contests, UMass performs better than average 67% of the time.
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